Market intelligence/Middle East/Report available
Iraq.
EVS Iraq EV Service Centre Market Entry
Decision-grade Iraq assessment separating all-powertrain parc/imports/sales, marketplace listings, official model/showroom activity, unavailable active BEV/PHEV registrations, future charging plans, federal/KRI requirements and EVS assumptions.
Active passenger plug-in stock
—
No authoritative active passenger BEV/PHEV stock series.
Commissioned public connectors
—
No verified commissioned public passenger connector census.
Gate SAM jobs/year
540
Only after 1,000 separately verified active Greater Baghdad plug-ins.
Base simple payback
6.831
IQD 100m reversible capex assumption.
01/The verdict in full
Executive summary
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
02
Market headline
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
Market headline
- Value
- 8,287,604
- Unit
- vehicles
- Status
- All powertrains including Kurdistan; not EV TAM [mop_parc].
- Value
- —
- Unit
- vehicles
- Status
- No authoritative separated active-stock series located.
- Value
- —
- Unit
- connectors
- Status
- No authoritative national/site/connector census located.
- Value
- 0
- Unit
- jobs
- Status
- Zero before all hard gates.
- Value
- 1,000
- Unit
- active plug-ins
- Status
- EVS gate, not an estimate.
Source: EVS Iraq decision model
03
Market size and vehicle parc
The 8.287 million figure is the all-powertrain private-vehicle context, including Kurdistan. It is not an EV denominator.
Market size and vehicle parc
- Period
- end-2024
- Value
- 8,287,604
- Definition
- Registered private vehicles including Kurdistan; all powertrains [mop_parc].
- Period
- end-2023
- Value
- 8,096,075
- Definition
- Comparable ministry series reported by same source [mop_parc].
- Period
- end-2024
- Value
- 187
- Definition
- Ministry ratio; denominator timing differs from final 2025 census [mop_parc].
- Period
- recent administrative estimate
- Value
- about 200,000
- Definition
- Cars, all powertrains [ina_imports].
- Period
- 2024/2025 industry estimate
- Value
- about 161,000
- Definition
- Reuters industry estimate, all powertrains; not official [reuters_market].
- Period
- 2025
- Value
- 46,118,793
- Definition
- Final population result [census_population].
Source: EVS Iraq decision model
04
BEV/PHEV sales, stock and adoption history
No authoritative annual BEV/PHEV sales or active-stock history was located. Listings, dealer launches and model availability stay outside stock.
BEV/PHEV sales, stock and adoption history
- Bev Sales
- —
- Phev Sales
- —
- Active Bev Stock
- —
- Active Phev Stock
- —
- Observable Proxy
- 3 Tesla marketplace listings; not sales/stock [tesla_proxy].
- Bev Sales
- —
- Phev Sales
- —
- Active Bev Stock
- —
- Active Phev Stock
- —
- Observable Proxy
- 21 Tesla marketplace listings; not sales/stock [tesla_proxy].
- Bev Sales
- —
- Phev Sales
- —
- Active Bev Stock
- —
- Active Phev Stock
- —
- Observable Proxy
- 215 Tesla marketplace listings; not sales/stock [tesla_proxy].
- Bev Sales
- —
- Phev Sales
- —
- Active Bev Stock
- —
- Active Phev Stock
- —
- Observable Proxy
- Official BYD Baghdad/Erbil launch and model range; no unit sales [byd_launch] [byd_global].
- Bev Sales
- —
- Phev Sales
- —
- Active Bev Stock
- —
- Active Phev Stock
- —
- Observable Proxy
- No authoritative separated national series located.
Source: EVS Iraq decision model
05
Definition reconciliation
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
Definition reconciliation
- Include In Plugin Tam
- No
- Reason
- All powertrains; propulsion and active passenger/LCV split absent.
- Include In Plugin Tam
- No
- Reason
- Listings may duplicate vehicles and do not prove sale, registration or active status.
- Include In Plugin Tam
- No
- Reason
- Availability and dealer presence do not prove units in service.
- Include In Plugin Tam
- —
- Reason
- Q4 2026 go-live was future at cutoff; commissioned site/connectors not verified.
- Include In Plugin Tam
- Yes
- Reason
- Required denominator; currently unavailable.
Source: EVS Iraq decision model
06
Cautious / base / high scenarios
These are EVS static-parc share sensitivities, not an official forecast. They do not estimate today's stock.
Cautious / base / high scenarios
- Share Of 2024 Private Vehicle Parc Pct
- 0.05
- Modelled 2030 Active Passenger Lcv Plug Ins
- 4,144
- Basis
- EVS sensitivity using a static 8,287,604 all-powertrain private-vehicle denominator. It is not an official forecast and does not estimate the current plug-in stock or BEV/PHEV split.
- Share Of 2024 Private Vehicle Parc Pct
- 0.1
- Modelled 2030 Active Passenger Lcv Plug Ins
- 8,288
- Basis
- EVS sensitivity using a static 8,287,604 all-powertrain private-vehicle denominator. It is not an official forecast and does not estimate the current plug-in stock or BEV/PHEV split.
- Share Of 2024 Private Vehicle Parc Pct
- 0.25
- Modelled 2030 Active Passenger Lcv Plug Ins
- 20,719
- Basis
- EVS sensitivity using a static 8,287,604 all-powertrain private-vehicle denominator. It is not an official forecast and does not estimate the current plug-in stock or BEV/PHEV split.
Source: EVS Iraq decision model
07
Charging infrastructure
EVO quantities are a future commercial plan at the evidence cutoff, not a commissioned public connector census.
Charging infrastructure
- Count
- —
- Status
- No authoritative commissioned national census located.
- Count
- 50
- Status
- Plan only; Q4 2026 go-live after evidence cutoff [evo].
- Count
- 25
- Status
- Plan only; not commissioned [evo].
- Count
- 500
- Status
- Plan only; site mapping, commissioning and public access unverified [evo].
- Count
- —
- Status
- Premises-specific utility, outage, generator, earthing, protection and fire assessment required.
Source: EVS Iraq decision model
08
Electricity and grid readiness
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
Electricity and grid readiness
- Value
- 3,500 MW
- Period
- May 2025
- Meaning
- Supply shock linked to Iranian gas decline [grid_gas].
Source: EVS Iraq decision model
09
Vehicle parc age and service demand
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
10
forecast chart context
The scenario bars show only the mathematical effect of small plug-in shares on the static 2024 all-powertrain parc. They are not a current-stock estimate or policy forecast.
EVS share sensitivities on static 2024 all-powertrain private parc; not an official forecast.
Source: EVS Iraq decision model
Vehicle parc age and service demand
- Evidence
- 8.287m private vehicles and about 200k annual imports [mop_parc] [ina_imports].
- Implication
- Potential chassis/tyre/AC/inspection demand, but no EV frequency or EV TAM follows.
- Evidence
- National heat-stress concern [heat_osh]; no EV repair-frequency series located.
- Implication
- Prioritise HVAC, battery thermal screening, cooling, filtration and worker heat controls.
- Evidence
- 3,500 MW reported loss in 2025 [grid_gas].
- Implication
- Design controlled backup power and safe charger shutdown; verify site quality.
- Evidence
- 2025+ model standard mandatory from 2026 [vehicle_standard].
- Implication
- Build VIN/conformity/import document checks; EVS is not the homologation authority.
Source: EVS Iraq decision model
11
EVS assumptions
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
EVS assumptions
- Value
- 1,000 active registered passenger/light-commercial plug-ins in Greater Baghdad
- Classification
- EVS hard gate; not an estimate
- Value
- 90%
- Classification
- EVS sensitivity
- Value
- 50%
- Classification
- EVS sensitivity reflecting OEM/warranty capture
- Value
- 1.20 per reachable vehicle/year
- Classification
- EVS sensitivity
- Value
- IQD 300,000, sales-tax exclusive
- Classification
- EVS planning assumption
- Value
- IQD 100,000,000
- Classification
- EVS board control; no USD conversion asserted
Source: EVS Iraq decision model
12
Transparent TAM / SAM / SOM
Current national plug-in TAM remains null and executable SOM zero. The quantified service pool is a board gate, not current market size.
Transparent TAM / SAM / SOM
- Value
- —
- Unit
- active vehicles
- Formula
- Matched Traffic Directorate registration extract
- Status
- Unavailable; no proxy substitution.
- Value
- 540
- Unit
- jobs/year
- Formula
- 1,000 × 90% × 50% × 1.20
- Status
- Decision gate only; not current market size.
- Value
- 162,000,000
- Unit
- IQD/year
- Formula
- 540 × IQD 300,000
- Status
- EVS sales-tax-exclusive sensitivity.
Source: EVS Iraq decision model
13
Customer and fleet segments
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
Customer and fleet segments
- Priority
- Primary future niche
- Need
- Inspection, scan, SOH/thermal screen, 12V, tyres, brakes, suspension, AC/cooling.
- Proof
- Matched registrations, supported VIN/task matrix and deposits.
- Priority
- Primary proof route
- Need
- Uptime, triage, inspection, charging coordination.
- Proof
- Paid 25+ vehicle trial or binding LOI with plug-in VIN list.
- Priority
- Warranty-safe referral niche
- Need
- Non-warranty chassis/consumables and independent condition evidence.
- Proof
- Written warranty/OEM/tool boundary.
- Priority
- Adjacency only
- Need
- General service/AC/tyres.
- Proof
- Do not use to validate EV franchise economics.
Source: EVS Iraq decision model
14
Leading EV brands and models
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
Leading EV brands and models
- Powertrain
- BEV models listed officially
- Evidence
- Availability, not sales/stock [byd_launch].
- Powertrain
- PHEV models listed officially
- Evidence
- Availability, not sales/stock [byd_launch].
- Powertrain
- PHEV launch model
- Evidence
- Reuters distributor launch; no unit count [reuters_market].
- Powertrain
- PHEV
- Evidence
- Secondary showroom evidence; no unit count [denza].
- Powertrain
- BEV
- Evidence
- Marketplace listing-growth proxy only [tesla_proxy].
Source: EVS Iraq decision model
15In the full report
Independent and OEM competitors
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
This section is in the full report.
16In the full report
Priority cities and regions
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
This section is in the full report.
17In the full report
Consumer incentives and policy
A 2025 exemption statement conflicts with 2026 tariff reporting. The model assumes no benefit.
This section is in the full report.
18In the full report
Business, tax and investment incentives
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
This section is in the full report.
19In the full report
Labour, licensing and workshop regulation
Federal Iraq and the Kurdistan Region require separate written compliance work. This is not legal, tax, engineering or insurance advice.
This section is in the full report.
20In the full report
High-voltage controls
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
This section is in the full report.
21In the full report
Battery and waste controls
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
This section is in the full report.
22In the full report
Recommended service portfolio
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
This section is in the full report.
23In the full report
Operating model
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
This section is in the full report.
24In the full report
Franchise pathway
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
This section is in the full report.
25In the full report
Pilot steady-state economics
All values are nominal IQD, sales-tax-exclusive and pre-tax EVS partner-clinic assumptions; no exchange-rate conversion or incentive is used.
This section is in the full report.
26In the full report
90-day pilot economics
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
This section is in the full report.
27In the full report
Risks and mitigations
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
This section is in the full report.
28In the full report
90-day entry plan
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
This section is in the full report.
29In the full report
Explicit go / no-go gates
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
This section is in the full report.
30
Methodology
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
Methodology
- Method
- Iraqi authorities, official OEMs/operators and multilaterals first; current professional/secondary sources labelled.
- Method
- Separate all-powertrain parc/imports/sales, marketplace listings, models/showrooms, active BEV/PHEV registrations and commissioned public EVSE.
- Method
- Leave passenger/light-commercial plug-in TAM and commissioned connector count null until matched authoritative data.
- Method
- Apply 0.05%/0.10%/0.25% shares to static 2024 private-vehicle parc; not an official forecast.
- Method
- 1,000 Greater Baghdad plug-ins × 90% active × 50% reach × 1.20 events.
- Method
- Zero before all hard gates.
- Method
- Nominal IQD, sales-tax-exclusive/pre-tax EVS assumptions; no incentive or currency translation.
- Method
- No incentive, credential, permit, standard adoption or waste route assumed without written current federal/KRI confirmation.
- Method
- JSON/schema, formulas, citations, links, brand colours, definition control, duplicate search and template-residue checks.
Source: EVS Iraq decision model
31In the full report
economics chart context
The economics bars are capacity-disciplined partner-clinic assumptions. Only the base case is a continuation gate; executable volume remains zero before gates.
This section is in the full report.
32
Evidence gaps
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
Evidence gaps
- Needed
- Traffic Directorate VIN extract by propulsion, class, city, registration/active status and KRI inclusion
- Decision Effect
- Blocks TAM and centre/franchise.
- Needed
- Annual first registrations, deregistrations and imports with homologated propulsion
- Decision Effect
- Blocks forecast calibration and inventory.
- Needed
- Site, connector, standard, kW, access, tariff, uptime and commissioning date
- Decision Effect
- Blocks network/service claim.
- Needed
- Written federal and KRI HS/VIN rulings after 2026 tariff change
- Decision Effect
- Blocks landed-cost/incentive claim.
- Needed
- Written labour, municipal, civil defence, electricity, environment and insurer route
- Decision Effect
- Blocks repair launch.
- Needed
- Classification, storage, carrier and named approved recipient
- Decision Effect
- Holds pack work.
- Needed
- Bookings, plug-in fleet VINs, tool/parts/warranty access and paid trial
- Decision Effect
- Blocks continuation.
Source: EVS Iraq decision model
33
Complete linked source register
Every material quantitative claim is linked or explicitly labelled as an EVS assumption.
Complete linked source register
- Publisher
- Iraq Ministry of Planning / Al-Maalomah relay
- Publication Date
- 2025-12-29
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Ministry statistical report relayed: 8,287,604 registered private vehicles including Kurdistan at end-2024, versus 8,096,075 in 2023, and 187 vehicles per 1,000 people. All powertrains; no EV split.
- Href
- https://almaalomah.me/news/118298/economy/%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%AA%D9%81%D8%A7%D8%B9-%D8%B9%D8%AF%D8%AF-%D8%B3%D9%8A%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%AA-%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%82%D8%B7%D8%A7%D8%B9-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%AE%D8%A7%D8%B5-%D9%81%D9%8A-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%B9%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%82
- Publisher
- NINA / Non14
- Publication Date
- 2025-12-29
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Corroborating relay of the Ministry of Planning statistics; no propulsion split.
- Href
- https://non14.net/183325
- Publisher
- Iraqi News Agency
- Publication Date
- 2025-10-14
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Ministry of Trade/Traffic Directorate data say about 200,000 cars are imported annually. This is all powertrains and is not a registration or EV count.
- Href
- https://ina.iq/en/local/42990-iraq-unveils-new-plan-to-regulate-car-imports-amid-rising-numbers.html
- Publisher
- 964media
- Publication Date
- 2025-07-19
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Current relay cites around eight million vehicles, five-million road design capacity and about 200,000 annual imports/registrations.
- Href
- https://en.964media.com/33262/
- Publisher
- The New Region
- Publication Date
- 2026-01-06
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Interior Ministry reported roughly seven million cars at the beginning of 2026 and 140,000 newly registered, conflicting with the end-2024 private-vehicle series including Kurdistan. Definitions/geography likely differ.
- Href
- https://thenewregion.com/posts/5592
- Publisher
- Shafaq News
- Publication Date
- 2025-12-27
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Secondary regional context: Baghdad nearly three million, Erbil about 982,000 and Sulaymaniyah about 721,000 vehicles. Use only for prioritisation, not EV TAM.
- Href
- https://shafaq.com/en/Economy/Iraq-nears-9M-cars-by-2030
- Publisher
- IraqiNews
- Publication Date
- 2025-04-03
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- iQ Cars marketplace listings rose from 3 in 2022 to 21 in 2023 and 215 in 2024; listings are not sales, registrations, unique vehicles or active stock.
- Href
- https://www.iraqinews.com/iraq/teslas-popularity-increases-in-iraq/
- Publisher
- Reuters
- Publication Date
- 2025-08-11
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Industry estimate of about 161,000 new-car sales, up 28%; launch included a J7 PHEV. Not an official EV series.
- Href
- https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinese-cherys-omoda-jaecoo-brands-launch-iraq-with-jameel-distributor-2025-08-11/
- Publisher
- Iraqi News Agency / Ministry of Planning
- Publication Date
- 2025-11-26
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Final census population 46,118,793. Different date and definition from vehicle-series penetration ratio.
- Href
- https://ina.iq/ar/local/248754-46118793.html
- Publisher
- BYD Iraq
- Publication Date
- 2026-04-06
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official showroom/aftersales expansion and stated vehicle/battery warranties; no audited sales or active stock.
- Href
- https://byd.iq/en/news/nat-opens-a-new-byd-iraq-branch-in-al-bayaa-baghdad-as-part-of-its-ongoing-expansion-strategy
- Publisher
- BYD Iraq
- Publication Date
- 2025-09-23
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official Baghdad/Erbil presence and BEV/PHEV model range; no unit sales.
- Href
- https://byd.iq/en/news/byd-octopus-turbocharge-ev-revolution-at-energy-tech-summit-2025
- Publisher
- BYD Iraq
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official Baghdad, Erbil and Al-Bayaa location route.
- Href
- https://byd.iq/en/branch
- Publisher
- BYD
- Publication Date
- 2025-12-25
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Company launch announcement; visitor numbers are not vehicle sales.
- Href
- https://www.byd.com/mea/news-list/byd-officially-enters-the-iraqi-market-launches-byd-sharl6-in-baghdad
- Publisher
- Toyota Iraq
- Publication Date
- 2024-11-17
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official Baghdad/Erbil authorized-service presence.
- Href
- https://www.toyota.iq/english/news-releases/toyota-service-stations
- Publisher
- Toyota Iraq
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official network reports six dealer companies and 33 branches; hybrid/HV capability at each site is not established here.
- Href
- https://www.toyota.iq/english/about-toyota-iraq
- Publisher
- Toyota Iraq
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official dealer-location register.
- Href
- https://www.toyota.iq/english/dealers
- Publisher
- Iraq Ministry of Environment
- Publication Date
- 2025-05-29
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Policy/technical discussion including batteries suited to Iraq climate; not a fleet, incentive or regulatory approval.
- Href
- https://moen.gov.iq/ar/News87
- Publisher
- IraqiNews
- Publication Date
- 2026-07-02
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Secondary current showroom/model evidence; no sales or registration count.
- Href
- https://www.iraqinews.com/iraq/byds-denza-opens-first-iraqi-showroom-at-iraq-mall/
- Publisher
- EVO Iraq
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Commercial plan states 50 sites, 25 DC units, 500 AC units and Q4 2026 go-live. At the evidence cutoff this is planned, not a commissioned connector census.
- Href
- https://evo.iq/
- Publisher
- Apple App Store
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Application presence does not establish an audited Iraq site/connector inventory.
- Href
- https://apps.apple.com/us/app/kvolt/id6743025457
- Publisher
- Al-Nahrain
- Publication Date
- 2025-06-07
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- 2025 relay of General Customs position; later 2026 tariff reporting may supersede it.
- Href
- https://www.alnahrain.com/article/16673
- Publisher
- Associated Press
- Publication Date
- 2026-01-08
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Reports EVs previously exempt became subject to a 15% fee under the new system. Obtain written classification before pricing.
- Href
- https://apnews.com/article/a9a836969d13f3658019bce38bbccb07
- Publisher
- Kurdiu
- Publication Date
- 2026-01-01
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Current secondary tariff report; federal/KRI treatment must be confirmed separately.
- Href
- https://www.kurdiu.org/en/b/587675
- Publisher
- Iraqi News Agency / Ministry of Planning
- Publication Date
- 2025-07-14
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Iraqi standard announced for 2025+ models from 2026; obtain Technical Requirement 167 and conformity process.
- Href
- https://ina.iq/ar/local/238562-.html
- Publisher
- NewsIQ / Ministry of Planning relay
- Publication Date
- 2025-08-19
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Secondary English relay; signed standard controls.
- Href
- https://news.iq/en/planning-ministry-iraqi-standards-to-apply-to-all-cars-starting-2026/
- Publisher
- Iraqi News Agency
- Publication Date
- 2025-09-16
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Plan covers emissions, fuel efficiency, age/categories and tariffs; policy process is not an EV incentive.
- Href
- https://ina.iq/ar/local/243556-.html
- Publisher
- Iraqi News Agency
- Publication Date
- 2026-04-28
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Planned/expected imports before summer; not workshop uptime or contracted capacity.
- Href
- https://ina.iq/ar/local/261885-1250.html
- Publisher
- Iraqi News Agency
- Publication Date
- 2025-05-22
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Evidence of power-supply volatility relevant to workshop/charger engineering.
- Href
- https://ina.iq/234820--3500-.html
- Publisher
- Iraqi News Agency
- Publication Date
- 2025-11-24
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Future 2,000 MW Gulf-link and 12,000 MW solar plans; not current available capacity.
- Href
- https://ina.iq/ar/economie/248659-2000.html
- Publisher
- UNFCCC
- Publication Date
- 2025-11-13
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official climate submission; no unverified EV target is used in this report.
- Href
- https://unfccc.int/node/653770
- Publisher
- UNDP Iraq
- Publication Date
- 2026-02-01
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official green-transition framework; not evidence of current EV stock or incentives.
- Href
- https://www.undp.org/iraq/publications/green-growth-framework-iraq
- Publisher
- UNDP Iraq
- Publication Date
- 2024-12-30
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official development context; project eligibility requires current authority confirmation.
- Href
- https://www.undp.org/iraq/publications/iraq-national-development-plan-2024-2028
- Publisher
- International Monetary Fund
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Latest IMF country indicators include 2026 projections; macro context only.
- Href
- https://www.imf.org/en/countries/irq
- Publisher
- International Monetary Fund
- Publication Date
- 2025-05-15
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- 2024 non-oil growth 2.5%, overall contraction 2.3%, inflation 2.7% and fiscal deficit 4.2%; relevant to demand/import risk.
- Href
- https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2025/05/15/mcs-iraq-concluding-statement-of-the-2025-imf-article-iv-mission
- Publisher
- International Monetary Fund
- Publication Date
- 2025-07-09
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Primary macro/fiscal source.
- Href
- https://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/002/2025/183/article-A001-en.xml
- Publisher
- PwC
- Publication Date
- 2026-06-24
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Current professional summary: 15% standard CIT and 35% for oil/gas activity; local advice controls.
- Href
- https://taxsummaries.pwc.com/iraq/corporate/taxes-on-corporate-income
- Publisher
- PwC
- Publication Date
- 2026-06-24
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Current professional summary including 15% sales tax on cars and social-security rates; confirm workshop/import application.
- Href
- https://taxsummaries.pwc.com/iraq/corporate/other-taxes
- Publisher
- PwC
- Publication Date
- 2026-06-24
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Current professional summary; review franchise, software, technical-service and royalty flows.
- Href
- https://taxsummaries.pwc.com/iraq/corporate/withholding-taxes
- Publisher
- PwC
- Publication Date
- 2026-06-24
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- No benefit is modelled without written eligibility.
- Href
- https://taxsummaries.pwc.com/iraq/corporate/tax-credits-and-incentives
- Publisher
- PwC
- Publication Date
- 2026-06-24
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Current filing/clearance context; accountant confirmation required.
- Href
- https://taxsummaries.pwc.com/iraq/corporate/tax-administration
- Publisher
- Iraq National Investment Commission
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official registration and investment route.
- Href
- https://investpromo.gov.iq/investor-guide/
- Publisher
- Iraq National Investment Commission
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Investment Law coverage is reported with a minimum project capital of USD 250,000; a small pilot assumes no eligibility.
- Href
- https://investpromo.gov.iq/ar/investor-guide-3/
- Publisher
- Iraq National Investment Commission
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official investor facilitation route; not an approval.
- Href
- https://investpromo.gov.iq/one-stop-shop/
- Publisher
- Iraqi News Agency
- Publication Date
- 2025-07-13
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Current enforcement communication cites Social Security Law 18/2023 and an 80% Iraqi / 20% foreign-labour ratio. Obtain authenticated legal advice, including the source's labour-law numbering.
- Href
- https://ina.iq/ar/local/238523-.html
- Publisher
- International Labour Organization
- Publication Date
- 2024-05-08
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Primary context for Social Security Law 18/2023.
- Href
- https://www.ilo.org/resource/news/iraq-ilo-and-partners-launch-national-social-security-awareness-campaign
- Publisher
- United Nations Iraq / ILO
- Publication Date
- 2025-04-27
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Heat-stress risk is material to workshop controls.
- Href
- https://iraq.un.org/en/293324-iraq-holds-first-national-conference-occupational-heat-stress-response-climate-change
- Publisher
- University of Technology Iraq
- Publication Date
- 2026-05-06
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Current institutional OHS context; not a credential route.
- Href
- https://qaupd.uotechnology.edu.iq/en/university-of-technology-organizes-interactive-workshop-on-occupational-health-safety-and-risk-management-2/
- Publisher
- Iraq Ministry of Environment
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official permit route requires transport documents, SDS, labels, approved carrier/vehicle and storage controls; cites Law 27/2009 and Basel Law 2/2009.
- Href
- https://moen.gov.iq/en/granting-environmental-approval-for-the-transport-of-hazardous-waste
- Publisher
- Iraq Ministry of Environment
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official repository includes Environment Protection and Improvement Law 27/2009.
- Href
- https://moen.gov.iq/en/legislation
- Publisher
- Iraq Supreme Judicial Council
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Official judicial privacy context; no complete workshop-data compliance framework was verified.
- Href
- https://test.sjc.iq/view-en.76534/
- Publisher
- Levellers
- Publication Date
- 2026-05-12
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Secondary source says no omnibus data-protection law; written counsel is required for CRM, diagnostic and cross-border data.
- Href
- https://www.levellers.ai/what-is/ai-regulation-iraq
- Publisher
- International Organization for Standardization
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- International benchmark; Iraqi adoption/edition not established.
- Href
- https://www.iso.org/standard/45477.html
- Publisher
- International Organization for Standardization
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- International benchmark; local electrical approvals control.
- Href
- https://www.iso.org/standard/68474.html
- Publisher
- International Electrotechnical Commission
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- International EVSE benchmark; not proof of Iraqi adoption.
- Href
- https://webstore.iec.ch/en/publication/33644
- Publisher
- UNECE
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- International electric-powertrain type-safety reference.
- Href
- https://unece.org/transport/documents/2022/03/standards/un-regulation-no-100-rev3
- Publisher
- UNECE
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- UN 38.3 transport evidence route for lithium batteries; carrier/authority rules also control.
- Href
- https://unece.org/transport/dangerous-goods/rev8-files
- Publisher
- International Labour Organization
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Management-system benchmark; national law and inspectorate requirements control.
- Href
- https://www.ilo.org/resource/other/guidelines-occupational-safety-and-health-management-systems-ilo-osh-2001
- Publisher
- Basel Convention Secretariat
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- International hazardous-waste movement framework; competent-authority decisions and approved recipient required.
- Href
- https://www.basel.int/TheConvention/Overview/TextoftheConvention/tabid/1275/Default.aspx
- Publisher
- EVS Research
- Publication Date
- 2026-08-11
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- Table aggregates individually linked records.
- Href
- https://ina.iq/en/local/42990-iraq-unveils-new-plan-to-regulate-car-imports-amid-rising-numbers.html
- Publisher
- EVS Worldwide
- Publication Date
- 2026-08-11
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Scope
- All explicitly labelled assumptions, thresholds, sensitivities and calculations are EVS decision inputs, not sourced market facts.
- Href
- https://www.evsworldwide.com/
Source: Multiple linked sources
34
Validation register
Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.
Validation register
- Status
- Pass
- Detail
- Generated and reparsed.
- Status
- Pass
- Detail
- Required roots, blocks, datasets, calculations and source registry present.
- Status
- Pass
- Detail
- Parc history, forecast sensitivities, gate SAM and annual/90-day economics recomputed.
- Status
- Pass
- Detail
- All-parc/imports/sales, marketplace listings, models/showrooms, active plug-ins and commissioned public EVSE remain separate.
- Status
- Pass
- Detail
- EVS Green #5BCC12, Silver #A7B3BB, black/charcoal, white/light grey and Inter; no blue.
- Status
- Pass
- Detail
- Current plug-in TAM null, current connector census null, executable SOM zero and hard gates explicit.
Source: EVS Iraq decision model
35
EVS Board Position
CONDITIONAL GO only for an evidence-gated Greater Baghdad partner clinic; NO-GO standalone/franchise; SEPARATE DILIGENCE for Erbil/KRI; HOLD traction-pack work.
Method / Sources and confidence
Where every figure
comes from.
Registrations, charging and legal requirements are read from primary sources. Where no official dataset exists, the model and its assumptions are published instead of a single unexplained number. This report is a dated snapshot: August 2026.
- 01Registered private vehicles reached 8.287 million at end-2024
- 02Iraq private-vehicle statistics for 2024
- 03Iraq unveils plan to regulate car imports amid rising numbers
- 04Iraq vehicle fleet exceeds road capacity
- 05Iraq sees sharp rise in vehicle ownership
- 06Iraq approaches nine million cars by 2030
- 07Tesla popularity increases in Iraq
- 08Omoda and Jaecoo launch in Iraq with Jameel distributor
- 09Final results of Iraq national census
- 10NAT opens BYD branch in Al-Bayaa Baghdad
- 11BYD launches official Iraq showrooms and model range
- 12BYD Iraq branches
- 13BYD officially enters Iraqi market
- 14Toyota authorized service stations in Iraq
- 15Toyota Iraq network
- 16Toyota Iraq dealers
- 17Environment Ministry discusses electric and hybrid vehicles with Toyota
- 18DENZA opens first Iraq showroom
- 19EVO Iraq charging network
- 20KVOLT charging application
- 21Customs says hybrid and electric exemptions remain in force
- 22Iraq introduces new customs tariff system
- 23Iraq applies 15 percent customs tariff to electric cars
- 24Iraqi vehicle standard becomes mandatory from 2026
- 25Technical Requirement No. 167 and damaged-vehicle controls
- 26Trade Ministry import-regulation plan
- 27Electricity Ministry plans 1,250 MW of interconnections
- 28Iraq loses 3,500 MW after Iranian gas decline
- 29Gulf link and solar programme update
- 30Iraq NDC 3.0
- 31Green Growth Framework for Iraq
- 32Iraq National Development Plan 2024–2028
- 33Iraq country page
- 342025 Article IV concluding statement for Iraq
- 35Iraq 2025 Article IV staff report
- 36Iraq corporate income tax
- 37Iraq other taxes
- 38Iraq withholding taxes
- 39Iraq tax credits and incentives
- 40Iraq tax administration
- 41Investor Guide
- 42Arabic Investor Guide
- 43One Stop Shop
- 44Labour Ministry inspection and Iraqi employment ratios
- 45Iraq launches social-security awareness campaign
- 46Iraq national conference on occupational heat stress
- 47Occupational health and safety risk workshop
- 48Environmental approval for transport of hazardous waste
- 49Iraq environmental legislation
- 50Privacy under Iraqi Penal Code Article 438
- 51Iraq AI and data-regulation overview
- 52ISO 6469 electrified road-vehicle safety
- 53ISO 17409 conductive power transfer
- 54IEC 61851-1 conductive charging system
- 55UN Regulation No. 100
- 56UN Manual of Tests and Criteria
- 57ILO-OSH 2001 guidelines
- 58Basel Convention text
- 59Multiple linked sources
- 60EVS Iraq decision model
Reports are commercial research, not legal, tax or investment advice.
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