Market IntelligenceUnited States

Hawaii

EVS Hawaii EV Service Centre Market Entry

Decision-grade Hawaii EV service-centre market-entry artifact with sourced facts, explicit assumptions, hard gates and full audit.

Snapshot: 12 August 202648-page full report
Talk to the expansion team
2025 plug-in stock
44,500

DOE/Experian rounded 2025 Hawaii light-duty BEV+PHEV registration benchmark.

2024 plug-in share
1361.2%

Exact-component 2024 Hawaii plug-in share of new light-duty sales.

Public ports
1,029

Current public charging ports at access-date snapshot.

Base payback
3.526

Base simple payback sensitivity; not a forecast.

Executive summary

The verdict in full

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Headline market indicators

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Headline market indicators

Current rounded light-duty plug-in stock
Value
44,500
Unit
BEV+PHEV vehicles
Source
[afdc_hi]
Exact 2024 plug-in sales share
Value
13.612
Unit
percent
Source
[alliance_hi]
Current public charging ports
Value
1,029
Unit
ports—access snapshot
Source
[afdc_hi]
District 1 stock proxy share
Value
60.03
Unit
percent
Source
[alliance_d1][alliance_hi]
Base annual EBITDA sensitivity
Value
205,600
Unit
USD
Source
[evs_model]

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_headline_kpis

BEV/PHEV stock history

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

BEV/PHEV stock history

31 Dec 2024—Alliance/S&P exact
Bev
29,788
Phev
8,738
Plug In Total
38,526
Scope
Exact light-duty powertrain snapshot
Source
[alliance_hi]
2024—DOE rounded historical
Bev
Phev
Plug In Total
Scope
Historical series exists but components are not asserted in this snapshot
Source
[hi_current_stock]
2025—DOE rounded current
Bev
35,100
Phev
9,400
Plug In Total
44,500
Scope
Rounded BEV+PHEV benchmark and current TAM anchor
Source
[afdc_hi]

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_registered_stock

Sales and adoption history

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Sales and adoption history

31 Dec 2024 exact stock
Registered Plugin Stock
38,526
Annual Additions
9,508
New Sales Share Pct
13.612
Source
Stock and 2024 sales flow [alliance_hi]
2024 rounded DOE
Registered Plugin Stock
Annual Additions
New Sales Share Pct
Source
Separate historical series; components not asserted [hi_current_stock]
2025 rounded DOE
Registered Plugin Stock
44,500
Annual Additions
New Sales Share Pct
Source
Rounded light-duty benchmark [afdc_hi]

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_adoption_history

Powertrain mix

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Powertrain mix

2024 BEV—exact
Vehicles
29,788
Share Of 2025 Plugins Pct
77.319
Source
[alliance_hi]
Share Of 2024 Fleet Pct
2.635
2024 PHEV—exact
Vehicles
8,738
Share Of 2025 Plugins Pct
22.681
Source
[alliance_hi]
Share Of 2024 Fleet Pct
0.773
2025 BEV—rounded
Vehicles
35,100
Share Of 2025 Plugins Pct
78.876
Source
[afdc_hi]
Share Of 2024 Fleet Pct
2025 PHEV—rounded
Vehicles
9,400
Share Of 2025 Plugins Pct
21.124
Source
[afdc_hi]
Share Of 2024 Fleet Pct

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_stock_powertrain

Get the full Hawaii analysis
Competitive matrix, location shortlist, incentives, pilot-centre economics and the 90-day entry plan — sent to your inbox.

Definition reconciliation

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Definition reconciliation

Alliance/S&P 31 Dec 2024
Value
38,526
Definition
Exact 29,788 BEV + 8,738 PHEV light-duty registrations.
Control
Exact historical and district denominator.
DOE/Experian 2025
Value
44,500
Definition
Rounded 35,100 BEV + 9,400 PHEV light-duty registrations.
Control
Current TAM anchor; retain rounding.
2024 plug-in sales
Value
9,508 / 13.612%
Definition
6,847 BEV + 2,661 PHEV divided by exact 69,852 component total.
Control
Sales flow, not stock.
Alliance charging 1 Jan 2025
Value
812 public ports / 352 stations
Definition
695 L2 + 117 DC-fast ports; stations are separate.
Control
Do not mix ports and stations.
AFDC charging access snapshot
Value
1,029 public + 162 private ports
Definition
Live access-date inventory.
Control
NEVI plans, chargers and sites remain separate.

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_definition_reconciliation

2030 EV scenarios

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

2030 EV scenarios

Cautious
Base Year
2,025
Base Stock
44,500
Annual Growth Pct
5
Modelled 2030 Evs
56,795
Status
EVS SENSITIVITY—NOT OFFICIAL FORECAST
Source
[evs_model]
Base
Base Year
2,025
Base Stock
44,500
Annual Growth Pct
10
Modelled 2030 Evs
71,668
Status
EVS SENSITIVITY—NOT OFFICIAL FORECAST
Source
[evs_model]
High
Base Year
2,025
Base Stock
44,500
Annual Growth Pct
15
Modelled 2030 Evs
89,505
Status
EVS SENSITIVITY—NOT OFFICIAL FORECAST
Source
[evs_model]

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_forecast

Charging infrastructure

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Charging infrastructure

1 Jan 2025—Alliance
Level2 Ports
695
Dc Fast Ports
117
Total Public Ports
812
Stations
352
Source
308 L2 plus 44 DC-fast stations [alliance_hi]
Public Ports
812
Private Ports
Total Ports
812
12 Aug 2026 access—AFDC
Level2 Ports
Dc Fast Ports
Total Public Ports
1,029
Stations
Source
Live access snapshot [afdc_hi]
Public Ports
1,029
Private Ports
162
Total Ports
1,191
2 Feb 2026—HDOT NEVI
Level2 Ports
Dc Fast Ports
8
Total Public Ports
Stations
2
Source
Two operating sites with four 150 kW chargers each; 11 sites planned [hi_ev_charging_program]
Public Ports
Private Ports
Total Ports

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_charging_history

Charging diligence

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Charging diligence

Definition
Requirement
Separate ports, stations, physical chargers, connector heads, plan locations, awards and commissioned sites.
Status
MANDATORY
Island coverage
Requirement
Do not infer statewide availability from Oahu; require island-specific uptime and connector evidence.
Status
OPEN [hidot_nevi]
Resilience
Requirement
Validate utility capacity, outage recovery, backup communications and storm/tsunami procedures.
Status
OPEN
Commercial energy
Requirement
Model separate meter, demand threshold and July 2026 TOU tariff for exact island/site.
Status
OPEN [heco_commercial]

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_charger_reliability

Get the full Hawaii analysis
Competitive matrix, location shortlist, incentives, pilot-centre economics and the 90-day entry plan — sent to your inbox.

Vehicle parc age and service demand

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Vehicle parc age and service demand

Hawaii average vehicle age
Value
11.6
Unit
years
Implication
Supports tyres, brakes, 12-V, corrosion, cooling and inspection work [alliance_hi].
District 1 average age
Value
10.7
Unit
years
Implication
Younger urban cohort; warranty leakage and independent task scope require proof [alliance_d1].
District 2 average age
Value
12.3
Unit
years
Implication
Older rural/neighbor-island proxy; no island allocation is inferred [alliance_d2].
Hawaii 2024 average retail electricity price
Value
38
Unit
cents/kWh
Implication
Highest state rank; site energy and load management are material [eia_hi].
Verified annual service incidence
Value
Unit
jobs/vehicle/year
Implication
No sourced Hawaii EV task-frequency series; keep service window as sensitivity.

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_parc_age_service

TAM / SAM / SOM controls

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

TAM / SAM / SOM controls

TAM—rounded 2025 light-duty registrations
Value
44,500
Unit
vehicles
Status
SOURCED / ROUNDED
Basis
DOE/Experian 35,100 BEV + 9,400 PHEV [afdc_hi].
Service-window sensitivity
Value
13,350
Unit
vehicles
Status
EVS ASSUMPTION
Basis
TAM × 30% [evs_model].
Independent-consideration sensitivity
Value
3,338
Unit
vehicles
Status
EVS ASSUMPTION
Basis
Service window × 25%; 3,337.5 rounded [evs_model].
3 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_tam_sam_som

Customer segments

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Customer segments

Out-of-warranty Oahu EV households
Priority
P1
Need
OEM-procedure diagnostics, transparent scope and safe HV isolation.
Ride-hail, rental and tourism fleets
Priority
P1
Need
Fast turns, tyres, alignment, charging faults and uptime reporting.
Used-EV buyers and inter-island movers
Priority
P1
Need
Pre-purchase scan, battery-health evidence and shipping-status disclosure.
Condo and multifamily residents
Priority
P1
Need
Charging-fault triage and clear separation from licensed fixed electrical work.
PHEV owners
Priority
P2
Need
Combined engine, emissions, HV and cooling competence.

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_customer_segments

Fleet segments

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Fleet segments

Ride-hail, rental and delivery
Priority
P1
Offer
Evening turns, tyres, alignment and uptime SLA.
Evidence
Paid LOIs and vehicle roster required.
Municipal, utility, campus and health systems
Priority
P1
Offer
Scheduled inspections and mobile light service.
Evidence
Task, parking and power survey.
Last-mile and field-service fleets
Priority
P1
Offer
Inspection, tyres, brakes, thermal and scan evidence.
Evidence
Three-fleet paid clinic.
Dealer and body-shop overflow
Priority
P2
Offer
Procedure-controlled mechanical, diagnostic and ADAS tasks.
Evidence
Written scope, data and parts access.

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_fleet_segments

Get the full Hawaii analysis
Competitive matrix, location shortlist, incentives, pilot-centre economics and the 90-day entry plan — sent to your inbox.

Leading brands and models

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Leading brands and models

Priority
Reason
Evidence
Official Honolulu service presence.
Priority
Reason
Evidence
PHEVs are 22.68% of exact 2024 Hawaii plug-in stock.
Priority
Reason
Evidence
Official Honolulu service + demo centre.
Priority
Reason
Evidence
Hawaii model mix not quantified.
Priority
Reason
Evidence
Hawaii model mix not quantified.

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_brands_models

OEM competitors

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

OEM competitors

Tesla Honolulu
Location
746 Auahi St, Honolulu
Position
OEM-controlled service
Implication
Benchmark scope, price and lead time [tesla_honolulu].
Rivian Honolulu
Location
1603 Dillingham Blvd, Honolulu
Position
OEM service + demo centre
Implication
Benchmark capacity, task scope and lead time [rivian_locations].
2 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_oem_competitors

Independent competitors

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Independent competitors

Licensed Hawaii repair dealers
Location
Oahu
Offer
General mechanical, tyre, brake and electrical work
Control
Build 12-site mystery shop; do not infer HV authorization [hi_repair_license].
Hybrid-specialist independents
Location
Oahu presence to verify
Offer
Hybrid diagnostics and battery services
Control
Verify active licence, ASE/xEV competence, insurance, warranty and task breadth.
2 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_independent_competitors

Priority cities and regions

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Priority cities and regions

1
Market
Honolulu–Aiea / H-1
Model
Company-controlled five-bay validation hub
Evidence
District 1 has 23,127 plug-ins, 60.03% of exact statewide stock.
Control
Congressional district is not a drive-time catchment; require paid demand and exact-site study [alliance_d1][alliance_hi].
4 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_regions

Consumer incentives

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Consumer incentives

Hawaii general light-duty purchase rebate
Current Value
None modelled
Eligibility
No current statewide general consumer vehicle rebate identified in authoritative register
Planning Treatment
ZERO [afdc_emissions].
HiRUC
Current Value
$8 per 1,000 miles capped at $50, or $50 flat
Eligibility
Eligible light-duty EV renewal after 1 July 2025
Planning Treatment
Ownership-cost context; mileage basis mandatory from 2028 [hi_fee_current].
2 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_consumer_incentives

Business and investment incentives

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Business and investment incentives

Hawaii Energy charger rebates
Potential
Up to $2,000 one-port L2, $4,500 two-port L2, or $35,000 DC fast installation
Status
PRE-APPROVAL REQUIRED
Model Treatment
ZERO [hi_ev_charging][hawaii_energy].
Enterprise Zones
Potential
Eligible activities may receive GET exemption and declining income/UI credits
Status
ELIGIBILITY REQUIRED
Model Treatment
ZERO [hi_incentives].
2 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_business_incentives

Tax snapshot

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Tax snapshot

General Excise Tax
Rate
4% state rate on covered gross income
Basis
GET is imposed on business gross income, not a retail sales tax [tax_register].
County GET surcharge
Rate
0.5% through 2030
Basis
All four counties apply surcharge to 4% activities [tax_sales].
2 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_tax_snapshot

Licensing, consumer and franchise controls

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Licensing, consumer and franchise controls

[business_hub][hi_sos_portal][tax_register][tax_commerce].
Requirement
Register Hawaii entity and GET/employer accounts; obtain exact-site county approvals.
Status
OPEN
[hi_repair_rules][hi_repair_license].
Requirement
Hold appropriate Motor Vehicle Repair Dealer licence and task-matched mechanic licences under HRS 437B/HAR 87.
Status
MANDATORY
3 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_entity_licensing

Labour and skills

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Labour and skills

Minimum wage
Rule
$16.00/hour from 1 January 2026; $18.00 scheduled from 1 January 2028.
Control
[labor_wage].
Occupational safety
Rule
HIOSH state plan covers most private workshops and has listed exclusions/unique standards.
Control
[hi_osha][osha_333][osha_loto].
3 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_labour

High-voltage safety

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

High-voltage safety

[osha_333][osha_loto][nhtsa_ev_safety]
Requirement
De-energize, verify absence of voltage and prevent re-energization.
Evidence
OEM procedure, LOTO and meter record.
[hi_osha][ase_xev]
Requirement
Task-specific PPE, insulated tools and controlled work zone.
Evidence
Inspection logs and observed assessment.
[nhtsa_ev_safety][epa_battery][hi_fire_code]
Requirement
Damaged vehicle and pack triage.
Evidence
Outdoor quarantine, responder, insurer and thermal-event plan.
[phmsa][hidoh_hazardous]
Requirement
Shipping and island transfer gate.
Evidence
PHMSA classification, packaging, carrier and recipient acceptance.

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_hv_safety

Battery and waste

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Battery and waste

Traction batteries and modules
Control
Characterization, Hawaii DOH, fire, insurer, recipient and ocean/air carrier chain [epa_battery][hidoh_hazardous][phmsa].
Status
NO CUSTODY AT LAUNCH
Used oil and automotive fluids
Control
Labelled storage, waste determination, reporting role and approved recipient [hidoh_auto_waste][hidoh_hazardous].
Status
MANAGED STREAM
2 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_battery_waste

Data and consumer controls

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Data and consumer controls

Repair dealer identity
Rule
Customer work must flow through appropriately licensed Hawaii repair dealer and mechanic scopes.
Implication
DMS hard stop.
Estimate and authorization
Rule
Map HRS 437B/HAR 87 estimate, authorization, invoice and record controls with Hawaii counsel.
Implication
No work beyond approved scope.
Added work
Rule
No unauthorized added repair or pack intervention.
Implication
Release gate.
Inter-island logistics
Rule
Disclose transport, timing, custody and damage responsibility.
Implication
No informal vehicle/pack shipping.
Battery-health statements
Rule
No unsupported degradation or remaining-life prediction.
Implication
Evidence product, not promise.

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_data_consumer

Get the full Hawaii analysis
Competitive matrix, location shortlist, incentives, pilot-centre economics and the 90-day entry plan — sent to your inbox.

Operating model

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Operating model

Pilot
Choice
Company-controlled five-bay Honolulu–Aiea / H-1 hub
Rationale
Oahu learning control and largest sourced district proxy.
Staffing
Choice
1 lead HV diagnostic tech, 2 multiskill techs, 1 apprentice, 1 service lead
Rationale
Assumption; recruit and observed-test before lease.
Bays
Choice
3 general, 1 isolation/diagnostic, 1 tyre/alignment
Rationale
Launch scope without cell work.
Neighbor islands
Choice
Clinics and licensed referral partners before permanent sites
Rationale
Avoid inventing inter-island demand and support economics.
Facility
Choice
Outdoor quarantine, corrosion controls, drainage, responder access, backup communications and storm/tsunami plan
Rationale
Island climate and thermal-event controls.

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_operating_model

Franchise model

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Franchise model

Pilot
Model
Release
Board-approved site, scope, staffing and controls.
Unit proof
Model
Release
Two seasonal cohorts, positive base economics, audit pass and repeat demand.
Franchise design
Model
Release
Manuals, training, QA, support economics, territory and Hawaii/Federal counsel.
Offer/sale
Model
Release
Current FDD, lawful registration/exemption analysis and disclosure timing.
Scale
Model
Release
Continuous HV, consumer, waste, data and unit-economics audits.

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_franchise_model

Annual economics

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Annual economics

Cautious
Annual Jobs
1,200
Aro Usd
475
Gross Margin Pct
55
Revenue Usd
570,000
Gross Profit Usd
313,500
Fixed Opex Usd
650,000
Ebitda Usd
-336,500
Capex Usd
725,000
Simple Payback Years
Status
EVS sensitivity [evs_model]
2 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_annual_scenarios

90-day pilot economics

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

90-day pilot economics

Cautious
Jobs
160
Aro Usd
450
Gross Margin Pct
52
Opex Usd
130,000
Revenue Usd
72,000
Gross Profit Usd
37,440
Ebitda Usd
-92,560
Status
EVS 90-day sensitivity [evs_model]
2 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_pilot_scenarios

Risks

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Risks

Independent EV task demand below funnel sensitivity
Severity
Evidence
Consequence
Technician recruiting and OEM-procedure access
Severity
Evidence
Consequence
HV injury or thermal event
Severity
Evidence
Consequence
Parts/data/tool blockage by VIN
Severity
Evidence
Consequence
Site power, zoning or permitting delay
Severity
Evidence
Consequence
Battery/waste chain failure
Severity
Evidence
Consequence
Franchise released before proof
Severity
Evidence
Consequence

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_risks

Mitigations

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Mitigations

Demand
Mitigation
250 paid-job clinic, three fleet LOIs and VIN/task capture before lease.
Owner
Trigger
Paid-job or repeat threshold missed.
Cost
Mitigation
Compare Honolulu/Aiea with Pearl City/Waipahu on occupancy, wage and drive-time evidence.
Owner
Trigger
Base payback exceeds 36 months.
Safety
Mitigation
Observed authorization, LOTO, PPE, quarantine and responder drills.
Owner
Trigger
Any critical audit failure.
Parts/data
Mitigation
Green/amber/red VIN-task matrix and NASTF/OEM subscriptions.
Owner
Trigger
No lawful procedure/part/tool path.
Site/power
Mitigation
Utility, local permitting, fire and drainage/resilience memo before lease.
Owner
Trigger
Schedule/load/cost miss.
Waste
Mitigation
Generator category, characterization, recipient and PHMSA carrier evidence.
Owner
Trigger
Any missing chain document.

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_mitigations

90-day entry plan

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

90-day entry plan

0–15
Action
Name Hawaii market, safety, site, legal/tax and EHS owners; freeze task taxonomy.
Output
7 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_plan_90_day

Explicit go / no-go gates

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Explicit go / no-go gates

G1 Paid demand
Threshold
≥250 paid jobs; ≥20% repeat/return booking; task mix supports launch scope.
Decision
8 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_gates

Methodology

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Methodology

Queue control
Method
Selected only locked rank-24 Hawaii; checked no completed duplicate.
Control
Source hierarchy
Method
Hawaii and federal agencies first; Alliance/S&P for exact 2024 snapshots; commercial pages only for presence.
Control
Definitions
Method
Kept rounded DOE stock, exact S&P stock/sales, ports, stations, chargers and NEVI sites separate.
Control
Geography
Method
Used two congressional districts only as broad concentration proxies; did not infer neighbor-island stock.
Control
Sizing
Method
44,500 × 30% × 25% × 35%; assumptions explicit; verified SAM null and SOM zero.
Control
Forecast
Method
Five-year 5%/10%/15% sensitivities from rounded 2025 Hawaii anchor.
Control
Economics
Method
Island-adjusted EVS assumptions; jobs × ARO, gross profit less fixed opex, capex divided by positive EBITDA.
Control
Release
Method
Evidence thresholds control site, scope, island expansion and franchise filing.
Control

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_methodology

Data gaps

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Data gaps

Exact 2025 BEV/PHEV registration extract by island
Effect
Closure
VIN/age/warranty/task catchment
Effect
Closure
Competitor price, scope, capacity and lead time
Effect
Closure
Exact-site rent, power, tariff, GET sourcing and permitting
Effect
Closure
Battery recipients and inter-island/transpacific carrier chain
Effect
Closure
Licensed mechanic and HV technician availability
Effect
Closure

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_data_gaps

Complete source register

Reviewed Hawaii evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Complete source register

afdc_hi
Publisher
U.S. Department of Energy
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://afdc.energy.gov/states/hi
hi_current_stock
Publisher
U.S. Department of Energy
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://afdc.energy.gov/vehicle-registration
alliance_hi
Publisher
Alliance for Automotive Innovation
Publication Date
2025-01-01
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Authoritative industry
Href
https://www.autosinnovate.org/resources/insights/hi
alliance_d1
Publisher
Alliance for Automotive Innovation
Publication Date
2025-01-01
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Authoritative industry
Href
https://www.autosinnovate.org/resources/insights/hi/1
alliance_d2
Publisher
Alliance for Automotive Innovation
Publication Date
2025-01-01
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Authoritative industry
Href
https://www.autosinnovate.org/resources/insights/hi/2
census_hi
Publisher
U.S. Census Bureau
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/fact/table/HI/PST045225
hidot_nevi
Publisher
Hawaii Department of Transportation
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://hidot.hawaii.gov/highways/hawaii-nevi-state-plan/
hi_ev_charging
Publisher
U.S. Department of Energy
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://afdc.energy.gov/laws/all?state=HI
hi_business_incentives
Publisher
Hawaii DBEDT
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://invest.hawaii.gov/business-programs/why-invest-in-hawaii/tax-incentives-and-credits/
hi_repair_rules
Publisher
Hawaii DCCA
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://cca.hawaii.gov/pvl/hrs/
hi_repair_license
Publisher
Hawaii DCCA RICO
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://cca.hawaii.gov/rico/the-regulated-industries/
business_hub
Publisher
Hawaii DCCA
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://cca.hawaii.gov/breg/
hi_sos_portal
Publisher
Hawaii DCCA
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://cca.hawaii.gov/breg/registration/
tax_register
Publisher
Hawaii Department of Taxation
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://tax.hawaii.gov/geninfo/get/
tax_sales
Publisher
Hawaii Department of Taxation
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://tax.hawaii.gov/geninfo/countysurcharge/
tax_mbt
Publisher
Hawaii Department of Taxation
Publication Date
2026-02-01
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://tax.hawaii.gov/tax-year-information/
tax_commerce
Publisher
Hawaii DCCA
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://cca.hawaii.gov/bac/
hi_business
Publisher
Hawaii DBEDT
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://invest.hawaii.gov/
hi_incentives
Publisher
Hawaii DBEDT
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://invest.hawaii.gov/business-programs/enterprise-zones/
labor_wage
Publisher
Hawaii DLIR
Publication Date
2025-12-15
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://labor.hawaii.gov/hawai%CA%BBis-minimum-wage-increases-to-16-00-on-january-1/
hi_osha
Publisher
Occupational Safety and Health Administration
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://www.osha.gov/stateplans/HI
contractors_board
Publisher
Hawaii DCCA
Publication Date
2026-04-06
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://cca.hawaii.gov/pvl/hire-a-licensed-contractor/
hi_electrical
Publisher
Hawaii DCCA
Publication Date
2026-04-06
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://cca.hawaii.gov/pvl/hire-a-licensed-contractor/
hidoh_auto_waste
Publisher
Hawaii Department of Health
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://health.hawaii.gov/shwb/hazwaste/uoreport/
hidoh_hazardous
Publisher
Hawaii Department of Health
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://health.hawaii.gov/shwb/hazwaste/
hi_fire_code
Publisher
Honolulu Fire Department
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://fire.honolulu.gov/fire-prevention-branch/
afdc_emissions
Publisher
U.S. Department of Energy
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://afdc.energy.gov/laws/all?state=HI
osha_333
Publisher
Occupational Safety and Health Administration
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://www.osha.gov/laws-regs/regulations/standardnumber/1910/1910.333
osha_loto
Publisher
Occupational Safety and Health Administration
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://www.osha.gov/laws-regs/regulations/standardnumber/1910/1910.147
epa_battery
Publisher
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://www.epa.gov/hw/lithium-ion-battery-recycling-frequently-asked-questions
epa_609
Publisher
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://www.epa.gov/mvac/section-609-technician-training-and-certification-programs
phmsa
Publisher
Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://www.phmsa.dot.gov/lithiumbatteries
nhtsa_ev_safety
Publisher
National Highway Traffic Safety Administration
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://www.nhtsa.gov/vehicle-safety/electric-and-hybrid-vehicles
ase_xev
Publisher
ASE
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Authoritative industry
Href
https://www.ase.com/xev
ftc_franchise
Publisher
Federal Trade Commission
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://www.ftc.gov/legal-library/browse/rules/franchise-rule
nastf
Publisher
NASTF
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Authoritative industry
Href
https://wp.nastf.org/
irs_clean_vehicle
Publisher
U.S. Department of Energy
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://afdc.energy.gov/laws/ev-tax-credits
tesla_honolulu
Publisher
Tesla
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Commercial primary source
Href
https://www.tesla.com/en_US/findus/location/service/NA-US-HI-Honolulu-746AuahiStreet
rivian_locations
Publisher
Rivian
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Commercial primary source
Href
https://rivian.com/spaces/locations
hawaii_energy
Publisher
Hawaii State Energy Office
Publication Date
2025-06-30
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://energy.hawaii.gov/ev-charging/
heco_commercial
Publisher
Hawaiian Electric
Publication Date
2026-07-01
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://www.hawaiianelectric.com/products-and-services/electric-vehicles/electric-vehicle-rates-and-enrollment/commercial-facility
eia_hi
Publisher
U.S. Energy Information Administration
Publication Date
2025-11-10
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://www.eia.gov/electricity/state/hawaii/index.php
kauai_hev
Publisher
Kauaʻi Community College
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Public education primary source
Href
https://catalog.kauai.hawaii.edu/automotive-mechanics-technology-amt
leeward_auto
Publisher
Leeward Community College
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Public education primary source
Href
https://www.leeward.hawaii.edu/auto
hi_fee_current
Publisher
Hawaii Department of Transportation
Publication Date
2025-07-01
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://hidot.hawaii.gov/hawai%CA%BBi-road-usage-charge-program/
federal_30c_expired
Publisher
Internal Revenue Service
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://www.irs.gov/credits-deductions/alternative-fuel-vehicle-refueling-property-credit
hi_ev_charging_program
Publisher
Hawaii Department of Transportation
Publication Date
2026-02-02
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://hidot.hawaii.gov/administration/nevi-chargers-to-be-equipped-with-nacs-connectors/
hi_franchise
Publisher
Hawaii DCCA
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://cca.hawaii.gov/breg/franchise-filings/
evs_logo
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
EVS asset
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
evs_model
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
EVS assumption register
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_stock_card
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_share_card
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_ports_card
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_payback_card
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_stock_chart
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_adoption_chart
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_forecast_chart
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_economics_chart
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_decision_summary
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_headline_kpis
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_registered_stock
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_adoption_history
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_stock_powertrain
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_definition_reconciliation
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_forecast
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_charging_history
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_charger_reliability
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_parc_age_service
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_tam_sam_som
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_customer_segments
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_fleet_segments
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_brands_models
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_oem_competitors
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_independent_competitors
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_regions
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_consumer_incentives
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_business_incentives
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_tax_snapshot
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_entity_licensing
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_labour
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_hv_safety
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_battery_waste
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_data_consumer
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_service_portfolio
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_operating_model
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_franchise_model
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_annual_scenarios
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_pilot_scenarios
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_risks
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_mitigations
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_plan_90_day
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_gates
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_methodology
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_data_gaps
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_source_audit
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-12
Accessed At
2026-08-12
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_source_audit

Source register

95 primary and derived sources

Show
  1. Return bounded reviewed rows for stock_card.

  2. Return bounded reviewed rows for share_card.

  3. Return bounded reviewed rows for ports_card.

  4. Return bounded reviewed rows for payback_card.

  5. Return bounded reviewed rows for stock_chart.

  6. Return bounded reviewed rows for adoption_chart.

  7. Return bounded reviewed rows for forecast_chart.

  8. Return bounded reviewed rows for economics_chart.

  9. Return bounded reviewed rows for decision_summary_table.

  10. Return bounded reviewed rows for headline_kpis_table.

  11. Return bounded reviewed rows for registered_stock_table.

  12. Return bounded reviewed rows for adoption_history_table.

  13. Return bounded reviewed rows for stock_powertrain_table.

  14. Return bounded reviewed rows for definition_reconciliation_table.

  15. Return bounded reviewed rows for forecast_table.

  16. Return bounded reviewed rows for charging_history_table.

  17. Return bounded reviewed rows for charger_reliability_table.

  18. Return bounded reviewed rows for parc_age_service_table.

  19. Return bounded reviewed rows for tam_sam_som_table.

  20. Return bounded reviewed rows for customer_segments_table.

  21. Return bounded reviewed rows for fleet_segments_table.

  22. Return bounded reviewed rows for brands_models_table.

  23. Return bounded reviewed rows for oem_competitors_table.

  24. Return bounded reviewed rows for independent_competitors_table.

  25. Return bounded reviewed rows for regions_table.

  26. Return bounded reviewed rows for consumer_incentives_table.

  27. Return bounded reviewed rows for business_incentives_table.

  28. Return bounded reviewed rows for tax_snapshot_table.

  29. Return bounded reviewed rows for entity_licensing_table.

  30. Return bounded reviewed rows for labour_table.

  31. Return bounded reviewed rows for hv_safety_table.

  32. Return bounded reviewed rows for battery_waste_table.

  33. Return bounded reviewed rows for data_consumer_table.

  34. Return bounded reviewed rows for service_portfolio_table.

  35. Return bounded reviewed rows for operating_model_table.

  36. Return bounded reviewed rows for franchise_model_table.

  37. Return bounded reviewed rows for annual_scenarios_table.

  38. Return bounded reviewed rows for pilot_scenarios_table.

  39. Return bounded reviewed rows for risks_table.

  40. Return bounded reviewed rows for mitigations_table.

  41. Return bounded reviewed rows for plan_90_day_table.

  42. Return bounded reviewed rows for gates_table.

  43. Return bounded reviewed rows for methodology_table.

  44. Return bounded reviewed rows for data_gaps_table.

  45. Return bounded reviewed rows for source_audit_table.

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