Mauritius
Mauritius EV Service Centre Market Entry
Decision-grade EVS market-entry assessment for a four-wheel electric-vehicle service centre in Mauritius.
Cumulative 2012–2025 electric-car registrations; not active stock.
Directory-listed locations; operational connectors unaudited.
EVS proxy central-corridor independent-reach service pool.
Base simple payback after every launch gate.
The verdict in full
NO-GO for a standalone centre; CONDITIONAL GO for one reversible partner bay. Mauritius ended 2025 with 746,961 registered vehicles, including 423,869 cars/double-cab/dual-purpose vehicles [stats_road_2025]. An NLTA-attributed relay reports 5,826 cumulative electric-car registrations in 2012–2025, with 2,374 in 2025 and about 84% registered in 2023–2025 [mycar_nlta]. This is registration flow, not active BEV/PHEV stock.
EVS applies explicit 90% active, 65% central-corridor and 40% independent-reach assumptions, producing about 1,363 SAM vehicles, 1,636 jobs and MUR9.816m annual service revenue [evs_model]. Executable SOM remains zero until registry, legal, capability, paid-demand and safety gates pass.
Use a MUR700,000 capped partner bay in Moka–Pailles–Ebène–Phoenix only after proof. No property, territory sale, speculative parts inventory or traction-pack custody.
Board Verdict
Reject standalone premises and a master franchise. Authorise registry/legal diligence and one pre-booked central-corridor partner bay after every hard gate passes.
Decision Summary
| Dimension | Decision | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| Entry verdict | NO-GO STANDALONE / CONDITIONAL PARTNER BAY | The evidenced young fleet supports a reversible central-corridor pilot, not permanent premises or a master franchise. |
| Capital | CAP | Maximum MUR700,000 reversible tools, training, PPE and bay controls; no property or speculative inventory. |
| Franchise | DEFER | No territory sale until the 90-day gate and 12 months of positive partner-bay evidence. |
| Battery | HOLD | No traction-pack opening, module repair, storage, transport, repurposing or disposal custody at launch. |
| Geography | CENTRAL CORRIDOR | Port Louis–Moka–Plaines Wilhems first; mobile referral coverage elsewhere. |
- Decision
- NO-GO STANDALONE / CONDITIONAL PARTNER BAY
- Reason
- The evidenced young fleet supports a reversible central-corridor pilot, not permanent premises or a master franchise.
- Decision
- CAP
- Reason
- Maximum MUR700,000 reversible tools, training, PPE and bay controls; no property or speculative inventory.
- Decision
- DEFER
- Reason
- No territory sale until the 90-day gate and 12 months of positive partner-bay evidence.
- Decision
- HOLD
- Reason
- No traction-pack opening, module repair, storage, transport, repurposing or disposal custody at launch.
- Decision
- CENTRAL CORRIDOR
- Reason
- Port Louis–Moka–Plaines Wilhems first; mobile referral coverage elsewhere.
A fast-forming but still small and young electric-car cohort
The 5,826 figure is a cumulative NLTA-attributed registration flow, not verified active stock [mycar_nlta]. The official total parc does not separate powertrain [stats_road_2025].
Mauritius electric-car registration signals
Cumulative/recent/annual flows; not active BEV/PHEV stock.
Market KPIs
| Metric | Value | Unit | Period | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Registered vehicles | 746,961 | vehicles | End-2025 | Official NLTA-based stock [stats_road_2025]. |
| Net fleet increase | 36,356 | vehicles | 2025 | 746,961 less 710,605 [stats_road_2025]. |
| Vehicles joining fleet | 42,630 | vehicles | 2025 | All vehicle classes [stats_road_2025]. |
| Vehicles put out of circulation | 6,274 | vehicles | 2025 | All vehicle classes [stats_road_2025]. |
| Cars/double-cab/dual-purpose parc | 423,869 | vehicles | End-2025 | Official combined class; powertrain not separated [stats_road_2025]. |
| Electric-car registrations | 5,826 | cumulative registrations | 2012–2025 | NLTA-attributed commercial relay; not active stock [mycar_nlta]. |
| Electric-car registrations | 2,374 | registrations | 2025 | Strongest annual flow in NLTA-attributed relay [mycar_nlta]. |
| Recent electric-car registrations | 84 | percent approximately | 2023–2025 share of 2012–2025 | Young cohort signal [mycar_nlta]. |
| Authoritative active passenger/light-commercial BEV stock | — | vehicles | As of access date | No fuel-by-class active registry extract located. |
| Authoritative active PHEV stock | — | vehicles | As of access date | MRA distinguishes PHEVs for tax, but a stock table was not located [mra_motor]. |
- Value
- 746,961
- Unit
- vehicles
- Period
- End-2025
- Evidence
- Official NLTA-based stock [stats_road_2025].
- Value
- 36,356
- Unit
- vehicles
- Period
- 2025
- Evidence
- 746,961 less 710,605 [stats_road_2025].
- Value
- 42,630
- Unit
- vehicles
- Period
- 2025
- Evidence
- All vehicle classes [stats_road_2025].
- Value
- 6,274
- Unit
- vehicles
- Period
- 2025
- Evidence
- All vehicle classes [stats_road_2025].
- Value
- 423,869
- Unit
- vehicles
- Period
- End-2025
- Evidence
- Official combined class; powertrain not separated [stats_road_2025].
- Value
- 5,826
- Unit
- cumulative registrations
- Period
- 2012–2025
- Evidence
- NLTA-attributed commercial relay; not active stock [mycar_nlta].
- Value
- 2,374
- Unit
- registrations
- Period
- 2025
- Evidence
- Strongest annual flow in NLTA-attributed relay [mycar_nlta].
- Value
- 84
- Unit
- percent approximately
- Period
- 2023–2025 share of 2012–2025
- Evidence
- Young cohort signal [mycar_nlta].
- Value
- —
- Unit
- vehicles
- Period
- As of access date
- Evidence
- No fuel-by-class active registry extract located.
- Value
- —
- Unit
- vehicles
- Period
- As of access date
- Evidence
- MRA distinguishes PHEVs for tax, but a stock table was not located [mra_motor].
Definition-controlled Mauritius EV observations
| Period | BEV | PHEV (unavailable) | BEV used in model | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012–2022 residual | — | — | 932 | Derived cumulative electric-car registrations before the recent three-year surge; PHEV treatment unknown [mycar_nlta] [evs_model]. |
| 2023–2025 combined | — | — | 4,894 | Approximate 84% of cumulative electric-car registrations; not active stock [mycar_nlta] [evs_model]. |
| 2025 annual flow | 2,374 | — | 2,374 | Reported as electric cars; source does not publish a separate PHEV row [mycar_nlta]. |
| 2012–2025 cumulative | 5,826 | — | 5,826 | Registration-flow total used as planning denominator, not verified active stock [mycar_nlta]. |
| Current active stock | — | — | — | Authoritative active BEV/PHEV class/status/region extract unavailable. |
- BEV
- —
- PHEV (unavailable)
- —
- BEV used in model
- 932
- Scope
- Derived cumulative electric-car registrations before the recent three-year surge; PHEV treatment unknown [mycar_nlta] [evs_model].
- BEV
- —
- PHEV (unavailable)
- —
- BEV used in model
- 4,894
- Scope
- Approximate 84% of cumulative electric-car registrations; not active stock [mycar_nlta] [evs_model].
- BEV
- 2,374
- PHEV (unavailable)
- —
- BEV used in model
- 2,374
- Scope
- Reported as electric cars; source does not publish a separate PHEV row [mycar_nlta].
- BEV
- 5,826
- PHEV (unavailable)
- —
- BEV used in model
- 5,826
- Scope
- Registration-flow total used as planning denominator, not verified active stock [mycar_nlta].
- BEV
- —
- PHEV (unavailable)
- —
- BEV used in model
- —
- Scope
- Authoritative active BEV/PHEV class/status/region extract unavailable.
Definitions change the investment answer
Registration flow, active stock, BEV, PHEV, conventional hybrid, vehicle class, charging site and connector are distinct.
Definition reconciliation
| Term | Included | Use |
|---|---|---|
| Electric-car registrations | Planning denominator only | NLTA-attributed cumulative flow; does not prove active stock or PHEV treatment [mycar_nlta]. |
| Active BEV passenger/light-commercial stock | After registry proof | Core serviceable pool. |
| PHEV | Only when registry separates it | Included for non-engine/HV tasks; not estimated as a fact. |
| Conventional hybrid | No | Not externally chargeable; MRA tax category kept separate [mra_motor]. |
| Electric vans/pick-ups | After active-class proof | Fleet opportunity; 84 vans and 53 double-cab EV registrations are cumulative flows [mycar_nlta]. |
| Electric buses | No at launch | 18 cumulative registrations plus 2026 donations are depot/OEM scope [mycar_nlta]. |
| Charging station | Context only | Electromaps lists 47 locations; live connectors and uptime not regulator-verified [electromaps]. |
| 1,263 electric cars at Oct 2024 | No in sizing | Authoritative secondary statement conflicts in grain/time with cumulative NLTA-attributed series [trade_energy]. |
- Included
- Planning denominator only
- Use
- NLTA-attributed cumulative flow; does not prove active stock or PHEV treatment [mycar_nlta].
- Included
- After registry proof
- Use
- Core serviceable pool.
- Included
- Only when registry separates it
- Use
- Included for non-engine/HV tasks; not estimated as a fact.
- Included
- No
- Use
- Not externally chargeable; MRA tax category kept separate [mra_motor].
- Included
- After active-class proof
- Use
- Fleet opportunity; 84 vans and 53 double-cab EV registrations are cumulative flows [mycar_nlta].
- Included
- No at launch
- Use
- 18 cumulative registrations plus 2026 donations are depot/OEM scope [mycar_nlta].
- Included
- Context only
- Use
- Electromaps lists 47 locations; live connectors and uptime not regulator-verified [electromaps].
- Included
- No in sizing
- Use
- Authoritative secondary statement conflicts in grain/time with cumulative NLTA-attributed series [trade_energy].
Forecasts are planning ranges
The five-year cases end in 2030 and start from cumulative 2025 registrations, not active stock.
Five-year cumulative-registration proxies
EVS 2030 planning scenarios, not official forecasts.
Five-year cumulative-registration planning scenarios
| Scenario | Annual Growth Pct | Planning proxy in 2030 | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cautious | 10 | 9,383 | 2030 cumulative-registration proxy after tax-support withdrawal; not official forecast [evs_model]. |
| Base | 18 | 13,328 | Planning case if financing, model supply and charging improve [evs_model]. |
| High | 28 | 20,018 | Stress case from a cumulative-flow denominator; not active-stock evidence [evs_model]. |
- Annual Growth Pct
- 10
- Planning proxy in 2030
- 9,383
- Interpretation
- 2030 cumulative-registration proxy after tax-support withdrawal; not official forecast [evs_model].
- Annual Growth Pct
- 18
- Planning proxy in 2030
- 13,328
- Interpretation
- Planning case if financing, model supply and charging improve [evs_model].
- Annual Growth Pct
- 28
- Planning proxy in 2030
- 20,018
- Interpretation
- Stress case from a cumulative-flow denominator; not active-stock evidence [evs_model].
Public charging is visible but not regulator-audited
Electromaps lists 47 locations, while CEB operates application schemes for public service providers and solar-linked EV charging [electromaps] [ceb_ev_providers] [ceb_solar_ev].
Charging-directory evidence
Listed locations, not verified live connectors.
Charging evidence and unknowns
| Metric | Value | Unit | Period | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Directory-listed stations | 47 | locations | Accessed Aug 2026 | User-maintained directory; audit access, power, connectors and uptime [electromaps]. |
| Moka named categories | 7 | locations | Accessed Aug 2026 | Moka District 5 plus Moka 2 in directory taxonomy [electromaps]. |
| Plaines Wilhems named categories | 8 | locations | Accessed Aug 2026 | Plaines Wilhems District 5 plus Plaines Wilhems 3 [electromaps]. |
| Port Louis named categories | 6 | locations | Accessed Aug 2026 | Port Louis 5 plus Port Louis District 1 [electromaps]. |
| CEB public-service-provider scheme | 1 | active scheme | Current | Application, PV and connection controls apply [ceb_ev_providers]. |
| Audited operational sites | — | sites | As of access date | No regulator/CEB live national site register located. |
| Audited operational connectors | — | connectors | As of access date | Unavailable; locations are not connectors. |
| National charger uptime/utilisation | — | percent | As of access date | Unavailable. |
- Value
- 47
- Unit
- locations
- Period
- Accessed Aug 2026
- Status
- User-maintained directory; audit access, power, connectors and uptime [electromaps].
- Value
- 7
- Unit
- locations
- Period
- Accessed Aug 2026
- Status
- Moka District 5 plus Moka 2 in directory taxonomy [electromaps].
- Value
- 8
- Unit
- locations
- Period
- Accessed Aug 2026
- Status
- Plaines Wilhems District 5 plus Plaines Wilhems 3 [electromaps].
- Value
- 6
- Unit
- locations
- Period
- Accessed Aug 2026
- Status
- Port Louis 5 plus Port Louis District 1 [electromaps].
- Value
- 1
- Unit
- active scheme
- Period
- Current
- Status
- Application, PV and connection controls apply [ceb_ev_providers].
- Value
- —
- Unit
- sites
- Period
- As of access date
- Status
- No regulator/CEB live national site register located.
- Value
- —
- Unit
- connectors
- Period
- As of access date
- Status
- Unavailable; locations are not connectors.
- Value
- —
- Unit
- percent
- Period
- As of access date
- Status
- Unavailable.
Youth delays independent reach
About 84% of cumulative electric-car registrations occurred in 2023–2025, increasing OEM/warranty influence [mycar_nlta].
Vehicle parc and service demand
| Indicator | Value | Unit | Implication |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recent electric-car cohort | 84 | percent registered 2023–2025 | Most reported registrations remain young and likely OEM/warranty influenced [mycar_nlta]. |
| Annual electric-car flow | 2,374 | registrations in 2025 | Rapid cohort formation; future warranty expiry matters [mycar_nlta]. |
| Active status by first-registration year | — | vehicles | Apply a 90% factor only as a planning assumption. |
| PHEV age/make/model | — | vehicles | Exclude from factual stock; capture during registry diligence. |
| All-parc removals | 6,274 | vehicles in 2025 | Cumulative registrations cannot equal active stock [stats_road_2025]. |
| Wear/climate service mix | — | jobs | Measure tyres, suspension, brakes, HVAC, 12V, cooling and charge-fault demand from paid inspections. |
- Value
- 84
- Unit
- percent registered 2023–2025
- Implication
- Most reported registrations remain young and likely OEM/warranty influenced [mycar_nlta].
- Value
- 2,374
- Unit
- registrations in 2025
- Implication
- Rapid cohort formation; future warranty expiry matters [mycar_nlta].
- Value
- —
- Unit
- vehicles
- Implication
- Apply a 90% factor only as a planning assumption.
- Value
- —
- Unit
- vehicles
- Implication
- Exclude from factual stock; capture during registry diligence.
- Value
- 6,274
- Unit
- vehicles in 2025
- Implication
- Cumulative registrations cannot equal active stock [stats_road_2025].
- Value
- —
- Unit
- jobs
- Implication
- Measure tyres, suspension, brakes, HVAC, 12V, cooling and charge-fault demand from paid inspections.
The current pool supports a partner bay, not premises
Every discount is an EVS assumption replaceable by registry and paid-job evidence.
Current proxy service-pool jobs
Cumulative registrations to central-corridor independent-reach SAM; SOM zero.
Sizing assumptions
| Assumption | Value | Unit | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cumulative electric-car denominator | 5,826 | registrations | NLTA-attributed 2012–2025 flow [mycar_nlta]. |
| Active factor | 90 | percent | Discounts removals/export/dormancy pending active registry [evs_model]. |
| Central-corridor concentration | 65 | percent | EVS assumption informed by commercial/dealer/charger clustering; no regional vehicle table [evs_model]. |
| Independent reach | 40 | percent | Discounts young warranty cohort, OEM preference and unsupported VIN/tasks [evs_model]. |
| Annual events | 1.2 | jobs/vehicle | Diagnostics/wear/fleet-inspection planning assumption [evs_model]. |
| Average repair order | 6,000 | MUR/job | EVS base quote target; validate with paid invoices [evs_model]. |
| Gross margin | 62 | percent | Base blended labour/parts assumption [evs_model]. |
| Reversible capex | 700,000 | MUR | Partner-bay tools, PPE, isolation, rescue and training ceiling [evs_model]. |
| Annual fixed opex | 1,200,000 | MUR/year | Incremental partner-bay cost ceiling [evs_model]. |
| Executable SOM before gates | 0 | jobs/revenue | No demand is booked before proof [evs_model]. |
- Value
- 5,826
- Unit
- registrations
- Basis
- NLTA-attributed 2012–2025 flow [mycar_nlta].
- Value
- 90
- Unit
- percent
- Basis
- Discounts removals/export/dormancy pending active registry [evs_model].
- Value
- 65
- Unit
- percent
- Basis
- EVS assumption informed by commercial/dealer/charger clustering; no regional vehicle table [evs_model].
- Value
- 40
- Unit
- percent
- Basis
- Discounts young warranty cohort, OEM preference and unsupported VIN/tasks [evs_model].
- Value
- 1.2
- Unit
- jobs/vehicle
- Basis
- Diagnostics/wear/fleet-inspection planning assumption [evs_model].
- Value
- 6,000
- Unit
- MUR/job
- Basis
- EVS base quote target; validate with paid invoices [evs_model].
- Value
- 62
- Unit
- percent
- Basis
- Base blended labour/parts assumption [evs_model].
- Value
- 700,000
- Unit
- MUR
- Basis
- Partner-bay tools, PPE, isolation, rescue and training ceiling [evs_model].
- Value
- 1,200,000
- Unit
- MUR/year
- Basis
- Incremental partner-bay cost ceiling [evs_model].
- Value
- 0
- Unit
- jobs/revenue
- Basis
- No demand is booked before proof [evs_model].
TAM / SAM / SOM
| Layer | Vehicles | Jobs Per Year | Revenue MUR | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cumulative registration denominator | 5,826 | 6,991 | 41,946,000 | Not active stock; planning upper denominator [mycar_nlta]. |
| National active proxy | 5,243 | 6,292 | 37,752,000 | Cumulative registrations × 90% active assumption [evs_model]. |
| Central-corridor active proxy | 3,408 | 4,090 | 24,540,000 | National active proxy × 65% geographic concentration [evs_model]. |
- Vehicles
- 5,826
- Jobs Per Year
- 6,991
- Revenue MUR
- 41,946,000
- Status
- Not active stock; planning upper denominator [mycar_nlta].
- Vehicles
- 5,243
- Jobs Per Year
- 6,292
- Revenue MUR
- 37,752,000
- Status
- Cumulative registrations × 90% active assumption [evs_model].
- Vehicles
- 3,408
- Jobs Per Year
- 4,090
- Revenue MUR
- 24,540,000
- Status
- National active proxy × 65% geographic concentration [evs_model].
Fleet evidence is the best entry wedge
Rental, hospitality and corporate fleets can prove repeatable VINs, uptime value and willingness to pay.
Customer segments
| Segment | Need | Priority |
|---|---|---|
| Private Nissan/BMW early-adopter owners | Battery-health screen, diagnostics, 12V/HVAC/wear, charging faults and honest OEM referral. | 1 |
| BYD/Kia/MG/new-brand owners | Warranty-safe inspections and non-invasive service; OEM warranty remains central. | 1 |
| Rental, hospitality and corporate fleets | Uptime, fixed-price inspection, tyres/brakes/suspension and quarterly evidence. | 1 |
| Imported used-EV owners | VIN/task coverage, charge-port/range diagnosis, thermal/cooling checks and parts pathway. | 2 |
| Electric vans/pick-ups | Fleet uptime and payload/wear focus; active count not proven. | 2 after registry |
| Electric buses | Heavy-lift, depot EVSE and bus-HV competence; excluded at launch. | OEM/depot only |
- Need
- Battery-health screen, diagnostics, 12V/HVAC/wear, charging faults and honest OEM referral.
- Priority
- 1
- Need
- Warranty-safe inspections and non-invasive service; OEM warranty remains central.
- Priority
- 1
- Need
- Uptime, fixed-price inspection, tyres/brakes/suspension and quarterly evidence.
- Priority
- 1
- Need
- VIN/task coverage, charge-port/range diagnosis, thermal/cooling checks and parts pathway.
- Priority
- 2
- Need
- Fleet uptime and payload/wear focus; active count not proven.
- Priority
- 2 after registry
- Need
- Heavy-lift, depot EVSE and bus-HV competence; excluded at launch.
- Priority
- OEM/depot only
Fleet segments
| Segment | Entry Product | Evidence Gate |
|---|---|---|
| Rental/hospitality fleet | Paid 15–30 vehicle baseline and charging-readiness audit | One paid 15+ vehicle trial with VINs. |
| Corporate/utility fleet | Quarterly preventive inspection and downtime report | Supported VINs, duty cycles and paid SLA. |
| Dealer overflow | Defined non-warranty labour and evidence pack | Written warranty/referral/data/parts boundaries. |
| Used-import dealer | Pre-sale health and safety certificate | Consumer-law review and calibrated-tool process. |
| Light-commercial fleet | Mobile inspection plus partner-bay repair | Active LCV registry and lift/tool capacity. |
| Bus operator | No launch offer | OEM/tender approval, heavy facility, battery route and depot electrical approval. |
- Entry Product
- Paid 15–30 vehicle baseline and charging-readiness audit
- Evidence Gate
- One paid 15+ vehicle trial with VINs.
- Entry Product
- Quarterly preventive inspection and downtime report
- Evidence Gate
- Supported VINs, duty cycles and paid SLA.
- Entry Product
- Defined non-warranty labour and evidence pack
- Evidence Gate
- Written warranty/referral/data/parts boundaries.
- Entry Product
- Pre-sale health and safety certificate
- Evidence Gate
- Consumer-law review and calibrated-tool process.
- Entry Product
- Mobile inspection plus partner-bay repair
- Evidence Gate
- Active LCV registry and lift/tool capacity.
- Entry Product
- No launch offer
- Evidence Gate
- OEM/tender approval, heavy facility, battery route and depot electrical approval.
Nissan and BMW dominate the cumulative cohort
The top five makes account for about 66.1% of cumulative electric-car registrations [mycar_nlta].
Priority brands — no audited market shares located
| Technology | Brand | Units | Share of H1 2026 BEVs (%) | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BEV | Nissan | 1,304 | 22.4 | Cumulative electric-car registrations; not active stock [mycar_nlta]. |
| BEV | BMW | 1,258 | 21.6 | Cumulative electric-car registrations; not active stock [mycar_nlta]. |
| BEV | BYD | 563 | 9.7 | Cumulative electric-car registrations; not active stock [mycar_nlta]. |
| BEV | Kia | 461 | 7.9 | Cumulative electric-car registrations; not active stock [mycar_nlta]. |
| BEV | MG | 265 | 4.5 | Cumulative electric-car registrations; not active stock [mycar_nlta]. |
| BEV | Top five combined | 3,851 | 66.1 | Derived/quoted cumulative share [mycar_nlta]. |
- Brand
- Nissan
- Units
- 1,304
- Share of H1 2026 BEVs (%)
- 22.4
- Source
- Cumulative electric-car registrations; not active stock [mycar_nlta].
- Brand
- BMW
- Units
- 1,258
- Share of H1 2026 BEVs (%)
- 21.6
- Source
- Cumulative electric-car registrations; not active stock [mycar_nlta].
- Brand
- BYD
- Units
- 563
- Share of H1 2026 BEVs (%)
- 9.7
- Source
- Cumulative electric-car registrations; not active stock [mycar_nlta].
- Brand
- Kia
- Units
- 461
- Share of H1 2026 BEVs (%)
- 7.9
- Source
- Cumulative electric-car registrations; not active stock [mycar_nlta].
- Brand
- MG
- Units
- 265
- Share of H1 2026 BEVs (%)
- 4.5
- Source
- Cumulative electric-car registrations; not active stock [mycar_nlta].
- Brand
- Top five combined
- Units
- 3,851
- Share of H1 2026 BEVs (%)
- 66.1
- Source
- Derived/quoted cumulative share [mycar_nlta].
Priority models
| Brand | Model | Powertrain | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nissan | Leaf | BEV | Largest cumulative make cohort and official ABC/Nissan service channel [mycar_nlta] [nissan_dealer]. |
| BMW / MINI | i3, i4, iX family and MINI Electric | BEV | Large cumulative premium cohort; Leal aftersales is material [mycar_nlta] [leal_after]. |
| BYD | Atto 3, Dolphin, Seal | BEV | Fast-growing current portfolio; long OEM warranty limits independent reach [byd_service]. |
| Kia | Niro EV / EV-series | BEV | United Motors dealer/service presence [kia_dealer]. |
| MG | ZS EV / MG4-class | BEV | Cumulative cohort; confirm current official importer and VIN support before tools. |
| Porsche and newer imports | Taycan, Macan Electric, XPENG and others | BEV | Premium/fragmented opportunity with OEM/software/referral constraints [porsche] [axess]. |
- Model
- Leaf
- Powertrain
- BEV
- Signal
- Largest cumulative make cohort and official ABC/Nissan service channel [mycar_nlta] [nissan_dealer].
- Model
- i3, i4, iX family and MINI Electric
- Powertrain
- BEV
- Signal
- Large cumulative premium cohort; Leal aftersales is material [mycar_nlta] [leal_after].
- Model
- Atto 3, Dolphin, Seal
- Powertrain
- BEV
- Signal
- Fast-growing current portfolio; long OEM warranty limits independent reach [byd_service].
- Model
- Niro EV / EV-series
- Powertrain
- BEV
- Signal
- United Motors dealer/service presence [kia_dealer].
- Model
- ZS EV / MG4-class
- Powertrain
- BEV
- Signal
- Cumulative cohort; confirm current official importer and VIN support before tools.
- Model
- Taycan, Macan Electric, XPENG and others
- Powertrain
- BEV
- Signal
- Premium/fragmented opportunity with OEM/software/referral constraints [porsche] [axess].
OEM aftersales is strong
ABC, Leal, United Motors, BYD, Axess and Porsche materially constrain independent reach [abc_after] [leal_after] [byd_service] [kia_dealer] [axess] [porsche].
Competitor map
| Competitor | Type | Footprint | Threat | Response |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABC Motors / Nissan | OEM-authorised channel | Port Louis and Phoenix | High for largest cumulative brand and warranty vehicles | Referral compact; focus lawful multi-brand non-warranty work [abc_after] [nissan_dealer]. |
| Leal Group / BMW, MINI, Kia, BYD | OEM/multi-brand channel | Pailles and Forbach | Very high across premium and new EV cohort | Do not challenge warranty; seek overflow/referral and fleet-neutral inspections [leal_after] [byd_service] [kia_dealer]. |
- Type
- OEM-authorised channel
- Footprint
- Port Louis and Phoenix
- Threat
- High for largest cumulative brand and warranty vehicles
- Response
- Referral compact; focus lawful multi-brand non-warranty work [abc_after] [nissan_dealer].
- Type
- OEM/multi-brand channel
- Footprint
- Pailles and Forbach
- Threat
- Very high across premium and new EV cohort
- Response
- Do not challenge warranty; seek overflow/referral and fleet-neutral inspections [leal_after] [byd_service] [kia_dealer].
Central corridor first
Moka–Pailles–Ebène–Phoenix balances access, dealers, corporate fleets and directory-listed charging.
Priority regions
| Rank | Region | Rationale | Mode |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moka–Pailles–Ebène–Phoenix | Central access, dealer concentration, corporate fleets and charger-directory density [electromaps] [leal_after] [axess]. | Conditional partner bay |
- Region
- Moka–Pailles–Ebène–Phoenix
- Rationale
- Central access, dealer concentration, corporate fleets and charger-directory density [electromaps] [leal_after] [axess].
- Mode
- Conditional partner bay
Consumer EV support reversed in 2025
Excise duties returned, the MUR200,000 negative-excise scheme ended, first-registration duty rose and the licence concession was removed [budget_2025] [pwc_budget].
Consumer incentives
| Instrument | Status | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| BEV excise duty | 15% up to 180 kW; 25% above 180 kW | Current import-cost headwind versus the prior exemption [mra_motor]. |
| PHEV excise duty | 0%–55% by engine capacity | Powertrain and engine definition controls; do not combine PHEV with conventional hybrid [mra_motor]. |
- Status
- 15% up to 180 kW; 25% above 180 kW
- Implication
- Current import-cost headwind versus the prior exemption [mra_motor].
- Status
- 0%–55% by engine capacity
- Implication
- Powertrain and engine definition controls; do not combine PHEV with conventional hybrid [mra_motor].
Business incentives
| Instrument | Status | Action |
|---|---|---|
| Premium Investor Certificate | Bespoke; generally ≥MUR500m or specified manufacturing | Pilot excludes benefits; apply only with written EDB approval [edb_premium]. |
| Energy transition investment | MUR30bn programme / >35% renewable goal by 2028 | Relevant to charging/grid partners, not direct workshop subsidy [edb_energy_2025]. |
- Status
- Bespoke; generally ≥MUR500m or specified manufacturing
- Action
- Pilot excludes benefits; apply only with written EDB approval [edb_premium].
- Status
- MUR30bn programme / >35% renewable goal by 2028
- Action
- Relevant to charging/grid partners, not direct workshop subsidy [edb_energy_2025].
Standard tax treatment applies
Corporate income tax is 15%, VAT is 15%, VAT registration generally begins at MUR3m and qualifying companies can face Fair Share Contribution [mra_cit] [mra_vat] [mra_vat_threshold] [mra_fsc].
Tax and customs baseline
| Tax | Rate | Treatment |
|---|---|---|
| Corporate income tax | 15% standard | No special workshop rate assumed [mra_cit]. |
| Fair Share Contribution | 5% for qualifying 15%-tax companies | Applies when statutory MUR24m supplies/chargeable-income conditions are met during 1 Jul 2025–30 Jun 2028 [mra_fsc]. |
- Rate
- 15% standard
- Treatment
- No special workshop rate assumed [mra_cit].
- Rate
- 5% for qualifying 15%-tax companies
- Treatment
- Applies when statutory MUR24m supplies/chargeable-income conditions are met during 1 Jul 2025–30 Jun 2028 [mra_fsc].
Registration is only the first approval
The partner bay needs activity, use, workplace, electrical, waste, data, tax, labour and insurance evidence.
Licensing path
| Gate | Authority | Evidence |
|---|---|---|
| Company/business registration | CBRD | Certificate, business registration number and registered activity [companies_reg]. |
| Classified trade / automotive workshop | CBRD + local authority | Written classification, fee/exemption and current payment evidence [mcci_tradefees] [edb_get_started]. |
- Authority
- CBRD
- Evidence
- Certificate, business registration number and registered activity [companies_reg].
- Authority
- CBRD + local authority
- Evidence
- Written classification, fee/exemption and current payment evidence [mcci_tradefees] [edb_get_started].
Labour and safety obligations
| Requirement | Owner | Control |
|---|---|---|
| Business and employer registration | Country GM + payroll | CBRD/MRA records before hiring [companies_reg]. |
| Workers Rights / remuneration regulations | HR counsel | Apply current Electrical, Engineering and Mechanical Workshops order and employment terms [labour_wage]. |
- Owner
- Country GM + payroll
- Control
- CBRD/MRA records before hiring [companies_reg].
- Owner
- HR counsel
- Control
- Apply current Electrical, Engineering and Mechanical Workshops order and employment terms [labour_wage].
High-voltage safety is the operating system
No national EV-specific technician licence was located; that absence does not authorise work.
High-voltage controls
| Control | Required Evidence |
|---|---|
| Authorised task matrix | Technician × VIN × voltage × task × procedure × tool/data source. |
| De-energise and prove dead | OEM isolation, lockout/tagout, wait time, approved tester and independent verification. |
| PPE and insulated tools | Voltage-rated, inspected and traceable issue register. |
| Test-equipment calibration | Traceable calibration for DC voltage, resistance and torque; MSB route available [msb_calibration]. |
| Bay segregation and signage | Controlled access, key custody, rescue hook, barriers and no lone work. |
| Damaged/high-voltage battery vehicle | Quarantine/referral procedure; no charging, lifting or pack access without written assessment. |
| Standards hierarchy | Mauritian law/CEB/URA/MSB and OEM instructions control; ISO 6469-3 is only a benchmark [iso_6469] [msb_standards]. |
- Required Evidence
- Technician × VIN × voltage × task × procedure × tool/data source.
- Required Evidence
- OEM isolation, lockout/tagout, wait time, approved tester and independent verification.
- Required Evidence
- Voltage-rated, inspected and traceable issue register.
- Required Evidence
- Traceable calibration for DC voltage, resistance and torque; MSB route available [msb_calibration].
- Required Evidence
- Controlled access, key custody, rescue hook, barriers and no lone work.
- Required Evidence
- Quarantine/referral procedure; no charging, lifting or pack access without written assessment.
- Required Evidence
- Mauritian law/CEB/URA/MSB and OEM instructions control; ISO 6469-3 is only a benchmark [iso_6469] [msb_standards].
Traction-battery custody is a launch no-go
A registered downstream route for ordinary workshop waste does not automatically authorise damaged traction-pack storage, transport or export [swmd_law] [basel].
Battery and waste routes
| Stage | Rule | Route |
|---|---|---|
| 12V batteries | Segregate and route through registered downstream provider. | Document quantity, handover and recycler evidence [swmd] [swmd_law]. |
| Tyres and waste oil | Apply registered carrier/recycler and waste-oil controls. | No drain/landfill disposal; retain manifests [swmd] [swmd_law]. |
- Rule
- Segregate and route through registered downstream provider.
- Route
- Document quantity, handover and recycler evidence [swmd] [swmd_law].
- Rule
- Apply registered carrier/recycler and waste-oil controls.
- Route
- No drain/landfill disposal; retain manifests [swmd] [swmd_law].
Launch high-frequency, low-custody services
Diagnostics, wear, thermal/HVAC and fleet evidence fit the partner-bay envelope.
Recommended service portfolio
| Phase | Service | Include | Exclude |
|---|---|---|---|
| Launch | Paid EV inspection and scan | DTCs, safety, tyres, brakes, suspension, 12V, thermal/HVAC visual checks | Pack opening, unsupported coding. |
| Launch | Battery-health screen | Non-invasive OEM/validated data and transparent limitations | Warranty claims, capacity guarantee, module work. |
| Launch | Wear and chassis | Tyres, alignment, brakes, bearings, suspension and wipers | Unsupported ADAS calibration. |
| Launch | Thermal/HVAC | Low-risk diagnosis and qualified refrigerant work | HV compressor/pack cooling without VIN/task authorisation. |
| Launch | Fleet evidence | Baseline, preventive schedule, defect severity and downtime dashboard | Unverified predictive claims. |
| Phase 2 | Charging fault diagnosis | Vehicle-side checks and qualified fixed-installation partner referral | Unlicensed public EVSE installation [ceb_ev_providers] [iec_61851]. |
| Excluded | Traction-pack work | None | Removal, opening, module repair, storage, transport, repurposing and disposal custody. |
- Service
- Paid EV inspection and scan
- Include
- DTCs, safety, tyres, brakes, suspension, 12V, thermal/HVAC visual checks
- Exclude
- Pack opening, unsupported coding.
- Service
- Battery-health screen
- Include
- Non-invasive OEM/validated data and transparent limitations
- Exclude
- Warranty claims, capacity guarantee, module work.
- Service
- Wear and chassis
- Include
- Tyres, alignment, brakes, bearings, suspension and wipers
- Exclude
- Unsupported ADAS calibration.
- Service
- Thermal/HVAC
- Include
- Low-risk diagnosis and qualified refrigerant work
- Exclude
- HV compressor/pack cooling without VIN/task authorisation.
- Service
- Fleet evidence
- Include
- Baseline, preventive schedule, defect severity and downtime dashboard
- Exclude
- Unverified predictive claims.
- Service
- Charging fault diagnosis
- Include
- Vehicle-side checks and qualified fixed-installation partner referral
- Exclude
- Unlicensed public EVSE installation [ceb_ev_providers] [iec_61851].
- Service
- Traction-pack work
- Include
- None
- Exclude
- Removal, opening, module repair, storage, transport, repurposing and disposal custody.
A scheduled partner bay protects learning capital
Use an existing compliant operator and a capped EVS standard; do not create a new fixed-cost base.
Operating model
| Element | Recommendation |
|---|---|
| Format | One scheduled partner bay in Moka–Pailles–Ebène–Phoenix; no new lease. |
| Partner | Existing licensed automotive workshop with OSH, fire, electrical, waste and insurance evidence. |
| Brand | EVS operating standard, booking, QA and evidence layer; partner remains premises employer/operator. |
| Staffing | Two assessed technicians, one service adviser, shared HSE/finance; no lone HV work. |
| Hours | Booked clinic blocks first; scale only after utilisation proof. |
| Parts | Job-bounded ordering and supplier provenance; no speculative traction-battery inventory. |
| Data | VIN/task capability matrix, consent, privacy notice and controlled retention. |
| Franchise | Management licence/pilot only; no master territory before 12-month gate. |
| Expansion | Mobile/collection coverage north/west; second bay only after positive evidence. |
- Recommendation
- One scheduled partner bay in Moka–Pailles–Ebène–Phoenix; no new lease.
- Recommendation
- Existing licensed automotive workshop with OSH, fire, electrical, waste and insurance evidence.
- Recommendation
- EVS operating standard, booking, QA and evidence layer; partner remains premises employer/operator.
- Recommendation
- Two assessed technicians, one service adviser, shared HSE/finance; no lone HV work.
- Recommendation
- Booked clinic blocks first; scale only after utilisation proof.
- Recommendation
- Job-bounded ordering and supplier provenance; no speculative traction-battery inventory.
- Recommendation
- VIN/task capability matrix, consent, privacy notice and controlled retention.
- Recommendation
- Management licence/pilot only; no master territory before 12-month gate.
- Recommendation
- Mobile/collection coverage north/west; second bay only after positive evidence.
Economics are conditional but workable
Base steady state assumes 480 jobs, MUR6,000 ARO, 62% gross margin and MUR1.2m fixed opex [evs_model].
Conditional partner-bay EBITDA
MUR; EVS assumptions.
Annual central-corridor partner-bay economics — MUR
| Scenario | Jobs | ARO MUR | Revenue MUR | Gross Margin Pct | Gross Profit MUR | Opex MUR | Ebitda MUR | Payback Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cautious | 240 | 5,000 | 1,200,000 | 55 | 660,000 | 1,200,000 | -540,000 | — |
- Jobs
- 240
- ARO MUR
- 5,000
- Revenue MUR
- 1,200,000
- Gross Margin Pct
- 55
- Gross Profit MUR
- 660,000
- Opex MUR
- 1,200,000
- Ebitda MUR
- -540,000
- Payback Years
- —
90-day partner-bay economics — MUR
| Scenario | Jobs 90d | Revenue MUR | Gross Profit MUR | Opex MUR | Ebitda MUR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cautious | 60 | 300,000 | 165,000 | 300,000 | -135,000 |
- Jobs 90d
- 60
- Revenue MUR
- 300,000
- Gross Profit MUR
- 165,000
- Opex MUR
- 300,000
- Ebitda MUR
- -135,000
Denominator, warranty and utilisation dominate risk
The largest error is treating cumulative registrations or directory chargers as live service demand.
Risks and mitigations
| Risk | Likelihood | Impact | Mitigation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cumulative registrations treated as active stock | High | High | Obtain active class/status/region extract; keep 90% factor labelled. |
| PHEV/HEV definition error | High | High | Require fuel/powertrain field and exclude conventional hybrids. |
| OEM/warranty lock-in | High | High | 40% reach assumption, referral compacts and non-warranty scope. |
| Demand shock from 2025 tax reversal | Medium–high | High | Use 10% cautious forecast and reversible capex [budget_2025] [pwc_budget]. |
| Low partner-bay utilisation | Medium | High | 60 bookings plus paid fleet trial before spend; day-90 stop gate. |
| VIN/tool/data fragmentation | High | Medium–high | Top-20 VIN/task matrix and ≥85% supported sample gate. |
| HV/fire incident | Low–medium | Severe | No pack custody, two-person controls, drill, insurance and serious-incident override. |
| Unlawful battery/waste custody | Medium | Severe | Written SWMD classification and registered downstream route before custody. |
| Public-charger directory overstates availability | High | Medium | Field-audit all 47 entries; do not use charger count as demand denominator. |
| Tax/permit scope changes | Medium | Medium | Dated MRA/NELS/local-authority counsel sign-off before launch. |
- Likelihood
- High
- Impact
- High
- Mitigation
- Obtain active class/status/region extract; keep 90% factor labelled.
- Likelihood
- High
- Impact
- High
- Mitigation
- Require fuel/powertrain field and exclude conventional hybrids.
- Likelihood
- High
- Impact
- High
- Mitigation
- 40% reach assumption, referral compacts and non-warranty scope.
- Likelihood
- Medium–high
- Impact
- High
- Mitigation
- Use 10% cautious forecast and reversible capex [budget_2025] [pwc_budget].
- Likelihood
- Medium
- Impact
- High
- Mitigation
- 60 bookings plus paid fleet trial before spend; day-90 stop gate.
- Likelihood
- High
- Impact
- Medium–high
- Mitigation
- Top-20 VIN/task matrix and ≥85% supported sample gate.
- Likelihood
- Low–medium
- Impact
- Severe
- Mitigation
- No pack custody, two-person controls, drill, insurance and serious-incident override.
- Likelihood
- Medium
- Impact
- Severe
- Mitigation
- Written SWMD classification and registered downstream route before custody.
- Likelihood
- High
- Impact
- Medium
- Mitigation
- Field-audit all 47 entries; do not use charger count as demand denominator.
- Likelihood
- Medium
- Impact
- Medium
- Mitigation
- Dated MRA/NELS/local-authority counsel sign-off before launch.
90 days from registry truth to paid proof
Evidence must precede tools, inventory and premises.
90-day entry plan
| Days | Objective | Actions | Owner | Deliverable |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | Establish registry truth | Obtain active BEV/PHEV extract by class, region, status, first registration, make/model and lawful VIN sample. | Country lead + data counsel | Dated registry and definition memo. |
- Objective
- Establish registry truth
- Actions
- Obtain active BEV/PHEV extract by class, region, status, first registration, make/model and lawful VIN sample.
- Owner
- Country lead + data counsel
- Deliverable
- Dated registry and definition memo.
Explicit go / no-go gates
Failure stops or redesigns the pilot.
Go / no-go gates
| Gate | Go | No-Go |
|---|---|---|
| Registry | ≥4,500 active passenger/light-commercial BEV/PHEVs nationally and ≥2,500 in the central corridor, with class/status/region/age/make separated. | Only cumulative electric-car registrations, all-vehicle stock or unseparated hybrid counts. |
- Go
- ≥4,500 active passenger/light-commercial BEV/PHEVs nationally and ≥2,500 in the central corridor, with class/status/region/age/make separated.
- No-Go
- Only cumulative electric-car registrations, all-vehicle stock or unseparated hybrid counts.
Methodology
Current Mauritian sources are prioritised, definitions reconciled and assumptions exposed.
Methodology
| Step | Method |
|---|---|
| 1. Geography control | Ledger rank 114 locked before research; exactly one geography processed. |
| 2. Source hierarchy | Mauritian government/regulator/OEM sources first; commercial and directory claims labelled. |
| 3. Definition control | Cumulative registrations, active stock, BEV, PHEV, conventional HEV, class, site and connector remain separate. |
| 4. History | Only reported cumulative/recent/2025 electric-car registration grains are shown; unavailable PHEV fields are null. |
| 5. Current active proxy | 5,826 cumulative registrations × 90% active assumption. |
| 6. Serviceable pool | Active proxy × 65% central corridor × 40% independent reach × 1.20 events × MUR6,000 ARO. |
| 7. Forecasts | 10%/18%/28% five-year planning growth applied to the 2025 cumulative-registration denominator; not official forecasts. |
| 8. Charger control | 47 directory locations are context; no regulator-verified sites/connectors/uptime were found. |
| 9. Economics | Jobs × ARO = revenue; revenue × gross margin = gross profit; gross profit − fixed opex = EBITDA; capex/positive EBITDA = simple payback. |
| 10. Currency and tax | Nominal MUR, VAT-exclusive; no grant, tax benefit, financing, working capital, depreciation or owner tax included. |
| 11. Validation | JSON reparse, required sections, dataset/source references, SQL snapshots, calculations, branding, residue and gates checked. |
| 12. Decision rule | Executable SOM is zero until every launch gate passes; serious HV/fire event overrides commercial results. |
- Method
- Ledger rank 114 locked before research; exactly one geography processed.
- Method
- Mauritian government/regulator/OEM sources first; commercial and directory claims labelled.
- Method
- Cumulative registrations, active stock, BEV, PHEV, conventional HEV, class, site and connector remain separate.
- Method
- Only reported cumulative/recent/2025 electric-car registration grains are shown; unavailable PHEV fields are null.
- Method
- 5,826 cumulative registrations × 90% active assumption.
- Method
- Active proxy × 65% central corridor × 40% independent reach × 1.20 events × MUR6,000 ARO.
- Method
- 10%/18%/28% five-year planning growth applied to the 2025 cumulative-registration denominator; not official forecasts.
- Method
- 47 directory locations are context; no regulator-verified sites/connectors/uptime were found.
- Method
- Jobs × ARO = revenue; revenue × gross margin = gross profit; gross profit − fixed opex = EBITDA; capex/positive EBITDA = simple payback.
- Method
- Nominal MUR, VAT-exclusive; no grant, tax benefit, financing, working capital, depreciation or owner tax included.
- Method
- JSON reparse, required sections, dataset/source references, SQL snapshots, calculations, branding, residue and gates checked.
- Method
- Executable SOM is zero until every launch gate passes; serious HV/fire event overrides commercial results.
Source register
Publication/access dates, role and limitations are recorded. Obtain and archive the underlying NLTA fuel-by-class extract during diligence.
Final decision
NO-GO: standalone centre, master franchise, property, speculative inventory, traction-pack custody or unlicensed charging. CONDITIONAL GO: one booked central-corridor partner bay only after every hard gate passes. Reassess at day 90 and month 12.
Source register
51 primary and derived sources
ShowHide
Source register
51 primary and derived sources
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