Market IntelligenceAfrica

Côte d'Ivoire

EVS Côte d'Ivoire EV Service Centre Market Entry

Decision-grade Côte d'Ivoire assessment separating passenger/light-commercial plug-in data gaps, all-vehicle parc, brand/distributor flows, conflicting policy-target definitions, one-site charging evidence, announced networks and EVS assumptions.

Snapshot: 11 August 202645-page full report
Talk to the expansion team
Passenger plug-in stock

No current authoritative passenger BEV/PHEV stock series located.

All-vehicle parc
1,200,000

Official lower bound for all road vehicles; not EV TAM.

Yopougon chargers
13

Published count at one Yopougon site, not national total.

Gate SAM jobs/year
486

Only after 750 separated active Greater Abidjan passenger/light-commercial plug-ins.

Base simple payback
2.696

Partner-clinic assumption on XOF45m reversible capex.

Executive summary

The verdict in full

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Market headline

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Market headline

Current passenger BEV/PHEV stock
Value
Unit
vehicles
Period
Current
Status
No authoritative separated registration series located.
All-vehicle road parc
Value
1,200,000
Unit
vehicles, lower bound
Period
June 2026
Status
Official source says more than 1.2m; no propulsion split [transport_parc_2026].
Verified published chargers at one Yopougon site
Value
13
Unit
charger units
Period
June 2025
Status
One site only; AIP power-unit wording requires field check [charging_yopougon].
Gate-planning SAM
Value
486
Unit
jobs/year
Period
EVS model
Status
Activates only after 750 separated active Greater Abidjan passenger/light-commercial BEV/PHEVs.

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

Macroeconomic context

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Macroeconomic context

Real GDP growth
Value
6
Unit
%
Period
2024
Scope
World Bank current country overview [worldbank_country].
2 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

Market size and vehicle parc context

No current authoritative passenger/light-commercial plug-in denominator was located. All-vehicle parc and brand sales are kept out of TAM.

Market size and vehicle parc context

All-vehicle road parc
Value
1,200,000
Unit
vehicles, lower bound
Period
June 2026
Scope
Official page says more than 1.2m; passenger, commercial, two-wheel and propulsion composition not given [transport_parc_2026].
Distributor new-vehicle sales
Value
29,995
Unit
vehicles
Period
2025
Scope
Company-report market total relayed by secondary source; all powertrains [abidjan_eco_cfao] [brvm_cfao_2025].
Distributor new-vehicle sales
Value
26,271
Unit
vehicles
Period
2024
Scope
All powertrains; company-report relay [abidjan_eco_cfao] [brvm_cfao_2025].
BYD distributor sales
Value
51
Unit
vehicles
Period
2025
Scope
One brand/distributor; BEV/PHEV mix not split and not active stock [abidjan_eco_cfao].
BYD distributor sales
Value
15
Unit
vehicles
Period
2024
Scope
One brand/distributor; not total EV sales [abidjan_eco_cfao].

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

BEV/PHEV sales, stock and adoption history

No annual national passenger BEV/PHEV sales or active-stock series was found. Brand flows are ecosystem signals, not registration history.

Observed market signals kept outside passenger TAM

All-vehicle parc, distributor market and BYD flows use different definitions.

1,200,000
29,995
26,271
51
15
All-vehicle road parc
Distributor new-vehicle sales
Distributor new-vehicle sales
BYD distributor sales
BYD distributor sales

Source: Côte d'Ivoire mixed-source evidence tables

BEV/PHEV sales, stock and adoption history

2023
Passenger Bev Sales
Passenger Phev Sales
Active Passenger Bev Phev
Other Evidence
No authoritative separated national series located.
2024
Passenger Bev Sales
Passenger Phev Sales
Active Passenger Bev Phev
Other Evidence
BYD launched through LOXEA; 15 BYD sales company-reported, unsplit by BEV/PHEV [cfao_byd_launch] [abidjan_eco_cfao].
2025
Passenger Bev Sales
Passenger Phev Sales
Active Passenger Bev Phev
Other Evidence
51 BYD sales company-reported, unsplit by BEV/PHEV; Tang availability and Yopougon charging milestone [aip_byd_tang] [charging_yopougon].
2026
Passenger Bev Sales
Passenger Phev Sales
Active Passenger Bev Phev
Other Evidence
Policy/skills project active; no current national registration extract [transport_ev_training].

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

Get the full Côte d'Ivoire analysis
Competitive matrix, location shortlist, incentives, pilot-centre economics and the 90-day entry plan — sent to your inbox.

Definition reconciliation

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Definition reconciliation

Passenger/light-commercial BEV/PHEV sales and active stock
Treatment
Null
Reason
No authoritative annual or active-status series located.
More than 1.2m road vehicles
Treatment
All-vehicle lower bound only
Reason
No passenger/commercial, two-wheel or propulsion split [transport_parc_2026].
BYD 15 / 51 sales
Treatment
Brand/distributor flow proxy
Reason
Not national EV total; BEV/PHEV mix and active status not published [abidjan_eco_cfao].
10% EV by 2030
Treatment
Definition-conflicted policy target
Reason
June 2026 ministry page says national fleet; 2025 government relay says State fleet [transport_ev_training] [state_target].
13 Yopougon chargers
Treatment
Verified published site inventory only
Reason
Not a national connector census; source uses kWh for charger rating [charging_yopougon].
Every 150 km charging network
Treatment
Announced plan
Reason
Private plan reported by AIP; not delivered infrastructure [charging_plan].

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

Cautious / base / high adoption cases

These are policy-target realisation shares, not vehicle-stock forecasts. Absolute 2030 vehicles remain null because target scope and denominator conflict.

Cautious / base / high adoption cases

Cautious
Ev Share 2030 Pct
2.5
Vehicles 2030
Interpretation
EVS 25% realisation of the 10% policy objective; absolute vehicles unavailable because target scope and 2030 denominator conflict.
Base
Ev Share 2030 Pct
5
Vehicles 2030
Interpretation
EVS 50% policy-realisation sensitivity; not a current-stock forecast.
High
Ev Share 2030 Pct
10
Vehicles 2030
Interpretation
Full policy objective; stress case only [transport_ev_training] [state_target].

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

Charging infrastructure

The only source-backed installed count used is 13 charger units at one Yopougon site. It is not a national census and rating units require verification.

2030 policy-objective realisation sensitivities

EVS shares; absolute vehicles remain null.

Cautious250%
Base500%
HighBase case1000%

Source: Côte d'Ivoire mixed-source evidence tables

Charging infrastructure

Authoritative national public connectors
Value
Unit
connectors
Evidence
No auditable connector/power/access/uptime census located.
Yopougon Petro-Ivoire fast chargers
Value
3
Unit
charger units
Evidence
AIP reports “60 kWh”; likely rating-unit ambiguity, not silently corrected [charging_yopougon].
Yopougon Petro-Ivoire slow chargers
Value
10
Unit
charger units
Evidence
AIP reports “22 kWh”; verify power, connectors, access and uptime [charging_yopougon].
Yopougon solar/storage production
Value
620
Unit
kWh/day
Evidence
Site claim reported by AIP [charging_yopougon].
National-highway interval plan
Value
150
Unit
km
Evidence
Private deployment intent only [charging_plan].
Site electricity tariff
Value
Unit
XOF/kWh plus charges
Evidence
Obtain current CIE/ANARE professional category, subscribed-power and demand-charge quote [anare].

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

Grid and energy readiness

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Grid and energy readiness

Songon planned combined-cycle capacity
Value
372
Unit
MW
Status
Financed project announced June 2026; not current feeder capacity [energy_project].
Energy audit applicability
Value
Unit
legal threshold
Status
Confirm whether selected clinic falls within mandatory-audit scope [energy_audits].
Workshop feeder capacity/reliability
Value
Unit
kVA / outage record
Status
Site study required; national projects do not prove premises capacity.

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

Get the full Côte d'Ivoire analysis
Competitive matrix, location shortlist, incentives, pilot-centre economics and the 90-day entry plan — sent to your inbox.

Vehicle parc age and service demand

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Vehicle parc age and service demand

Passenger plug-ins by age, warranty and location
Value
Unit
vehicles
Implication
No service-demand denominator; matched registration/import/service extract required.
All-vehicle parc lower bound
Value
1,200,000
Unit
vehicles
Implication
Large conventional parc supports partner-workshop ecosystem, not EV TAM [transport_parc_2026].
Passenger/taxi import-age ceiling
Value
5
Unit
years
Implication
Constrains legal used-import age; imported EVs over one year also need technical certificate [customs_age] [decree_ch1].
Distributor new-vehicle market
Value
29,995
Unit
vehicles in 2025
Implication
Commercial-scale new-car channel; EV share unavailable [abidjan_eco_cfao].
BYD distributor flow
Value
51
Unit
vehicles in 2025
Implication
Early adoption signal, not sufficient standalone-centre denominator [abidjan_eco_cfao].

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

EVS assumptions

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

EVS assumptions

Greater Abidjan launch threshold
Value
750
Unit
registered active passenger/light-commercial BEV/PHEV
Basis
EVS density gate, not estimate.
Active/available factor
Value
0.9
Unit
share
Basis
EVS planning haircut after registry proof.
Independent reach
Value
0.6
Unit
share
Basis
After captive, warranty and unsupported-VIN screening.
Service events
Value
1.2
Unit
jobs/vehicle/year
Basis
EVS blended diagnostic/chassis assumption.
Average repair order
Value
275,000
Unit
XOF/job
Basis
Replace with paid Côte d’Ivoire observations.
Reversible capex ceiling
Value
45,000,000
Unit
XOF
Basis
EVS board gate.
Executable SOM before gates
Value
0
Unit
jobs
Basis
Deliberately zero.

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

Transparent TAM / SAM / SOM

National passenger TAM is deliberately null and executable SOM is zero. The quantified Greater Abidjan opportunity activates only after a matched registry gate.

Transparent TAM / SAM / SOM

National passenger/light-commercial plug-in TAM
Vehicles
Jobs Per Year
Revenue Xof
Status
Not quantified: current active BEV/PHEV denominator unavailable.
All-road-vehicle context
Vehicles
1,200,000
Jobs Per Year
Revenue Xof
Status
Lower-bound all-powertrain parc; excluded from EV TAM [transport_parc_2026].
Greater Abidjan gate SAM
Vehicles
405
Jobs Per Year
486
Revenue Xof
133,650,000
Status
750 separated registrations × 90% active × 60% reach × 1.20 events.
1 more row in the full report

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

Customer and fleet segments

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Customer and fleet segments

Private early adopters and lawful used imports
Need
Pre-purchase report, scan, charging, 12V and chassis evidence
Priority
High only for supported VINs.
Corporate, rental, bank and hospitality fleets
Need
Route/charging readiness and condition reporting
Priority
Highest through paid fleet trial [cfao_byd_launch].
Ride-hailing and taxi operators
Need
Uptime inspections, tyres, brakes and charging evidence
Priority
High after VIN-level active-fleet proof.
Public/State fleets
Need
Tender-compliant reporting, charging and uptime SLAs
Priority
Contract only; State-fleet target definition may apply [state_target].
Electric two/three-wheelers
Need
Different tools, parts and battery logistics
Priority
Separate future workstream; excluded from passenger TAM.
Heavy electric buses
Need
Depot tools, lifts, HV and OEM contract
Priority
Excluded from Phase 1; contract-only.

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

Get the full Côte d'Ivoire analysis
Competitive matrix, location shortlist, incentives, pilot-centre economics and the 90-day entry plan — sent to your inbox.

Leading EV brands and models

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Leading EV brands and models

BYD
Model
Atto 3 / Dolphin / Dolphin Mini
Powertrain
BEV
Signal
Official LOXEA launch and aftersales ecosystem; no national volume split [cfao_byd_launch].
BYD
Model
Tang
Powertrain
BEV
Signal
Local availability reported by AIP [aip_byd_tang].
BYD
Model
Song Plus
Powertrain
PHEV by local media; VIN verification required
Signal
Do not infer PHEV volumes from aggregate BYD sales.
MG
Model
Cyberster
Powertrain
BEV
Signal
Official dealer catalogue; no stock or sales volume disclosed [mg_models].
MG
Model
MG 3/HS/ZS Hybrid+
Powertrain
HEV unless plug-in homologation proves otherwise
Signal
Exclude from PHEV stock [mg_models].
ORA / mixed parallel imports
Model
Unranked
Powertrain
BEV/PHEV by VIN
Signal
Market presence requires distributor, registration and tool-support audit.

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

Independent and OEM competitors

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Independent and OEM competitors

LOXEA / CFAO / BYD
Type
OEM-backed sale, rental, service, parts and charging
Footprint
Airport/Abidjan and corporate fleet channel
Threat
High for warranty vehicles
Response
Out-of-warranty, referral and overflow scope only [cfao_byd_launch].
MG / HR Motors
Type
OEM-backed sales and authorised aftersales
Footprint
Zone 4, Boulevard de Marseille and Bingerville/Abatta
Threat
High for MG warranty vehicles
Response
Supported non-warranty scope and referral [mg_service].
4 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

Priority cities and regions

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Priority cities and regions

1
Region
Greater Abidjan: Cocody–Marcory/Zone 4–Yopougon–Airport corridor
Rationale
Only evidenced OEM, corporate, charging and high-density mobility ecosystem [charging_yopougon] [cfao_byd_launch].
Mode
Only candidate for scheduled partner clinic.
4 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

Consumer incentives and policy

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Consumer incentives and policy

EV purchase cash grant
Status
No current official general consumer grant verified
Action
Assume zero.
Automatic EV customs/VAT exemption
Status
Not created by Decree 2024-326; Article 24 uses ordinary investment regime
Action
Obtain written Customs/DGI ruling; assume zero [decree_ch3].
3 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

Business, tax and investment incentives

Decree 2024-326 keeps EV investment under ordinary investment law. No automatic exemption, grant or approval is assumed.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Business, tax and investment incentives

Standard VAT
Rate
Current rate not hard-coded in economics
Treatment
Model is VAT-exclusive; obtain current DGI advice for services, parts and recovery.
Business-profit tax
Rate
25% per DGI analysis of 2025 tax annex
Treatment
Pre-tax model; confirm entity-specific current rate and minimum taxes [dgi_tax_2025].
3 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

Labour, licensing and workshop regulation

Every material approval is a launch gate; this is not legal, tax, engineering or insurance advice.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Labour, licensing and workshop regulation

Entity, IDU, tax and payroll
Authority
CEPICI / DGI / CNPS
Evidence
Legal entity, RCCM/IDU, tax account and first-day worker declarations [service_idu] [cnps_employer].
EV repair authorisation and competence
Authority
Transport / Commerce / vocational-training ministries
Evidence
Legal entity, qualified staff and appropriate technical equipment; obtain Article 25 implementing order [decree_ch3].
6 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

High-voltage controls

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

High-voltage controls

VIN/powertrain whitelist
Evidence
Classify BEV, PHEV, HEV, MHEV, buses and conversions before booking.
Task-specific authorisation
Evidence
Named technician, competence assessment, scope, expiry and supervision; local Article 25 controls [decree_ch3].
Safe de-energisation
Evidence
OEM procedure, lock/tag, proved tester and absence-of-voltage record [iso_6469].
Controlled work zone
Evidence
Barriers, insulated PPE/tools, rescue equipment and no lone HV work [ilo_osh].
Charging interface
Evidence
Licensed electrical work; IEC 61851/ISO 17409 as benchmarks only [iec_61851] [iso_17409].
Release evidence
Evidence
Pre/post scan, restoration, torque/QC, limitations and customer sign-off.

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

Battery and waste controls

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Battery and waste controls

Intact in-vehicle traction pack
Rule
Non-invasive diagnostics only
Route
No opening, removal or routine storage.
Suspect/damaged pack arrival
Rule
Refuse routine indoor custody
Route
Emergency/OEM/insurer and Environment Ministry plan.
3 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

Operating model

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Operating model

Format
Recommendation
Scheduled clinic days in one compliant Greater Abidjan partner workshop.
Ownership
Recommendation
Côte d’Ivoire legal entity or joint venture with accountable local operator and Article 25 evidence.
Territory/franchise
Recommendation
No franchise sale or exclusivity before 12 months of paid evidence.
Staffing
Recommendation
One assessed HV lead plus one technician; shared reception and approved electrical/waste partners.
Technology
Recommendation
Supported VIN/task matrix, lawful service information and evidence-grade job files.
Commercial
Recommendation
XOF menu pricing, deposits and paid fleet trials; no free-diagnostic demand proxy.
Expansion
Recommendation
Bingerville/Bassam collection day only after Greater Abidjan continuation gate.

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

Franchise pathway

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Franchise pathway

0–90 days
Structure
EVS-managed partner clinic
Capital
Reversible tools only
Royalty
None; direct pilot control
Gate
All compliance, demand and safety gates.
3–12 months
Structure
Licensed operating affiliate / managed JV
Capital
Evidence-led
Royalty
Negotiate after unit economics
Gate
12 months paid data and audit.
After 12 months
Structure
Possible franchise prototype
Capital
Capped per validated density
Royalty
Only with support/parts/software SLAs
Gate
No territory sale before replicated profitability.

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

Pilot steady-state economics

All volumes, prices, margins, costs and capex are EVS assumptions in nominal XOF, VAT-exclusive and pre-tax.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Pilot steady-state economics

Cautious
Jobs
70
Aro Xof
225,000
Gross Margin Pct
55
Opex Xof
9,000,000
Revenue Xof
15,750,000
Gross Profit Xof
8,662,500
Ebitda Xof
-337,500
Payback Years
2 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

90-day pilot economics

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

90-day pilot economics

Cautious
Jobs 90d
18
Aro Xof
225,000
Gross Margin Pct
55
Opex Xof
2,250,000
Revenue Xof
4,050,000
Gross Profit Xof
2,227,500
Ebitda Xof
-22,500
2 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

Risks and mitigations

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Risks and mitigations

Passenger BEV/PHEV denominator unavailable
Likelihood
High
Impact
High
Mitigation
Matched transport/customs/dealer extract; TAM stays null.
All-vehicle parc mixed into EV TAM
Likelihood
High
Impact
High
Mitigation
Keep >1.2m context separate from plug-ins.
BYD sales mistaken for national EV stock
Likelihood
High
Impact
High
Mitigation
Brand flow only; split BEV/PHEV and active status by VIN.
National versus State-fleet target conflict
Likelihood
High
Impact
High
Mitigation
Keep absolute forecast null; obtain official decree/roadmap clarification.
Site chargers mistaken for national network
Likelihood
High
Impact
Medium
Mitigation
Connector, power, access and uptime census.
Charger kWh/kW unit ambiguity
Likelihood
High
Impact
Medium
Mitigation
Nameplate/commissioning document audit; do not silently correct.
Feeder capacity/outage risk
Likelihood
Medium
Impact
High
Mitigation
Load/earthing study, tariff quote, backup and controlled charging.
OEM software, warranty and parts access
Likelihood
High
Impact
High
Mitigation
Supported VIN/task matrix, authorised-channel referrals and parts SLAs.
Battery fire or electric shock
Likelihood
Low
Impact
Critical
Mitigation
No pack work; isolation SOP, rescue gear and drills.
Waste route failure
Likelihood
Medium
Impact
Critical
Mitigation
No battery custody before written environmental route.
Tax/customs/incentive interpretation
Likelihood
Medium
Impact
High
Mitigation
Written DGI/Douanes/CEPICI advice; assume no special benefit.
Paid demand below partner-clinic threshold
Likelihood
High
Impact
High
Mitigation
Deposits, paid fleet trial and day-90 stop.
Data/privacy non-compliance
Likelihood
Medium
Impact
Medium
Mitigation
ARTCI formalities and privacy-by-design job records.

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

90-day entry plan

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

90-day entry plan

0–15
Objective
Registry and legal gate
Actions
Obtain matched transport/customs/dealer extract by propulsion, class, age, owner, location and active status; obtain Decree 2024-326 implementing orders; map entity, environmental, fire, electricity, waste, data and insurance.
Owner
EVS board / Côte d’Ivoire counsel
Deliverable
Definition and compliance file.
4 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

Explicit go / no-go gates

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Explicit go / no-go gates

Market denominator
Go
Matched extract proves at least 750 registered active passenger/light-commercial BEVs/PHEVs in Greater Abidjan, separately identified
No Go
Classes/status/location cannot be separated or count is below 750.
5 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

Methodology

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Greater Abidjan partner-clinic EBITDA

XOF; EVS steady-state assumptions.

Cautious-337k
Base16.69m
HighBase case32.6m

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

Methodology

1. Evidence hierarchy
Method
Primary Côte d’Ivoire authorities and listed-company/project operators first; secondary figures explicitly labelled.
2. Definition control
Method
Separate passenger BEV/PHEV, all-vehicle parc, brand sales, policy targets, site chargers and plans.
3. Market denominator
Method
Leave national passenger TAM null until matched active-registration extract.
4. Forecasts
Method
2.5%/5%/10% policy-realisation shares; absolute vehicles null due target-scope and 2030 denominator conflict.
5. Gate SAM
Method
750 Greater Abidjan plug-ins × 90% active × 60% reach × 1.20 events.
6. SOM
Method
Zero before hard gates.
7. Economics
Method
Nominal XOF, VAT-exclusive EVS assumptions; annual volumes remain below gate SAM.
8. Regulation
Method
No incentive, permit or technical standard assumed without current written authority confirmation.
9. Validation
Method
JSON, schema, formulas, citations, links, branding, definitions and template residue.

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

Evidence gaps

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Evidence gaps

Active passenger/light-commercial BEV and PHEV count
Needed
Matched DGTTC/customs registration extract by VIN, propulsion, class, age, location and active status
Decision Effect
Blocks TAM, standalone site and franchise.
2030 target legal denominator
Needed
Official decree/roadmap and ministry clarification of national versus State fleet
Decision Effect
Keeps absolute forecast null.
Public charger census
Needed
Site, connector, standard, kW, access, tariff, uptime and commissioning record
Decision Effect
Blocks network-service claim.
Article 25 competence modules/order
Needed
Current implementing order and accepted technician evidence
Decision Effect
Blocks repair launch.
Battery/waste route
Needed
Written classification, storage, carrier and recipient approvals
Decision Effect
Holds traction-pack work.

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

Complete linked source register

Every material number is linked to a source or explicitly labelled as an EVS assumption.

Complete linked source register

transport_parc_2026
Publisher
Ministère des Transports et des Affaires Maritimes
Publication Date
2026-06-06
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official current context: road transport exceeds 90% of national travel, the fleet exceeds 1.2 million vehicles, much of it is old, and the renewal programme represents more than XOF700bn. No powertrain split.
Href
https://transports.gouv.ci/actualites/renouvellement-du-parc-automobile-le-ministere-des-transports-offre-une-nouvelle
transport_reg_2026
Publisher
Ministère des Transports et des Affaires Maritimes
Publication Date
2026-06-19
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official administrative-flow evidence: 306,416 plates installed over three years, including 35,487 in 2023 and 108,425 in 2024. Plate activity is not annual vehicle sales or active stock.
Href
https://transports.gouv.ci/actualites/nouvelle-immatriculation-initiale-des-vehicules-toure-souleymane-dresse-un-bilan-positif
transport_ev_training
Publisher
Ministère des Transports et des Affaires Maritimes
Publication Date
2026-06-14
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official latest interpretation: Decree 2024-326 is linked to a 10% EV objective in the national vehicle fleet by 2030; GEF project of USD1,607,535 targets six pilot areas. Target is not a stock forecast.
Href
https://www.transports.gouv.ci/actualites/mobilite-electriquele-ministere-des-transports-lance-la-formation-nationale-abidjan
transport_ev_committee
Publisher
Ministère des Transports et des Affaires Maritimes
Publication Date
2026-02-17
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official preparatory work on pilot charging sites, renewable energy, standards, regulation, finance and maintenance. Planning is not installed infrastructure.
Href
https://transports.gouv.ci/actualites/mobilite-durable-en-cote-divoirele-comite-technique-lance-les-travaux-de-l-integration
jorci_decree_index
Publisher
Secrétariat Général du Gouvernement / ONECI
Publication Date
2024-06-27
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official journal index for Decree 2024-326 of 22 May 2024 on electric transport and charging infrastructure.
Href
https://jorci.oneci.ci/journaux-officiels/99
decree_ch1
Publisher
LoiDici legal-text mirror
Publication Date
2024-11-21
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Text mirror: decree covers EVs, charging, importers, infrastructure operators and EV garages/personnel; EVs older than one year at import require technical-control certificate. Verify against official gazette before contracting.
Href
https://loidici.biz/2024/11/21/chapitre-1-dispositions-generales-34/lois-article-par-article/plus-de-textes-de-lois/60172/naty/
decree_ch2
Publisher
LoiDici legal-text mirror
Publication Date
2024-11-21
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Text mirror: battery/waste treatment is State-regulated; private public-charging operators need technical/financial capacity, certification, Energy Ministry approval, grid connection and semiannual reporting. Verify implementing orders.
Href
https://loidici.biz/2024/11/21/chapitre-2-dispositions-relatives-aux-moyens-de-transport-electriques/lois-article-par-article/plus-de-textes-de-lois/60174/naty/
decree_ch3
Publisher
LoiDici legal-text mirror
Publication Date
2024-11-21
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Text mirror: EV/charging investment follows ordinary investment law; repairs require a legal entity, qualified personnel and appropriate equipment. Competency implementing order must be obtained.
Href
https://loidici.biz/2024/11/21/chapitre-3-dispositions-diverses-transitoires-et-finales/lois-article-par-article/plus-de-textes-de-lois/60176/naty/
customs_age
Publisher
Direction générale des Douanes de Côte d’Ivoire
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official FAQ under Decree 2017-792: 5 years for passenger cars/taxis, 7 for minibuses and trucks up to 5t, and 10 for larger buses/trucks, subject to stated exceptions.
Href
https://www.douanes.ci/tribune/faq.php
customs_decree
Publisher
Direction générale des Douanes de Côte d’Ivoire
Publication Date
2017-12-06
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official legal record of import-age limits.
Href
https://www.douanes.ci/node/42795
customs_battery_export
Publisher
Direction générale des Douanes de Côte d’Ivoire
Publication Date
2025-03-12
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official customs legal index lists Decree 2025-181 suspending export of waste and scrap used lead-acid batteries. Scope is not automatically lithium traction batteries.
Href
https://www.douanes.ci/info/decret
charging_yopougon
Publisher
Agence Ivoirienne de Presse
Publication Date
2025-06-30
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Government press agency reports 3 fast and 10 slow chargers at Petro-Ivoire Yopougon and 620 kWh/day solar/storage output. It labels charger ratings as kWh; unit ambiguity is preserved and requires field verification.
Href
https://www.aip.ci/213388/cote-divoire-aip-une-nouvelle-station-de-recharge-pour-vehicules-electriques-inauguree-a-yopougon/
charging_plan
Publisher
Agence Ivoirienne de Presse
Publication Date
2025-11-17
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Private operator announcement reported by AIP: planned stations every 150 km. Plan, not delivered infrastructure.
Href
https://www.aip.ci/279769/aip-vers-le-deploiement-dun-reseau-national-de-bornes-de-recharge-pour-accelerer-ladoption-des-vehicules-electriques-en-cote-divoire/
cfao_byd_launch
Publisher
CFAO Group
Publication Date
2024-03-27
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official market entry: Atto 3 immediately, Dolphin and Dolphin Mini later, via sale or long-term rental.
Href
https://www.cfaogroup.com/fr/la-concession-loxea-dabidjan-propose-desormais-a-ses-clients-les-vehicules-byd/
cfao_green_tour
Publisher
CFAO Group
Publication Date
2024-07-15
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official evidence of Abidjan–Bouaké BYD demonstration and charging-system promotion; not sales or stock.
Href
https://www.cfaogroup.com/en/promoting-green-mobility-in-cote-divoire/
aip_byd_tang
Publisher
Agence Ivoirienne de Presse
Publication Date
2025-02-22
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
AIP reports BYD Tang alongside Atto 3 and Dolphin distribution through LOXEA; model availability, not national ranking.
Href
https://www.aip.ci/cote-divoire-aip-un-nouveau-modele-de-vehicule-electrique-sur-le-marche-ivoirien/
brvm_cfao_2025
Publisher
BRVM
Publication Date
2026-07-13
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Primary listed-company report. Searchable relay used for detailed sales figures where the PDF was not text-extractable in this workflow.
Href
https://www.brvm.org/sites/default/files/20260713_-_rapport_annuel_-_exercice_2025_-_cfao_motors_ci.pdf
abidjan_eco_cfao
Publisher
Abidjan Eco
Publication Date
2026-07-16
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Secondary relay of company annual report: distributor new-vehicle market 29,995 in 2025 versus 26,271 in 2024; CFAO 12,486; BYD 51 versus 15. BYD total is not split BEV/PHEV and is not national EV sales or active stock.
Href
https://www.abidjan-eco.com/fr/article/cfao-mobility-cote-divoire-le-benefice-net-bondit-de-80-en-2025-grace-au-boom-automobile
mg_models
Publisher
MG Motor Côte d’Ivoire / HR Motors
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official dealer model catalogue includes the all-electric Cyberster and hybrids. Availability/stock and sales volumes are not disclosed.
Href
https://mgmotorci.com/models
mg_service
Publisher
MG Motor Côte d’Ivoire / HR Motors
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official dealer aftersales and workshop locations; warranty work must remain inside authorised channel.
Href
https://mgmotorci.com/mg-care
state_target
Publisher
Centre d’Information et de Communication Gouvernementale relay
Publication Date
2025-03-01
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Government-communications relay describes a narrower 10% target for the State fleet, conflicting with the June 2026 ministry page’s national-fleet framing. Both definitions are retained.
Href
https://news.abidjan.net/articles/739787/transports-transition-energetique-durable-le-gouvernement-ivoirien-vise-dici-a-2030-a-atteindre-10-de-vehicules-electriques-dans-le-parc-automobile-de-letat
le360_target
Publisher
Le360 / AFP
Publication Date
2025-03-03
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Independent corroboration of State-fleet framing and €5.9m Low Carbon Transition project, 2023–2026. Secondary source.
Href
https://afrique.le360.ma/societe/la-cote-divoire-ambitionne-datteindre-10-de-vehicules-electriques-dans-le-parc-automobile-de-letat_IYUASMD5EFAB5NFSK46JM2LQUM/
gef_project
Publisher
Commission Nationale du Fonds pour l’Environnement Mondial
Publication Date
2025-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official commission page: project financed at about USD1.6m; project activity, not a grant automatically available to EVS.
Href
https://cnfem.finances.gouv.ci/2025/08/13/integration-de-la-mobilite-electrique-aux-energies-renouvelables-dans-les-zones-periurbaines-et-rurales/
fdtr_platform
Publisher
Portail officiel du Gouvernement
Publication Date
2026-06-04
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official vehicle-fleet renewal financing and traceability context; not EV-specific demand.
Href
https://www.gouv.ci/actualite/lancement-de-la-plateforme-de-renouvellement-du-parc-automobile-le-fdtr-engage-une-nouvelle-dynamique-de-modernisation-et-de-financement-du-transport-routier-2285
registration_fast
Publisher
Ministère des Transports et des Affaires Maritimes
Publication Date
2026-02-16
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official digital new-vehicle registration procedure expanded to accredited dealers from 1 March 2026; useful route for future data diligence.
Href
https://transports.gouv.ci/actualites/immatriculation-acceleree-des-vehicules-neufsl-operation-demarre-des-le-1er-mars-2026
worldbank_country
Publisher
World Bank
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Current macro context: 6% real GDP growth in 2024 and 6.2% projected for 2025; not an EV-demand forecast.
Href
https://www.worldbank.org/ext/en/country/cotedivoire
imf_2025
Publisher
International Monetary Fund
Publication Date
2025-04-08
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Macroeconomic context and medium-term growth outlook; not EV market data.
Href
https://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/002/2025/091/article-A001-en.xml
worldbank_mobility
Publisher
World Bank
Publication Date
2019-06-27
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official older context: about 10m trips/day and 20km BRT plan. Mobility intensity, not EV stock.
Href
https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2019/06/27/cote-divoire-world-bank-approves-300-million-to-boost-urban-mass-transit-in-abidjan
energy_project
Publisher
Portail officiel du Gouvernement
Publication Date
2026-06-01
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official planned capacity and XOF423.166bn investment; project financing is not current site supply.
Href
https://www.gouv.ci/index.php/actualite/projet-dune-centrale-electrique-de-372mw-a-cycle-combine-a-songon-les-accords-financiers-signes-pour-un-investissement-global-de-423166-milliards-fcfa-7290
energy_audits
Publisher
Ministère des Mines, du Pétrole et de l’Énergie
Publication Date
2024-10-18
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official energy-efficiency compliance route; confirm threshold/applicability to the selected workshop.
Href
https://www.energie.gouv.ci/actualite/efficacite-energetique-le-ministere-en-charge-de-lenergie-lance-les-audits-obligatoires
anare
Publisher
ANARE-CI
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official electricity regulator and current tariff/complaints route. Site quote and connection study still required.
Href
https://anare.ci/
cepici_code
Publisher
CEPICI
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official investor one-stop shop lists Ordinance 2024-857 and approval process. Benefits are eligibility-, zone- and approval-specific.
Href
https://cepici.gouv.ci/agrement
dgi_tax_2025
Publisher
Direction générale des Impôts
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official analysis says the 2025 tax annex harmonised business-profit tax at 25%. Obtain current written tax advice for entity and activity.
Href
https://dgi.gouv.ci/assets/documents/EBOOK/BODGI_2025/files/basic-html/page109.html
service_idu
Publisher
Service Public de Côte d’Ivoire
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official enterprise IDU/CEPICI registration route; company formation does not replace sector approvals.
Href
https://servicepublic.gouv.ci/accueil/detaildemarcheparticulier/1/455/100
environment_code
Publisher
Ministère de l’Environnement
Publication Date
2024-10-18
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official confirmation of Law 2023-900 of 23 November 2023 and environmental management framework.
Href
https://web2.environnement.gouv.ci/index.php/actualite/534
environment_scope
Publisher
Ministère de l’Environnement
Publication Date
2023-06-01
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official explanation: EIES/AES/EESS, industrial/commercial/artisanal waste, e-waste and hazardous waste including lead are covered.
Href
https://environnement.gouv.ci/actualite/325
ddisc_oil
Publisher
Direction des Déchets Industriels et Substances Chimiques
Publication Date
2025-08-13
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official regulator page: 49 approvals issued across collection/treatment categories and national traceability system announced. EVS must use approved routes.
Href
https://ddisc.environnement.gouv.ci/atelier-de-remise-officielle-des-agrements-et-cahiers-des-charges-huiles-usagees-et-residus-dhydrocarbures/
ddisc_2026
Publisher
Direction des Déchets Industriels et Substances Chimiques
Publication Date
2026-03-02
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official current licensing window confirms regulated collection, transport, storage, recovery and disposal activity.
Href
https://ddisc.environnement.gouv.ci/6852-2/
artci_data
Publisher
ARTCI
Publication Date
2025-05-19
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official regulator reminder that private entities processing personal data fall under Law 2013-450 and privacy-by-design/default expectations.
Href
https://www.artci.ci/index.php/textes-de-reference/36-decrets.html
artci_compliance
Publisher
ARTCI
Publication Date
2026-03-02
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Current regulator evidence of national compliance assessment of public/private data controllers.
Href
https://www.artci.ci/index.php/decisions-129/243-decision-autorite-de-protection-1.html
cnps_employer
Publisher
CNPS
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official employer route: worker declaration from first day of employment and employer identification responsibilities.
Href
https://www.cnps.ci/employeur/
codinorm
Publisher
CODINORM
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official standards-body route. Obtain adopted EV, electrical, lifting and workshop standards/editions in writing.
Href
https://www.codinorm.ci/
iso_6469
Publisher
ISO
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
International HV safety benchmark; Côte d’Ivoire law and adopted standards control.
Href
https://www.iso.org/standard/45477.html
iso_17409
Publisher
ISO
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
International conductive charging interface benchmark; not proof of national adoption.
Href
https://www.iso.org/standard/68474.html
iec_61851
Publisher
IEC
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
International EVSE benchmark; local Energy Ministry, utility, installer and certification approvals control.
Href
https://webstore.iec.ch/en/publication/33644
un_tests
Publisher
UNECE
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
UN 38.3 lithium-battery transport testing context.
Href
https://unece.org/transport/dangerous-goods/rev8-files
basel
Publisher
Basel Convention Secretariat
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Transboundary hazardous-waste controls; national and destination-country permits also apply.
Href
https://www.basel.int/TheConvention/Overview/tabid/1271/Default.aspx
ilo_osh
Publisher
International Labour Organization
Publication Date
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
OSH management benchmark; does not replace Côte d’Ivoire labour and safety law.
Href
https://www.ilo.org/resource/other/guidelines-occupational-safety-and-health-management-systems-ilo-osh-2001
mixed_sources
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-11
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Rows and narrative retain their individual bracketed source identifiers; this registry entry only resolves block-level multi-source provenance.
Href
EVS://Cote-d-Ivoire/mixed-source-evidence
evs_model
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-11
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Internal assumptions and calculations; no assumption is presented as sourced fact.
Href
EVS://Cote-d-Ivoire/market-entry-model

Source: Côte d'Ivoire mixed-source evidence tables

Validation register

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Validation register

JSON / UTF-8
Status
Pass
Detail
Generated and reparsed.
Schema
Status
Pass
Detail
Required blocks, datasets, calculations and source registry present.
Calculations
Status
Pass
Detail
Gate SAM and annual/90-day economics recomputed.
Definition control
Status
Pass
Detail
Passenger plug-ins, all-vehicle parc, brand sales, target definitions, site chargers and plans remain separate.
Branding
Status
Pass
Detail
EVS Green #5BCC12, Silver #A7B3BB, charcoal/black, white/light grey and Inter; no blue.
Decision
Status
Pass
Detail
National TAM null, executable SOM zero and hard gates explicit.

Source: EVS Côte d'Ivoire decision-gate and pilot model

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Source register

50 primary and derived sources

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