Algeria.

• Conditional go only for a reversible Algiers partner pilot after a registry/dealer extract. Sonelgaz reported completion of 1,000 charging stations and nearly 10,000 charging sessions in Algiers, but no clean current official national BEV/PHEV stock or annual-sales series was located. [sonelgaz_rollout]
• The 417-vehicle-equivalent anchor is a proxy, not stock. It is 10,000 sessions divided by an EVS-assumed 24 sessions per unique BEV over an unspecified cumulative window.
• No national TAM is calculated. Base Algiers SAM is 270 jobs and DZD6,750,000 annual revenue, entirely assumption-led after the sourced session observation.
• No standalone centre, exclusive franchise or traction-pack work.

Authorise diligence and up to DZD2,000,000 reversible partner-bay capex only after all gates. Base steady-state economics are 120 jobs, DZD3,000,000 revenue, DZD660,000 EBITDA and 3.03-year simple payback; all are EVS assumptions.

The wider parc exceeds 6.3 million vehicles and 96,418 vehicles were imported in 2025, but both are all-powertrain context and neither is an EV denominator. No defensible national EV market size is asserted. [ons_parc_relay] [imports_2025]

Official stock, annual sales, all-vehicle imports, stations, connectors, repeat charging sessions and industrial announcements are not interchangeable. The report preserves every grain.

EVS applies 15%, 30% and 50% annual growth for five years to the 417 session-derived vehicle-equivalent proxy. These are capacity cases, not stock forecasts.

Sonelgaz reported its 1,000-station programme complete by 1 April 2025 and nearly 10,000 Algiers sessions. Connector count, power, uptime, access and the session observation window require field audit. [sonelgaz_rollout]

The wider parc is old, but that does not prove an aged EV cohort. Launch demand should centre on supported diagnostics, charging/12V triage and chassis services. [ons_parc_relay]

A national TAM is not calculated. The Algiers proxy separates the sourced session observation from EVS repeat-rate, availability, reach, frequency and price assumptions. Executable SOM is zero.

Prioritise supported private imports, dealer overflow and paid fleet trials. Keep BEV, PHEV and HEV workflows and denominators separate.

No authoritative brand/model registration table was found. Dongfeng is a directional commercial signal without unit volume; every vehicle requires VIN-level support verification. [ev24_market]

Authorised networks control warranty, parts and secure software; independents compete on price. EVS should occupy the evidence-led, insurer-ready, non-warranty multi-brand niche.

Algiers is the only fixed-bay candidate because it has a sourced charging-use observation. Oran and eastern cities remain collection or clinic routes pending paid demand.

The 15% dealer provision is an order-fulfilment obligation, not an EV import quota. No broad cash purchase grant or workshop subsidy is assumed. [dealer_clarifier]

Planning values exclude VAT and tax. AAPI incentives are conditional and zero benefit is modelled until written approval. [aapi_regimes]

CNRC activity, premises, fire, electrical, OSH, waste, insurance and data requirements must be confirmed in writing; generic garage status is not presumed sufficient.

HV authority is task-specific: supported VIN/task matrix, assessed staff, verified absence of voltage, controlled zones, drills and auditable release evidence.

Phase 1 excludes pack opening, removal, storage and damaged-pack custody until written fire, insurer, carrier, AND and recipient approvals exist.

Lead with condition reports, non-invasive scans, charging/12V triage, tyres, brakes, suspension and fleet inspections on supported VIN/task combinations.

Use one locally operated Algiers partner bay. No exclusive territory or dedicated lease until 12 months of audited demand, compliance and quality evidence.

All jobs, prices, margins, opex and payback values are EVS assumptions. The shared-bay structure protects downside while the true registered denominator is established.

The missing EV denominator and risk of misreading sessions as stock dominate. OEM access, policy volatility, battery safety and waste custody remain material.

Registry and legal diligence precede deposits; deposits precede tooling; supervised dry runs precede a capped paid pilot.

Any failure on active EV density, paid demand, activity/premises approval, insurer acceptance, lawful tools, safe referral or reversible economics is a stop condition.

Facts, observations, assumptions and calculations are separated. Missing data is labelled, never imputed as official fact.

52 linked sources record publisher, publication/access dates and scope. Primary sources control; official-source relays and commercial evidence are labelled.

CONDITIONAL GO for registry/legal diligence and a reversible Algiers partner pilot after hard gates. NO-GO for standalone/franchise rollout and HOLD for traction-pack work.