Market intelligence/Eastern Europe/Report available

Moldova.

EVS Moldova EV Service Centre Market Entry

Decision-grade Moldova assessment separating exact BEV stock, mixed hybrid categories, annual registration flows, changing import-tax descriptions and charging points, with an auditable passenger/light serviceable-pool proxy and compliance-first Chişinău pilot gates.

All-road electric stock

9,849

Exact fully electric stock at end-2025; later approximately 11,000 is not substituted.

Stations

250

Reported minimum public charging points; no connector/power/access/uptime audit.

Jobs/year

926

9,849 × passenger share × 98% active × Chişinău concentration × 45% reach × 1.15 events.

Years

2.954

Base simple payback on MDL700,000 reversible partner-pilot capex.

Conditional go for a capped Chişinău partner pilot only

01/The verdict in full

Executive summary

Conditional go for a capped Chişinău partner pilot only. Exact end-2025 stock is 9,849 fully electric vehicles; later approximately 11,000 is directional. [moldpres_2025_stock] [energy_june2026]
Hybrids are excluded. The 77,985 hybrid figure includes PHEVs but does not isolate them.
The model yields 7,181 national TAM and 926 Chişinău independent-reach SAM jobs per year. Both are EVS assumption-led.
Hold pack work. Launch diagnostics/evidence, chassis, HVAC, 12V, charge-fault and fleet collection only.

Board Decision

Authorise up to MDL700,000 of reversible capex for diligence and a 90-day two-bay partner pilot only after gates clear. Do not sign a standalone lease, grant area exclusivity or advertise traction-battery repair. Base steady-state economics are 300 jobs, MDL1,350,000 revenue, MDL237,000 EBITDA and 2.95-year simple payback; all are EVS assumptions.

Decision Summary

Dimension	Decision	Reason
Network entry	CONDITIONAL GO — Chişinău partner pilot	The exact national BEV stock is 9,849, but class, age, region and supported-VIN extracts remain unaudited.
Standalone centre / area franchise	NO-GO now	Paid demand, independent reach, approval cost and OEM-tool coverage are not yet evidenced.
Traction-battery work	HOLD	No pack opening, module/cell work, removal, storage or damaged-battery custody until written approvals and carrier route.
Regional coverage	Collection/clinic only	Test Bălţi and corridor demand without fixed capex; exclude Transnistria from phase 1.

Network entry

Decision: CONDITIONAL GO — Chişinău partner pilot
Reason: The exact national BEV stock is 9,849, but class, age, region and supported-VIN extracts remain unaudited.

Standalone centre / area franchise

Decision: NO-GO now
Reason: Paid demand, independent reach, approval cost and OEM-tool coverage are not yet evidenced.

Traction-battery work

Decision: HOLD
Reason: No pack opening, module/cell work, removal, storage or damaged-battery custody until written approvals and carrier route.

Regional coverage

Decision: Collection/clinic only
Reason: Test Bălţi and corridor demand without fixed capex; exclude Transnistria from phase 1.

Source: EVS Moldova serviceable-pool and pilot model

Market size

The exact stock anchor is 9,849 fully electric vehicles at end-2025. About 11,000 in June 2026 is a later approximate signal; 77,985 hybrids including PHEVs remain outside the denominator. [moldpres_2025_stock] [energy_june2026]

Moldova electric-vehicle observations

Exact observations and one later approximate signal; hybrids excluded.

600

3,020

4,795

9,849

11,000

2020

Apr-2024

Sep-2024

End-2025

Jun-2026

Source: EVS Moldova serviceable-pool and pilot model

Market KPIs

Metric	Value	Unit	Period	Evidence
Registered vehicles	1,380,000	vehicles, minimum	Start-2026	All classes; reported as over 1.38 million [businessclass_parc]
Passenger cars	892,770	vehicles	Start-2026	Exact registry relay [businessclass_parc]
Fully electric vehicles	9,849	vehicles	End-2025	Exact stock [moldpres_2025_stock]
Hybrids including PHEV	77,985	vehicles	End-2025	PHEV not separable; excluded from TAM [moldpres_2025_stock]
Electric registrations	4,065	vehicles	2025	Flow: 3,418 individual + 647 legal entity [moldpres_2025_stock]
Hybrid registrations	26,502	vehicles	2025	Flow: 22,790 individual + 3,712 legal entity [moldpres_2025_stock]
Efficient-transport passenger-car share	6.92	percent	End-2025	Electric + hybrid combined, not plug-in share [moldpres_2025_stock]
New light-vehicle market	13,101	vehicles	2025	12,686 passenger + 415 LCV [ceauto_2025]

Registered vehicles

Value: 1,380,000
Unit: vehicles, minimum
Period: Start-2026
Evidence: All classes; reported as over 1.38 million [businessclass_parc]

Passenger cars

Value: 892,770
Unit: vehicles
Period: Start-2026
Evidence: Exact registry relay [businessclass_parc]

Fully electric vehicles

Value: 9,849
Unit: vehicles
Period: End-2025
Evidence: Exact stock [moldpres_2025_stock]

Hybrids including PHEV

Value: 77,985
Unit: vehicles
Period: End-2025
Evidence: PHEV not separable; excluded from TAM [moldpres_2025_stock]

Electric registrations

Value: 4,065
Unit: vehicles
Period: 2025
Evidence: Flow: 3,418 individual + 647 legal entity [moldpres_2025_stock]

Hybrid registrations

Value: 26,502
Unit: vehicles
Period: 2025
Evidence: Flow: 22,790 individual + 3,712 legal entity [moldpres_2025_stock]

Efficient-transport passenger-car share

Value: 6.92
Unit: percent
Period: End-2025
Evidence: Electric + hybrid combined, not plug-in share [moldpres_2025_stock]

New light-vehicle market

Value: 13,101
Unit: vehicles
Period: 2025
Evidence: 12,686 passenger + 415 LCV [ceauto_2025]

Source: EVS Moldova serviceable-pool and pilot model

Definition-sensitive electrification observations

Period	BEV	PHEV (unavailable)	BEV used in model	Scope
2020	600	—	600	Exact electric count; hybrid total 13,168 is mixed [infomarket_stock].
Apr-2024	3,020	—	3,020	Electric cars reported by ASP [moldova1_apr2024].
Sep-2024	4,795	—	4,795	Electric vehicles; hybrid total 44,383 kept separate [cned_sep2024].
End-2025	9,849	—	9,849	Exact electric stock; model anchor [moldpres_2025_stock].
Jun-2026	11,000	—	11,000	Approximate current Ministry signal; not model denominator [energy_june2026].

2020

BEV: 600
PHEV (unavailable): —
BEV used in model: 600
Scope: Exact electric count; hybrid total 13,168 is mixed [infomarket_stock].

Apr-2024

BEV: 3,020
PHEV (unavailable): —
BEV used in model: 3,020
Scope: Electric cars reported by ASP [moldova1_apr2024].

Sep-2024

BEV: 4,795
PHEV (unavailable): —
BEV used in model: 4,795
Scope: Electric vehicles; hybrid total 44,383 kept separate [cned_sep2024].

End-2025

BEV: 9,849
PHEV (unavailable): —
BEV used in model: 9,849
Scope: Exact electric stock; model anchor [moldpres_2025_stock].

Jun-2026

BEV: 11,000
PHEV (unavailable): —
BEV used in model: 11,000
Scope: Approximate current Ministry signal; not model denominator [energy_june2026].

Source: EVS Moldova serviceable-pool and pilot model

Definition control

Stock, approximate current signals, annual registrations, hybrids, new-car sales, charging points and operator counts answer different questions. The model never adds flows to stock or treats all hybrids as PHEVs.

Definition reconciliation

Term	Included	Use
Fully electric stock — end-2025	Core anchor	9,849 exact registered vehicles; road-class split unavailable.
About 11,000 electric cars — June 2026	Directional signal only	Approximate and later; never silently substituted for exact stock.
Hybrids including PHEV	Context only	77,985 mixed stock; PHEV cannot be isolated and all hybrids are excluded from TAM.
2025 electric registrations	Adoption-flow evidence	4,065 annual registrations; never added to end-2025 stock.
Charging points	Infrastructure context	More than 250; not audited connectors, power, access, uptime or locations.
New-car brand/model counts	Parts and demand signals	Flows and specialist rankings; not installed EV stock shares.

Fully electric stock — end-2025

Included: Core anchor
Use: 9,849 exact registered vehicles; road-class split unavailable.

About 11,000 electric cars — June 2026

Included: Directional signal only
Use: Approximate and later; never silently substituted for exact stock.

Hybrids including PHEV

Included: Context only
Use: 77,985 mixed stock; PHEV cannot be isolated and all hybrids are excluded from TAM.

2025 electric registrations

Included: Adoption-flow evidence
Use: 4,065 annual registrations; never added to end-2025 stock.

Charging points

Included: Infrastructure context
Use: More than 250; not audited connectors, power, access, uptime or locations.

New-car brand/model counts

Included: Parts and demand signals
Use: Flows and specialist rankings; not installed EV stock shares.

Source: EVS Moldova serviceable-pool and pilot model

Scenarios are EVS planning ranges

Five-year end-2030 scenarios grow the exact end-2025 anchor at 15%, 25% and 35%. They are not official forecasts.

EVS fully electric scenarios to end-2030

15% / 25% / 35% CAGR for five years from 9,849; planning scenarios only.

Cautious19,810

Base30,057

HighBase case44,163

Source: EVS Moldova serviceable-pool and pilot model

Five-year EV planning scenarios

Scenario	Annual Growth Pct	Planning stock end-2030	Interpretation
Cautious	15	19,810	Affordability, used-import quality, infrastructure and policy volatility constrain adoption; EVS scenario.
Base	25	30,057	Continued rapid adoption with Chinese-brand and used-import momentum; EVS scenario.
High	35	44,163	Strong price compression, finance and charging expansion; upside stress case, not forecast.

Cautious

Annual Growth Pct: 15
Planning stock end-2030: 19,810
Interpretation: Affordability, used-import quality, infrastructure and policy volatility constrain adoption; EVS scenario.

Base

Annual Growth Pct: 25
Planning stock end-2030: 30,057
Interpretation: Continued rapid adoption with Chinese-brand and used-import momentum; EVS scenario.

High

Annual Growth Pct: 35
Planning stock end-2030: 44,163
Interpretation: Strong price compression, finance and charging expansion; upside stress case, not forecast.

Source: EVS Moldova serviceable-pool and pilot model

Charging availability requires a field audit

More than 250 points and 15 operators were reported in August 2025; power, connector, access, uptime and exact locations are not established. [ipn_charging]

Charging evidence by measure

Points, operators, planned fast stations and audited EVS locations remain separate.

250

150

Public charging points

Authorised charging operators

Fast stations planned

Current audited EVS-ready locations

Source: EVS Moldova serviceable-pool and pilot model

Charging evidence and unknowns

Metric	Value	Unit	Period	Status
Public charging points	250	points, minimum	Reported Aug-2025	More than 250; connector, power, access and uptime unverified [ipn_charging].
Authorised charging operators	15	operators	Reported Aug-2025	Operator count, not network count [ipn_charging].
Fast stations planned	150	stations	By 2030	Plan, not commissioned assets; roughly 60-km national-road/TEN-T spacing [ipn_charging].
Current audited EVS-ready locations	0	locations	Pre-entry	EVS has not completed a connector/access/power/uptime field audit.

Public charging points

Value: 250
Unit: points, minimum
Period: Reported Aug-2025
Status: More than 250; connector, power, access and uptime unverified [ipn_charging].

Authorised charging operators

Value: 15
Unit: operators
Period: Reported Aug-2025
Status: Operator count, not network count [ipn_charging].

Fast stations planned

Value: 150
Unit: stations
Period: By 2030
Status: Plan, not commissioned assets; roughly 60-km national-road/TEN-T spacing [ipn_charging].

Current audited EVS-ready locations

Value: 0
Unit: locations
Period: Pre-entry
Status: EVS has not completed a connector/access/power/uptime field audit.

Source: EVS Moldova serviceable-pool and pilot model

Parc Age Intro

See the linked dataset, calculations and source register for the evidence, assumptions and open decisions in this section.

Vehicle parc and service demand

Indicator	Value	Unit	Implication
Passenger cars	892,770	vehicles	Large legacy chassis/HVAC parc; not an EV denominator [businessclass_parc].
Chişinău registered vehicles	395,251	vehicles	28.64% all-vehicle national concentration proxy [chisinau_parc].
2023 electric registrations	1,012	vehicles	Early cohorts are beginning to age beyond initial warranty/tyre cycles [moldova1_apr2024].
Current official average EV age	—	years	Not located; acquire VIN year, mileage and first-registration extract before final service mix.
2025 electric registrations to legal entities	647	vehicles	Auditable starting point for fleet interviews; not fleet stock [moldpres_2025_stock].

Passenger cars

Value: 892,770
Unit: vehicles
Implication: Large legacy chassis/HVAC parc; not an EV denominator [businessclass_parc].

Chişinău registered vehicles

Value: 395,251
Unit: vehicles
Implication: 28.64% all-vehicle national concentration proxy [chisinau_parc].

2023 electric registrations

Value: 1,012
Unit: vehicles
Implication: Early cohorts are beginning to age beyond initial warranty/tyre cycles [moldova1_apr2024].

Current official average EV age

Value: —
Unit: years
Implication: Not located; acquire VIN year, mileage and first-registration extract before final service mix.

2025 electric registrations to legal entities

Value: 647
Unit: vehicles
Implication: Auditable starting point for fleet interviews; not fleet stock [moldpres_2025_stock].

Source: EVS Moldova serviceable-pool and pilot model

Transparent serviceable-pool model

Sourced facts are separated from EVS assumptions. Current executable SOM remains zero until evidence and approvals clear.

TAM, SAM and executable SOM

Assumption-led jobs/year; current SOM is zero.

7,181

2,056

926

TAM

Chişinău core

SAM

Current executable SOM

Source: EVS Moldova serviceable-pool and pilot model

Sizing assumptions

Assumption	Value	Unit	Basis
Exact registered electric stock	9,849	vehicles	Sourced fact [moldpres_2025_stock].
Passenger/light class eligibility	64.693	percent	Passenger-car share of all registered vehicles; proxy [businessclass_parc].
Active/available factor	98	percent	EVS assumption; removes inactive/off-road records.
Annual service events	1.15	events/vehicle	EVS assumption for scoped independent work.
Average repair order	4,500	MDL/job	EVS VAT-exclusive launch assumption.
Chişinău concentration	28.641	percent	395,251 city vehicles / 1.38m national vehicles; all-vehicle proxy.
Independent reach	45	percent	EVS assumption after OEM/warranty/unsupported exclusions.

Exact registered electric stock

Value: 9,849
Unit: vehicles
Basis: Sourced fact [moldpres_2025_stock].

Passenger/light class eligibility

Value: 64.693
Unit: percent
Basis: Passenger-car share of all registered vehicles; proxy [businessclass_parc].

Active/available factor

Value: 98
Unit: percent
Basis: EVS assumption; removes inactive/off-road records.

Annual service events

Value: 1.15
Unit: events/vehicle
Basis: EVS assumption for scoped independent work.

Average repair order

Value: 4,500
Unit: MDL/job
Basis: EVS VAT-exclusive launch assumption.

Chişinău concentration

Value: 28.641
Unit: percent
Basis: 395,251 city vehicles / 1.38m national vehicles; all-vehicle proxy.

Independent reach

Value: 45
Unit: percent
Basis: EVS assumption after OEM/warranty/unsupported exclusions.

Source: EVS Moldova serviceable-pool and pilot model

TAM / SAM / SOM

Layer	Vehicles	Jobs Per Year	Revenue ALL	Status
TAM	6,244	7,181	32,314,500	Modelled active passenger/light BEV pool nationally; not official revenue.
Chişinău core	1,788	2,056	9,252,000	All-vehicle concentration proxy applied before reach.
SAM	805	926	4,167,000	45% independent-reach assumption in Chişinău.

TAM

Vehicles: 6,244
Jobs Per Year: 7,181
Revenue ALL: 32,314,500
Status: Modelled active passenger/light BEV pool nationally; not official revenue.

Chişinău core

Vehicles: 1,788
Jobs Per Year: 2,056
Revenue ALL: 9,252,000
Status: All-vehicle concentration proxy applied before reach.

SAM

Vehicles: 805
Jobs Per Year: 926
Revenue ALL: 4,167,000
Status: 45% independent-reach assumption in Chişinău.

1 more row in the full report

Source: EVS Moldova serviceable-pool and pilot model

Segments Intro

See the linked dataset, calculations and source register for the evidence, assumptions and open decisions in this section.

Customer segments

Segment	Need	Priority
Out-of-warranty private BEV owners	Independent diagnostics, battery-health evidence, charging and 12V faults	Highest after supported-VIN verification.
Used-BEV buyers and importers	Pre-purchase scan, history/condition evidence and post-import triage	High; no residual-value or battery-capacity guarantee.
Chinese-brand owners	Lawful tool coverage, parts navigation and non-warranty maintenance	High only for whitelisted VINs.
PHEV owners	Powertrain-integrated diagnosis	Research only; no stock denominator or launch volume assumed.
Cross-border/expatriate owners	Evidence reports and planned collection	Test corridors; phase-1 Transnistria excluded.

Out-of-warranty private BEV owners

Need: Independent diagnostics, battery-health evidence, charging and 12V faults
Priority: Highest after supported-VIN verification.

Used-BEV buyers and importers

Need: Pre-purchase scan, history/condition evidence and post-import triage
Priority: High; no residual-value or battery-capacity guarantee.

Chinese-brand owners

Need: Lawful tool coverage, parts navigation and non-warranty maintenance
Priority: High only for whitelisted VINs.

PHEV owners

Need: Powertrain-integrated diagnosis
Priority: Research only; no stock denominator or launch volume assumed.

Cross-border/expatriate owners

Need: Evidence reports and planned collection
Priority: Test corridors; phase-1 Transnistria excluded.

Source: EVS Moldova serviceable-pool and pilot model

Fleet segments

Segment	Entry Product	Evidence Gate
Corporate/legal-entity BEV fleets	Uptime scan, tyres/brakes, collection and evidence pack	Interview owners of the 2,081 end-2025 legal-entity EVs; obtain one LOI [moldpres_2025_stock].
Taxi/ride-hail	Scheduled inspection and fast triage	Paid pilot; no platform fleet count assumed.
Delivery/last-mile	Downtime SLA and tyre/chassis bundle	Supported-VIN and payload/use audit.
Dealer/importer overflow	Pre-delivery evidence and non-warranty overflow	Written scope, data rights and liability boundary.
Public/utility fleets	Tendered evidence/maintenance	Procurement-specific; no award assumed.

Corporate/legal-entity BEV fleets

Entry Product: Uptime scan, tyres/brakes, collection and evidence pack
Evidence Gate: Interview owners of the 2,081 end-2025 legal-entity EVs; obtain one LOI [moldpres_2025_stock].

Taxi/ride-hail

Entry Product: Scheduled inspection and fast triage
Evidence Gate: Paid pilot; no platform fleet count assumed.

Delivery/last-mile

Entry Product: Downtime SLA and tyre/chassis bundle
Evidence Gate: Supported-VIN and payload/use audit.

Dealer/importer overflow

Entry Product: Pre-delivery evidence and non-warranty overflow
Evidence Gate: Written scope, data rights and liability boundary.

Public/utility fleets

Entry Product: Tendered evidence/maintenance
Evidence Gate: Procurement-specific; no award assumed.

Source: EVS Moldova serviceable-pool and pilot model

Brands Intro

See the linked dataset, calculations and source register for the evidence, assumptions and open decisions in this section.

Priority brands — no audited market shares located

Technology	Brand	Units	Share of H1 2026 BEVs (%)	Source
BEV	BYD	245	—	Specialist new-BEV flow estimate; verify registry extract [piataauto_ev].
BEV	Zeekr	68	—	Specialist new-BEV flow estimate; verify registry extract [piataauto_ev].
BEV	Tesla	61	—	Specialist new-BEV flow estimate; no authorised local coverage inferred [piataauto_ev] [tesla_findus].
BEV/PHEV	Other Chinese and European imports	—	—	Long-tail stock unavailable; require top-20 VIN extract.
Hybrid/PHEV	Toyota and other OEMs	—	—	Mixed hybrid category cannot identify PHEVs [toyota_moldova].

BEV

Brand: BYD
Units: 245
Share of H1 2026 BEVs (%): —
Source: Specialist new-BEV flow estimate; verify registry extract [piataauto_ev].

BEV

Brand: Zeekr
Units: 68
Share of H1 2026 BEVs (%): —
Source: Specialist new-BEV flow estimate; verify registry extract [piataauto_ev].

BEV

Brand: Tesla
Units: 61
Share of H1 2026 BEVs (%): —
Source: Specialist new-BEV flow estimate; no authorised local coverage inferred [piataauto_ev] [tesla_findus].

BEV/PHEV

Brand: Other Chinese and European imports
Units: —
Share of H1 2026 BEVs (%): —
Source: Long-tail stock unavailable; require top-20 VIN extract.

Hybrid/PHEV

Brand: Toyota and other OEMs
Units: —
Share of H1 2026 BEVs (%): —
Source: Mixed hybrid category cannot identify PHEVs [toyota_moldova].

Source: EVS Moldova serviceable-pool and pilot model

Priority models

Brand	Model	Powertrain	Signal
BYD	Song Plus and imported BEV/PHEV families	BEV/PHEV	Song Plus sixth in overall 2025 model ranking; powertrain mix and stock unverified [bsc_2025].
Tesla	Model 3 / Model Y imports	BEV	Independent-tool and parts opportunity; verify lawful security access and service map.
Renault / Nissan	Zoe / Leaf and newer imports	BEV	Used-import relevance; verify battery-test coverage and parts.
Hyundai / Kia	Kona / Ioniq / Niro / EV families	BEV/PHEV	Local brand routes exist; exact installed base and tool scope unavailable.
European premium	BMW i / VAG EV families	BEV/PHEV	OEM networks and secure data make referral boundaries essential.

BYD

Model: Song Plus and imported BEV/PHEV families
Powertrain: BEV/PHEV
Signal: Song Plus sixth in overall 2025 model ranking; powertrain mix and stock unverified [bsc_2025].

Tesla

Model: Model 3 / Model Y imports
Powertrain: BEV
Signal: Independent-tool and parts opportunity; verify lawful security access and service map.

Renault / Nissan

Model: Zoe / Leaf and newer imports
Powertrain: BEV
Signal: Used-import relevance; verify battery-test coverage and parts.

Hyundai / Kia

Model: Kona / Ioniq / Niro / EV families
Powertrain: BEV/PHEV
Signal: Local brand routes exist; exact installed base and tool scope unavailable.

European premium

Model: BMW i / VAG EV families
Powertrain: BEV/PHEV
Signal: OEM networks and secure data make referral boundaries essential.

Source: EVS Moldova serviceable-pool and pilot model

11In the full report

Competitors Intro

See the linked dataset, calculations and source register for the evidence, assumptions and open decisions in this section.

This section is in the full report.

12In the full report

Priority geography

Lead with Chişinău, then test Bălţi and border corridors through collection. Keep Transnistria out of phase 1.

This section is in the full report.

13In the full report

Incentives and tax

No subsidy, grant or import benefit is included in the base case. Written Customs and Finance rulings control.

This section is in the full report.

14In the full report

Tax Intro

See the linked dataset, calculations and source register for the evidence, assumptions and open decisions in this section.

This section is in the full report.

15In the full report

Licensing Intro

See the linked dataset, calculations and source register for the evidence, assumptions and open decisions in this section.

This section is in the full report.

Hv Intro

See the linked dataset, calculations and source register for the evidence, assumptions and open decisions in this section.

High-voltage controls

Control	Standard	Proof
Scope and VIN whitelist	—	—
De-energisation procedure	—	—
HV work zone	—	—
Competence matrix	—	—
Quarantine triage	—	—
Emergency plan	—	—
Audit trail	—	—

Scope and VIN whitelist

Standard: —
Proof: —

De-energisation procedure

Standard: —
Proof: —

HV work zone

Standard: —
Proof: —

Competence matrix

Standard: —
Proof: —

Quarantine triage

Standard: —
Proof: —

Emergency plan

Standard: —
Proof: —

Audit trail

Standard: —
Proof: —

Source: EVS Moldova serviceable-pool and pilot model

Battery Intro

See the linked dataset, calculations and source register for the evidence, assumptions and open decisions in this section.

Battery and waste routes

Stream	Route	Status
—	Non-invasive diagnostics within supported VIN/task list.	—
—	Remote triage, evacuation and specialist referral.	—

—

Route: Non-invasive diagnostics within supported VIN/task list.
Status: —

—

Route: Remote triage, evacuation and specialist referral.
Status: —

4 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS Moldova serviceable-pool and pilot model

18In the full report

Recommended service portfolio

Launch non-invasive evidence and maintenance services. Pack opening, removal and damaged-battery custody remain prohibited.

This section is in the full report.

19In the full report

Operating Model Intro

See the linked dataset, calculations and source register for the evidence, assumptions and open decisions in this section.

This section is in the full report.

20In the full report

Pilot economics

All MDL scenarios are VAT-exclusive, unlevered EVS assumptions. Capex is released only after evidence gates.

This section is in the full report.

21In the full report

Risks and mitigations

The largest risks are denominator quality, tax ambiguity, unsupported VINs, HV/fire exposure, waste custody and unproven demand.

This section is in the full report.

22In the full report

90-day entry plan

Sequence evidence, approvals, partner demand, safety/tool readiness, dry runs and a measured paid pilot.

This section is in the full report.

23In the full report

Explicit go/no-go gates

Every gate is open. Failure stops, narrows or extends the pilot; it never automatically converts into a centre or franchise.

This section is in the full report.

Methodology and source register

Primary and authoritative sources are prioritised. Uncertainty is labelled and every derived value is formula-backed.

Methodology

Step	Method
1. Source	Prioritise CNED, ASP, ministries, regulators, EC and standards bodies; use relays when the registry table is not directly exposed.
2. Reconcile	Keep exact stock, approximate current signals, annual flows, mixed hybrids, new sales and charging points as separate grains.
3. Size	Apply explicit passenger/light, active, events, concentration, reach and ARO assumptions to exact end-2025 BEV stock.
4. Stress	Run cautious/base/high five-year stock and operating scenarios; do not treat them as official forecasts.
5. Gate	Hold executable SOM at zero until approvals, VIN/tool coverage, paid bookings, fleet proof and safety evidence exist.
6. Validate	Reparse JSON; reconcile every formula; resolve citations; scan geography/template residue and brand colours.

1. Source

Method: Prioritise CNED, ASP, ministries, regulators, EC and standards bodies; use relays when the registry table is not directly exposed.

2. Reconcile

Method: Keep exact stock, approximate current signals, annual flows, mixed hybrids, new sales and charging points as separate grains.

3. Size

Method: Apply explicit passenger/light, active, events, concentration, reach and ARO assumptions to exact end-2025 BEV stock.

4. Stress

Method: Run cautious/base/high five-year stock and operating scenarios; do not treat them as official forecasts.

5. Gate

Method: Hold executable SOM at zero until approvals, VIN/tool coverage, paid bookings, fleet proof and safety evidence exist.

6. Validate

Method: Reparse JSON; reconcile every formula; resolve citations; scan geography/template residue and brand colours.

Source: EVS Moldova serviceable-pool and pilot model

Source Register Intro

See the linked dataset, calculations and source register for the evidence, assumptions and open decisions in this section.

Closing

See the linked dataset, calculations and source register for the evidence, assumptions and open decisions in this section.

Method / Sources and confidence

Where every figure
comes from.

Registrations, charging and legal requirements are read from primary sources. Where no official dataset exists, the model and its assumptions are published instead of a single unexplained number. This report is a dated snapshot: August 2026.

Reports are commercial research, not legal, tax or investment advice.

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