Market IntelligenceAfrica

Mauritius

Mauritius EV Service Centre Market Entry

Decision-grade EVS market-entry assessment for a four-wheel electric-vehicle service centre in Mauritius.

Snapshot: 11 August 202631-page full report
Talk to the expansion team
Registrations
5,826

Cumulative 2012–2025 electric-car registrations; not active stock.

Locations
47

Directory-listed locations; operational connectors unaudited.

Jobs/year
1,636

EVS proxy central-corridor independent-reach service pool.

Years
1.195

Base simple payback after every launch gate.

Executive summary

The verdict in full

NO-GO for a standalone centre; CONDITIONAL GO for one reversible partner bay. Mauritius ended 2025 with 746,961 registered vehicles, including 423,869 cars/double-cab/dual-purpose vehicles [stats_road_2025]. An NLTA-attributed relay reports 5,826 cumulative electric-car registrations in 2012–2025, with 2,374 in 2025 and about 84% registered in 2023–2025 [mycar_nlta]. This is registration flow, not active BEV/PHEV stock.

EVS applies explicit 90% active, 65% central-corridor and 40% independent-reach assumptions, producing about 1,363 SAM vehicles, 1,636 jobs and MUR9.816m annual service revenue [evs_model]. Executable SOM remains zero until registry, legal, capability, paid-demand and safety gates pass.

Use a MUR700,000 capped partner bay in Moka–Pailles–Ebène–Phoenix only after proof. No property, territory sale, speculative parts inventory or traction-pack custody.

Board Verdict

Reject standalone premises and a master franchise. Authorise registry/legal diligence and one pre-booked central-corridor partner bay after every hard gate passes.

Decision Summary

Entry verdict
Decision
NO-GO STANDALONE / CONDITIONAL PARTNER BAY
Reason
The evidenced young fleet supports a reversible central-corridor pilot, not permanent premises or a master franchise.
Capital
Decision
CAP
Reason
Maximum MUR700,000 reversible tools, training, PPE and bay controls; no property or speculative inventory.
Franchise
Decision
DEFER
Reason
No territory sale until the 90-day gate and 12 months of positive partner-bay evidence.
Battery
Decision
HOLD
Reason
No traction-pack opening, module repair, storage, transport, repurposing or disposal custody at launch.
Geography
Decision
CENTRAL CORRIDOR
Reason
Port Louis–Moka–Plaines Wilhems first; mobile referral coverage elsewhere.

A fast-forming but still small and young electric-car cohort

The 5,826 figure is a cumulative NLTA-attributed registration flow, not verified active stock [mycar_nlta]. The official total parc does not separate powertrain [stats_road_2025].

Mauritius electric-car registration signals

Cumulative/recent/annual flows; not active BEV/PHEV stock.

932
4,894
2,374
5,826
0
2012–2022 residual
2023–2025 combined
2025 annual flow
2012–2025 cumulative
Current active stock

Market KPIs

Registered vehicles
Value
746,961
Unit
vehicles
Period
End-2025
Evidence
Official NLTA-based stock [stats_road_2025].
Net fleet increase
Value
36,356
Unit
vehicles
Period
2025
Evidence
746,961 less 710,605 [stats_road_2025].
Vehicles joining fleet
Value
42,630
Unit
vehicles
Period
2025
Evidence
All vehicle classes [stats_road_2025].
Vehicles put out of circulation
Value
6,274
Unit
vehicles
Period
2025
Evidence
All vehicle classes [stats_road_2025].
Cars/double-cab/dual-purpose parc
Value
423,869
Unit
vehicles
Period
End-2025
Evidence
Official combined class; powertrain not separated [stats_road_2025].
Electric-car registrations
Value
5,826
Unit
cumulative registrations
Period
2012–2025
Evidence
NLTA-attributed commercial relay; not active stock [mycar_nlta].
Electric-car registrations
Value
2,374
Unit
registrations
Period
2025
Evidence
Strongest annual flow in NLTA-attributed relay [mycar_nlta].
Recent electric-car registrations
Value
84
Unit
percent approximately
Period
2023–2025 share of 2012–2025
Evidence
Young cohort signal [mycar_nlta].
Authoritative active passenger/light-commercial BEV stock
Value
Unit
vehicles
Period
As of access date
Evidence
No fuel-by-class active registry extract located.
Authoritative active PHEV stock
Value
Unit
vehicles
Period
As of access date
Evidence
MRA distinguishes PHEVs for tax, but a stock table was not located [mra_motor].

Definition-controlled Mauritius EV observations

2012–2022 residual
BEV
PHEV (unavailable)
BEV used in model
932
Scope
Derived cumulative electric-car registrations before the recent three-year surge; PHEV treatment unknown [mycar_nlta] [evs_model].
2023–2025 combined
BEV
PHEV (unavailable)
BEV used in model
4,894
Scope
Approximate 84% of cumulative electric-car registrations; not active stock [mycar_nlta] [evs_model].
2025 annual flow
BEV
2,374
PHEV (unavailable)
BEV used in model
2,374
Scope
Reported as electric cars; source does not publish a separate PHEV row [mycar_nlta].
2012–2025 cumulative
BEV
5,826
PHEV (unavailable)
BEV used in model
5,826
Scope
Registration-flow total used as planning denominator, not verified active stock [mycar_nlta].
Current active stock
BEV
PHEV (unavailable)
BEV used in model
Scope
Authoritative active BEV/PHEV class/status/region extract unavailable.

Definitions change the investment answer

Registration flow, active stock, BEV, PHEV, conventional hybrid, vehicle class, charging site and connector are distinct.

Definition reconciliation

Electric-car registrations
Included
Planning denominator only
Use
NLTA-attributed cumulative flow; does not prove active stock or PHEV treatment [mycar_nlta].
Active BEV passenger/light-commercial stock
Included
After registry proof
Use
Core serviceable pool.
PHEV
Included
Only when registry separates it
Use
Included for non-engine/HV tasks; not estimated as a fact.
Conventional hybrid
Included
No
Use
Not externally chargeable; MRA tax category kept separate [mra_motor].
Electric vans/pick-ups
Included
After active-class proof
Use
Fleet opportunity; 84 vans and 53 double-cab EV registrations are cumulative flows [mycar_nlta].
Electric buses
Included
No at launch
Use
18 cumulative registrations plus 2026 donations are depot/OEM scope [mycar_nlta].
Charging station
Included
Context only
Use
Electromaps lists 47 locations; live connectors and uptime not regulator-verified [electromaps].
1,263 electric cars at Oct 2024
Included
No in sizing
Use
Authoritative secondary statement conflicts in grain/time with cumulative NLTA-attributed series [trade_energy].

Forecasts are planning ranges

The five-year cases end in 2030 and start from cumulative 2025 registrations, not active stock.

Five-year cumulative-registration proxies

EVS 2030 planning scenarios, not official forecasts.

Cautious9,383
Base13,328
HighBase case20,018

Five-year cumulative-registration planning scenarios

Cautious
Annual Growth Pct
10
Planning proxy in 2030
9,383
Interpretation
2030 cumulative-registration proxy after tax-support withdrawal; not official forecast [evs_model].
Base
Annual Growth Pct
18
Planning proxy in 2030
13,328
Interpretation
Planning case if financing, model supply and charging improve [evs_model].
High
Annual Growth Pct
28
Planning proxy in 2030
20,018
Interpretation
Stress case from a cumulative-flow denominator; not active-stock evidence [evs_model].
Get the full Mauritius analysis
Competitive matrix, location shortlist, incentives, pilot-centre economics and the 90-day entry plan — sent to your inbox.

Public charging is visible but not regulator-audited

Electromaps lists 47 locations, while CEB operates application schemes for public service providers and solar-linked EV charging [electromaps] [ceb_ev_providers] [ceb_solar_ev].

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Charging-directory evidence

Listed locations, not verified live connectors.

47
7
8
6
1
0
0
0
Directory-listed stations
Moka named categories
Plaines Wilhems named categories
Port Louis named categories
CEB public-service-provider scheme
Audited operational sites
Audited operational connectors
National charger uptime/utilisation

Charging evidence and unknowns

Directory-listed stations
Value
47
Unit
locations
Period
Accessed Aug 2026
Status
User-maintained directory; audit access, power, connectors and uptime [electromaps].
Moka named categories
Value
7
Unit
locations
Period
Accessed Aug 2026
Status
Moka District 5 plus Moka 2 in directory taxonomy [electromaps].
Plaines Wilhems named categories
Value
8
Unit
locations
Period
Accessed Aug 2026
Status
Plaines Wilhems District 5 plus Plaines Wilhems 3 [electromaps].
Port Louis named categories
Value
6
Unit
locations
Period
Accessed Aug 2026
Status
Port Louis 5 plus Port Louis District 1 [electromaps].
CEB public-service-provider scheme
Value
1
Unit
active scheme
Period
Current
Status
Application, PV and connection controls apply [ceb_ev_providers].
Audited operational sites
Value
Unit
sites
Period
As of access date
Status
No regulator/CEB live national site register located.
Audited operational connectors
Value
Unit
connectors
Period
As of access date
Status
Unavailable; locations are not connectors.
National charger uptime/utilisation
Value
Unit
percent
Period
As of access date
Status
Unavailable.

Youth delays independent reach

About 84% of cumulative electric-car registrations occurred in 2023–2025, increasing OEM/warranty influence [mycar_nlta].

Vehicle parc and service demand

Recent electric-car cohort
Value
84
Unit
percent registered 2023–2025
Implication
Most reported registrations remain young and likely OEM/warranty influenced [mycar_nlta].
Annual electric-car flow
Value
2,374
Unit
registrations in 2025
Implication
Rapid cohort formation; future warranty expiry matters [mycar_nlta].
Active status by first-registration year
Value
Unit
vehicles
Implication
Apply a 90% factor only as a planning assumption.
PHEV age/make/model
Value
Unit
vehicles
Implication
Exclude from factual stock; capture during registry diligence.
All-parc removals
Value
6,274
Unit
vehicles in 2025
Implication
Cumulative registrations cannot equal active stock [stats_road_2025].
Wear/climate service mix
Value
Unit
jobs
Implication
Measure tyres, suspension, brakes, HVAC, 12V, cooling and charge-fault demand from paid inspections.

The current pool supports a partner bay, not premises

Every discount is an EVS assumption replaceable by registry and paid-job evidence.

Current proxy service-pool jobs

Cumulative registrations to central-corridor independent-reach SAM; SOM zero.

6,991
6,292
4,090
1,636
0
Cumulative registration denominator
National active proxy
Central-corridor active proxy
Independent-reach SAM
Executable SOM

Sizing assumptions

Cumulative electric-car denominator
Value
5,826
Unit
registrations
Basis
NLTA-attributed 2012–2025 flow [mycar_nlta].
Active factor
Value
90
Unit
percent
Basis
Discounts removals/export/dormancy pending active registry [evs_model].
Central-corridor concentration
Value
65
Unit
percent
Basis
EVS assumption informed by commercial/dealer/charger clustering; no regional vehicle table [evs_model].
Independent reach
Value
40
Unit
percent
Basis
Discounts young warranty cohort, OEM preference and unsupported VIN/tasks [evs_model].
Annual events
Value
1.2
Unit
jobs/vehicle
Basis
Diagnostics/wear/fleet-inspection planning assumption [evs_model].
Average repair order
Value
6,000
Unit
MUR/job
Basis
EVS base quote target; validate with paid invoices [evs_model].
Gross margin
Value
62
Unit
percent
Basis
Base blended labour/parts assumption [evs_model].
Reversible capex
Value
700,000
Unit
MUR
Basis
Partner-bay tools, PPE, isolation, rescue and training ceiling [evs_model].
Annual fixed opex
Value
1,200,000
Unit
MUR/year
Basis
Incremental partner-bay cost ceiling [evs_model].
Executable SOM before gates
Value
0
Unit
jobs/revenue
Basis
No demand is booked before proof [evs_model].

TAM / SAM / SOM

Cumulative registration denominator
Vehicles
5,826
Jobs Per Year
6,991
Revenue MUR
41,946,000
Status
Not active stock; planning upper denominator [mycar_nlta].
National active proxy
Vehicles
5,243
Jobs Per Year
6,292
Revenue MUR
37,752,000
Status
Cumulative registrations × 90% active assumption [evs_model].
Central-corridor active proxy
Vehicles
3,408
Jobs Per Year
4,090
Revenue MUR
24,540,000
Status
National active proxy × 65% geographic concentration [evs_model].
2 more rows in the full report

Fleet evidence is the best entry wedge

Rental, hospitality and corporate fleets can prove repeatable VINs, uptime value and willingness to pay.

Customer segments

Private Nissan/BMW early-adopter owners
Need
Battery-health screen, diagnostics, 12V/HVAC/wear, charging faults and honest OEM referral.
Priority
1
BYD/Kia/MG/new-brand owners
Need
Warranty-safe inspections and non-invasive service; OEM warranty remains central.
Priority
1
Rental, hospitality and corporate fleets
Need
Uptime, fixed-price inspection, tyres/brakes/suspension and quarterly evidence.
Priority
1
Imported used-EV owners
Need
VIN/task coverage, charge-port/range diagnosis, thermal/cooling checks and parts pathway.
Priority
2
Electric vans/pick-ups
Need
Fleet uptime and payload/wear focus; active count not proven.
Priority
2 after registry
Electric buses
Need
Heavy-lift, depot EVSE and bus-HV competence; excluded at launch.
Priority
OEM/depot only

Fleet segments

Rental/hospitality fleet
Entry Product
Paid 15–30 vehicle baseline and charging-readiness audit
Evidence Gate
One paid 15+ vehicle trial with VINs.
Corporate/utility fleet
Entry Product
Quarterly preventive inspection and downtime report
Evidence Gate
Supported VINs, duty cycles and paid SLA.
Dealer overflow
Entry Product
Defined non-warranty labour and evidence pack
Evidence Gate
Written warranty/referral/data/parts boundaries.
Used-import dealer
Entry Product
Pre-sale health and safety certificate
Evidence Gate
Consumer-law review and calibrated-tool process.
Light-commercial fleet
Entry Product
Mobile inspection plus partner-bay repair
Evidence Gate
Active LCV registry and lift/tool capacity.
Bus operator
Entry Product
No launch offer
Evidence Gate
OEM/tender approval, heavy facility, battery route and depot electrical approval.
Get the full Mauritius analysis
Competitive matrix, location shortlist, incentives, pilot-centre economics and the 90-day entry plan — sent to your inbox.

Nissan and BMW dominate the cumulative cohort

The top five makes account for about 66.1% of cumulative electric-car registrations [mycar_nlta].

Priority brands — no audited market shares located

BEV
Brand
Nissan
Units
1,304
Share of H1 2026 BEVs (%)
22.4
Source
Cumulative electric-car registrations; not active stock [mycar_nlta].
BEV
Brand
BMW
Units
1,258
Share of H1 2026 BEVs (%)
21.6
Source
Cumulative electric-car registrations; not active stock [mycar_nlta].
BEV
Brand
BYD
Units
563
Share of H1 2026 BEVs (%)
9.7
Source
Cumulative electric-car registrations; not active stock [mycar_nlta].
BEV
Brand
Kia
Units
461
Share of H1 2026 BEVs (%)
7.9
Source
Cumulative electric-car registrations; not active stock [mycar_nlta].
BEV
Brand
MG
Units
265
Share of H1 2026 BEVs (%)
4.5
Source
Cumulative electric-car registrations; not active stock [mycar_nlta].
BEV
Brand
Top five combined
Units
3,851
Share of H1 2026 BEVs (%)
66.1
Source
Derived/quoted cumulative share [mycar_nlta].

Priority models

Nissan
Model
Leaf
Powertrain
BEV
Signal
Largest cumulative make cohort and official ABC/Nissan service channel [mycar_nlta] [nissan_dealer].
BMW / MINI
Model
i3, i4, iX family and MINI Electric
Powertrain
BEV
Signal
Large cumulative premium cohort; Leal aftersales is material [mycar_nlta] [leal_after].
BYD
Model
Atto 3, Dolphin, Seal
Powertrain
BEV
Signal
Fast-growing current portfolio; long OEM warranty limits independent reach [byd_service].
Kia
Model
Niro EV / EV-series
Powertrain
BEV
Signal
United Motors dealer/service presence [kia_dealer].
MG
Model
ZS EV / MG4-class
Powertrain
BEV
Signal
Cumulative cohort; confirm current official importer and VIN support before tools.
Porsche and newer imports
Model
Taycan, Macan Electric, XPENG and others
Powertrain
BEV
Signal
Premium/fragmented opportunity with OEM/software/referral constraints [porsche] [axess].

OEM aftersales is strong

ABC, Leal, United Motors, BYD, Axess and Porsche materially constrain independent reach [abc_after] [leal_after] [byd_service] [kia_dealer] [axess] [porsche].

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Competitor map

ABC Motors / Nissan
Type
OEM-authorised channel
Footprint
Port Louis and Phoenix
Threat
High for largest cumulative brand and warranty vehicles
Response
Referral compact; focus lawful multi-brand non-warranty work [abc_after] [nissan_dealer].
Leal Group / BMW, MINI, Kia, BYD
Type
OEM/multi-brand channel
Footprint
Pailles and Forbach
Threat
Very high across premium and new EV cohort
Response
Do not challenge warranty; seek overflow/referral and fleet-neutral inspections [leal_after] [byd_service] [kia_dealer].
4 more rows in the full report

Central corridor first

Moka–Pailles–Ebène–Phoenix balances access, dealers, corporate fleets and directory-listed charging.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Priority regions

1
Region
Moka–Pailles–Ebène–Phoenix
Rationale
Central access, dealer concentration, corporate fleets and charger-directory density [electromaps] [leal_after] [axess].
Mode
Conditional partner bay
4 more rows in the full report

Consumer EV support reversed in 2025

Excise duties returned, the MUR200,000 negative-excise scheme ended, first-registration duty rose and the licence concession was removed [budget_2025] [pwc_budget].

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Consumer incentives

BEV excise duty
Status
15% up to 180 kW; 25% above 180 kW
Implication
Current import-cost headwind versus the prior exemption [mra_motor].
PHEV excise duty
Status
0%–55% by engine capacity
Implication
Powertrain and engine definition controls; do not combine PHEV with conventional hybrid [mra_motor].
4 more rows in the full report

Business incentives

Premium Investor Certificate
Status
Bespoke; generally ≥MUR500m or specified manufacturing
Action
Pilot excludes benefits; apply only with written EDB approval [edb_premium].
Energy transition investment
Status
MUR30bn programme / >35% renewable goal by 2028
Action
Relevant to charging/grid partners, not direct workshop subsidy [edb_energy_2025].
4 more rows in the full report

Standard tax treatment applies

Corporate income tax is 15%, VAT is 15%, VAT registration generally begins at MUR3m and qualifying companies can face Fair Share Contribution [mra_cit] [mra_vat] [mra_vat_threshold] [mra_fsc].

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Tax and customs baseline

Corporate income tax
Rate
15% standard
Treatment
No special workshop rate assumed [mra_cit].
Fair Share Contribution
Rate
5% for qualifying 15%-tax companies
Treatment
Applies when statutory MUR24m supplies/chargeable-income conditions are met during 1 Jul 2025–30 Jun 2028 [mra_fsc].
5 more rows in the full report

Registration is only the first approval

The partner bay needs activity, use, workplace, electrical, waste, data, tax, labour and insurance evidence.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Licensing path

Company/business registration
Authority
CBRD
Evidence
Certificate, business registration number and registered activity [companies_reg].
Classified trade / automotive workshop
Authority
CBRD + local authority
Evidence
Written classification, fee/exemption and current payment evidence [mcci_tradefees] [edb_get_started].
9 more rows in the full report

Labour and safety obligations

Business and employer registration
Owner
Country GM + payroll
Control
CBRD/MRA records before hiring [companies_reg].
Workers Rights / remuneration regulations
Owner
HR counsel
Control
Apply current Electrical, Engineering and Mechanical Workshops order and employment terms [labour_wage].
5 more rows in the full report

High-voltage safety is the operating system

No national EV-specific technician licence was located; that absence does not authorise work.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

High-voltage controls

Authorised task matrix
Required Evidence
Technician × VIN × voltage × task × procedure × tool/data source.
De-energise and prove dead
Required Evidence
OEM isolation, lockout/tagout, wait time, approved tester and independent verification.
PPE and insulated tools
Required Evidence
Voltage-rated, inspected and traceable issue register.
Test-equipment calibration
Required Evidence
Traceable calibration for DC voltage, resistance and torque; MSB route available [msb_calibration].
Bay segregation and signage
Required Evidence
Controlled access, key custody, rescue hook, barriers and no lone work.
Damaged/high-voltage battery vehicle
Required Evidence
Quarantine/referral procedure; no charging, lifting or pack access without written assessment.
Standards hierarchy
Required Evidence
Mauritian law/CEB/URA/MSB and OEM instructions control; ISO 6469-3 is only a benchmark [iso_6469] [msb_standards].

Traction-battery custody is a launch no-go

A registered downstream route for ordinary workshop waste does not automatically authorise damaged traction-pack storage, transport or export [swmd_law] [basel].

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Battery and waste routes

12V batteries
Rule
Segregate and route through registered downstream provider.
Route
Document quantity, handover and recycler evidence [swmd] [swmd_law].
Tyres and waste oil
Rule
Apply registered carrier/recycler and waste-oil controls.
Route
No drain/landfill disposal; retain manifests [swmd] [swmd_law].
5 more rows in the full report

Launch high-frequency, low-custody services

Diagnostics, wear, thermal/HVAC and fleet evidence fit the partner-bay envelope.

Recommended service portfolio

Launch
Service
Paid EV inspection and scan
Include
DTCs, safety, tyres, brakes, suspension, 12V, thermal/HVAC visual checks
Exclude
Pack opening, unsupported coding.
Launch
Service
Battery-health screen
Include
Non-invasive OEM/validated data and transparent limitations
Exclude
Warranty claims, capacity guarantee, module work.
Launch
Service
Wear and chassis
Include
Tyres, alignment, brakes, bearings, suspension and wipers
Exclude
Unsupported ADAS calibration.
Launch
Service
Thermal/HVAC
Include
Low-risk diagnosis and qualified refrigerant work
Exclude
HV compressor/pack cooling without VIN/task authorisation.
Launch
Service
Fleet evidence
Include
Baseline, preventive schedule, defect severity and downtime dashboard
Exclude
Unverified predictive claims.
Phase 2
Service
Charging fault diagnosis
Include
Vehicle-side checks and qualified fixed-installation partner referral
Exclude
Unlicensed public EVSE installation [ceb_ev_providers] [iec_61851].
Excluded
Service
Traction-pack work
Include
None
Exclude
Removal, opening, module repair, storage, transport, repurposing and disposal custody.

A scheduled partner bay protects learning capital

Use an existing compliant operator and a capped EVS standard; do not create a new fixed-cost base.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Operating model

Format
Recommendation
One scheduled partner bay in Moka–Pailles–Ebène–Phoenix; no new lease.
Partner
Recommendation
Existing licensed automotive workshop with OSH, fire, electrical, waste and insurance evidence.
Brand
Recommendation
EVS operating standard, booking, QA and evidence layer; partner remains premises employer/operator.
Staffing
Recommendation
Two assessed technicians, one service adviser, shared HSE/finance; no lone HV work.
Hours
Recommendation
Booked clinic blocks first; scale only after utilisation proof.
Parts
Recommendation
Job-bounded ordering and supplier provenance; no speculative traction-battery inventory.
Data
Recommendation
VIN/task capability matrix, consent, privacy notice and controlled retention.
Franchise
Recommendation
Management licence/pilot only; no master territory before 12-month gate.
Expansion
Recommendation
Mobile/collection coverage north/west; second bay only after positive evidence.

Economics are conditional but workable

Base steady state assumes 480 jobs, MUR6,000 ARO, 62% gross margin and MUR1.2m fixed opex [evs_model].

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Conditional partner-bay EBITDA

MUR; EVS assumptions.

Cautious-540,000
Base585,600
HighBase case1,476,000

Annual central-corridor partner-bay economics — MUR

Cautious
Jobs
240
ARO MUR
5,000
Revenue MUR
1,200,000
Gross Margin Pct
55
Gross Profit MUR
660,000
Opex MUR
1,200,000
Ebitda MUR
-540,000
Payback Years
2 more rows in the full report

90-day partner-bay economics — MUR

Cautious
Jobs 90d
60
Revenue MUR
300,000
Gross Profit MUR
165,000
Opex MUR
300,000
Ebitda MUR
-135,000
2 more rows in the full report

Denominator, warranty and utilisation dominate risk

The largest error is treating cumulative registrations or directory chargers as live service demand.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Risks and mitigations

Cumulative registrations treated as active stock
Likelihood
High
Impact
High
Mitigation
Obtain active class/status/region extract; keep 90% factor labelled.
PHEV/HEV definition error
Likelihood
High
Impact
High
Mitigation
Require fuel/powertrain field and exclude conventional hybrids.
OEM/warranty lock-in
Likelihood
High
Impact
High
Mitigation
40% reach assumption, referral compacts and non-warranty scope.
Demand shock from 2025 tax reversal
Likelihood
Medium–high
Impact
High
Mitigation
Use 10% cautious forecast and reversible capex [budget_2025] [pwc_budget].
Low partner-bay utilisation
Likelihood
Medium
Impact
High
Mitigation
60 bookings plus paid fleet trial before spend; day-90 stop gate.
VIN/tool/data fragmentation
Likelihood
High
Impact
Medium–high
Mitigation
Top-20 VIN/task matrix and ≥85% supported sample gate.
HV/fire incident
Likelihood
Low–medium
Impact
Severe
Mitigation
No pack custody, two-person controls, drill, insurance and serious-incident override.
Unlawful battery/waste custody
Likelihood
Medium
Impact
Severe
Mitigation
Written SWMD classification and registered downstream route before custody.
Public-charger directory overstates availability
Likelihood
High
Impact
Medium
Mitigation
Field-audit all 47 entries; do not use charger count as demand denominator.
Tax/permit scope changes
Likelihood
Medium
Impact
Medium
Mitigation
Dated MRA/NELS/local-authority counsel sign-off before launch.

90 days from registry truth to paid proof

Evidence must precede tools, inventory and premises.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

90-day entry plan

0–15
Objective
Establish registry truth
Actions
Obtain active BEV/PHEV extract by class, region, status, first registration, make/model and lawful VIN sample.
Owner
Country lead + data counsel
Deliverable
Dated registry and definition memo.
7 more rows in the full report

Explicit go / no-go gates

Failure stops or redesigns the pilot.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Go / no-go gates

Registry
Go
≥4,500 active passenger/light-commercial BEV/PHEVs nationally and ≥2,500 in the central corridor, with class/status/region/age/make separated.
No-Go
Only cumulative electric-car registrations, all-vehicle stock or unseparated hybrid counts.
6 more rows in the full report

Methodology

Current Mauritian sources are prioritised, definitions reconciled and assumptions exposed.

Methodology

1. Geography control
Method
Ledger rank 114 locked before research; exactly one geography processed.
2. Source hierarchy
Method
Mauritian government/regulator/OEM sources first; commercial and directory claims labelled.
3. Definition control
Method
Cumulative registrations, active stock, BEV, PHEV, conventional HEV, class, site and connector remain separate.
4. History
Method
Only reported cumulative/recent/2025 electric-car registration grains are shown; unavailable PHEV fields are null.
5. Current active proxy
Method
5,826 cumulative registrations × 90% active assumption.
6. Serviceable pool
Method
Active proxy × 65% central corridor × 40% independent reach × 1.20 events × MUR6,000 ARO.
7. Forecasts
Method
10%/18%/28% five-year planning growth applied to the 2025 cumulative-registration denominator; not official forecasts.
8. Charger control
Method
47 directory locations are context; no regulator-verified sites/connectors/uptime were found.
9. Economics
Method
Jobs × ARO = revenue; revenue × gross margin = gross profit; gross profit − fixed opex = EBITDA; capex/positive EBITDA = simple payback.
10. Currency and tax
Method
Nominal MUR, VAT-exclusive; no grant, tax benefit, financing, working capital, depreciation or owner tax included.
11. Validation
Method
JSON reparse, required sections, dataset/source references, SQL snapshots, calculations, branding, residue and gates checked.
12. Decision rule
Method
Executable SOM is zero until every launch gate passes; serious HV/fire event overrides commercial results.

Source register

Publication/access dates, role and limitations are recorded. Obtain and archive the underlying NLTA fuel-by-class extract during diligence.

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Final decision

NO-GO: standalone centre, master franchise, property, speculative inventory, traction-pack custody or unlicensed charging. CONDITIONAL GO: one booked central-corridor partner bay only after every hard gate passes. Reassess at day 90 and month 12.

Source register

51 primary and derived sources

Show
  1. 14ura
  2. 34dpo

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