Market IntelligenceUnited States

Vermont

EVS Vermont EV Service Centre Market Entry

Decision-grade Vermont EV service-centre market-entry artifact with sourced facts, explicit assumptions, hard gates and full audit.

Snapshot: 13 August 202650-page full report
Talk to the expansion team
2025 plug-in stock
19,600

DOE/Experian rounded 2025 Vermont light-duty BEV+PHEV registration benchmark: 19,600.

2024 plug-in share
1210%

Exact-component 2024 Vermont plug-in share of new light-duty sales.

Public ports
1,457

Current public charging ports at access-date snapshot.

Base payback

Base simple payback sensitivity; not a forecast.

Executive summary

The verdict in full

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Headline market indicators

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Headline market indicators

Current rounded light-duty plug-in stock
Value
19,600
Unit
BEV+PHEV vehicles
Source
[vt_current_stock]
Exact 2024 plug-in sales share
Value
12.1
Unit
percent
Source
[alliance_vt]
AFDC public charging-port access snapshot
Value
1,457
Unit
ports
Source
[afdc_vt]
Exact plug-in fleet share
Value
3.048
Unit
percent
Source
[alliance_vt]
Base annual EBITDA sensitivity
Value
-103,025
Unit
USD
Source
[evs_model]

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_headline_kpis

BEV/PHEV stock history

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

BEV/PHEV stock history

31 Dec 2024—Alliance/S&P exact
Bev
10,164
Phev
6,695
Plug In Total
16,859
Scope
Exact light-duty powertrain snapshot
Source
[alliance_vt]
2025—DOE rounded current
Bev
11,900
Phev
7,700
Plug In Total
19,600
Scope
Rounded light-duty registration benchmark and current TAM anchor
Source
[vt_current_stock]

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_registered_stock

Sales and adoption history

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Sales and adoption history

31 Dec 2024 exact stock
Registered Plugin Stock
16,859
Annual Additions
5,063
New Sales Share Pct
12.1
Source
Stock and 2024 sales flow [alliance_vt]
Q4 2024 BEV flow
Registered Plugin Stock
Annual Additions
New Sales Share Pct
12.2
Source
Quarterly BEV share; excludes PHEV and is not annual stock [alliance_q4_2024]
2025 rounded DOE stock
Registered Plugin Stock
19,600
Annual Additions
New Sales Share Pct
Source
11,900 BEV + 7,700 PHEV [vt_current_stock]

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_adoption_history

Powertrain mix

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Powertrain mix

2024 BEV—exact Alliance/S&P
Vehicles
10,164
Share Of 2025 Plugins Pct
60.288
Source
[alliance_vt]
Share Of 2024 Fleet Pct
1.838
2024 PHEV—exact Alliance/S&P
Vehicles
6,695
Share Of 2025 Plugins Pct
39.712
Source
[alliance_vt]
Share Of 2024 Fleet Pct
1.21
2025 BEV—rounded DOE
Vehicles
11,900
Share Of 2025 Plugins Pct
60.714
Source
[vt_current_stock]
Share Of 2024 Fleet Pct
2025 PHEV—rounded DOE
Vehicles
7,700
Share Of 2025 Plugins Pct
39.286
Source
[vt_current_stock]
Share Of 2024 Fleet Pct

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_stock_powertrain

Get the full Vermont analysis
Competitive matrix, location shortlist, incentives, pilot-centre economics and the 90-day entry plan — sent to your inbox.

Definition reconciliation

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Definition reconciliation

Alliance/S&P 31 Dec 2024
Value
16,859
Definition
Exact 10,164 BEV + 6,695 PHEV light-duty registrations.
Control
Exact historical denominator.
DOE/Experian 2025
Value
19,600
Definition
Rounded 11,900 BEV + 7,700 PHEV light-duty registrations.
Control
Current TAM anchor; retain rounding.
2024 plug-in sales
Value
5,063 / 12.099%
Definition
3,356 BEV + 1,707 PHEV divided by 41,844 published powertrain components.
Control
Annual sales flow, not stock.
Q4 2024 BEV share
Value
12.2%
Definition
Quarterly BEV registration share from Get Connected.
Control
Do not add PHEV or compare directly with annual plug-in share.
Charging inventories
Value
1,111 public ports at 1 Jan 2025; 1,457 public + 99 private on access date
Definition
Alliance: 911 L2 + 200 DC-fast; AFDC is a volatile current access snapshot.
Control
Ports, stations, awards and plans remain separate.
Geography
Value
One at-large congressional district
Definition
The district equals the state and provides no sub-state concentration evidence.
Control
Burlington corridor is a validation hypothesis, not a sourced EV concentration.

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_definition_reconciliation

2030 EV scenarios

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

2030 EV scenarios

Cautious
Base Year
2,025
Base Stock
19,600
Annual Growth Pct
5
Modelled 2030 Evs
25,015
Status
EVS SENSITIVITY—NOT OFFICIAL FORECAST
Source
[evs_model]
Base
Base Year
2,025
Base Stock
19,600
Annual Growth Pct
10
Modelled 2030 Evs
31,566
Status
EVS SENSITIVITY—NOT OFFICIAL FORECAST
Source
[evs_model]
High
Base Year
2,025
Base Stock
19,600
Annual Growth Pct
15
Modelled 2030 Evs
39,423
Status
EVS SENSITIVITY—NOT OFFICIAL FORECAST
Source
[evs_model]

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_forecast

Charging infrastructure

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Charging infrastructure

1 Jan 2025—Alliance/AFDC
Level2 Ports
911
Dc Fast Ports
200
Total Public Ports
1,111
Stations
454
Source
372 L2 plus 82 DC-fast stations [alliance_vt]
Public Ports
1,111
Private Ports
Total Ports
1,111
13 Aug 2026 access—AFDC state page
Level2 Ports
Dc Fast Ports
Total Public Ports
1,457
Stations
Source
Access snapshot; 99 private ports separately listed [afdc_vt]
Public Ports
1,457
Private Ports
99
Total Ports
1,556
FY 2026 federal apportionment
Level2 Ports
Dc Fast Ports
Total Public Ports
Stations
Source
$4,518,895 NEVI apportionment; funding is not an operational-port count [vt_nevi_2026]
Public Ports
Private Ports
Total Ports

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_charging_history

Charging diligence

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Charging diligence

Definitions
Requirement
Separate ports, stations, connectors, funded sites, awards and commissioned locations.
Status
MANDATORY
VTrans / NEVI
Requirement
Plans and awards are not operational inventory or reliability evidence.
Status
OPEN [vt_nevi][vt_nevi_2026]
Pilot EVSE
Requirement
Licensed electrician, permit, inspection, utility/load approval, networking and logs.
Status
OPEN [vt_electrician][vt_electrical_permit]
Electricity price
Requirement
Use exact utility tariff and demand charges; statewide profile is not a site quote.
Status
OPEN [eia_electricity]
30C
Requirement
Federal refueling-property credit ended for property placed in service after 30 June 2026.
Status
ZERO [irs_30c]

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_charger_reliability

Get the full Vermont analysis
Competitive matrix, location shortlist, incentives, pilot-centre economics and the 90-day entry plan — sent to your inbox.

Vehicle parc age and service demand

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Vehicle parc age and service demand

Vermont average vehicle age
Value
10
Unit
years
Implication
Below the 12.2-year national benchmark; do not assume an unusually old out-of-warranty parc [alliance_vt].
Exact 2024 plug-in stock
Value
16,859
Unit
vehicles
Implication
A small but material statewide cohort; ZIP, age and warranty distribution are unavailable [alliance_vt].
Exact 2024 plug-in sales
Value
5,063
Unit
vehicles
Implication
A 12.10% annual sales-flow share indicates strong adoption despite low absolute scale [alliance_vt].
Owner-occupied housing
Value
73.2
Unit
percent
Implication
Home-charging context is favorable statewide, but this does not prove repair demand [alliance_vt].
At-large district concentration value
Value
0
Unit
usable sub-state observations
Implication
No location decision may be presented as district-derived [alliance_vt].

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_parc_age_service

TAM / SAM / SOM controls

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

TAM / SAM / SOM controls

TAM—rounded 2025 light-duty registrations
Value
19,600
Unit
vehicles
Status
SOURCED / ROUNDED
Basis
DOE/Experian 11,900 BEV + 7,700 PHEV [vt_current_stock].
Service-window sensitivity
Value
5,880
Unit
vehicles
Status
EVS ASSUMPTION
Basis
TAM × 30% [evs_model].
Independent-consideration sensitivity
Value
1,470
Unit
vehicles
Status
EVS ASSUMPTION
Basis
Service window × 25% [evs_model].
3 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_tam_sam_som

Customer segments

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Customer segments

Out-of-warranty Burlington-area BEV households
Priority
P1
Need
OEM-procedure diagnostics, transparent scope and safe HV isolation.
PHEV owners statewide
Priority
P1
Need
Combined engine, emissions, HV and cooling competence; PHEVs are 39.71% of exact plug-in stock.
Used-EV buyers and sellers
Priority
P1
Need
Pre-purchase scan, battery-health evidence and uncertainty disclosure.
Cold-weather and rural households
Priority
P1
Need
Tyres, brakes, thermal/HVAC, 12V, charging faults and recovery triage.
Tourism, municipal and field-service fleets
Priority
P2
Need
Seasonal capacity, evidence packs and uptime reporting.

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_customer_segments

Fleet segments

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Fleet segments

Delivery and field-service fleets
Priority
Offer
Evidence
Tourism and rental fleets
Priority
Offer
Evidence
Municipal and institutional fleets
Priority
Offer
Evidence
Rural service fleets
Priority
Offer
Evidence

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_fleet_segments

Get the full Vermont analysis
Competitive matrix, location shortlist, incentives, pilot-centre economics and the 90-day entry plan — sent to your inbox.

Leading brands and models

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Leading brands and models

Priority
Reason
Evidence
State model ranking and local Tesla service capacity were not located.
Priority
Reason
Evidence
PHEVs are 39.71% of exact 2024 plug-in stock.
Priority
Reason
Evidence
OEM dealer presence exists, but task depth and capacity are unquantified.
Priority
Reason
Evidence
No Vermont Rivian service facility is assumed.

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_brands_models

OEM competitors

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

OEM competitors

Tesla regional service network
Location
Outside-state route to be verified
Position
OEM warranty, recall and software pathway
Implication
Mystery-shop routing and lead time; do not claim a Vermont white space from locator absence alone [tesla_locator].
Heritage Toyota
Location
South Burlington
Position
Toyota hybrid and PHEV dealer service
Implication
Benchmark mixed-powertrain diagnostic scope and lead time [heritage_toyota].
2 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_oem_competitors

Independent competitors

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Independent competitors

Independent general repair market
Location
Burlington–South Burlington
Offer
Tyres, brakes, suspension, HVAC and diagnostics
Control
Conduct a 12-site mystery shop; do not infer HV competence from marketing.
Independent general repair market
Location
Montpelier, Rutland and Brattleboro
Offer
Wear-led and mixed-powertrain service
Control
Verify EV task depth, OEM data, tooling, price and capacity.
1 more row in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_independent_competitors

Priority cities and regions

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Priority cities and regions

1
Market
Burlington–South Burlington / I-89
Model
Three-bay embedded validation cell
Evidence
Largest urban and dealer cluster hypothesis; no public sub-state EV stock proves concentration.
Control
Require ZIP/VIN/job proof [census_burlington][evs_model].
4 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_regions

Consumer incentives

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Consumer incentives

Replace Your Ride
Current Value
Up to $2,500 or $5,000 by income tier
Eligibility
Income and removal of an eligible ICE vehicle; one incentive per individual
Planning Treatment
Demand context only; verify funding and live rules [replace_your_ride].
VTrans and Drive Electric Vermont programmes
Current Value
Programme-specific
Eligibility
Vehicle, income, price, residence and live-funding rules
Planning Treatment
No value assumed until administrator confirmation [vt_aot_incentives][driveelectricvt].
2 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_consumer_incentives

Business and investment incentives

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Business and investment incentives

Vermont Employment Growth Incentive
Potential
Qualified incremental jobs and payroll
Status
ELIGIBILITY/APPROVAL REQUIRED
Model Treatment
ZERO [vt_vegi].
VTrans NEVI / public charging programmes
Potential
Corridor charging deployment
Status
NOT ORDINARY WORKSHOP CAPEX
Model Treatment
ZERO [vt_nevi].
2 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_business_incentives

Tax snapshot

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Tax snapshot

Sales and use tax
Rate
Transaction-specific
Basis
Parts, labor and exemptions require written Vermont treatment.
Corporate income tax
Rate
Entity-specific
Basis
Taxable income, entity and apportionment.
2 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_tax_snapshot

Licensing, consumer and franchise controls

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Licensing, consumer and franchise controls

[vt_business][vt_tax_register].
Requirement
Register entity and applicable Vermont taxes.
Status
OPEN
[vt_repair_consumer].
Requirement
Counsel-approved estimate, authorization, invoice, parts and consumer-complaint workflow.
Status
OPEN
4 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_entity_licensing

Labour and skills

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Labour and skills

Automotive technician benchmark
Rule
State OEWS is a general benchmark; it does not isolate EV/HV premiums.
Control
[labor_wage].
Occupational safety
Rule
Vermont operates an OSHA-approved State Plan covering most private-sector and state/local-government workers.
Control
[vt_osha][osha_333][osha_loto].
3 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_labour

High-voltage safety

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

High-voltage safety

Requirement
Evidence
SOP, training, authorization and audit [osha_333][vt_osha].
Requirement
Evidence
LOTO programme and job records [osha_loto].
Requirement
Evidence
Fire/AHJ, insurer, PHMSA and recipient sign-offs [phmsa][epa_battery].
Requirement
Evidence
Responder and insurer-approved winter SOP.

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_hv_safety

Battery and waste

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Battery and waste

Rechargeable and lithium-ion batteries
Control
Status
Universal-waste batteries
Control
Status
2 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_battery_waste

Data and consumer controls

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Data and consumer controls

Rule
Counsel-approved estimates, supplements, approvals and itemized invoices.
Implication
Rule
State data source, limitations, temperature/SoC context and non-warranty status.
Implication
Rule
Use lawful OEM/NASTF routes; prohibit credential sharing.
Implication
Rule
Minimize VIN, customer and location data and set access/retention rules.
Implication

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_data_consumer

Get the full Vermont analysis
Competitive matrix, location shortlist, incentives, pilot-centre economics and the 90-day entry plan — sent to your inbox.

Operating model

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Operating model

Pilot
Choice
Company-controlled three-bay embedded Burlington–South Burlington / I-89 cell
Rationale
Preserves capital while task-level SAM and winter seasonality are tested.
Staffing
Choice
1 lead HV diagnostic tech, 1 multiskill tech, 1 apprentice/shared service lead
Rationale
EVS assumption; recruit and observed-test before lease.
Bays
Choice
1 general, 1 isolation/diagnostic, 1 tyre/alignment
Rationale
Launch scope without cell work or routine pack custody.
Clinics
Choice
Montpelier, Rutland and Brattleboro paid clinics
Rationale
Tests low-density demand before fixed capex.
Facility
Choice
Outdoor isolation, responder access, snow/salt drainage, winterization and backup-power controls
Rationale
Cold-weather and thermal-event resilience.

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_operating_model

Franchise model

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Franchise model

Pilot
Model
Release
Board-approved site, scope, staffing and controls.
Unit proof
Model
Release
Two seasonal cohorts, positive base economics, audit pass and repeat demand.
Franchise design
Model
Release
Manuals, training, QA, support economics, territory and Vermont/Federal counsel.
Offer/sale
Model
Release
Current FDD, lawful registration/exemption analysis and disclosure timing.
Scale
Model
Release
Continuous HV, consumer, waste, data and unit-economics audits.

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_franchise_model

Annual economics

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Annual economics

Cautious
Annual Jobs
700
Aro Usd
450
Gross Margin Pct
55
Revenue Usd
315,000
Gross Profit Usd
173,250
Fixed Opex Usd
410,000
Ebitda Usd
-236,750
Capex Usd
450,000
Simple Payback Years
Status
EVS sensitivity [evs_model]
2 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_annual_scenarios

90-day pilot economics

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

90-day pilot economics

Cautious
Jobs
90
Aro Usd
425
Gross Margin Pct
52
Opex Usd
75,000
Revenue Usd
38,250
Gross Profit Usd
19,890
Ebitda Usd
-55,110
Status
EVS 90-day sensitivity [evs_model]
2 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_pilot_scenarios

Risks

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Risks

Verified SAM is absent
Severity
Evidence
Consequence
Small absolute market and rural logistics
Severity
Evidence
Consequence
PHEV complexity
Severity
Evidence
Consequence
OEM and independent competition
Severity
Evidence
Consequence
Technician scarcity
Severity
Evidence
Consequence
Battery/waste event
Severity
Evidence
Consequence
Incentive or tax error
Severity
Evidence
Consequence

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_risks

Mitigations

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Mitigations

Demand
Mitigation
90 paid jobs, 225-job cohort and two fleet pilots before site release.
Owner
Market lead
Trigger
Economics
Mitigation
Base positive EBITDA and ≤36-month payback with incentives at zero.
Owner
Finance
Trigger
Safety
Mitigation
Task matrix, observed competency, LOTO, PPE, quarantine and responder drill.
Owner
EHS
Trigger
Waste
Mitigation
Written recycler, recipient and carrier chain plus waste matrix.
Owner
EHS
Trigger
Staffing
Mitigation
Binding lead and multiskill offers.
Owner
Operations
Trigger
Franchise
Mitigation
No solicitation, offer or sale until unit proof, manuals and counsel/FDD release.
Owner
Legal
Trigger

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_mitigations

90-day entry plan

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

90-day entry plan

0–15
Action
Obtain privacy-safe ZIP/VIN/age/warranty extract and mystery-shop 12 competitors.
Output
7 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_plan_90_day

Explicit go / no-go gates

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Explicit go / no-go gates

G1 Paid demand
Threshold
≥250 paid jobs; ≥20% repeat/return booking; task mix supports launch scope.
Decision
8 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_gates

Methodology

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Methodology

Queue control
Method
Selected only locked rank-34 Vermont; checked no completed duplicate.
Control
Source hierarchy
Method
Federal/state agencies first; Alliance/S&P for exact 2024 snapshot; commercial pages only for presence.
Control
Definitions
Method
Kept exact 2024 and rounded 2025 stock, annual/quarterly sales, ports, stations and funding separate.
Control
Geography
Method
At-large district offers no sub-state evidence; locations are hypotheses until ZIP/VIN/job proof.
Control
TAM/SAM/SOM
Method
Rounded registrations × explicit EVS sensitivities; verified SAM unquantified; executable SOM zero.
Control
Forecast
Method
Five-year 5%/10%/15% sensitivities from rounded 2025 anchor.
Control
Economics
Method
Three-bay embedded jobs × ARO; gross profit less fixed opex; no incentive value.
Control
Release
Method
Evidence thresholds control site, scope, fleet route and franchise.
Control

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_methodology

Data gaps

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Data gaps

Exact 2025 BEV/PHEV and ZIP extract
Effect
Closure
VIN/age/warranty/task catchment
Effect
Closure
OEM and independent competitor capacity
Effect
Closure
Exact-site rent, power, tariff, tax and permitting
Effect
Closure
Battery/waste classifications and recipients
Effect
Closure
EV/HV technician availability and wage premium
Effect
Closure
Franchise/service-law route
Effect
Closure

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_data_gaps

Complete source register

Reviewed Vermont evidence and EVS controls. Sourced facts, assumptions, uncertainty and release conditions remain separated.

Complete source register

afdc_vt
Publisher
U.S. Department of Energy
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://afdc.energy.gov/states/VT
vt_current_stock
Publisher
U.S. Department of Energy
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://afdc.energy.gov/states/VT
alliance_vt
Publisher
Alliance for Automotive Innovation
Publication Date
2025-01-01
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Authoritative industry
Href
https://www.autosinnovate.org/resources/insights/vt
alliance_q4_2024
Publisher
Alliance for Automotive Innovation
Publication Date
2025-02-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Authoritative industry
Href
https://www.autosinnovate.org/posts/press-release/2024-q4-get-connected-press-release
vt_aot_incentives
Publisher
Vermont Agency of Transportation
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://vtrans.vermont.gov/planning/transportation-incentive-programs
replace_your_ride
Publisher
Vermont General Assembly
Publication Date
2025-07-01
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://legislature.vermont.gov/statutes/section/19/029/02904
vt_nevi
Publisher
Vermont Agency of Transportation
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://vtrans.vermont.gov/planning/nevi
vt_nevi_2026
Publisher
Federal Highway Administration
Publication Date
2025-10-01
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://highways.dot.gov/laws-regulations/directives/notices/n-4510909
census_vt
Publisher
U.S. Census Bureau
Publication Date
2026-06-01
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/fact/table/VT/PST045225
census_burlington
Publisher
U.S. Census Bureau
Publication Date
2026-06-01
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/fact/table/burlingtoncityvermont/PST045225
driveelectricvt
Publisher
Drive Electric Vermont
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Authoritative programme partner
Href
https://www.driveelectricvt.com/incentives
mileage_smart
Publisher
Capstone Community Action
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Programme administrator
Href
https://www.mileagesmartvt.org/
gmp_ev
Publisher
Green Mountain Power
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Utility primary
Href
https://greenmountainpower.com/rebates-programs/electric-vehicles/
vec_ev
Publisher
Vermont Electric Cooperative
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Utility primary
Href
https://vermontelectric.coop/energy-transformation-programs
vt_business
Publisher
Vermont Secretary of State
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://sos.vermont.gov/corporations/registration/
vt_tax_register
Publisher
Vermont Department of Taxes
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://tax.vermont.gov/business-and-corp/start-a-business
vt_sales_tax
Publisher
Vermont Department of Taxes
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://tax.vermont.gov/business-and-corp/sales-and-use-tax
vt_corp_tax
Publisher
Vermont Department of Taxes
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://tax.vermont.gov/business-and-corp/corporate-income-tax
vt_vegi
Publisher
Vermont Agency of Commerce and Community Development
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://accd.vermont.gov/economic-development/funding-incentives/vegi
vt_small_business
Publisher
Vermont SBDC
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Authoritative programme partner
Href
https://www.vtsbdc.org/
vt_dmv_inspection
Publisher
Vermont Department of Motor Vehicles
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://dmv.vermont.gov/enforcement-and-safety/vehicle-inspections
vt_repair_consumer
Publisher
Vermont Attorney General
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://ago.vermont.gov/cap/auto
labor_wage
Publisher
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Publication Date
2024-04-03
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://www.bls.gov/oes/2023/may/oes_vt.htm
vt_osha
Publisher
Occupational Safety and Health Administration
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://www.osha.gov/stateplans/vt
vt_electrician
Publisher
Vermont Department of Public Safety
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://firesafety.vermont.gov/licensing/electrical
vt_electrical_permit
Publisher
Vermont Department of Public Safety
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://firesafety.vermont.gov/buildingcode/permits
vt_hazardous
Publisher
Vermont Department of Environmental Conservation
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://dec.vermont.gov/waste-management/hazardous
vt_universal_waste
Publisher
Vermont Department of Environmental Conservation
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://dec.vermont.gov/waste-management/hazardous/regulated-waste/universal-waste
vt_used_oil
Publisher
Vermont Department of Environmental Conservation
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://dec.vermont.gov/waste-management/hazardous/regulated-waste/used-oil
eia_electricity
Publisher
U.S. Energy Information Administration
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://www.eia.gov/electricity/state/vermont/
osha_333
Publisher
Occupational Safety and Health Administration
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://www.osha.gov/laws-regs/regulations/standardnumber/1910/1910.333
osha_loto
Publisher
Occupational Safety and Health Administration
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://www.osha.gov/laws-regs/regulations/standardnumber/1910/1910.147
epa_battery
Publisher
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://www.epa.gov/hw/lithium-ion-battery-recycling-frequently-asked-questions
epa_609
Publisher
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://www.epa.gov/mvac/section-609-technician-training-and-certification-programs
phmsa
Publisher
Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://www.phmsa.dot.gov/lithiumbatteries
nhtsa_ev_safety
Publisher
National Highway Traffic Safety Administration
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://www.nhtsa.gov/vehicle-safety/electric-and-hybrid-vehicles
ase_xev
Publisher
ASE
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Authoritative industry
Href
https://www.ase.com/xev
ftc_franchise
Publisher
Federal Trade Commission
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://www.ftc.gov/legal-library/browse/rules/franchise-rule
nastf
Publisher
NASTF
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Authoritative industry
Href
https://wp.nastf.org/
irs_clean_vehicle
Publisher
Internal Revenue Service
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/faqs-for-modification-of-sections-25c-25d-25e-30c-30d-45l-45w-and-179d-under-public-law-119-21-139-stat-72-july-4-2025-commonly-known-as-the-one-big-beautiful-bill-obbb
irs_30c
Publisher
Internal Revenue Service
Publication Date
2025-12-01
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://www.irs.gov/instructions/i8911
vt_franchise_scope
Publisher
Vermont General Assembly
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Primary / authoritative
Href
https://legislature.vermont.gov/statutes/
tesla_locator
Publisher
Tesla
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Commercial primary source
Href
https://www.tesla.com/findus/list/services/United%20States
rivian_locator
Publisher
Rivian
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Commercial primary source
Href
https://rivian.com/experience/service
heritage_toyota
Publisher
Heritage Toyota
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Commercial primary source
Href
https://www.heritagetoyotacars.com/service/
nucar_vw
Publisher
Nucar Volkswagen
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Commercial primary source
Href
https://www.nucarvw.com/service/
goss_dodge
Publisher
Goss Dodge
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Commercial primary source
Href
https://www.gossdodgechrysler.com/service/
burlington_subaru
Publisher
Burlington Subaru
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Commercial primary source
Href
https://www.burlingtonsubaru.com/service/
evs_logo
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
EVS asset
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
evs_model
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
EVS assumption register
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_stock_card
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_share_card
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_ports_card
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_payback_card
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_stock_chart
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_adoption_chart
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_forecast_chart
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_economics_chart
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_decision_summary
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_headline_kpis
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_registered_stock
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_adoption_history
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_stock_powertrain
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_definition_reconciliation
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_forecast
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_charging_history
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_charger_reliability
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_parc_age_service
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_tam_sam_som
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_customer_segments
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_fleet_segments
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_brands_models
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_oem_competitors
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_independent_competitors
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_regions
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_consumer_incentives
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_business_incentives
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_tax_snapshot
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_entity_licensing
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_labour
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_hv_safety
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_battery_waste
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_data_consumer
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_service_portfolio
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_operating_model
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_franchise_model
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_annual_scenarios
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_pilot_scenarios
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_risks
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_mitigations
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_plan_90_day
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_gates
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_methodology
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_data_gaps
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/
widget_table_source_audit
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-13
Classification
Artifact provenance
Href
https://evsworldwide.com/

Source: EVS artifact provenance—widget_table_source_audit

Source register

95 primary and derived sources

Show
  1. Return bounded reviewed rows for stock_card.

  2. Return bounded reviewed rows for share_card.

  3. Return bounded reviewed rows for ports_card.

  4. Return bounded reviewed rows for payback_card.

  5. Return bounded reviewed rows for stock_chart.

  6. Return bounded reviewed rows for adoption_chart.

  7. Return bounded reviewed rows for forecast_chart.

  8. Return bounded reviewed rows for economics_chart.

  9. Return bounded reviewed rows for decision_summary_table.

  10. Return bounded reviewed rows for headline_kpis_table.

  11. Return bounded reviewed rows for registered_stock_table.

  12. Return bounded reviewed rows for adoption_history_table.

  13. Return bounded reviewed rows for stock_powertrain_table.

  14. Return bounded reviewed rows for definition_reconciliation_table.

  15. Return bounded reviewed rows for forecast_table.

  16. Return bounded reviewed rows for charging_history_table.

  17. Return bounded reviewed rows for charger_reliability_table.

  18. Return bounded reviewed rows for parc_age_service_table.

  19. Return bounded reviewed rows for tam_sam_som_table.

  20. Return bounded reviewed rows for customer_segments_table.

  21. Return bounded reviewed rows for fleet_segments_table.

  22. Return bounded reviewed rows for brands_models_table.

  23. Return bounded reviewed rows for oem_competitors_table.

  24. Return bounded reviewed rows for independent_competitors_table.

  25. Return bounded reviewed rows for regions_table.

  26. Return bounded reviewed rows for consumer_incentives_table.

  27. Return bounded reviewed rows for business_incentives_table.

  28. Return bounded reviewed rows for tax_snapshot_table.

  29. Return bounded reviewed rows for entity_licensing_table.

  30. Return bounded reviewed rows for labour_table.

  31. Return bounded reviewed rows for hv_safety_table.

  32. Return bounded reviewed rows for battery_waste_table.

  33. Return bounded reviewed rows for data_consumer_table.

  34. Return bounded reviewed rows for service_portfolio_table.

  35. Return bounded reviewed rows for operating_model_table.

  36. Return bounded reviewed rows for franchise_model_table.

  37. Return bounded reviewed rows for annual_scenarios_table.

  38. Return bounded reviewed rows for pilot_scenarios_table.

  39. Return bounded reviewed rows for risks_table.

  40. Return bounded reviewed rows for mitigations_table.

  41. Return bounded reviewed rows for plan_90_day_table.

  42. Return bounded reviewed rows for gates_table.

  43. Return bounded reviewed rows for methodology_table.

  44. Return bounded reviewed rows for data_gaps_table.

  45. Return bounded reviewed rows for source_audit_table.

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