Dominican Republic

Approve only a capped 90-day proof: one partner bay, DOP6.5 million maximum launch/tooling envelope, no long lease, and stop-work authority. Base case is 720 annual jobs, DOP11.52 million revenue and DOP1.7424 million EBITDA. Franchise rights remain withheld.

Use 5,865 reported plug-dependent vehicles at Q1 2025 as the starting denominator, not the broad 20,000 electrified headline [plug_stock_q1_2025]. OPSEVI reports 6,174,010 vehicles across all types in 2025; that total is context only [opsevi_2025].

The evidence describes different populations: active parc, plug-dependent stock, import entries, hybrids, motorcycles, user accounts, charging sites, charger units and connectors. The DGII import series differs from the Zero Emisión RD series for 2023–2024; the report exposes both and does not average them [import_history] [plug_stock_q1_2025].

Cautious/base/high cases apply 10%/18%/28% compound growth to the EVS active planning pool through 2031. They are service-capacity sensitivities, not government or industry forecasts.

More than 600 charging points were reported by July 2025 [charging_600]. Evergo separately describes more than 150 updated public Level 2/3 chargers and operator-reported 12,000 users plus more than 2,000 home installations [evergo_dynamic] [evergo_users]. Counts are not interchangeable and uptime was unavailable.

No defensible average age or first-registration distribution was located. The model therefore uses no invented age statistic. Obtain active VIN, import year, fuel, platform and province data from DGII/INTRANT before capacity or parts decisions.

EVS applies a 96% active factor to 5,865 reported plug-ins, then 1.25 paid events and DOP15,500 ARO. SAM adds assumed 70% Greater Santo Domingo concentration and 45% independent reach. Current executable SOM remains zero.

Priority is contracted importer/dealer overflow, corporate and last-mile fleets, insurers/bodyshops, tourism/rental fleets and used-EV evidence—not speculative retail walk-in.

Officially backed BYD, Geely and Riddara channels create both demand and OEM competition [byd_peravia] [geely_viamar] [riddara_viamar]. A complete authoritative plug-in registration table by brand/model was not found, so tooling follows verified VIN counts.

OEM channels retain warranty and software leverage. EV Services publicly claims specialist Tesla/EV battery and electronic repair capacity, while brand specialists such as Frankie’s demonstrate adjacent independent capability [ev_services] [frankie]. EVS must win on audited safety, fleet SLA and evidence.

Greater Santo Domingo is the pilot hypothesis. Santiago and the east-coast tourism corridor should begin as contracted collection/mobile routes. No second fixed site is justified without province-level active VINs and recurring demand.

Law 103-13 provides a 50% reduction in applicable vehicle import taxes and first registration, subject to classification and documentation [law103_dgii]. It is not a blanket ITBIS exemption [dgii_itbis]. Foreign-investment and free-zone frameworks are context, not booked workshop subsidies [prodominicana] [cnzfe].

The model is pre-ITBIS and pre-income tax. Obtain DGII/DGA advice for services, parts, tools and entity structure. No free-zone or vehicle-import benefit is used in workshop economics.

The launch file must cover entity/RNC/TSS/labour registration, municipal land use, occupancy, fire, electrical/charging, environmental waste registration, insurance and custody. The single window does not replace sector approvals [formalizate_faq] [formalizate_vu].

No nationwide public statutory EV-HV technician credential was located. Absence of a located licence is not permission: EVS requires role competence, observed assessment, two-person LOTO, prove-dead, quarantine, rescue and drills.

Cells/batteries, oils and electronics sit within priority or regulated waste frameworks [rep_rule] [raee_rule]. The lead-acid rule does not establish a route for lithium traction packs [lead_battery_rule]. Obtain written classification, storage, transport and authorised-receiver approval before custody.

Launch: pre-purchase/SOH evidence, chassis, tyres, brakes, suspension, HVAC, 12V, charging diagnosis, insurer isolation and fleet mobile triage. Hold opened packs, salvage-donor strategies and heavy-vehicle work.

Use a company-controlled managed partner with one segregated bay, EVS SOPs, audit rights and digital evidence. No franchise award until six months of profitable and safe operation.

Base annual case: 720 jobs × DOP16,000, 62% gross margin, DOP5.4 million operating cost and DOP1.7424 million EBITDA. Simple payback on DOP6.5 million capex is 3.73 years. The cautious case loses money; current executable SOM remains zero.

The dominant risks are denominator error, OEM capture, HV/fire, parts/software access, unavailable lithium-battery downstream routes, tax misunderstanding and FX/import cost. Each has a stop gate.

Front-load evidence, demand and compliance. Paid work starts only after supervised dry runs, an emergency drill and partner acceptance.

Every gate is open. Missing evidence means hold, not assumption. Failure of the 90-day economics threshold closes or redesigns the pilot.

Research accessed 10 August 2026. Primary and authoritative material was preferred; dated secondary reporting is labelled. Facts and EVS assumptions are separated, conflicts remain visible and no unavailable statistic is invented.

The registry records publisher, publication date where available, access date, URL and use. Legal, tax, workshop, HV and battery obligations require local authority and counsel confirmation before execution.

CONDITIONAL GO to diligence and a capped one-bay Greater Santo Domingo pilot; NO-GO to standalone capex, opened-pack work or franchising today.