Senegal
EVS Senegal EV Service Centre Market Entry
Decision-grade Senegal assessment separating passenger/light-commercial plug-in data gaps, captive electric buses, hybrid taxis, electric-taxi procurement, policy targets, announced chargers and EVS assumptions.
No current authoritative passenger BEV/PHEV stock series located.
Captive BRT concession fleet; not open passenger aftermarket.
No audited national public connector census located.
Only after 500 separated active Greater Dakar passenger/light-commercial plug-ins.
Partner-clinic assumption on XOF30m reversible capex.
The verdict in full
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
Market headline
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
Market headline
| Metric | Value | Unit | Period | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current passenger BEV/PHEV stock | — | vehicles | Current | No authoritative separated registration series located. |
| Captive electric BRT buses | 121 | buses | 2024–2026 | Operating concession fleet; excluded from passenger/light-commercial TAM [cetud_brt] [rts_brt]. |
| Authoritative public connectors | — | connectors | Current | No national connector/power/access/uptime census located. |
| Gate-planning SAM | 324 | jobs/year | EVS model | Activates only after 500 separated active Greater Dakar passenger/light-commercial BEV/PHEVs. |
- Value
- —
- Unit
- vehicles
- Period
- Current
- Status
- No authoritative separated registration series located.
- Value
- 121
- Unit
- buses
- Period
- 2024–2026
- Status
- Operating concession fleet; excluded from passenger/light-commercial TAM [cetud_brt] [rts_brt].
- Value
- —
- Unit
- connectors
- Period
- Current
- Status
- No national connector/power/access/uptime census located.
- Value
- 324
- Unit
- jobs/year
- Period
- EVS model
- Status
- Activates only after 500 separated active Greater Dakar passenger/light-commercial BEV/PHEVs.
Market size and vehicle parc context
No current authoritative passenger/light-commercial plug-in denominator was located. Captive buses, hybrid taxis and electric-taxi procurement are kept out of TAM.
Market size and vehicle parc context
| Metric | Value | Unit | Period | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current passenger/light-commercial BEV/PHEV stock | — | vehicles | Current | No authoritative active registration extract located. |
| Electric articulated BRT fleet | 121 | buses | Current | Captive heavy fleet, maintained by Dakar Mobilité; excluded from EVS passenger pool [cetud_brt] [sunubrt_121]. |
| Electric taxis received in China | 100 | vehicles | May 2026 | Procurement milestone within 1,000 programme; not assumed delivered, registered or operating in Senegal [rts_ev_taxis]. |
| 2030 EV ambition | 37,000 | vehicles | 2030 | Secondary ministry-attributed target; unclear vehicle-class scope [policy_2030]. |
| Passenger/light-utility import age ceiling | 10 | years | From 24 October 2025 decree | All powertrains; not EV stock [rts_import_age]. |
- Value
- —
- Unit
- vehicles
- Period
- Current
- Scope
- No authoritative active registration extract located.
- Value
- 121
- Unit
- buses
- Period
- Current
- Scope
- Captive heavy fleet, maintained by Dakar Mobilité; excluded from EVS passenger pool [cetud_brt] [sunubrt_121].
- Value
- 100
- Unit
- vehicles
- Period
- May 2026
- Scope
- Procurement milestone within 1,000 programme; not assumed delivered, registered or operating in Senegal [rts_ev_taxis].
- Value
- 37,000
- Unit
- vehicles
- Period
- 2030
- Scope
- Secondary ministry-attributed target; unclear vehicle-class scope [policy_2030].
- Value
- 10
- Unit
- years
- Period
- From 24 October 2025 decree
- Scope
- All powertrains; not EV stock [rts_import_age].
BEV/PHEV sales, stock and adoption history
No annual passenger BEV/PHEV sales or active-stock series was found. Events shown are ecosystem milestones, not a registration history.
EV ecosystem milestones kept outside passenger TAM
Captive buses, taxi pipeline and hybrid programme are definition-separated.
BEV/PHEV sales, stock and adoption history
| Period | Passenger Bev Sales | Passenger Phev Sales | Active Passenger Bev Phev | Other Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | — | — | — | 121 BRT buses received/project fleet; captive heavy class [cetud_121]. |
| 2024 | — | — | — | BRT entered progressive commercial service; BYD/LOXEA market entry announced [rts_brt] [cfao_byd]. |
| 2025 | — | — | — | Separate 1,000 hybrid-taxi programme; not classified as PHEV [rts_hybrid_taxis]. |
| 2026 | — | — | — | First 100 electric taxis received in China, not proven active Senegal stock [rts_ev_taxis]. |
- Passenger Bev Sales
- —
- Passenger Phev Sales
- —
- Active Passenger Bev Phev
- —
- Other Evidence
- 121 BRT buses received/project fleet; captive heavy class [cetud_121].
- Passenger Bev Sales
- —
- Passenger Phev Sales
- —
- Active Passenger Bev Phev
- —
- Other Evidence
- BRT entered progressive commercial service; BYD/LOXEA market entry announced [rts_brt] [cfao_byd].
- Passenger Bev Sales
- —
- Passenger Phev Sales
- —
- Active Passenger Bev Phev
- —
- Other Evidence
- Separate 1,000 hybrid-taxi programme; not classified as PHEV [rts_hybrid_taxis].
- Passenger Bev Sales
- —
- Passenger Phev Sales
- —
- Active Passenger Bev Phev
- —
- Other Evidence
- First 100 electric taxis received in China, not proven active Senegal stock [rts_ev_taxis].
Definition reconciliation
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
Definition reconciliation
| Term | Treatment | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| Passenger/light-commercial BEV/PHEV sales and active stock | Null | No authoritative annual or active-status series located. |
| 121 BRT buses | Separate captive heavy fleet | Concession maintenance and duty cycle are not open passenger-car aftermarket [cetud_brt] [sunubrt_121]. |
| 100 electric taxis received in China | Pipeline only | Receipt abroad does not establish customs clearance, registration or operation in Senegal [rts_ev_taxis]. |
| 1,000 hybrid taxis | Excluded | HEV/PHEV split not disclosed [rts_hybrid_taxis]. |
| 37,000 EVs / 15% by 2030 | Target-realisation sensitivity only | Scope/baseline unclear and source is ministry-attributed secondary reporting [policy_2030]. |
| Two announced chargers | Diligence leads | Site, connector count, power, public access and uptime require field verification [cfao_byd]. |
| 23 solar-powered BRT stations | Passenger stations, not public charging points | No evidence that each station is vehicle EVSE [cetud_brt]. |
- Treatment
- Null
- Reason
- No authoritative annual or active-status series located.
- Treatment
- Separate captive heavy fleet
- Reason
- Concession maintenance and duty cycle are not open passenger-car aftermarket [cetud_brt] [sunubrt_121].
- Treatment
- Pipeline only
- Reason
- Receipt abroad does not establish customs clearance, registration or operation in Senegal [rts_ev_taxis].
- Treatment
- Excluded
- Reason
- HEV/PHEV split not disclosed [rts_hybrid_taxis].
- Treatment
- Target-realisation sensitivity only
- Reason
- Scope/baseline unclear and source is ministry-attributed secondary reporting [policy_2030].
- Treatment
- Diligence leads
- Reason
- Site, connector count, power, public access and uptime require field verification [cfao_byd].
- Treatment
- Passenger stations, not public charging points
- Reason
- No evidence that each station is vehicle EVSE [cetud_brt].
Cautious / base / high adoption cases
These are target-realisation sensitivities against a ministry-attributed 2030 ambition, not EVS forecasts of current stock.
2030 policy-target realisation sensitivities
EVS cases; not current-stock forecasts.
Source: 1 000 taxis électriques made in China pour transformer la mobilité urbaine
Cautious / base / high adoption cases
| Scenario | Target Realisation Pct | Vehicles 2030 | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cautious | 25 | 9,250 | 25% of the stated 37,000 policy ambition; not a stock forecast and scope remains uncertain [policy_2030]. |
| Base | 50 | 18,500 | 50% target-realisation sensitivity; not used for premises approval. |
| High | 100 | 37,000 | Full policy ambition; stress case only, not EVS forecast. |
- Target Realisation Pct
- 25
- Vehicles 2030
- 9,250
- Interpretation
- 25% of the stated 37,000 policy ambition; not a stock forecast and scope remains uncertain [policy_2030].
- Target Realisation Pct
- 50
- Vehicles 2030
- 18,500
- Interpretation
- 50% target-realisation sensitivity; not used for premises approval.
- Target Realisation Pct
- 100
- Vehicles 2030
- 37,000
- Interpretation
- Full policy ambition; stress case only, not EVS forecast.
Charging infrastructure
No authoritative public connector census was found. Two announced charger locations are diligence leads only.
Charging infrastructure
| Metric | Value | Unit | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Authoritative national public connectors | — | connectors | No auditable connector/power/access/uptime census located. |
| CFAO/TotalEnergies announced chargers | 2 | charger sites/units announced | One at BYD showroom Ngor Almadies and one at TotalEnergies motorway station; operationality and connector count require audit [cfao_byd]. |
| BRT passenger stations | 23 | stations | Solar-powered passenger stations; not counted as public vehicle EVSE [cetud_brt]. |
| 2024 Senelec SAIDI | 6.673 | hours/customer/year | National average equivalent to 6h40m22s; not feeder/site guarantee [crse_stats]. |
| Site electricity tariff | — | XOF/kWh plus charges | Obtain current professional category and subscribed-power quote [crse_tariff]. |
- Value
- —
- Unit
- connectors
- Evidence
- No auditable connector/power/access/uptime census located.
- Value
- 2
- Unit
- charger sites/units announced
- Evidence
- One at BYD showroom Ngor Almadies and one at TotalEnergies motorway station; operationality and connector count require audit [cfao_byd].
- Value
- 23
- Unit
- stations
- Evidence
- Solar-powered passenger stations; not counted as public vehicle EVSE [cetud_brt].
- Value
- 6.673
- Unit
- hours/customer/year
- Evidence
- National average equivalent to 6h40m22s; not feeder/site guarantee [crse_stats].
- Value
- —
- Unit
- XOF/kWh plus charges
- Evidence
- Obtain current professional category and subscribed-power quote [crse_tariff].
Vehicle parc age and service demand
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
Vehicle parc age and service demand
| Indicator | Value | Unit | Implication |
|---|---|---|---|
| Passenger plug-ins by age, warranty and location | — | vehicles | No service-demand denominator; matched registry extract required. |
| Passenger/light-utility import age ceiling | 10 | years | Used inflow can support chassis/12V/charging work, but EV share is unknown [rts_import_age]. |
| BRT fleet | 121 | buses | Specialist captive contract opportunity only; exclude from Phase 1 [sunubrt_121]. |
| Electric-taxi pipeline | 100 | vehicles received in China | Future fleet-service lead; do not count until active registry/contract proof [rts_ev_taxis]. |
- Value
- —
- Unit
- vehicles
- Implication
- No service-demand denominator; matched registry extract required.
- Value
- 10
- Unit
- years
- Implication
- Used inflow can support chassis/12V/charging work, but EV share is unknown [rts_import_age].
- Value
- 121
- Unit
- buses
- Implication
- Specialist captive contract opportunity only; exclude from Phase 1 [sunubrt_121].
- Value
- 100
- Unit
- vehicles received in China
- Implication
- Future fleet-service lead; do not count until active registry/contract proof [rts_ev_taxis].
EVS assumptions
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
EVS assumptions
| Assumption | Value | Unit | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greater Dakar launch threshold | 500 | registered active passenger/light-commercial BEV/PHEV | EVS density gate, not estimate. |
| Active/available factor | 0.9 | share | EVS planning haircut after registry proof. |
| Independent reach | 0.6 | share | EVS assumption after captive, warranty and unsupported-VIN screening. |
| Service events | 1.2 | jobs/vehicle/year | EVS blended diagnostic/chassis assumption. |
| Average repair order | 250,000 | XOF/job | Replace with paid Senegal observations. |
| Reversible capex ceiling | 30,000,000 | XOF | EVS board gate. |
| Executable SOM before gates | 0 | jobs | Deliberately zero. |
- Value
- 500
- Unit
- registered active passenger/light-commercial BEV/PHEV
- Basis
- EVS density gate, not estimate.
- Value
- 0.9
- Unit
- share
- Basis
- EVS planning haircut after registry proof.
- Value
- 0.6
- Unit
- share
- Basis
- EVS assumption after captive, warranty and unsupported-VIN screening.
- Value
- 1.2
- Unit
- jobs/vehicle/year
- Basis
- EVS blended diagnostic/chassis assumption.
- Value
- 250,000
- Unit
- XOF/job
- Basis
- Replace with paid Senegal observations.
- Value
- 30,000,000
- Unit
- XOF
- Basis
- EVS board gate.
- Value
- 0
- Unit
- jobs
- Basis
- Deliberately zero.
Transparent TAM / SAM / SOM
National passenger TAM is deliberately null and executable SOM is zero. The quantified Greater Dakar opportunity activates only after a matched registry gate.
Transparent TAM / SAM / SOM
| Layer | Vehicles | Jobs Per Year | Revenue Xof | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| National passenger/light-commercial plug-in TAM | — | — | — | Not quantified: current active BEV/PHEV denominator unavailable. |
| Captive electric-bus ecosystem | 121 | — | — | Separate heavy fleet, not open aftermarket [cetud_brt]. |
| Greater Dakar gate SAM | 270 | 324 | 81,000,000 | 500 separated registrations × 90% active × 60% reach × 1.20 events. |
- Vehicles
- —
- Jobs Per Year
- —
- Revenue Xof
- —
- Status
- Not quantified: current active BEV/PHEV denominator unavailable.
- Vehicles
- 121
- Jobs Per Year
- —
- Revenue Xof
- —
- Status
- Separate heavy fleet, not open aftermarket [cetud_brt].
- Vehicles
- 270
- Jobs Per Year
- 324
- Revenue Xof
- 81,000,000
- Status
- 500 separated registrations × 90% active × 60% reach × 1.20 events.
Customer and fleet segments
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
Customer and fleet segments
| Segment | Need | Priority |
|---|---|---|
| Private early adopters and used imports | Pre-purchase report, scan, charging, 12V and chassis evidence | High only for supported VINs. |
| Electric taxi and ride-hailing fleets | Uptime inspections, tyres/brakes/charging and audit trail | High after active-fleet proof and paid trial [rts_ev_taxis]. |
| Corporate, rental and hospitality fleets | Route/charging readiness and condition reporting | High through paid fleet trial. |
| BRT and heavy e-bus concession | Specialist depot/contract support | Excluded from Phase 1; partnership-only [sunubrt_121]. |
| Electric two/three-wheelers | Different tools, parts and battery logistics | Separate future workstream; excluded from passenger TAM. |
| Public/municipal fleets | Tender-compliant evidence and uptime SLAs | Contract only. |
- Need
- Pre-purchase report, scan, charging, 12V and chassis evidence
- Priority
- High only for supported VINs.
- Need
- Uptime inspections, tyres/brakes/charging and audit trail
- Priority
- High after active-fleet proof and paid trial [rts_ev_taxis].
- Need
- Route/charging readiness and condition reporting
- Priority
- High through paid fleet trial.
- Need
- Specialist depot/contract support
- Priority
- Excluded from Phase 1; partnership-only [sunubrt_121].
- Need
- Different tools, parts and battery logistics
- Priority
- Separate future workstream; excluded from passenger TAM.
- Need
- Tender-compliant evidence and uptime SLAs
- Priority
- Contract only.
Leading EV brands and models
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
Leading EV brands and models
| Brand | Model | Powertrain | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| BYD | Passenger range via LOXEA | BEV/PHEV by VIN | Official sales/rental, service, maintenance and parts; no volume disclosed [cfao_byd]. |
| BYD | Atto 2 | BEV | Commercial Dakar fleet use; not a market-share ranking [dakar_fleet]. |
| BYD | Dolphin | BEV | Commercial Dakar fleet use; no fleet size disclosed [dakar_fleet]. |
| BRT supplier fleet | Articulated electric bus | BEV heavy bus | 121 captive units; separate equipment/contract [cetud_121]. |
| Mixed used imports | Unranked BEV/PHEV models | VIN-specific | No authoritative model registration ranking located. |
- Model
- Passenger range via LOXEA
- Powertrain
- BEV/PHEV by VIN
- Signal
- Official sales/rental, service, maintenance and parts; no volume disclosed [cfao_byd].
- Model
- Atto 2
- Powertrain
- BEV
- Signal
- Commercial Dakar fleet use; not a market-share ranking [dakar_fleet].
- Model
- Dolphin
- Powertrain
- BEV
- Signal
- Commercial Dakar fleet use; no fleet size disclosed [dakar_fleet].
- Model
- Articulated electric bus
- Powertrain
- BEV heavy bus
- Signal
- 121 captive units; separate equipment/contract [cetud_121].
- Model
- Unranked BEV/PHEV models
- Powertrain
- VIN-specific
- Signal
- No authoritative model registration ranking located.
Independent and OEM competitors
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
Independent and OEM competitors
| Competitor | Type | Footprint | Threat | Response |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOXEA / CFAO / BYD Senegal | OEM-backed sales, lease, service, parts and charging | Hann Bel Air, Ngor/Virage, Thiès/AIBD | High for warranty vehicles | Out-of-warranty/referral/overflow scope only [cfao_byd] [loxea_network]. |
| Dakar Mobilité / SunuBRT depot system | Captive concession maintenance | BRT corridor/depot | Not open aftermarket | Contract or supplier partnership only [sunubrt_121]. |
- Type
- OEM-backed sales, lease, service, parts and charging
- Footprint
- Hann Bel Air, Ngor/Virage, Thiès/AIBD
- Threat
- High for warranty vehicles
- Response
- Out-of-warranty/referral/overflow scope only [cfao_byd] [loxea_network].
- Type
- Captive concession maintenance
- Footprint
- BRT corridor/depot
- Threat
- Not open aftermarket
- Response
- Contract or supplier partnership only [sunubrt_121].
Priority cities and regions
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
Priority cities and regions
| Rank | Region | Rationale | Mode |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greater Dakar: Ngor/Almadies–Hann–Diamniadio/AIBD | Only evidenced OEM/lease, fleet and infrastructure corridor; EV density still unverified [cfao_byd] [loxea_network]. | Only candidate for scheduled partner clinic. |
- Region
- Greater Dakar: Ngor/Almadies–Hann–Diamniadio/AIBD
- Rationale
- Only evidenced OEM/lease, fleet and infrastructure corridor; EV density still unverified [cfao_byd] [loxea_network].
- Mode
- Only candidate for scheduled partner clinic.
Consumer incentives and policy
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
Consumer incentives and policy
| Instrument | Status | Action |
|---|---|---|
| EV purchase grant | No current official national cash grant verified | Assume zero. |
| EV-specific customs/VAT exemption | No official general exemption verified | Use written HS valuation/ruling; general customs table controls [customs_rates] [customs_exemption]. |
- Status
- No current official national cash grant verified
- Action
- Assume zero.
- Status
- No official general exemption verified
- Action
- Use written HS valuation/ruling; general customs table controls [customs_rates] [customs_exemption].
Business, tax and investment incentives
No EV-specific exemption, grant or investment benefit is assumed. Written current rulings control.
Business, tax and investment incentives
| Item | Rate | Treatment |
|---|---|---|
| Standard VAT | 18% general rate in official customs calculations | Economics VAT-exclusive; obtain DGID advice for services/parts and recovery [customs_rates]. |
| Corporate income tax | Current CGI rate not hard-coded in model | Pre-tax model; written DGID adviser memo required [dgid_is]. |
- Rate
- 18% general rate in official customs calculations
- Treatment
- Economics VAT-exclusive; obtain DGID advice for services/parts and recovery [customs_rates].
- Rate
- Current CGI rate not hard-coded in model
- Treatment
- Pre-tax model; written DGID adviser memo required [dgid_is].
Labour, licensing and workshop regulation
Every material approval is a launch gate; this is not legal, tax, engineering or insurance advice.
Labour, licensing and workshop regulation
| Gate | Authority | Evidence |
|---|---|---|
| Entity, NINEA, tax and payroll | APIX/BCE, DGID, labour/social-security bodies | Company/RCCM, NINEA, tax account, payroll registrations and compliant importer status [business_48h] [dgid_is] [pcf]. |
| Premises, zoning, construction, signage and fire | Municipality / civil protection | Written workshop use and any building/occupancy/fire approvals [building_permit]. |
- Authority
- APIX/BCE, DGID, labour/social-security bodies
- Evidence
- Company/RCCM, NINEA, tax account, payroll registrations and compliant importer status [business_48h] [dgid_is] [pcf].
- Authority
- Municipality / civil protection
- Evidence
- Written workshop use and any building/occupancy/fire approvals [building_permit].
High-voltage controls
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
High-voltage controls
| Control | Evidence |
|---|---|
| VIN/powertrain whitelist | Classify BEV, PHEV, HEV, MHEV, buses and conversions before booking. |
| Task-specific authorisation | Named technician, competence assessment, scope, expiry and supervision. |
| Safe de-energisation | OEM procedure, lock/tag, proved tester and absence-of-voltage record [iso_6469]. |
| Controlled work zone | Barriers, insulated PPE/tools, rescue equipment and no lone HV work [ilo_osh]. |
| Charging interface | Licensed electrical work; IEC 61851/ISO 17409 as benchmarks only [iec_61851] [iso_17409]. |
| Release evidence | Pre/post scan, restoration, torque/QC, limitations and customer sign-off. |
- Evidence
- Classify BEV, PHEV, HEV, MHEV, buses and conversions before booking.
- Evidence
- Named technician, competence assessment, scope, expiry and supervision.
- Evidence
- OEM procedure, lock/tag, proved tester and absence-of-voltage record [iso_6469].
- Evidence
- Barriers, insulated PPE/tools, rescue equipment and no lone HV work [ilo_osh].
- Evidence
- Licensed electrical work; IEC 61851/ISO 17409 as benchmarks only [iec_61851] [iso_17409].
- Evidence
- Pre/post scan, restoration, torque/QC, limitations and customer sign-off.
Battery and waste controls
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
Battery and waste controls
| Stage | Rule | Route |
|---|---|---|
| Intact in-vehicle traction pack | Non-invasive diagnostics only | No opening, removal or storage. |
| Suspect/damaged pack arrival | Refuse routine indoor custody | Emergency/OEM/insurer and DEEC plan. |
- Rule
- Non-invasive diagnostics only
- Route
- No opening, removal or storage.
- Rule
- Refuse routine indoor custody
- Route
- Emergency/OEM/insurer and DEEC plan.
Recommended service portfolio
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
Recommended service portfolio
| Phase | Service | Include | Exclude |
|---|---|---|---|
| Launch | VIN-classified diagnostic scan | DTC/live data/12V/charge evidence | Secure coding, unsupported models or warranty decisions. |
| Launch | Pre-purchase EV condition report | Visual, scan, charging, thermal observation and chassis | Guaranteed battery capacity/life. |
| Launch | Charging and low-voltage triage | Cable, inlet, EVSE interface and 12V | Grid/electrical work without licensed partner. |
| Launch | Tyres, brakes, suspension and alignment | EV load/torque evidence | Unsupported ADAS calibration. |
| Fleet | Taxi/rental/corporate uptime inspection | Paid fleet trial and SLA evidence | OEM HV warranty. |
| Hold | Traction-pack/module work | None | Opening, removal, transport or custody. |
- Service
- VIN-classified diagnostic scan
- Include
- DTC/live data/12V/charge evidence
- Exclude
- Secure coding, unsupported models or warranty decisions.
- Service
- Pre-purchase EV condition report
- Include
- Visual, scan, charging, thermal observation and chassis
- Exclude
- Guaranteed battery capacity/life.
- Service
- Charging and low-voltage triage
- Include
- Cable, inlet, EVSE interface and 12V
- Exclude
- Grid/electrical work without licensed partner.
- Service
- Tyres, brakes, suspension and alignment
- Include
- EV load/torque evidence
- Exclude
- Unsupported ADAS calibration.
- Service
- Taxi/rental/corporate uptime inspection
- Include
- Paid fleet trial and SLA evidence
- Exclude
- OEM HV warranty.
- Service
- Traction-pack/module work
- Include
- None
- Exclude
- Opening, removal, transport or custody.
Franchise and operating model
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
Franchise and operating model
| Element | Recommendation |
|---|---|
| Format | Scheduled clinic days in one compliant Greater Dakar partner workshop. |
| Ownership | Senegal entity or joint venture with verified registrations and accountable local operator. |
| Territory/franchise | No franchise sale or exclusivity before 12 months of paid evidence. |
| Staffing | One assessed HV lead plus one technician; shared reception and licensed electrical/waste partners. |
| Technology | Supported VIN/task matrix, lawful service information and evidence-grade job files. |
| Commercial | XOF menu pricing, deposits and paid fleet trials; no free diagnostic demand proxy. |
| Expansion | Thiès/AIBD or Saly collection days only after Dakar continuation gate. |
- Recommendation
- Scheduled clinic days in one compliant Greater Dakar partner workshop.
- Recommendation
- Senegal entity or joint venture with verified registrations and accountable local operator.
- Recommendation
- No franchise sale or exclusivity before 12 months of paid evidence.
- Recommendation
- One assessed HV lead plus one technician; shared reception and licensed electrical/waste partners.
- Recommendation
- Supported VIN/task matrix, lawful service information and evidence-grade job files.
- Recommendation
- XOF menu pricing, deposits and paid fleet trials; no free diagnostic demand proxy.
- Recommendation
- Thiès/AIBD or Saly collection days only after Dakar continuation gate.
Pilot steady-state economics
All volumes, prices, margins, costs and capex are EVS assumptions in nominal XOF, VAT-exclusive and pre-tax.
Pilot steady-state economics
| Scenario | Jobs | Aro Xof | Gross Margin Pct | Opex Xof | Revenue Xof | Gross Profit Xof | Ebitda Xof | Payback Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cautious | 45 | 200,000 | 55 | 7,000,000 | 9,000,000 | 4,950,000 | -2,050,000 | — |
- Jobs
- 45
- Aro Xof
- 200,000
- Gross Margin Pct
- 55
- Opex Xof
- 7,000,000
- Revenue Xof
- 9,000,000
- Gross Profit Xof
- 4,950,000
- Ebitda Xof
- -2,050,000
- Payback Years
- —
90-day pilot economics
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
90-day pilot economics
| Scenario | Jobs 90d | Aro Xof | Gross Margin Pct | Opex Xof | Revenue Xof | Gross Profit Xof | Ebitda Xof |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cautious | 12 | 200,000 | 55 | 1,750,000 | 2,400,000 | 1,320,000 | -430,000 |
- Jobs 90d
- 12
- Aro Xof
- 200,000
- Gross Margin Pct
- 55
- Opex Xof
- 1,750,000
- Revenue Xof
- 2,400,000
- Gross Profit Xof
- 1,320,000
- Ebitda Xof
- -430,000
Risks and mitigations
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
Risks and mitigations
| Risk | Likelihood | Impact | Mitigation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Passenger BEV/PHEV denominator unavailable | High | High | Matched road-transport/customs extract; TAM stays null. |
| BRT buses mixed into passenger aftermarket | High | High | Separate heavy captive class and contract economics. |
| Taxi pipeline mistaken for active stock | High | High | Count only customs-cleared, registered, active Greater Dakar VINs. |
| Hybrids mistaken for PHEVs | High | High | VIN-level propulsion classification. |
| Policy target treated as forecast | High | High | Target-realisation cases only; not used for capex. |
| Announced sites mistaken for connectors/uptime | High | Medium | Physical connector, power, access and uptime audit. |
| Feeder capacity/outage risk | Medium | High | Load/earthing study, tariff quote, backup and controlled charging. |
| OEM software, warranty and parts access | High | High | Supported VIN/task matrix, LOXEA/OEM referral and parts SLAs. |
| Battery fire or electric shock | Low | Critical | No pack work; isolation SOP, rescue gear and drills. |
| Waste route failure | Medium | Critical | No battery custody before written DEEC route. |
| Tax/customs/incentive interpretation | Medium | High | Written DGID/Douanes/APIX advice; assume no special benefit. |
| Paid demand below partner-clinic threshold | High | High | Deposits, paid fleet trial and day-90 stop. |
- Likelihood
- High
- Impact
- High
- Mitigation
- Matched road-transport/customs extract; TAM stays null.
- Likelihood
- High
- Impact
- High
- Mitigation
- Separate heavy captive class and contract economics.
- Likelihood
- High
- Impact
- High
- Mitigation
- Count only customs-cleared, registered, active Greater Dakar VINs.
- Likelihood
- High
- Impact
- High
- Mitigation
- VIN-level propulsion classification.
- Likelihood
- High
- Impact
- High
- Mitigation
- Target-realisation cases only; not used for capex.
- Likelihood
- High
- Impact
- Medium
- Mitigation
- Physical connector, power, access and uptime audit.
- Likelihood
- Medium
- Impact
- High
- Mitigation
- Load/earthing study, tariff quote, backup and controlled charging.
- Likelihood
- High
- Impact
- High
- Mitigation
- Supported VIN/task matrix, LOXEA/OEM referral and parts SLAs.
- Likelihood
- Low
- Impact
- Critical
- Mitigation
- No pack work; isolation SOP, rescue gear and drills.
- Likelihood
- Medium
- Impact
- Critical
- Mitigation
- No battery custody before written DEEC route.
- Likelihood
- Medium
- Impact
- High
- Mitigation
- Written DGID/Douanes/APIX advice; assume no special benefit.
- Likelihood
- High
- Impact
- High
- Mitigation
- Deposits, paid fleet trial and day-90 stop.
90-day entry plan
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
90-day entry plan
| Days | Objective | Actions | Owner | Deliverable |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | Registry and legal gate | Obtain matched road-transport/customs extract by propulsion, class, age, owner, location and active status; map entity, ICPE, fire, electricity, waste, data and insurance. | EVS board / Senegal counsel | Definition and compliance file. |
- Objective
- Registry and legal gate
- Actions
- Obtain matched road-transport/customs extract by propulsion, class, age, owner, location and active status; map entity, ICPE, fire, electricity, waste, data and insurance.
- Owner
- EVS board / Senegal counsel
- Deliverable
- Definition and compliance file.
Explicit go / no-go gates
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
Explicit go / no-go gates
| Gate | Go | No Go |
|---|---|---|
| Market denominator | Matched extract proves at least 500 registered active passenger/light-commercial BEVs/PHEVs in Greater Dakar, separately identified | Classes/status/location cannot be separated or count is below 500. |
- Go
- Matched extract proves at least 500 registered active passenger/light-commercial BEVs/PHEVs in Greater Dakar, separately identified
- No Go
- Classes/status/location cannot be separated or count is below 500.
Methodology
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
Greater Dakar partner-clinic EBITDA
XOF; EVS steady-state assumptions.
Methodology
| Step | Method |
|---|---|
| 1. Evidence hierarchy | Primary Senegal authorities and project operators first; attributed/secondary figures explicitly labelled. |
| 2. Definition control | Separate passenger BEV/PHEV, captive buses, hybrid taxis, taxi pipeline, policy target and charger announcements. |
| 3. Market denominator | Leave national passenger TAM null until matched active-registration extract. |
| 4. Forecasts | 25%/50%/100% realisation of the ministry-attributed 37,000 target; not current-stock forecasts. |
| 5. Gate SAM | 500 Greater Dakar plug-ins × 90% active × 60% reach × 1.20 events. |
| 6. SOM | Zero before hard gates. |
| 7. Economics | Nominal XOF, VAT-exclusive EVS assumptions; annual volumes remain below gate SAM. |
| 8. Regulation | No incentive, permit or technical standard assumed without current written authority confirmation. |
| 9. Validation | JSON, schema, formulas, citations, links, branding, definitions and template residue. |
- Method
- Primary Senegal authorities and project operators first; attributed/secondary figures explicitly labelled.
- Method
- Separate passenger BEV/PHEV, captive buses, hybrid taxis, taxi pipeline, policy target and charger announcements.
- Method
- Leave national passenger TAM null until matched active-registration extract.
- Method
- 25%/50%/100% realisation of the ministry-attributed 37,000 target; not current-stock forecasts.
- Method
- 500 Greater Dakar plug-ins × 90% active × 60% reach × 1.20 events.
- Method
- Zero before hard gates.
- Method
- Nominal XOF, VAT-exclusive EVS assumptions; annual volumes remain below gate SAM.
- Method
- No incentive, permit or technical standard assumed without current written authority confirmation.
- Method
- JSON, schema, formulas, citations, links, branding, definitions and template residue.
Complete linked source register
Every material number is linked to a source or explicitly labelled as an EVS assumption.
Complete linked source register
| Source Id | Publisher | Publication Date | Accessed At | Scope | Href |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cetud_brt | Conseil exécutif des Transports urbains durables (CETUD) | — | 2026-08-11 | Official project page: 18 km, 23 solar-powered passenger stations and 121 articulated 100% electric buses. Stations are not counted as public EV charging sites. | https://cetud.sn/reseaux-de-transport/bus-regional-transit-brt/ |
| cetud_121 | CETUD | 2024-02-17 | 2026-08-11 | Official receipt of 121 articulated electric BRT buses; 158 planned at ramp-up. Captive heavy fleet, excluded from passenger/light-commercial service pool. | https://cetud.sn/reception-de-121-bus-articules/ |
| sunubrt_121 | SunuBRT | 2023-10-20 | 2026-08-11 | Operator project evidence: 121 buses, stated 250 km range and Dakar Mobilité maintenance responsibility. | https://www.sunubrt.sn/reception-de-la-flotte-des-121-bus-articules-brt-100-electriques/ |
| rts_brt | RTS | 2024-05-15 | 2026-08-11 | State broadcaster confirms progressive commercial service; 14 of 23 passenger stations at launch. | https://www.rts.sn/actualite/detail/a-la-une/transports-publics-le-brt-officiellment-mis-en-service |
| eeas_brt | European External Action Service | — | 2026-08-11 | Financing evidence: 121 buses; €85.4m loans, a separate €6.4m battery-replacement facility after eight years, €7m EU grant and €9m technical assistance. Captive concession economics, not EVS TAM. | https://www.eeas.europa.eu/delegations/senegal/dakar-mobilit%C3%A9-r%C3%A9unit-les-financements-du-tout-premier-syst%C3%A8me-de-bus-brt-100-%C3%A9lectrique-en-afrique_fr?s=117 |
| rts_ev_taxis | RTS | 2026-05-18 | 2026-08-11 | State broadcaster: first 100 electric taxis received in China within a 1,000-vehicle programme; chargers planned. Procurement/pipeline evidence, not proof of Senegal registration or operation. | https://www.rts.sn/actualite/detail/transports/mobilite-urbaine-le-fdtt-mise-sur-1-000-taxis-electriques-pour-moderniser-le-transport |
| rts_hybrid_taxis | RTS | 2025-11-26 | 2026-08-11 | Separate 1,000 hybrid-taxi programme; hybrid technology was not identified as PHEV and is excluded from plug-in stock. | https://www.rts.sn/actualite/detail/a-la-une/modernisation-des-transports-publics-un-programme-de-1-000-taxis-hybrides-voit-le-jour |
| policy_2030 | La Tribune Afrique | 2026-05-21 | 2026-08-11 | Secondary ministry-attributed ambition: 37,000 EVs or 15% of fleet by 2030. Scope and baseline are not reconciled; treated as target, not official forecast. | https://www.latribune.fr/article/afrique/6932301038119214/senegal-1-000-taxis-electriques-made-in-china-pour-transformer-la-mobilite-urbaine-mobilite-urbaine-au-senagal-la-solution-est-made-in-china |
| cfao_byd | CFAO Group | 2024-07-16 | 2026-08-11 | Official commercial entry: BYD sale/rental, charger installation, solar generation, servicing, maintenance and parts; two chargers announced with TotalEnergies Senegal. | https://www.cfaogroup.com/en/loxea-in-senegal-now-offers-electric-vehicles-from-the-byd-brand/ |
| loxea_network | LOXEA Senegal | — | 2026-08-11 | Official locations: Dakar/Hann Bel Air, Thiès/AIBD and BYD Senegal at Ngor Virage. Presence, not EV sales volume. | https://senegal.loxea.com/en/loxea-network/ |
| dakar_fleet | Dakar Fleet | — | 2026-08-11 | Commercial evidence of BYD Atto 2 and Dolphin use; no auditable fleet size, so models are signals only. | https://www.dakarfleet.com/en |
| ald_autoelec | ALD Auto Elec | — | 2026-08-11 | Commercial independent hybrid/electrical specialist in Greater Dakar; capability and volume require audit. | https://www.aldautoelec.com/ |
| customs_rates | Direction générale des Douanes du Sénégal | — | 2026-08-11 | Official general vehicle customs tables: duties, levies, 18% VAT and registration duty vary by new/used vehicle and route. No EV-specific exemption is inferred. | https://www.douanes.sn/ndn103/ |
| customs_cmc | Direction générale des Douanes du Sénégal | — | 2026-08-11 | Official customs-release documentation route for imported vehicle registration. | https://www.douanes.sn/request-a-certificate-of-release-for-home-use-cmc-of-an-imported-vehicle/ |
| customs_exemption | Direction générale des Douanes du Sénégal | — | 2026-08-11 | Exemption route requires qualifying convention, approval or ministerial instrument; ordinary clinic receives no assumed benefit. | https://www.douanes.sn/demander-un-titre-dexoneration-pour-les-importations |
| rts_import_age | RTS | 2025-11-05 | 2026-08-11 | Decree signed 24 October 2025: passenger/light utility import age ceiling raised from 8 to 10 years; heavy/passenger transport from 10 to 15 years. | https://www.rts.sn/actualite/detail/transports/modernisation-du-parc-automobile-le-senegal-releve-la-limite-dage-des-vehicules-importes |
| ansd_trade | Agence Nationale de la Statistique et de la Démographie | 2025-07-22 | 2026-08-11 | Official trade context: 2024 imports fell 0.6%; other land vehicles -28.4% and trucks/vans -15.9%. No propulsion or active-parc split. | https://www.ansd.sn/Indicateur/note-danalyse-du-commerce-exterieur-nace |
| crse_tariff | Commission de Régulation du Secteur de l’Énergie | — | 2026-08-11 | Official current tariff route. Site economics require exact supply category, subscribed power and demand charges. | https://www.crse.sn/crse_document/grille-tarifaire-de-senelec-applicable-a-compter-du-1er-janvier-2026/ |
| crse_stats | Commission de Régulation du Secteur de l’Énergie | — | 2026-08-11 | Official 2024 figures include 7,464.88 GWh available, 6,770.18 GWh Senelec sales, 2,370,926 customers and SAIDI 6h40m22s; national system, not feeder guarantee. | https://www.crse.sn/secteurs/secteur-electricite/ |
| crse_autoproduction | Commission de Régulation du Secteur de l’Énergie | — | 2026-08-11 | Official declaration/licence framework for self-generation and surplus injection; relevant to workshop solar/backup design. | https://www.crse.sn/crse_document/decret-relatif-a-lactivite-dautoproduction-delectricite/ |
| rts_capacity | RTS | 2026-05-03 | 2026-08-11 | Minister-attributed system context: about 1,902 MW current capacity and more than 1,250 MW planned by 2027; not a site-capacity guarantee. | https://www.rts.sn/actualite/detail/a-la-une/energie-plus-de-1-250-megawatts-supplementaires-attendus-dici-2027 |
| rts_access | RTS | 2025-02-03 | 2026-08-11 | State broadcaster: 65.67% rural electrification and about 86% national access; supports Dakar-first siting, not reliability claims. | https://www.rts.sn/actualite/detail/a-la-une/acces-a-lelectricite-vers-une-acceleration-de-lelectrification-rurale-au-senegal |
| apix_main | APIX-S.A. | — | 2026-08-11 | Official one-stop investor support and current investment-code documentation route. | https://investinsenegal.sn/ |
| apix_guichet | APIX-S.A. | — | 2026-08-11 | Official incentive approval route; Code thresholds and sector eligibility vary. Workshop eligibility is not assumed. | https://investinsenegal.sn/services/guichet-unique/ |
| apix_faq | APIX-S.A. | — | 2026-08-11 | Approval under investment regimes can provide customs/fiscal benefits; three-year approval validity stated. Benefits require application and approval. | https://investinsenegal.sn/apix-s-a/faq/ |
| business_48h | Sénégal Services | — | 2026-08-11 | Official administrative reform context; registry/NINEA formation does not replace sector approvals. | https://www.servicepublic.gouv.sn/actualite/creation-dentreprises-au-senegal-le-delai-passe-de-58-jours-a-48-heures |
| building_permit | Sénégal Services | — | 2026-08-11 | Official municipal building-permit route for construction/adaptation. | https://www.servicepublic.gouv.sn/demarche/demander-une-autorisation-de-construire-permis-de-construire |
| dgid_is | Direction générale des Impôts et des Domaines | 2026-02-06 | 2026-08-11 | Official current corporate-tax compliance route; the report does not rely on this page for a rate. | https://www.dgid.sn/2026/02/06/rappel-de-lecheance-de-paiement-du-premier-acompte-provisionnel-relatif-a-limpot-sur-les-societes-is-et-limpot-sur-le-revenu-ir/ |
| pcf | Direction générale des Impôts et des Domaines | — | 2026-08-11 | Official 12% import levy for non-compliant importers; compliant/registered importers may be exempt. Maintain tax compliance before importing tools/parts. | https://pcf.dgid.sn/ |
| icpe | Sénégal Services | — | 2026-08-11 | Official DEEC ICPE authorisation/declaration route; classification must be confirmed before premises commitment. | https://bo.senegalservices.sn/demarche/demander-lautorisation-dexploiter-une-installation-classee-pour-la-protection-de-lenvironnement |
| env_cert | Sénégal Services | — | 2026-08-11 | Projects within ICPE/environmental-assessment schedules require DEEC screening; promoter bears assessment cost. | https://bo.senegalservices.sn/demarche/demander-un-certificat-de-conformite-environnementale |
| battery_storage | Sénégal Services | — | 2026-08-11 | Official DEEC route requires site plan and ICPE authorisation; stated 1–3 month period. No traction-battery custody at launch. | https://senegalservices.sn/demarche/demander-une-autorisation-de-collecte-et-de-stockage-des-batteries-usagees |
| used_oil | Sénégal Services | — | 2026-08-11 | Official route for used-oil elimination; authorisation does not replace ICPE approval. | https://bo.senegalservices.sn/demarche/obtenir-un-agrement-pour-lelimination-des-huiles-usagees |
| environment_code | État du Sénégal / Vie-Publique.sn | 2023-08-02 | 2026-08-11 | State legal text: pollution prevention, waste management, ICPE authorisation/declaration and environmental evaluation framework. | https://www.vie-publique.sn/documents/10997/code-de-lenvironnement-du-senegal-loi-2023-15-du-02-aout-2023 |
| labour_code | Ministère du Travail | — | 2026-08-11 | Official Labour Code route; contracts, hours, employee representation and inspection obligations require local counsel. | https://www.travail.gouv.sn/index.php/en/Connaitre_le_droit_du_travail_s%C3%A9n%C3%A9galais |
| osh_programme | Ministère du Travail | — | 2026-08-11 | Official OSH programme and training/compliance context. | https://travail.gouv.sn/en/S%C3%A9curit%C3%A9_%20_et_Sant%C3%A9_au_Travail_le_programme_national_valid%C3%A9 |
| cdp | CDP Sénégal | — | 2026-08-11 | Official personal-data regulator and formalities route. | https://www.cdp.sn/ |
| cdp_obligations | CDP Sénégal | — | 2026-08-11 | Official duties include notice, access/opposition/rectification, confidentiality, security, retention and processor controls. | https://www.cdp.sn/obligations-entreprises |
| asn | Association Sénégalaise de Normalisation | — | 2026-08-11 | Official standards authority; confirms national electrotechnical and automotive standards portfolio. Obtain adopted editions in writing. | https://www.asn.sn/fr/content/processus-d%E2%80%99%C3%A9laboration-des-normes |
| iso_6469 | ISO | — | 2026-08-11 | International HV safety benchmark; Senegal law and adopted standards control. | https://www.iso.org/standard/45477.html |
| iso_17409 | ISO | — | 2026-08-11 | International conductive charging interface benchmark; not proof of Senegal adoption. | https://www.iso.org/standard/68474.html |
| iec_61851 | IEC | — | 2026-08-11 | International EVSE benchmark; local utility, installer and authority approval required. | https://webstore.iec.ch/en/publication/33644 |
| un_tests | UNECE | — | 2026-08-11 | UN 38.3 lithium-battery transport testing context. | https://unece.org/transport/dangerous-goods/rev8-files |
| basel | Basel Convention Secretariat | — | 2026-08-11 | Transboundary hazardous-waste controls; national DEEC permits and recipient-country rules also apply. | https://www.basel.int/TheConvention/Overview/tabid/1271/Default.aspx |
| ilo_osh | International Labour Organization | — | 2026-08-11 | OSH management benchmark; does not replace Senegal law. | https://www.ilo.org/resource/other/guidelines-occupational-safety-and-health-management-systems-ilo-osh-2001 |
| evs_model | EVS Worldwide | 2026-08-11 | 2026-08-11 | Internal assumptions and calculations; no assumption is presented as sourced fact. | EVS://Senegal/market-entry-model |
- Publisher
- Conseil exécutif des Transports urbains durables (CETUD)
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official project page: 18 km, 23 solar-powered passenger stations and 121 articulated 100% electric buses. Stations are not counted as public EV charging sites.
- Href
- https://cetud.sn/reseaux-de-transport/bus-regional-transit-brt/
- Publisher
- CETUD
- Publication Date
- 2024-02-17
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official receipt of 121 articulated electric BRT buses; 158 planned at ramp-up. Captive heavy fleet, excluded from passenger/light-commercial service pool.
- Href
- https://cetud.sn/reception-de-121-bus-articules/
- Publisher
- SunuBRT
- Publication Date
- 2023-10-20
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Operator project evidence: 121 buses, stated 250 km range and Dakar Mobilité maintenance responsibility.
- Href
- https://www.sunubrt.sn/reception-de-la-flotte-des-121-bus-articules-brt-100-electriques/
- Publisher
- RTS
- Publication Date
- 2024-05-15
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- State broadcaster confirms progressive commercial service; 14 of 23 passenger stations at launch.
- Href
- https://www.rts.sn/actualite/detail/a-la-une/transports-publics-le-brt-officiellment-mis-en-service
- Publisher
- European External Action Service
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Financing evidence: 121 buses; €85.4m loans, a separate €6.4m battery-replacement facility after eight years, €7m EU grant and €9m technical assistance. Captive concession economics, not EVS TAM.
- Href
- https://www.eeas.europa.eu/delegations/senegal/dakar-mobilit%C3%A9-r%C3%A9unit-les-financements-du-tout-premier-syst%C3%A8me-de-bus-brt-100-%C3%A9lectrique-en-afrique_fr?s=117
- Publisher
- RTS
- Publication Date
- 2026-05-18
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- State broadcaster: first 100 electric taxis received in China within a 1,000-vehicle programme; chargers planned. Procurement/pipeline evidence, not proof of Senegal registration or operation.
- Href
- https://www.rts.sn/actualite/detail/transports/mobilite-urbaine-le-fdtt-mise-sur-1-000-taxis-electriques-pour-moderniser-le-transport
- Publisher
- RTS
- Publication Date
- 2025-11-26
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Separate 1,000 hybrid-taxi programme; hybrid technology was not identified as PHEV and is excluded from plug-in stock.
- Href
- https://www.rts.sn/actualite/detail/a-la-une/modernisation-des-transports-publics-un-programme-de-1-000-taxis-hybrides-voit-le-jour
- Publisher
- La Tribune Afrique
- Publication Date
- 2026-05-21
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Secondary ministry-attributed ambition: 37,000 EVs or 15% of fleet by 2030. Scope and baseline are not reconciled; treated as target, not official forecast.
- Href
- https://www.latribune.fr/article/afrique/6932301038119214/senegal-1-000-taxis-electriques-made-in-china-pour-transformer-la-mobilite-urbaine-mobilite-urbaine-au-senagal-la-solution-est-made-in-china
- Publisher
- CFAO Group
- Publication Date
- 2024-07-16
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official commercial entry: BYD sale/rental, charger installation, solar generation, servicing, maintenance and parts; two chargers announced with TotalEnergies Senegal.
- Href
- https://www.cfaogroup.com/en/loxea-in-senegal-now-offers-electric-vehicles-from-the-byd-brand/
- Publisher
- LOXEA Senegal
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official locations: Dakar/Hann Bel Air, Thiès/AIBD and BYD Senegal at Ngor Virage. Presence, not EV sales volume.
- Href
- https://senegal.loxea.com/en/loxea-network/
- Publisher
- Dakar Fleet
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Commercial evidence of BYD Atto 2 and Dolphin use; no auditable fleet size, so models are signals only.
- Href
- https://www.dakarfleet.com/en
- Publisher
- ALD Auto Elec
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Commercial independent hybrid/electrical specialist in Greater Dakar; capability and volume require audit.
- Href
- https://www.aldautoelec.com/
- Publisher
- Direction générale des Douanes du Sénégal
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official general vehicle customs tables: duties, levies, 18% VAT and registration duty vary by new/used vehicle and route. No EV-specific exemption is inferred.
- Href
- https://www.douanes.sn/ndn103/
- Publisher
- Direction générale des Douanes du Sénégal
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official customs-release documentation route for imported vehicle registration.
- Href
- https://www.douanes.sn/request-a-certificate-of-release-for-home-use-cmc-of-an-imported-vehicle/
- Publisher
- Direction générale des Douanes du Sénégal
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Exemption route requires qualifying convention, approval or ministerial instrument; ordinary clinic receives no assumed benefit.
- Href
- https://www.douanes.sn/demander-un-titre-dexoneration-pour-les-importations
- Publisher
- RTS
- Publication Date
- 2025-11-05
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Decree signed 24 October 2025: passenger/light utility import age ceiling raised from 8 to 10 years; heavy/passenger transport from 10 to 15 years.
- Href
- https://www.rts.sn/actualite/detail/transports/modernisation-du-parc-automobile-le-senegal-releve-la-limite-dage-des-vehicules-importes
- Publisher
- Agence Nationale de la Statistique et de la Démographie
- Publication Date
- 2025-07-22
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official trade context: 2024 imports fell 0.6%; other land vehicles -28.4% and trucks/vans -15.9%. No propulsion or active-parc split.
- Href
- https://www.ansd.sn/Indicateur/note-danalyse-du-commerce-exterieur-nace
- Publisher
- Commission de Régulation du Secteur de l’Énergie
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official current tariff route. Site economics require exact supply category, subscribed power and demand charges.
- Href
- https://www.crse.sn/crse_document/grille-tarifaire-de-senelec-applicable-a-compter-du-1er-janvier-2026/
- Publisher
- Commission de Régulation du Secteur de l’Énergie
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official 2024 figures include 7,464.88 GWh available, 6,770.18 GWh Senelec sales, 2,370,926 customers and SAIDI 6h40m22s; national system, not feeder guarantee.
- Href
- https://www.crse.sn/secteurs/secteur-electricite/
- Publisher
- Commission de Régulation du Secteur de l’Énergie
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official declaration/licence framework for self-generation and surplus injection; relevant to workshop solar/backup design.
- Href
- https://www.crse.sn/crse_document/decret-relatif-a-lactivite-dautoproduction-delectricite/
- Publisher
- RTS
- Publication Date
- 2026-05-03
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Minister-attributed system context: about 1,902 MW current capacity and more than 1,250 MW planned by 2027; not a site-capacity guarantee.
- Href
- https://www.rts.sn/actualite/detail/a-la-une/energie-plus-de-1-250-megawatts-supplementaires-attendus-dici-2027
- Publisher
- RTS
- Publication Date
- 2025-02-03
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- State broadcaster: 65.67% rural electrification and about 86% national access; supports Dakar-first siting, not reliability claims.
- Href
- https://www.rts.sn/actualite/detail/a-la-une/acces-a-lelectricite-vers-une-acceleration-de-lelectrification-rurale-au-senegal
- Publisher
- APIX-S.A.
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official one-stop investor support and current investment-code documentation route.
- Href
- https://investinsenegal.sn/
- Publisher
- APIX-S.A.
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official incentive approval route; Code thresholds and sector eligibility vary. Workshop eligibility is not assumed.
- Href
- https://investinsenegal.sn/services/guichet-unique/
- Publisher
- APIX-S.A.
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Approval under investment regimes can provide customs/fiscal benefits; three-year approval validity stated. Benefits require application and approval.
- Href
- https://investinsenegal.sn/apix-s-a/faq/
- Publisher
- Sénégal Services
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official administrative reform context; registry/NINEA formation does not replace sector approvals.
- Href
- https://www.servicepublic.gouv.sn/actualite/creation-dentreprises-au-senegal-le-delai-passe-de-58-jours-a-48-heures
- Publisher
- Sénégal Services
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official municipal building-permit route for construction/adaptation.
- Href
- https://www.servicepublic.gouv.sn/demarche/demander-une-autorisation-de-construire-permis-de-construire
- Publisher
- Direction générale des Impôts et des Domaines
- Publication Date
- 2026-02-06
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official current corporate-tax compliance route; the report does not rely on this page for a rate.
- Href
- https://www.dgid.sn/2026/02/06/rappel-de-lecheance-de-paiement-du-premier-acompte-provisionnel-relatif-a-limpot-sur-les-societes-is-et-limpot-sur-le-revenu-ir/
- Publisher
- Direction générale des Impôts et des Domaines
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official 12% import levy for non-compliant importers; compliant/registered importers may be exempt. Maintain tax compliance before importing tools/parts.
- Href
- https://pcf.dgid.sn/
- Publisher
- Sénégal Services
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official DEEC ICPE authorisation/declaration route; classification must be confirmed before premises commitment.
- Href
- https://bo.senegalservices.sn/demarche/demander-lautorisation-dexploiter-une-installation-classee-pour-la-protection-de-lenvironnement
- Publisher
- Sénégal Services
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Projects within ICPE/environmental-assessment schedules require DEEC screening; promoter bears assessment cost.
- Href
- https://bo.senegalservices.sn/demarche/demander-un-certificat-de-conformite-environnementale
- Publisher
- Sénégal Services
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official DEEC route requires site plan and ICPE authorisation; stated 1–3 month period. No traction-battery custody at launch.
- Href
- https://senegalservices.sn/demarche/demander-une-autorisation-de-collecte-et-de-stockage-des-batteries-usagees
- Publisher
- Sénégal Services
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official route for used-oil elimination; authorisation does not replace ICPE approval.
- Href
- https://bo.senegalservices.sn/demarche/obtenir-un-agrement-pour-lelimination-des-huiles-usagees
- Publisher
- État du Sénégal / Vie-Publique.sn
- Publication Date
- 2023-08-02
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- State legal text: pollution prevention, waste management, ICPE authorisation/declaration and environmental evaluation framework.
- Href
- https://www.vie-publique.sn/documents/10997/code-de-lenvironnement-du-senegal-loi-2023-15-du-02-aout-2023
- Publisher
- Ministère du Travail
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official Labour Code route; contracts, hours, employee representation and inspection obligations require local counsel.
- Href
- https://www.travail.gouv.sn/index.php/en/Connaitre_le_droit_du_travail_s%C3%A9n%C3%A9galais
- Publisher
- Ministère du Travail
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official OSH programme and training/compliance context.
- Href
- https://travail.gouv.sn/en/S%C3%A9curit%C3%A9_%20_et_Sant%C3%A9_au_Travail_le_programme_national_valid%C3%A9
- Publisher
- CDP Sénégal
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official personal-data regulator and formalities route.
- Href
- https://www.cdp.sn/
- Publisher
- CDP Sénégal
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official duties include notice, access/opposition/rectification, confidentiality, security, retention and processor controls.
- Href
- https://www.cdp.sn/obligations-entreprises
- Publisher
- Association Sénégalaise de Normalisation
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official standards authority; confirms national electrotechnical and automotive standards portfolio. Obtain adopted editions in writing.
- Href
- https://www.asn.sn/fr/content/processus-d%E2%80%99%C3%A9laboration-des-normes
- Publisher
- ISO
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- International HV safety benchmark; Senegal law and adopted standards control.
- Href
- https://www.iso.org/standard/45477.html
- Publisher
- ISO
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- International conductive charging interface benchmark; not proof of Senegal adoption.
- Href
- https://www.iso.org/standard/68474.html
- Publisher
- IEC
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- International EVSE benchmark; local utility, installer and authority approval required.
- Href
- https://webstore.iec.ch/en/publication/33644
- Publisher
- UNECE
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- UN 38.3 lithium-battery transport testing context.
- Href
- https://unece.org/transport/dangerous-goods/rev8-files
- Publisher
- Basel Convention Secretariat
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Transboundary hazardous-waste controls; national DEEC permits and recipient-country rules also apply.
- Href
- https://www.basel.int/TheConvention/Overview/tabid/1271/Default.aspx
- Publisher
- International Labour Organization
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- OSH management benchmark; does not replace Senegal law.
- Href
- https://www.ilo.org/resource/other/guidelines-occupational-safety-and-health-management-systems-ilo-osh-2001
- Publisher
- EVS Worldwide
- Publication Date
- 2026-08-11
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Internal assumptions and calculations; no assumption is presented as sourced fact.
- Href
- EVS://Senegal/market-entry-model
Validation register
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
Validation register
| Check | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| JSON / UTF-8 | Pass | Generated and reparsed. |
| Schema | Pass | Required blocks, datasets, calculations and source registry present. |
| Calculations | Pass | Target cases, gate SAM and annual/90-day economics recomputed. |
| Definition control | Pass | Passenger plug-ins, buses, hybrid taxis, electric-taxi pipeline, target and chargers remain separate. |
| Branding | Pass | EVS Green #5BCC12, Silver #A7B3BB, charcoal/black, white/light grey and Inter; no blue. |
| Decision | Pass | National TAM null, executable SOM zero and hard gates explicit. |
- Status
- Pass
- Detail
- Generated and reparsed.
- Status
- Pass
- Detail
- Required blocks, datasets, calculations and source registry present.
- Status
- Pass
- Detail
- Target cases, gate SAM and annual/90-day economics recomputed.
- Status
- Pass
- Detail
- Passenger plug-ins, buses, hybrid taxis, electric-taxi pipeline, target and chargers remain separate.
- Status
- Pass
- Detail
- EVS Green #5BCC12, Silver #A7B3BB, charcoal/black, white/light grey and Inter; no blue.
- Status
- Pass
- Detail
- National TAM null, executable SOM zero and hard gates explicit.
EVS Board Position
CONDITIONAL GO for evidence-gated diligence and scheduled Greater Dakar partner-clinic days; NO-GO standalone/franchise; HOLD traction-pack work.
Source register
46 primary and derived sources
ShowHide
Source register
46 primary and derived sources
- 25FAQ APIX
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