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Iraq

EVS Iraq EV Service Centre Market Entry

Decision-grade Iraq assessment separating all-powertrain parc/imports/sales, marketplace listings, official model/showroom activity, unavailable active BEV/PHEV registrations, future charging plans, federal/KRI requirements and EVS assumptions.

Snapshot: 11 August 202644-page full report
Talk to the expansion team
Active passenger plug-in stock
—

No authoritative active passenger BEV/PHEV stock series.

Commissioned public connectors
—

No verified commissioned public passenger connector census.

Gate SAM jobs/year
540

Only after 1,000 separately verified active Greater Baghdad plug-ins.

Base simple payback
6.831

IQD 100m reversible capex assumption.

Executive summary

The verdict in full

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Market headline

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Market headline

2024 registered private vehicles
Value
8,287,604
Unit
vehicles
Status
All powertrains including Kurdistan; not EV TAM [mop_parc].
Current active passenger/light-commercial BEV/PHEV stock
Value
—
Unit
vehicles
Status
No authoritative separated active-stock series located.
Verified commissioned public passenger-EV connectors
Value
—
Unit
connectors
Status
No authoritative national/site/connector census located.
Executable SOM
Value
0
Unit
jobs
Status
Zero before all hard gates.
Greater Baghdad launch threshold
Value
1,000
Unit
active plug-ins
Status
EVS gate, not an estimate.

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

Market size and vehicle parc

The 8.287 million figure is the all-powertrain private-vehicle context, including Kurdistan. It is not an EV denominator.

Market size and vehicle parc

Private vehicle parc
Period
end-2024
Value
8,287,604
Definition
Registered private vehicles including Kurdistan; all powertrains [mop_parc].
Private vehicle parc
Period
end-2023
Value
8,096,075
Definition
Comparable ministry series reported by same source [mop_parc].
Vehicles per 1,000 people
Period
end-2024
Value
187
Definition
Ministry ratio; denominator timing differs from final 2025 census [mop_parc].
Annual imports
Period
recent administrative estimate
Value
about 200,000
Definition
Cars, all powertrains [ina_imports].
New-car sales
Period
2024/2025 industry estimate
Value
about 161,000
Definition
Reuters industry estimate, all powertrains; not official [reuters_market].
Final census population
Period
2025
Value
46,118,793
Definition
Final population result [census_population].

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

BEV/PHEV sales, stock and adoption history

No authoritative annual BEV/PHEV sales or active-stock history was located. Listings, dealer launches and model availability stay outside stock.

BEV/PHEV sales, stock and adoption history

2022
Bev Sales
—
Phev Sales
—
Active Bev Stock
—
Active Phev Stock
—
Observable Proxy
3 Tesla marketplace listings; not sales/stock [tesla_proxy].
2023
Bev Sales
—
Phev Sales
—
Active Bev Stock
—
Active Phev Stock
—
Observable Proxy
21 Tesla marketplace listings; not sales/stock [tesla_proxy].
2024
Bev Sales
—
Phev Sales
—
Active Bev Stock
—
Active Phev Stock
—
Observable Proxy
215 Tesla marketplace listings; not sales/stock [tesla_proxy].
Sep–Dec 2025
Bev Sales
—
Phev Sales
—
Active Bev Stock
—
Active Phev Stock
—
Observable Proxy
Official BYD Baghdad/Erbil launch and model range; no unit sales [byd_launch] [byd_global].
11 Aug 2026 cutoff
Bev Sales
—
Phev Sales
—
Active Bev Stock
—
Active Phev Stock
—
Observable Proxy
No authoritative separated national series located.

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

Definition reconciliation

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Definition reconciliation

8,287,604 private vehicles
Include In Plugin Tam
No
Reason
All powertrains; propulsion and active passenger/LCV split absent.
Tesla marketplace listings
Include In Plugin Tam
No
Reason
Listings may duplicate vehicles and do not prove sale, registration or active status.
BYD/Omoda/DENZA models and showrooms
Include In Plugin Tam
No
Reason
Availability and dealer presence do not prove units in service.
EVO 50-site/500-AC/25-DC plan
Include In Plugin Tam
—
Reason
Q4 2026 go-live was future at cutoff; commissioned site/connectors not verified.
Matched active passenger/light-commercial BEV/PHEV registrations
Include In Plugin Tam
Yes
Reason
Required denominator; currently unavailable.

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

Get the full Iraq analysis
Competitive matrix, location shortlist, incentives, pilot-centre economics and the 90-day entry plan — sent to your inbox.

Cautious / base / high scenarios

These are EVS static-parc share sensitivities, not an official forecast. They do not estimate today's stock.

Cautious / base / high scenarios

Cautious
Share Of 2024 Private Vehicle Parc Pct
0.05
Modelled 2030 Active Passenger Lcv Plug Ins
4,144
Basis
EVS sensitivity using a static 8,287,604 all-powertrain private-vehicle denominator. It is not an official forecast and does not estimate the current plug-in stock or BEV/PHEV split.
Base
Share Of 2024 Private Vehicle Parc Pct
0.1
Modelled 2030 Active Passenger Lcv Plug Ins
8,288
Basis
EVS sensitivity using a static 8,287,604 all-powertrain private-vehicle denominator. It is not an official forecast and does not estimate the current plug-in stock or BEV/PHEV split.
High
Share Of 2024 Private Vehicle Parc Pct
0.25
Modelled 2030 Active Passenger Lcv Plug Ins
20,719
Basis
EVS sensitivity using a static 8,287,604 all-powertrain private-vehicle denominator. It is not an official forecast and does not estimate the current plug-in stock or BEV/PHEV split.

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

Charging infrastructure

EVO quantities are a future commercial plan at the evidence cutoff, not a commissioned public connector census.

Charging infrastructure

Commissioned public passenger-EV sites/connectors
Count
—
Status
No authoritative commissioned national census located.
EVO announced sites
Count
50
Status
Plan only; Q4 2026 go-live after evidence cutoff [evo].
EVO announced DC units at launch
Count
25
Status
Plan only; not commissioned [evo].
EVO announced AC chargers
Count
500
Status
Plan only; site mapping, commissioning and public access unverified [evo].
Workshop supply
Count
—
Status
Premises-specific utility, outage, generator, earthing, protection and fire assessment required.

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

Electricity and grid readiness

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Electricity and grid readiness

Reported generation loss
Value
3,500 MW
Period
May 2025
Meaning
Supply shock linked to Iranian gas decline [grid_gas].
3 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

Vehicle parc age and service demand

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Get the full Iraq analysis
Competitive matrix, location shortlist, incentives, pilot-centre economics and the 90-day entry plan — sent to your inbox.

forecast chart context

The scenario bars show only the mathematical effect of small plug-in shares on the static 2024 all-powertrain parc. They are not a current-stock estimate or policy forecast.

2030 Iraq passenger/LCV plug-in sensitivities

EVS share sensitivities on static 2024 all-powertrain private parc; not an official forecast.

Cautious4,144
Base8,288
HighBase case20,719

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

Vehicle parc age and service demand

Large import-dependent parc
Evidence
8.287m private vehicles and about 200k annual imports [mop_parc] [ina_imports].
Implication
Potential chassis/tyre/AC/inspection demand, but no EV frequency or EV TAM follows.
Heat and dust
Evidence
National heat-stress concern [heat_osh]; no EV repair-frequency series located.
Implication
Prioritise HVAC, battery thermal screening, cooling, filtration and worker heat controls.
Grid volatility
Evidence
3,500 MW reported loss in 2025 [grid_gas].
Implication
Design controlled backup power and safe charger shutdown; verify site quality.
Vehicle standards
Evidence
2025+ model standard mandatory from 2026 [vehicle_standard].
Implication
Build VIN/conformity/import document checks; EVS is not the homologation authority.

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

EVS assumptions

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

EVS assumptions

Launch denominator
Value
1,000 active registered passenger/light-commercial plug-ins in Greater Baghdad
Classification
EVS hard gate; not an estimate
Active factor
Value
90%
Classification
EVS sensitivity
Independent reach
Value
50%
Classification
EVS sensitivity reflecting OEM/warranty capture
Service events
Value
1.20 per reachable vehicle/year
Classification
EVS sensitivity
Gate ARO
Value
IQD 300,000, sales-tax exclusive
Classification
EVS planning assumption
Reversible capex ceiling
Value
IQD 100,000,000
Classification
EVS board control; no USD conversion asserted

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

Transparent TAM / SAM / SOM

Current national plug-in TAM remains null and executable SOM zero. The quantified service pool is a board gate, not current market size.

Transparent TAM / SAM / SOM

TAM — current national passenger/light-commercial plug-ins
Value
—
Unit
active vehicles
Formula
Matched Traffic Directorate registration extract
Status
Unavailable; no proxy substitution.
SAM — Greater Baghdad launch-gate service pool
Value
540
Unit
jobs/year
Formula
1,000 × 90% × 50% × 1.20
Status
Decision gate only; not current market size.
SAM revenue at gate
Value
162,000,000
Unit
IQD/year
Formula
540 × IQD 300,000
Status
EVS sales-tax-exclusive sensitivity.
1 more row in the full report

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

Customer and fleet segments

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Customer and fleet segments

Multi-brand grey/imported plug-in owners
Priority
Primary future niche
Need
Inspection, scan, SOH/thermal screen, 12V, tyres, brakes, suspension, AC/cooling.
Proof
Matched registrations, supported VIN/task matrix and deposits.
Corporate, government and ride-hail fleets
Priority
Primary proof route
Need
Uptime, triage, inspection, charging coordination.
Proof
Paid 25+ vehicle trial or binding LOI with plug-in VIN list.
BYD/Omoda/DENZA owners
Priority
Warranty-safe referral niche
Need
Non-warranty chassis/consumables and independent condition evidence.
Proof
Written warranty/OEM/tool boundary.
Conventional/hybrid parc
Priority
Adjacency only
Need
General service/AC/tyres.
Proof
Do not use to validate EV franchise economics.

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

Get the full Iraq analysis
Competitive matrix, location shortlist, incentives, pilot-centre economics and the 90-day entry plan — sent to your inbox.

Leading EV brands and models

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Leading EV brands and models

BYD ATTO 3, HAN, SEAL, SEAL 7, SEALION 7
Powertrain
BEV models listed officially
Evidence
Availability, not sales/stock [byd_launch].
BYD SONG PLUS DM-i, QIN PLUS DM-i, SHARK 6
Powertrain
PHEV models listed officially
Evidence
Availability, not sales/stock [byd_launch].
Omoda/Jaecoo J7
Powertrain
PHEV launch model
Evidence
Reuters distributor launch; no unit count [reuters_market].
DENZA B5/B8
Powertrain
PHEV
Evidence
Secondary showroom evidence; no unit count [denza].
Tesla models
Powertrain
BEV
Evidence
Marketplace listing-growth proxy only [tesla_proxy].

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

Independent and OEM competitors

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Independent and OEM competitors

BYD Iraq / NAT
Position
Official BEV/PHEV showrooms and aftersales in Baghdad/Erbil/Al-Bayaa.
Threat
High direct HV/warranty capability; potential training/parts benchmark [byd_bayaa].
Toyota Iraq
Position
Six dealer companies and 33 branches.
Threat
High trust/network and hybrid adjacency; site-specific HV capability requires audit [toyota_about].
3 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

Priority cities and regions

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Priority cities and regions

1
Region
Greater Baghdad
Decision
Only federal pilot candidate
Reason
Largest all-powertrain concentration, national institutions and official EV dealer activity [regional_parc] [byd_launch].
4 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

Consumer incentives and policy

A 2025 exemption statement conflicts with 2026 tariff reporting. The model assumes no benefit.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Consumer incentives and policy

EV/hybrid customs exemption
Status
Conflicted / likely changed
Evidence
2025 exemption report conflicts with 2026 15% tariff reporting [customs_2025] [customs_2026_ap].
Evs Treatment
Assume no benefit; obtain VIN/HS-code written ruling for federal Iraq and KRI separately.
Consumer purchase subsidy / tax credit
Status
Not confirmed
Evidence
No current primary national cash or tax-credit programme located.
Evs Treatment
Zero in model.
1 more row in the full report

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

Business, tax and investment incentives

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Business, tax and investment incentives

Corporate income tax
Evidence
15% standard professional summary [pwc_cit].
Action
Obtain federal/KRI advice and permanent-establishment/franchise analysis.
Sales tax on cars
Evidence
15% professional summary [pwc_other].
Action
Confirm whether service, parts and imported equipment fall within any sales-tax/customs category.
3 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

Labour, licensing and workshop regulation

Federal Iraq and the Kurdistan Region require separate written compliance work. This is not legal, tax, engineering or insurance advice.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Labour, licensing and workshop regulation

Entity/branch/business ID
Requirement
Register through current Companies Law/NIC route; confirm federal and KRI paths [nic_guide].
Gate
Written counsel and registration file.
Labour/localisation/social security
Requirement
Current inspection communication cites 80% Iraqi labour and Law 18/2023 [labour_ina] [ilo_social].
Gate
Employment, payroll, work-permit and social-security opinion.
4 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

High-voltage controls

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

High-voltage controls

Scope
Requirement
No pack opening, live work or de-energized component repair at launch.
Competence
Requirement
Two independently assessed technicians, VIN-specific OEM methods and insurer acceptance.
Isolation
Requirement
Shutdown, key control, lockout/tagout, prove-dead, independent sign-off and controlled re-energization.
Facility
Requirement
Restricted cooled bay, insulated tools/PPE, calibrated meter, rescue hook, eyewash, smoke/fire plan and drills.
Heat/dust
Requirement
Worker heat plan, filtered work area, thermal-camera limitations and battery-cooling checks [heat_osh].
Standards
Requirement
Use ISO 6469/17409, IEC 61851 and UN R100 only as contract/insurer benchmarks until Iraqi adoption/edition is confirmed [iso_6469] [iso_17409] [iec_61851] [un_r100].

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

Battery and waste controls

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Battery and waste controls

Non-invasive intact-vehicle diagnostics
Decision
Conditional
Control
Visual/scan/thermal checks with quarantine/referral plan.
Pack/module opening or removal
Decision
HOLD
Control
Written OEM method, competence, fire/environment/insurer approvals and named recipient.
3 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

Operating model

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Operating model

Format
Recommendation
One scheduled partner clinic in Greater Baghdad; no standalone lease or exclusive territory.
Governance
Recommendation
EVS controls SOP, competence, diagnostic evidence, audit and brand; partner controls lawful premises and routine mechanics.
Commercial
Recommendation
IQD invoices, deposits, supported-VIN list, parts prepayment and no stockless service-level promise.
Parts/software
Recommendation
No promise without lawful tool/licence/OEM method and parts route; warranty-safe referral.
KRI
Recommendation
Erbil is a separately contracted/regulator-approved workstream, not an automatic extension of Baghdad.

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

Franchise pathway

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Franchise pathway

0 — evidence
Format
No franchise offer
Entry Gate
Registry, dealer/import data, paid demand and two compliance matrices.
1 — partner clinic
Format
Revocable managed-service licence
Entry Gate
1,000 active Greater Baghdad plug-ins, 50 bookings and paid 25+ vehicle trial/LOI.
2 — micro-hub
Format
Only after two positive pilot cycles
Entry Gate
Stable VIN mix, repeat jobs, tools/parts and positive unit economics.
3 — franchise
Format
Deferred
Entry Gate
Repeatable city economics, audit, insurance and battery route; KRI separately approved.

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

Pilot steady-state economics

All values are nominal IQD, sales-tax-exclusive and pre-tax EVS partner-clinic assumptions; no exchange-rate conversion or incentive is used.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Pilot steady-state economics

Cautious
Jobs
90
Aro Iqd
250,000
Gross Margin Pct
55
Opex Iqd
15,000,000
Revenue Iqd
22,500,000
Gross Profit Iqd
12,375,000
Ebitda Iqd
-2,625,000
Payback Years
—
2 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

90-day pilot economics

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

90-day pilot economics

Cautious
Jobs 90d
22
Aro Iqd
250,000
Gross Margin Pct
55
Opex Iqd
3,750,000
Revenue Iqd
5,500,000
Gross Profit Iqd
3,025,000
Ebitda Iqd
-725,000
2 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

Risks and mitigations

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Risks and mitigations

No verified active plug-in denominator
Likelihood
High
Impact
Critical
Mitigation
Matched active VIN registrations before capex.
Parc, listings or showroom activity misread as EV stock
Likelihood
High
Impact
Critical
Mitigation
Definition register and current TAM null.
OEM/captive aftersales capture
Likelihood
High
Impact
High
Mitigation
Warranty-safe multi-brand niche and referral agreements.
Charging plan misread as commissioned network
Likelihood
High
Impact
High
Mitigation
Audit site, connector, kW, access, tariff, uptime and commissioning.
Grid outages/power quality
Likelihood
High
Impact
High
Mitigation
Load/power-quality study, safe backup and no charging promise before proof [grid_gas].
Federal/KRI regulatory mismatch
Likelihood
High
Impact
Critical
Mitigation
Separate entities/contracts/tax/customs/labour/premises matrices.
Customs/incentive conflict
Likelihood
High
Impact
High
Mitigation
Assume 0 benefit; written HS/VIN ruling [customs_2026_ap].
Heat/dust damage and worker exposure
Likelihood
High
Impact
High
Mitigation
Cooling, filtration, heat plan, HVAC/thermal checks [heat_osh].
Battery fire/electric shock
Likelihood
Low
Impact
Critical
Mitigation
No pack work; assessed isolation controls and emergency drills.
No approved battery recipient
Likelihood
High
Impact
Critical
Mitigation
No custody before written carrier/recipient acceptance [env_waste].
Paid demand below gate
Likelihood
High
Impact
High
Mitigation
Deposits, paid fleet trial and day-90 stop.

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

90-day entry plan

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

90-day entry plan

0–15
Objective
Definitions and law
Actions
Obtain Traffic Directorate/dealer/import VIN extract; commission federal and KRI entity/tax/customs/labour/workshop/fire/environment/waste/data/insurance matrices.
Owner
EVS board / Iraq counsel
Deliverable
Evidence and compliance file.
4 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

Explicit go / no-go gates

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Explicit go / no-go gates

Market denominator
Go
Matched extract proves at least 1,000 active passenger/light-commercial BEV/PHEVs in Greater Baghdad, separately classified.
No Go
Count below 1,000 or class/propulsion/city/active status unavailable.
5 more rows in the full report

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

Methodology

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Methodology

1. Evidence hierarchy
Method
Iraqi authorities, official OEMs/operators and multilaterals first; current professional/secondary sources labelled.
2. Definition control
Method
Separate all-powertrain parc/imports/sales, marketplace listings, models/showrooms, active BEV/PHEV registrations and commissioned public EVSE.
3. Current market
Method
Leave passenger/light-commercial plug-in TAM and commissioned connector count null until matched authoritative data.
4. Scenario sensitivity
Method
Apply 0.05%/0.10%/0.25% shares to static 2024 private-vehicle parc; not an official forecast.
5. Gate SAM
Method
1,000 Greater Baghdad plug-ins × 90% active × 50% reach × 1.20 events.
6. SOM
Method
Zero before all hard gates.
7. Economics
Method
Nominal IQD, sales-tax-exclusive/pre-tax EVS assumptions; no incentive or currency translation.
8. Regulation
Method
No incentive, credential, permit, standard adoption or waste route assumed without written current federal/KRI confirmation.
9. Validation
Method
JSON/schema, formulas, citations, links, brand colours, definition control, duplicate search and template-residue checks.

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

economics chart context

The economics bars are capacity-disciplined partner-clinic assumptions. Only the base case is a continuation gate; executable volume remains zero before gates.

Full analysis available in the complete report
Detailed findings, comparison matrices and recommendations.

Greater Baghdad partner-clinic EBITDA

Nominal IQD; EVS steady-state assumptions.

Cautious-2.63m
Base14.64m
HighBase case42.38m

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

Evidence gaps

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Evidence gaps

Active passenger/light-commercial BEV and PHEV count
Needed
Traffic Directorate VIN extract by propulsion, class, city, registration/active status and KRI inclusion
Decision Effect
Blocks TAM and centre/franchise.
Annual BEV/PHEV sales/stock/model history
Needed
Annual first registrations, deregistrations and imports with homologated propulsion
Decision Effect
Blocks forecast calibration and inventory.
Public charging census
Needed
Site, connector, standard, kW, access, tariff, uptime and commissioning date
Decision Effect
Blocks network/service claim.
Customs treatment
Needed
Written federal and KRI HS/VIN rulings after 2026 tariff change
Decision Effect
Blocks landed-cost/incentive claim.
Workshop/HV credential and premise permits
Needed
Written labour, municipal, civil defence, electricity, environment and insurer route
Decision Effect
Blocks repair launch.
Traction-battery route
Needed
Classification, storage, carrier and named approved recipient
Decision Effect
Holds pack work.
Paid demand and OEM boundary
Needed
Bookings, plug-in fleet VINs, tool/parts/warranty access and paid trial
Decision Effect
Blocks continuation.

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

Complete linked source register

Every material quantitative claim is linked or explicitly labelled as an EVS assumption.

Complete linked source register

mop_parc
Publisher
Iraq Ministry of Planning / Al-Maalomah relay
Publication Date
2025-12-29
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Ministry statistical report relayed: 8,287,604 registered private vehicles including Kurdistan at end-2024, versus 8,096,075 in 2023, and 187 vehicles per 1,000 people. All powertrains; no EV split.
Href
https://almaalomah.me/news/118298/economy/%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%AA%D9%81%D8%A7%D8%B9-%D8%B9%D8%AF%D8%AF-%D8%B3%D9%8A%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%AA-%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%82%D8%B7%D8%A7%D8%B9-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%AE%D8%A7%D8%B5-%D9%81%D9%8A-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%B9%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%82
mop_parc_corrob
Publisher
NINA / Non14
Publication Date
2025-12-29
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Corroborating relay of the Ministry of Planning statistics; no propulsion split.
Href
https://non14.net/183325
ina_imports
Publisher
Iraqi News Agency
Publication Date
2025-10-14
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Ministry of Trade/Traffic Directorate data say about 200,000 cars are imported annually. This is all powertrains and is not a registration or EV count.
Href
https://ina.iq/en/local/42990-iraq-unveils-new-plan-to-regulate-car-imports-amid-rising-numbers.html
planning_capacity
Publisher
964media
Publication Date
2025-07-19
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Current relay cites around eight million vehicles, five-million road design capacity and about 200,000 annual imports/registrations.
Href
https://en.964media.com/33262/
vehicle_conflict
Publisher
The New Region
Publication Date
2026-01-06
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Interior Ministry reported roughly seven million cars at the beginning of 2026 and 140,000 newly registered, conflicting with the end-2024 private-vehicle series including Kurdistan. Definitions/geography likely differ.
Href
https://thenewregion.com/posts/5592
regional_parc
Publisher
Shafaq News
Publication Date
2025-12-27
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Secondary regional context: Baghdad nearly three million, Erbil about 982,000 and Sulaymaniyah about 721,000 vehicles. Use only for prioritisation, not EV TAM.
Href
https://shafaq.com/en/Economy/Iraq-nears-9M-cars-by-2030
tesla_proxy
Publisher
IraqiNews
Publication Date
2025-04-03
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
iQ Cars marketplace listings rose from 3 in 2022 to 21 in 2023 and 215 in 2024; listings are not sales, registrations, unique vehicles or active stock.
Href
https://www.iraqinews.com/iraq/teslas-popularity-increases-in-iraq/
reuters_market
Publisher
Reuters
Publication Date
2025-08-11
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Industry estimate of about 161,000 new-car sales, up 28%; launch included a J7 PHEV. Not an official EV series.
Href
https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinese-cherys-omoda-jaecoo-brands-launch-iraq-with-jameel-distributor-2025-08-11/
census_population
Publisher
Iraqi News Agency / Ministry of Planning
Publication Date
2025-11-26
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Final census population 46,118,793. Different date and definition from vehicle-series penetration ratio.
Href
https://ina.iq/ar/local/248754-46118793.html
byd_bayaa
Publisher
BYD Iraq
Publication Date
2026-04-06
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official showroom/aftersales expansion and stated vehicle/battery warranties; no audited sales or active stock.
Href
https://byd.iq/en/news/nat-opens-a-new-byd-iraq-branch-in-al-bayaa-baghdad-as-part-of-its-ongoing-expansion-strategy
byd_launch
Publisher
BYD Iraq
Publication Date
2025-09-23
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official Baghdad/Erbil presence and BEV/PHEV model range; no unit sales.
Href
https://byd.iq/en/news/byd-octopus-turbocharge-ev-revolution-at-energy-tech-summit-2025
byd_locations
Publisher
BYD Iraq
Publication Date
—
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official Baghdad, Erbil and Al-Bayaa location route.
Href
https://byd.iq/en/branch
byd_global
Publisher
BYD
Publication Date
2025-12-25
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Company launch announcement; visitor numbers are not vehicle sales.
Href
https://www.byd.com/mea/news-list/byd-officially-enters-the-iraqi-market-launches-byd-sharl6-in-baghdad
toyota_stations
Publisher
Toyota Iraq
Publication Date
2024-11-17
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official Baghdad/Erbil authorized-service presence.
Href
https://www.toyota.iq/english/news-releases/toyota-service-stations
toyota_about
Publisher
Toyota Iraq
Publication Date
—
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official network reports six dealer companies and 33 branches; hybrid/HV capability at each site is not established here.
Href
https://www.toyota.iq/english/about-toyota-iraq
toyota_dealers
Publisher
Toyota Iraq
Publication Date
—
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official dealer-location register.
Href
https://www.toyota.iq/english/dealers
moen_toyota
Publisher
Iraq Ministry of Environment
Publication Date
2025-05-29
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Policy/technical discussion including batteries suited to Iraq climate; not a fleet, incentive or regulatory approval.
Href
https://moen.gov.iq/ar/News87
denza
Publisher
IraqiNews
Publication Date
2026-07-02
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Secondary current showroom/model evidence; no sales or registration count.
Href
https://www.iraqinews.com/iraq/byds-denza-opens-first-iraqi-showroom-at-iraq-mall/
evo
Publisher
EVO Iraq
Publication Date
—
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Commercial plan states 50 sites, 25 DC units, 500 AC units and Q4 2026 go-live. At the evidence cutoff this is planned, not a commissioned connector census.
Href
https://evo.iq/
kvolt
Publisher
Apple App Store
Publication Date
—
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Application presence does not establish an audited Iraq site/connector inventory.
Href
https://apps.apple.com/us/app/kvolt/id6743025457
customs_2025
Publisher
Al-Nahrain
Publication Date
2025-06-07
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
2025 relay of General Customs position; later 2026 tariff reporting may supersede it.
Href
https://www.alnahrain.com/article/16673
customs_2026_ap
Publisher
Associated Press
Publication Date
2026-01-08
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Reports EVs previously exempt became subject to a 15% fee under the new system. Obtain written classification before pricing.
Href
https://apnews.com/article/a9a836969d13f3658019bce38bbccb07
customs_2026_kurdiu
Publisher
Kurdiu
Publication Date
2026-01-01
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Current secondary tariff report; federal/KRI treatment must be confirmed separately.
Href
https://www.kurdiu.org/en/b/587675
vehicle_standard
Publisher
Iraqi News Agency / Ministry of Planning
Publication Date
2025-07-14
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Iraqi standard announced for 2025+ models from 2026; obtain Technical Requirement 167 and conformity process.
Href
https://ina.iq/ar/local/238562-.html
vehicle_requirement
Publisher
NewsIQ / Ministry of Planning relay
Publication Date
2025-08-19
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Secondary English relay; signed standard controls.
Href
https://news.iq/en/planning-ministry-iraqi-standards-to-apply-to-all-cars-starting-2026/
import_plan
Publisher
Iraqi News Agency
Publication Date
2025-09-16
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Plan covers emissions, fuel efficiency, age/categories and tariffs; policy process is not an EV incentive.
Href
https://ina.iq/ar/local/243556-.html
grid_interconnect
Publisher
Iraqi News Agency
Publication Date
2026-04-28
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Planned/expected imports before summer; not workshop uptime or contracted capacity.
Href
https://ina.iq/ar/local/261885-1250.html
grid_gas
Publisher
Iraqi News Agency
Publication Date
2025-05-22
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Evidence of power-supply volatility relevant to workshop/charger engineering.
Href
https://ina.iq/234820--3500-.html
grid_solar
Publisher
Iraqi News Agency
Publication Date
2025-11-24
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Future 2,000 MW Gulf-link and 12,000 MW solar plans; not current available capacity.
Href
https://ina.iq/ar/economie/248659-2000.html
ndc
Publisher
UNFCCC
Publication Date
2025-11-13
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official climate submission; no unverified EV target is used in this report.
Href
https://unfccc.int/node/653770
green_growth
Publisher
UNDP Iraq
Publication Date
2026-02-01
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official green-transition framework; not evidence of current EV stock or incentives.
Href
https://www.undp.org/iraq/publications/green-growth-framework-iraq
ndp
Publisher
UNDP Iraq
Publication Date
2024-12-30
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official development context; project eligibility requires current authority confirmation.
Href
https://www.undp.org/iraq/publications/iraq-national-development-plan-2024-2028
imf_country
Publisher
International Monetary Fund
Publication Date
—
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Latest IMF country indicators include 2026 projections; macro context only.
Href
https://www.imf.org/en/countries/irq
imf_2025
Publisher
International Monetary Fund
Publication Date
2025-05-15
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
2024 non-oil growth 2.5%, overall contraction 2.3%, inflation 2.7% and fiscal deficit 4.2%; relevant to demand/import risk.
Href
https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2025/05/15/mcs-iraq-concluding-statement-of-the-2025-imf-article-iv-mission
imf_report
Publisher
International Monetary Fund
Publication Date
2025-07-09
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Primary macro/fiscal source.
Href
https://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/002/2025/183/article-A001-en.xml
pwc_cit
Publisher
PwC
Publication Date
2026-06-24
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Current professional summary: 15% standard CIT and 35% for oil/gas activity; local advice controls.
Href
https://taxsummaries.pwc.com/iraq/corporate/taxes-on-corporate-income
pwc_other
Publisher
PwC
Publication Date
2026-06-24
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Current professional summary including 15% sales tax on cars and social-security rates; confirm workshop/import application.
Href
https://taxsummaries.pwc.com/iraq/corporate/other-taxes
pwc_wht
Publisher
PwC
Publication Date
2026-06-24
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Current professional summary; review franchise, software, technical-service and royalty flows.
Href
https://taxsummaries.pwc.com/iraq/corporate/withholding-taxes
pwc_incentives
Publisher
PwC
Publication Date
2026-06-24
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
No benefit is modelled without written eligibility.
Href
https://taxsummaries.pwc.com/iraq/corporate/tax-credits-and-incentives
pwc_admin
Publisher
PwC
Publication Date
2026-06-24
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Current filing/clearance context; accountant confirmation required.
Href
https://taxsummaries.pwc.com/iraq/corporate/tax-administration
nic_guide
Publisher
Iraq National Investment Commission
Publication Date
—
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official registration and investment route.
Href
https://investpromo.gov.iq/investor-guide/
nic_ar
Publisher
Iraq National Investment Commission
Publication Date
—
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Investment Law coverage is reported with a minimum project capital of USD 250,000; a small pilot assumes no eligibility.
Href
https://investpromo.gov.iq/ar/investor-guide-3/
nic_one_stop
Publisher
Iraq National Investment Commission
Publication Date
—
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official investor facilitation route; not an approval.
Href
https://investpromo.gov.iq/one-stop-shop/
labour_ina
Publisher
Iraqi News Agency
Publication Date
2025-07-13
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Current enforcement communication cites Social Security Law 18/2023 and an 80% Iraqi / 20% foreign-labour ratio. Obtain authenticated legal advice, including the source's labour-law numbering.
Href
https://ina.iq/ar/local/238523-.html
ilo_social
Publisher
International Labour Organization
Publication Date
2024-05-08
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Primary context for Social Security Law 18/2023.
Href
https://www.ilo.org/resource/news/iraq-ilo-and-partners-launch-national-social-security-awareness-campaign
heat_osh
Publisher
United Nations Iraq / ILO
Publication Date
2025-04-27
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Heat-stress risk is material to workshop controls.
Href
https://iraq.un.org/en/293324-iraq-holds-first-national-conference-occupational-heat-stress-response-climate-change
osh_center
Publisher
University of Technology Iraq
Publication Date
2026-05-06
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Current institutional OHS context; not a credential route.
Href
https://qaupd.uotechnology.edu.iq/en/university-of-technology-organizes-interactive-workshop-on-occupational-health-safety-and-risk-management-2/
env_waste
Publisher
Iraq Ministry of Environment
Publication Date
—
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official permit route requires transport documents, SDS, labels, approved carrier/vehicle and storage controls; cites Law 27/2009 and Basel Law 2/2009.
Href
https://moen.gov.iq/en/granting-environmental-approval-for-the-transport-of-hazardous-waste
env_law
Publisher
Iraq Ministry of Environment
Publication Date
—
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official repository includes Environment Protection and Improvement Law 27/2009.
Href
https://moen.gov.iq/en/legislation
privacy_court
Publisher
Iraq Supreme Judicial Council
Publication Date
—
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Official judicial privacy context; no complete workshop-data compliance framework was verified.
Href
https://test.sjc.iq/view-en.76534/
privacy_secondary
Publisher
Levellers
Publication Date
2026-05-12
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Secondary source says no omnibus data-protection law; written counsel is required for CRM, diagnostic and cross-border data.
Href
https://www.levellers.ai/what-is/ai-regulation-iraq
iso_6469
Publisher
International Organization for Standardization
Publication Date
—
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
International benchmark; Iraqi adoption/edition not established.
Href
https://www.iso.org/standard/45477.html
iso_17409
Publisher
International Organization for Standardization
Publication Date
—
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
International benchmark; local electrical approvals control.
Href
https://www.iso.org/standard/68474.html
iec_61851
Publisher
International Electrotechnical Commission
Publication Date
—
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
International EVSE benchmark; not proof of Iraqi adoption.
Href
https://webstore.iec.ch/en/publication/33644
un_r100
Publisher
UNECE
Publication Date
—
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
International electric-powertrain type-safety reference.
Href
https://unece.org/transport/documents/2022/03/standards/un-regulation-no-100-rev3
un_tests
Publisher
UNECE
Publication Date
—
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
UN 38.3 transport evidence route for lithium batteries; carrier/authority rules also control.
Href
https://unece.org/transport/dangerous-goods/rev8-files
ilo_osh
Publisher
International Labour Organization
Publication Date
—
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Management-system benchmark; national law and inspectorate requirements control.
Href
https://www.ilo.org/resource/other/guidelines-occupational-safety-and-health-management-systems-ilo-osh-2001
basel
Publisher
Basel Convention Secretariat
Publication Date
—
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
International hazardous-waste movement framework; competent-authority decisions and approved recipient required.
Href
https://www.basel.int/TheConvention/Overview/TextoftheConvention/tabid/1275/Default.aspx
mixed_sources
Publisher
EVS Research
Publication Date
2026-08-11
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
Table aggregates individually linked records.
Href
https://ina.iq/en/local/42990-iraq-unveils-new-plan-to-regulate-car-imports-amid-rising-numbers.html
evs_model
Publisher
EVS Worldwide
Publication Date
2026-08-11
Accessed At
2026-08-11
Scope
All explicitly labelled assumptions, thresholds, sensitivities and calculations are EVS decision inputs, not sourced market facts.
Href
https://www.evsworldwide.com/

Source: Multiple linked sources

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Validation register

Evidence, assumptions and operational implications are separated below.

Validation register

JSON / UTF-8
Status
Pass
Detail
Generated and reparsed.
Schema
Status
Pass
Detail
Required roots, blocks, datasets, calculations and source registry present.
Calculations
Status
Pass
Detail
Parc history, forecast sensitivities, gate SAM and annual/90-day economics recomputed.
Definition control
Status
Pass
Detail
All-parc/imports/sales, marketplace listings, models/showrooms, active plug-ins and commissioned public EVSE remain separate.
Branding
Status
Pass
Detail
EVS Green #5BCC12, Silver #A7B3BB, black/charcoal, white/light grey and Inter; no blue.
Decision
Status
Pass
Detail
Current plug-in TAM null, current connector census null, executable SOM zero and hard gates explicit.

Source: EVS Iraq decision model

EVS Board Position

CONDITIONAL GO only for an evidence-gated Greater Baghdad partner clinic; NO-GO standalone/franchise; SEPARATE DILIGENCE for Erbil/KRI; HOLD traction-pack work.

Source register

60 primary and derived sources

Show
  1. 01Registered private vehicles reached 8.287 million at end-2024
  2. 02Iraq private-vehicle statistics for 2024
  3. 03Iraq unveils plan to regulate car imports amid rising numbers
  4. 04Iraq vehicle fleet exceeds road capacity
  5. 05Iraq sees sharp rise in vehicle ownership
  6. 06Iraq approaches nine million cars by 2030
  7. 07Tesla popularity increases in Iraq
  8. 08Omoda and Jaecoo launch in Iraq with Jameel distributor
  9. 09Final results of Iraq national census
  10. 10NAT opens BYD branch in Al-Bayaa Baghdad
  11. 11BYD launches official Iraq showrooms and model range
  12. 12BYD Iraq branches
  13. 13BYD officially enters Iraqi market
  14. 14Toyota authorized service stations in Iraq
  15. 15Toyota Iraq network
  16. 16Toyota Iraq dealers
  17. 17Environment Ministry discusses electric and hybrid vehicles with Toyota
  18. 18DENZA opens first Iraq showroom
  19. 19EVO Iraq charging network
  20. 20KVOLT charging application
  21. 21Customs says hybrid and electric exemptions remain in force
  22. 22Iraq introduces new customs tariff system
  23. 23Iraq applies 15 percent customs tariff to electric cars
  24. 24Iraqi vehicle standard becomes mandatory from 2026
  25. 25Technical Requirement No. 167 and damaged-vehicle controls
  26. 26Trade Ministry import-regulation plan
  27. 27Electricity Ministry plans 1,250 MW of interconnections
  28. 28Iraq loses 3,500 MW after Iranian gas decline
  29. 29Gulf link and solar programme update
  30. 30Iraq NDC 3.0
  31. 31Green Growth Framework for Iraq
  32. 32Iraq National Development Plan 2024–2028
  33. 33Iraq country page
  34. 342025 Article IV concluding statement for Iraq
  35. 35Iraq 2025 Article IV staff report
  36. 36Iraq corporate income tax
  37. 37Iraq other taxes
  38. 38Iraq withholding taxes
  39. 39Iraq tax credits and incentives
  40. 40Iraq tax administration
  41. 41Investor Guide
  42. 42Arabic Investor Guide
  43. 43One Stop Shop
  44. 44Labour Ministry inspection and Iraqi employment ratios
  45. 45Iraq launches social-security awareness campaign
  46. 46Iraq national conference on occupational heat stress
  47. 47Occupational health and safety risk workshop
  48. 48Environmental approval for transport of hazardous waste
  49. 49Iraq environmental legislation
  50. 50Privacy under Iraqi Penal Code Article 438
  51. 51Iraq AI and data-regulation overview
  52. 52ISO 6469 electrified road-vehicle safety
  53. 53ISO 17409 conductive power transfer
  54. 54IEC 61851-1 conductive charging system
  55. 55UN Regulation No. 100
  56. 56UN Manual of Tests and Criteria
  57. 57ILO-OSH 2001 guidelines
  58. 58Basel Convention text
  59. 59Multiple linked sources
  60. 60EVS Iraq decision model

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