Algeria
EVS Algeria EV Service Centre Market Entry
Decision-grade Algeria assessment separating all-vehicle market evidence, announced EV supply, charging stations and repeat charging sessions from an explicitly assumption-led Algiers serviceable-pool proxy.
Algiers session-derived vehicle-equivalent proxy; not official stock.
Sonelgaz national installation programme; station/device definition needs audit.
Modelled Algiers independent-reach jobs/year; not booked demand.
Base simple payback on DZD2m reversible capex; pre-tax, pre-finance.
The verdict in full
- Conditional go only for a reversible Algiers partner pilot after a registry/dealer extract. Sonelgaz reported completion of 1,000 charging stations and nearly 10,000 charging sessions in Algiers, but no clean current official national BEV/PHEV stock or annual-sales series was located. [sonelgaz_rollout]
- The 417-vehicle-equivalent anchor is a proxy, not stock. It is 10,000 sessions divided by an EVS-assumed 24 sessions per unique BEV over an unspecified cumulative window.
- No national TAM is calculated. Base Algiers SAM is 270 jobs and DZD6,750,000 annual revenue, entirely assumption-led after the sourced session observation.
- No standalone centre, exclusive franchise or traction-pack work.
Board Decision
Authorise diligence and up to DZD2,000,000 reversible partner-bay capex only after all gates. Base steady-state economics are 120 jobs, DZD3,000,000 revenue, DZD660,000 EBITDA and 3.03-year simple payback; all are EVS assumptions.
Decision Summary
| Dimension | Decision | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| Market entry | CONDITIONAL GO — reversible Algiers partner pilot | Charging infrastructure is real, but official BEV/PHEV stock and sales denominators are not publicly available. |
| Standalone centre / franchise | NO-GO now | A session-derived proxy cannot support irreversible premises or territory commitments. |
| Traction-battery work | HOLD | No pack opening, removal, storage or damaged-pack custody without written fire, insurer, waste and recipient approvals. |
- Decision
- CONDITIONAL GO — reversible Algiers partner pilot
- Reason
- Charging infrastructure is real, but official BEV/PHEV stock and sales denominators are not publicly available.
- Decision
- NO-GO now
- Reason
- A session-derived proxy cannot support irreversible premises or territory commitments.
- Decision
- HOLD
- Reason
- No pack opening, removal, storage or damaged-pack custody without written fire, insurer, waste and recipient approvals.
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Market size
The wider parc exceeds 6.3 million vehicles and 96,418 vehicles were imported in 2025, but both are all-powertrain context and neither is an EV denominator. No defensible national EV market size is asserted. [ons_parc_relay] [imports_2025]
Algeria EV evidence timeline
All-vehicle observations and charging activity; no official EV stock series.
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Market KPIs
| Metric | Value | Unit | Period | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All-vehicle parc | 6,300,000 | vehicles-plus | 2023 | Secondary relay of ONS; not EV-specific [ons_parc_relay]. |
| Vehicles imported | 96,418 | vehicles | 2025 | All powertrains [imports_2025]. |
| National charging programme | 1,000 | stations | Completed by Apr 2025 | Programme count, not connectors [sonelgaz_rollout]. |
| Algiers public charging sessions | 10,000 | sessions-nearly | Cumulative to Apr 2025 | Observation window unspecified [sonelgaz_rollout]. |
| Official national BEV/PHEV stock located | 0 | published series | Evidence cut-off | No clean current series found; not evidence of zero vehicles. |
- Value
- 6,300,000
- Unit
- vehicles-plus
- Period
- 2023
- Evidence
- Secondary relay of ONS; not EV-specific [ons_parc_relay].
- Value
- 96,418
- Unit
- vehicles
- Period
- 2025
- Evidence
- All powertrains [imports_2025].
- Value
- 1,000
- Unit
- stations
- Period
- Completed by Apr 2025
- Evidence
- Programme count, not connectors [sonelgaz_rollout].
- Value
- 10,000
- Unit
- sessions-nearly
- Period
- Cumulative to Apr 2025
- Evidence
- Observation window unspecified [sonelgaz_rollout].
- Value
- 0
- Unit
- published series
- Period
- Evidence cut-off
- Evidence
- No clean current series found; not evidence of zero vehicles.
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Definition-sensitive Algeria evidence timeline
| Period | BEV | PHEV (unavailable) | BEV used in model | Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | — | — | — | All-vehicle parc above 6.3m; no EV split [ons_parc_relay]. |
| 2023–H1 2024 | — | — | — | 62,882 private vehicle imports, all powertrains [private_imports_2024]. |
| By Apr 2025 | — | — | — | 1,000-station programme complete and nearly 10,000 Algiers charging sessions [sonelgaz_rollout]. |
| 2025 | — | — | — | 96,418 total imports; no public powertrain split [imports_2025]. |
- BEV
- —
- PHEV (unavailable)
- —
- BEV used in model
- —
- Scope
- All-vehicle parc above 6.3m; no EV split [ons_parc_relay].
- BEV
- —
- PHEV (unavailable)
- —
- BEV used in model
- —
- Scope
- 62,882 private vehicle imports, all powertrains [private_imports_2024].
- BEV
- —
- PHEV (unavailable)
- —
- BEV used in model
- —
- Scope
- 1,000-station programme complete and nearly 10,000 Algiers charging sessions [sonelgaz_rollout].
- BEV
- —
- PHEV (unavailable)
- —
- BEV used in model
- —
- Scope
- 96,418 total imports; no public powertrain split [imports_2025].
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Definition reconciliation
Official stock, annual sales, all-vehicle imports, stations, connectors, repeat charging sessions and industrial announcements are not interchangeable. The report preserves every grain.
Definition reconciliation
| Term | Included | Use |
|---|---|---|
| Registered BEV/PHEV stock | Not located as a clean current public series | National TAM not calculated. |
| Charging session | Repeat public charge event in Algiers | Proxy input only; one vehicle can generate many sessions. |
| Session-derived vehicle equivalent | 10,000 sessions divided by assumed cumulative sessions per unique BEV | Algiers planning proxy, not stock. |
| Charging station | Programme installation count | Not connector, power, uptime or access count. |
| Total imports/parc | All powertrains | Context only; never an EV denominator. |
| 15% dealer provision | Obligation to fulfil EV orders up to a ceiling | Not a mandatory EV import quota [dealer_clarifier]. |
| Announced/local EV supply | Policy or industrial pipeline | Not registrations or vehicles in operation. |
- Included
- Not located as a clean current public series
- Use
- National TAM not calculated.
- Included
- Repeat public charge event in Algiers
- Use
- Proxy input only; one vehicle can generate many sessions.
- Included
- 10,000 sessions divided by assumed cumulative sessions per unique BEV
- Use
- Algiers planning proxy, not stock.
- Included
- Programme installation count
- Use
- Not connector, power, uptime or access count.
- Included
- All powertrains
- Use
- Context only; never an EV denominator.
- Included
- Obligation to fulfil EV orders up to a ceiling
- Use
- Not a mandatory EV import quota [dealer_clarifier].
- Included
- Policy or industrial pipeline
- Use
- Not registrations or vehicles in operation.
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Forecast scenarios
EVS applies 15%, 30% and 50% annual growth for five years to the 417 session-derived vehicle-equivalent proxy. These are capacity cases, not stock forecasts.
EVS proxy capacity scenarios to 2030
15% / 30% / 50% growth from 417; not stock forecasts.
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Five-year proxy capacity scenarios
| Scenario | Annual Growth Pct | Planning stock end-2030 | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cautious | 15 | 839 | Proxy capacity case; not official stock forecast. |
- Annual Growth Pct
- 15
- Planning stock end-2030
- 839
- Interpretation
- Proxy capacity case; not official stock forecast.
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Charging infrastructure
Sonelgaz reported its 1,000-station programme complete by 1 April 2025 and nearly 10,000 Algiers sessions. Connector count, power, uptime, access and the session observation window require field audit. [sonelgaz_rollout]
Charging infrastructure observations
Stations, local manufacturing and sessions have different grains.
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Charging evidence and unknowns
| Metric | Value | Unit | Period | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| National programme completed | 1,000 | stations | 1 Apr 2025 | Sonelgaz spokesperson; device/site definition needs audit [sonelgaz_rollout]. |
| Algiers charging activity | 10,000 | sessions-nearly | Cumulative by Apr 2025 | Observation window, users and repeat rate unspecified [sonelgaz_rollout]. |
| Locally manufactured chargers exported | 433 | chargers | Company disclosure | SAIEG manufacturing signal; not Algerian installed stock [sonelgaz_saieg]. |
| Installed generation capacity | 17,764 | MW | 2024 | Grid context, not EV-dedicated capacity [creg_grid]. |
- Value
- 1,000
- Unit
- stations
- Period
- 1 Apr 2025
- Status
- Sonelgaz spokesperson; device/site definition needs audit [sonelgaz_rollout].
- Value
- 10,000
- Unit
- sessions-nearly
- Period
- Cumulative by Apr 2025
- Status
- Observation window, users and repeat rate unspecified [sonelgaz_rollout].
- Value
- 433
- Unit
- chargers
- Period
- Company disclosure
- Status
- SAIEG manufacturing signal; not Algerian installed stock [sonelgaz_saieg].
- Value
- 17,764
- Unit
- MW
- Period
- 2024
- Status
- Grid context, not EV-dedicated capacity [creg_grid].
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Vehicle parc age and service demand
The wider parc is old, but that does not prove an aged EV cohort. Launch demand should centre on supported diagnostics, charging/12V triage and chassis services. [ons_parc_relay]
Vehicle parc and service demand
| Indicator | Value | Unit | Implication |
|---|---|---|---|
| All-vehicle parc | 6,300,000 | vehicles-plus | Large conventional service economy, not EV demand [ons_parc_relay]. |
| Parc older than five years | 80 | percent-about | Supports chassis/tyre/brake demand; not BEV age [ons_parc_relay]. |
| Parc older than ten years | 58 | percent-about | Ageing context cannot be transferred to young EV cohort [ons_parc_relay]. |
| 2025 used imports under three years | 54,418 | vehicles | Unsupported-import culture may later create multi-brand opportunity [imports_2025]. |
- Value
- 6,300,000
- Unit
- vehicles-plus
- Implication
- Large conventional service economy, not EV demand [ons_parc_relay].
- Value
- 80
- Unit
- percent-about
- Implication
- Supports chassis/tyre/brake demand; not BEV age [ons_parc_relay].
- Value
- 58
- Unit
- percent-about
- Implication
- Ageing context cannot be transferred to young EV cohort [ons_parc_relay].
- Value
- 54,418
- Unit
- vehicles
- Implication
- Unsupported-import culture may later create multi-brand opportunity [imports_2025].
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Transparent serviceable-pool model
A national TAM is not calculated. The Algiers proxy separates the sourced session observation from EVS repeat-rate, availability, reach, frequency and price assumptions. Executable SOM is zero.
Algiers serviceable-pool proxy
Session observation plus explicit EVS assumptions; national TAM unavailable.
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Sizing assumptions
| Assumption | Value | Unit | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Algiers cumulative charging sessions | 10,000 | sessions-nearly | Sourced operational observation [sonelgaz_rollout]. |
| Sessions per unique BEV over observation window | 24 | sessions/vehicle | EVS base assumption; window unspecified. |
| Session-derived vehicle equivalents | 417 | proxy vehicles | 10,000 ÷ 24; not official stock. |
| Active/available factor | 0.9 | share | EVS planning haircut. |
| Independent reach | 0.6 | share | EVS planning assumption pending VIN/dealer data. |
| Annual service events | 1.2 | jobs/proxy vehicle | EVS blended non-invasive/chassis assumption. |
| Average repair order | 25,000 | DZD/job | EVS planning value; replace with 50 paid local observations. |
| Executable SOM before gates | 0 | jobs | Deliberately zero. |
- Value
- 10,000
- Unit
- sessions-nearly
- Basis
- Sourced operational observation [sonelgaz_rollout].
- Value
- 24
- Unit
- sessions/vehicle
- Basis
- EVS base assumption; window unspecified.
- Value
- 417
- Unit
- proxy vehicles
- Basis
- 10,000 ÷ 24; not official stock.
- Value
- 0.9
- Unit
- share
- Basis
- EVS planning haircut.
- Value
- 0.6
- Unit
- share
- Basis
- EVS planning assumption pending VIN/dealer data.
- Value
- 1.2
- Unit
- jobs/proxy vehicle
- Basis
- EVS blended non-invasive/chassis assumption.
- Value
- 25,000
- Unit
- DZD/job
- Basis
- EVS planning value; replace with 50 paid local observations.
- Value
- 0
- Unit
- jobs
- Basis
- Deliberately zero.
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
TAM / SAM / SOM
| Layer | Vehicles | Jobs Per Year | Revenue ALL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| National TAM | — | — | — | Not calculated: official national BEV/PHEV stock unavailable. |
| Algiers proxy active pool | 375 | 450 | 11,250,000 | Session-derived proxy × 90% active factor. |
| SAM | 225 | 270 | 6,750,000 | Active proxy × 60% independent reach × 1.20 events. |
- Vehicles
- —
- Jobs Per Year
- —
- Revenue ALL
- —
- Status
- Not calculated: official national BEV/PHEV stock unavailable.
- Vehicles
- 375
- Jobs Per Year
- 450
- Revenue ALL
- 11,250,000
- Status
- Session-derived proxy × 90% active factor.
- Vehicles
- 225
- Jobs Per Year
- 270
- Revenue ALL
- 6,750,000
- Status
- Active proxy × 60% independent reach × 1.20 events.
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Customers and fleets
Prioritise supported private imports, dealer overflow and paid fleet trials. Keep BEV, PHEV and HEV workflows and denominators separate.
Customer segments
| Segment | Need | Priority |
|---|---|---|
| Privately imported Chinese BEVs | VIN identification, condition evidence, charge/12V triage | Highest after whitelist and lawful tool access. |
| OEM/dealer-supplied EV owners | Non-warranty second opinion and chassis services | Referral-safe scope only. |
| Out-of-warranty early adopters | Transparent scan and mechanical evidence | Emerging; denominator must be proven. |
| PHEV owners | Separate ICE, HV and charging workflows | Excluded from sizing until registry split. |
- Need
- VIN identification, condition evidence, charge/12V triage
- Priority
- Highest after whitelist and lawful tool access.
- Need
- Non-warranty second opinion and chassis services
- Priority
- Referral-safe scope only.
- Need
- Transparent scan and mechanical evidence
- Priority
- Emerging; denominator must be proven.
- Need
- Separate ICE, HV and charging workflows
- Priority
- Excluded from sizing until registry split.
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Fleet segments
| Segment | Entry Product | Evidence Gate |
|---|---|---|
| Corporate and utility fleets | Monthly inspection/charging-uptime report | Paid trial and supported VIN list. |
| Rental and chauffeur fleets | Turnaround condition and incident triage | One paid SLA. |
| Dealer/importer overflow | Pre-delivery and non-warranty evidence services | Written task authorisation. |
| Municipal/public pilots | Availability inspection and reporting | Procurement-compliant paid pilot. |
- Entry Product
- Monthly inspection/charging-uptime report
- Evidence Gate
- Paid trial and supported VIN list.
- Entry Product
- Turnaround condition and incident triage
- Evidence Gate
- One paid SLA.
- Entry Product
- Pre-delivery and non-warranty evidence services
- Evidence Gate
- Written task authorisation.
- Entry Product
- Availability inspection and reporting
- Evidence Gate
- Procurement-compliant paid pilot.
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Brands and models
No authoritative brand/model registration table was found. Dongfeng is a directional commercial signal without unit volume; every vehicle requires VIN-level support verification. [ev24_market]
Priority brands — no audited market shares located
| Technology | Brand | Units | Share of H1 2026 BEVs (%) | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BEV | Dongfeng | — | — | Commercial source says only brand reporting EV sales; no units [ev24_market]. |
| BEV/PHEV | Other Chinese private imports | — | — | No authoritative brand/model series located. |
| Electrified pipeline | Geely / Chery / Fiat and others | — | — | Local networks/industrial signals; not EV registrations [geely_dz] [chery_dz] [fiat_dz]. |
- Brand
- Dongfeng
- Units
- —
- Share of H1 2026 BEVs (%)
- —
- Source
- Commercial source says only brand reporting EV sales; no units [ev24_market].
- Brand
- Other Chinese private imports
- Units
- —
- Share of H1 2026 BEVs (%)
- —
- Source
- No authoritative brand/model series located.
- Brand
- Geely / Chery / Fiat and others
- Units
- —
- Share of H1 2026 BEVs (%)
- —
- Source
- Local networks/industrial signals; not EV registrations [geely_dz] [chery_dz] [fiat_dz].
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Priority models
| Brand | Model | Powertrain | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dongfeng | E70 | BEV | Commercial directional evidence only; no official Algeria unit count [ev24_market]. |
| Tesla | Mixed private imports | BEV | No authorised-location assumption and no official local model count [tesla_findus]. |
| Chinese brands | Mixed parallel imports | BEV/PHEV | Require VIN-by-VIN coverage; no public ranking. |
| Fiat / Geely / Chery | Electrified pipeline | Mixed | Dealer/industrial readiness signal only; not active stock. |
- Model
- E70
- Powertrain
- BEV
- Signal
- Commercial directional evidence only; no official Algeria unit count [ev24_market].
- Model
- Mixed private imports
- Powertrain
- BEV
- Signal
- No authorised-location assumption and no official local model count [tesla_findus].
- Model
- Mixed parallel imports
- Powertrain
- BEV/PHEV
- Signal
- Require VIN-by-VIN coverage; no public ranking.
- Model
- Electrified pipeline
- Powertrain
- Mixed
- Signal
- Dealer/industrial readiness signal only; not active stock.
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Competitive landscape
Authorised networks control warranty, parts and secure software; independents compete on price. EVS should occupy the evidence-led, insurer-ready, non-warranty multi-brand niche.
Competitor map
| Competitor | Type | Footprint | Threat | Response |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiat / Eurorepar network | Authorised OEM and multi-brand after-sales | 50 Fiat agents reported across 30 wilayas | Scale, parts and customer relationships | Supported non-warranty EV evidence and overflow only [fiat_market] [fiat_eurorepar]. |
| Geely / Chery / Elsecom networks | Authorised/importer service | Major urban markets | Brand tools, parts and warranty | Multi-brand niche with referral discipline [geely_dz] [chery_dz] [elsecom]. |
- Type
- Authorised OEM and multi-brand after-sales
- Footprint
- 50 Fiat agents reported across 30 wilayas
- Threat
- Scale, parts and customer relationships
- Response
- Supported non-warranty EV evidence and overflow only [fiat_market] [fiat_eurorepar].
- Type
- Authorised/importer service
- Footprint
- Major urban markets
- Threat
- Brand tools, parts and warranty
- Response
- Multi-brand niche with referral discipline [geely_dz] [chery_dz] [elsecom].
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Priority geography
Algiers is the only fixed-bay candidate because it has a sourced charging-use observation. Oran and eastern cities remain collection or clinic routes pending paid demand.
Priority regions
| Rank | Region | Rationale | Mode |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Algiers | Only location with a sourced charging-use signal approaching 10,000 sessions; exact vehicles/users unknown. | One reversible partner bay after gates. |
- Region
- Algiers
- Rationale
- Only location with a sourced charging-use signal approaching 10,000 sessions; exact vehicles/users unknown.
- Mode
- One reversible partner bay after gates.
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Consumer and business incentives
The 15% dealer provision is an order-fulfilment obligation, not an EV import quota. No broad cash purchase grant or workshop subsidy is assumed. [dealer_clarifier]
Consumer incentives
| Instrument | Status | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Dealer EV order provision | Dealers must honour EV orders up to 15% of passenger vehicles sold | Demand-access rule; not a 15% import quota [dealer_15pct] [dealer_clarifier]. |
| EV/hybrid import eligibility | Allowed under 2022 automotive decree | Eligibility does not prove availability, registrations or consumer subsidy [vehicle_decree_2022]. |
- Status
- Dealers must honour EV orders up to 15% of passenger vehicles sold
- Implication
- Demand-access rule; not a 15% import quota [dealer_15pct] [dealer_clarifier].
- Status
- Allowed under 2022 automotive decree
- Implication
- Eligibility does not prove availability, registrations or consumer subsidy [vehicle_decree_2022].
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Business incentives
| Instrument | Status | Action |
|---|---|---|
| AAPI investment regimes | Conditional realization/operation incentives under Law 22-18 | Obtain written eligibility decision for entity, activity, site and spend [aapi_regimes]. |
| VAT/customs/property incentives | Regime- and approval-specific | Carry zero benefit until AAPI/DGI decision [aapi_regimes] [dgi_aapi]. |
- Status
- Conditional realization/operation incentives under Law 22-18
- Action
- Obtain written eligibility decision for entity, activity, site and spend [aapi_regimes].
- Status
- Regime- and approval-specific
- Action
- Carry zero benefit until AAPI/DGI decision [aapi_regimes] [dgi_aapi].
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Tax and investment
Planning values exclude VAT and tax. AAPI incentives are conditional and zero benefit is modelled until written approval. [aapi_regimes]
Tax and customs baseline
| Tax | Rate | Treatment |
|---|---|---|
| Corporate income tax | Entity/activity-specific | Obtain current written DGI advice; model is pre-tax [dgi_codes] [tax_dgi]. |
| VAT on workshop services/parts | Current classification-specific rate | Economics exclude VAT [tax_dgi]. |
- Rate
- Entity/activity-specific
- Treatment
- Obtain current written DGI advice; model is pre-tax [dgi_codes] [tax_dgi].
- Rate
- Current classification-specific rate
- Treatment
- Economics exclude VAT [tax_dgi].
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Licensing, labour and premises
CNRC activity, premises, fire, electrical, OSH, waste, insurance and data requirements must be confirmed in writing; generic garage status is not presumed sufficient.
Licensing path
| Gate | Authority | Evidence |
|---|---|---|
| Entity and activity registration | CNRC / DGI / CNAS | Commercial register, activity code, tax and social-security registrations [cnrc] [tax_dgi] [cnas]. |
| Premises/workshop use | Municipality / competent transport-commerce authorities | Lease, land use, occupancy, drainage, noise, signage and workshop approval [transport_ministry] [commerce_ministry]. |
- Authority
- CNRC / DGI / CNAS
- Evidence
- Commercial register, activity code, tax and social-security registrations [cnrc] [tax_dgi] [cnas].
- Authority
- Municipality / competent transport-commerce authorities
- Evidence
- Lease, land use, occupancy, drainage, noise, signage and workshop approval [transport_ministry] [commerce_ministry].
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Labour and safety obligations
| Requirement | Owner | Control |
|---|---|---|
| Employment/payroll | HR/legal | Contracts, payroll, working time and CNAS registration [labour_ministry] [cnas]. |
| OSH risk assessment | Workshop manager | Law 88-07 and implementing decrees plus task-specific HV/lifting/fire controls [osh_law]. |
- Owner
- HR/legal
- Control
- Contracts, payroll, working time and CNAS registration [labour_ministry] [cnas].
- Owner
- Workshop manager
- Control
- Law 88-07 and implementing decrees plus task-specific HV/lifting/fire controls [osh_law].
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
High-voltage safety
HV authority is task-specific: supported VIN/task matrix, assessed staff, verified absence of voltage, controlled zones, drills and auditable release evidence.
High-voltage controls
| Control | Required Evidence |
|---|---|
| VIN/powertrain whitelist | BEV, PHEV and HEV identified before booking; supported task matrix. |
| Competence authorisation | Named technician, training, assessment, expiry and supervision record. |
| Safe de-energisation | OEM procedure, lock/tag, key control, tested instrument and verified absence of voltage. |
| Controlled work zone | Barriers, signage, insulated tools/PPE, rescue equipment and no lone HV work. |
| Charging safety | Connector/EVSE inspection and Algerian electrical compliance [iec_61851] [iso_17409]. |
| Release evidence | Pre/post scan, isolation restoration, torque/QC and limitations. |
- Required Evidence
- BEV, PHEV and HEV identified before booking; supported task matrix.
- Required Evidence
- Named technician, training, assessment, expiry and supervision record.
- Required Evidence
- OEM procedure, lock/tag, key control, tested instrument and verified absence of voltage.
- Required Evidence
- Barriers, signage, insulated tools/PPE, rescue equipment and no lone HV work.
- Required Evidence
- Connector/EVSE inspection and Algerian electrical compliance [iec_61851] [iso_17409].
- Required Evidence
- Pre/post scan, isolation restoration, torque/QC and limitations.
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Battery, waste and dangerous goods
Phase 1 excludes pack opening, removal, storage and damaged-pack custody until written fire, insurer, carrier, AND and recipient approvals exist.
Battery and waste routes
| Stage | Rule | Route |
|---|---|---|
| Intact in-vehicle pack | Non-invasive diagnostics only at launch | No opening, removal or storage. |
| Suspect/damaged pack arrival | Refuse indoor custody | Call emergency/OEM/insurer under site plan. |
- Rule
- Non-invasive diagnostics only at launch
- Route
- No opening, removal or storage.
- Rule
- Refuse indoor custody
- Route
- Call emergency/OEM/insurer under site plan.
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Recommended service portfolio
Lead with condition reports, non-invasive scans, charging/12V triage, tyres, brakes, suspension and fleet inspections on supported VIN/task combinations.
Recommended service portfolio
| Phase | Service | Include | Exclude |
|---|---|---|---|
| Launch | VIN-classified diagnostic scan | DTC/live data/12V/charging evidence report | Unsupported coding, security or warranty claims. |
| Launch | Pre-purchase EV condition report | Visual, scan, charge, 12V, tyres/brakes/chassis and thermal observations | Guaranteed battery capacity/life. |
| Launch | Charging and low-voltage triage | Cable/inlet/EVSE/12V checks within procedures | Grid-side work without authorised electrician. |
| Launch | Tyres, brakes, suspension and alignment | EV load/torque procedures and evidence | Unsupported ADAS calibration. |
| Fleet | Uptime inspection and monthly report | Corporate/rental/dealer overflow | OEM HV warranty work. |
| Hold | Pack removal/module work | None | Opening, storage, transport or damaged-pack custody. |
- Service
- VIN-classified diagnostic scan
- Include
- DTC/live data/12V/charging evidence report
- Exclude
- Unsupported coding, security or warranty claims.
- Service
- Pre-purchase EV condition report
- Include
- Visual, scan, charge, 12V, tyres/brakes/chassis and thermal observations
- Exclude
- Guaranteed battery capacity/life.
- Service
- Charging and low-voltage triage
- Include
- Cable/inlet/EVSE/12V checks within procedures
- Exclude
- Grid-side work without authorised electrician.
- Service
- Tyres, brakes, suspension and alignment
- Include
- EV load/torque procedures and evidence
- Exclude
- Unsupported ADAS calibration.
- Service
- Uptime inspection and monthly report
- Include
- Corporate/rental/dealer overflow
- Exclude
- OEM HV warranty work.
- Service
- Pack removal/module work
- Include
- None
- Exclude
- Opening, storage, transport or damaged-pack custody.
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Franchise and operating model
Use one locally operated Algiers partner bay. No exclusive territory or dedicated lease until 12 months of audited demand, compliance and quality evidence.
Operating model
| Element | Recommendation |
|---|---|
| Format | One shared bay inside a compliant Algiers partner workshop. |
| Ownership | Algerian operating company with verified registrations and activity code. |
| Territory | No exclusivity until 12 months of paid evidence. |
| Staffing | One assessed HV lead plus one technician; partner reception. |
| Technology | Supported VIN/task matrix and lawful subscriptions; no circumvention. |
| Commercial | Menu-priced evidence products and paid fleet trials. |
| Expansion | Oran and eastern collection partners before fixed bays. |
- Recommendation
- One shared bay inside a compliant Algiers partner workshop.
- Recommendation
- Algerian operating company with verified registrations and activity code.
- Recommendation
- No exclusivity until 12 months of paid evidence.
- Recommendation
- One assessed HV lead plus one technician; partner reception.
- Recommendation
- Supported VIN/task matrix and lawful subscriptions; no circumvention.
- Recommendation
- Menu-priced evidence products and paid fleet trials.
- Recommendation
- Oran and eastern collection partners before fixed bays.
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Pilot economics
All jobs, prices, margins, opex and payback values are EVS assumptions. The shared-bay structure protects downside while the true registered denominator is established.
Partner-pilot annual EBITDA scenarios
DZD, VAT-exclusive; EVS assumptions.
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Annual partner-pilot economics — DZD
| Scenario | Jobs | ARO ALL | Revenue ALL | Gross Margin Pct | Gross Profit ALL | Opex ALL | Ebitda ALL | Payback Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cautious | 80 | 20,000 | 1,600,000 | 55 | 880,000 | 1,200,000 | -320,000 | — |
- Jobs
- 80
- ARO ALL
- 20,000
- Revenue ALL
- 1,600,000
- Gross Margin Pct
- 55
- Gross Profit ALL
- 880,000
- Opex ALL
- 1,200,000
- Ebitda ALL
- -320,000
- Payback Years
- —
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
90-day partner-pilot economics — DZD
| Scenario | Jobs 90d | Revenue ALL | Gross Profit ALL | Opex ALL | Ebitda ALL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cautious | 20 | 400,000 | 220,000 | 300,000 | -80,000 |
- Jobs 90d
- 20
- Revenue ALL
- 400,000
- Gross Profit ALL
- 220,000
- Opex ALL
- 300,000
- Ebitda ALL
- -80,000
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Risks and mitigations
The missing EV denominator and risk of misreading sessions as stock dominate. OEM access, policy volatility, battery safety and waste custody remain material.
Risks and mitigations
| Risk | Likelihood | Impact | Mitigation |
|---|---|---|---|
| No official EV denominator | High | High | Obtain registry/dealer extract separating BEV, PHEV, status, geography and age. |
| Charging-session proxy misread as stock | High | High | Label every proxy output; never use it for national TAM or valuation. |
| Demand below break-even | High | High | Shared bay, 25 deposits and paid fleet trial before launch. |
| OEM software/parts access | High | High | Top-20 VIN/task matrix, lawful tools and authorised referral. |
| Battery fire/electric shock | Low | Critical | No pack work, controlled zone, isolation SOP, drills and damaged-pack refusal. |
| Waste/recipient gap | Medium | Critical | No traction-battery custody until written route and insurance. |
| Import/regulatory change | High | Medium | Quarterly decree/customs review; no incentive in base case. |
| Grid/charger uptime uncertainty | Medium | Medium | Audit 30 Algiers sites for connector, power, access, payment and uptime. |
- Likelihood
- High
- Impact
- High
- Mitigation
- Obtain registry/dealer extract separating BEV, PHEV, status, geography and age.
- Likelihood
- High
- Impact
- High
- Mitigation
- Label every proxy output; never use it for national TAM or valuation.
- Likelihood
- High
- Impact
- High
- Mitigation
- Shared bay, 25 deposits and paid fleet trial before launch.
- Likelihood
- High
- Impact
- High
- Mitigation
- Top-20 VIN/task matrix, lawful tools and authorised referral.
- Likelihood
- Low
- Impact
- Critical
- Mitigation
- No pack work, controlled zone, isolation SOP, drills and damaged-pack refusal.
- Likelihood
- Medium
- Impact
- Critical
- Mitigation
- No traction-battery custody until written route and insurance.
- Likelihood
- High
- Impact
- Medium
- Mitigation
- Quarterly decree/customs review; no incentive in base case.
- Likelihood
- Medium
- Impact
- Medium
- Mitigation
- Audit 30 Algiers sites for connector, power, access, payment and uptime.
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
90-day entry plan
Registry and legal diligence precede deposits; deposits precede tooling; supervised dry runs precede a capped paid pilot.
90-day entry plan
| Days | Objective | Actions | Owner | Deliverable |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | Registry and legal gate | Obtain BEV/PHEV extract; map entity, activity, premises, fire, electrical, OSH, waste, data and insurance. | EVS board / Algerian counsel | Written feasibility file. |
- Objective
- Registry and legal gate
- Actions
- Obtain BEV/PHEV extract; map entity, activity, premises, fire, electrical, OSH, waste, data and insurance.
- Owner
- EVS board / Algerian counsel
- Deliverable
- Written feasibility file.
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Explicit go / no-go gates
Any failure on active EV density, paid demand, activity/premises approval, insurer acceptance, lawful tools, safe referral or reversible economics is a stop condition.
Go / no-go gates
| Gate | Go | No-Go |
|---|---|---|
| Market denominator | Registry or dealer evidence supports at least 500 active BEVs/PHEVs in the Algiers catchment, separately identified | No separable active denominator or count below threshold. |
- Go
- Registry or dealer evidence supports at least 500 active BEVs/PHEVs in the Algiers catchment, separately identified
- No-Go
- No separable active denominator or count below threshold.
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Methodology
Facts, observations, assumptions and calculations are separated. Missing data is labelled, never imputed as official fact.
Methodology
| Step | Method |
|---|---|
| 1. Evidence hierarchy | Algerian primary sources first; named official statements via credible media where tables are unavailable. |
| 2. Definition control | Separate all-vehicle parc/imports, BEV/PHEV stock/sales, charging stations, sessions and policy/industrial pipeline. |
| 3. Proxy | Nearly 10,000 Algiers sessions ÷ 12/24/36 assumed cumulative sessions per unique vehicle; not stock. |
| 4. SAM | Base proxy × 90% active factor × 60% independent reach × 1.20 annual events. |
| 5. National TAM | Not calculated because a defensible national plug-in stock denominator was not located. |
| 6. SOM | Zero until market, demand, compliance, capability and economics gates clear. |
| 7. Forecasts | Five-year growth cases on the session-derived proxy; capacity planning only. |
| 8. Validation | JSON/schema, formulas, citations, source grains, links, branding and residue checks. |
- Method
- Algerian primary sources first; named official statements via credible media where tables are unavailable.
- Method
- Separate all-vehicle parc/imports, BEV/PHEV stock/sales, charging stations, sessions and policy/industrial pipeline.
- Method
- Nearly 10,000 Algiers sessions ÷ 12/24/36 assumed cumulative sessions per unique vehicle; not stock.
- Method
- Base proxy × 90% active factor × 60% independent reach × 1.20 annual events.
- Method
- Not calculated because a defensible national plug-in stock denominator was not located.
- Method
- Zero until market, demand, compliance, capability and economics gates clear.
- Method
- Five-year growth cases on the session-derived proxy; capacity planning only.
- Method
- JSON/schema, formulas, citations, source grains, links, branding and residue checks.
Source: EVS Algeria session-derived serviceable-pool and pilot model
Source register
52 linked sources record publisher, publication/access dates and scope. Primary sources control; official-source relays and commercial evidence are labelled.
EVS Board Position
CONDITIONAL GO for registry/legal diligence and a reversible Algiers partner pilot after hard gates. NO-GO for standalone/franchise rollout and HOLD for traction-pack work.
Source register
52 primary and derived sources
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Source register
52 primary and derived sources
- 43Sonelgaz
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