Papua New Guinea
EVS Papua New Guinea EV Service Centre Market Entry
Decision-grade market-entry report for an EVS service-centre model in Papua New Guinea.
No audited active passenger/light-commercial plug-in stock.
No authoritative operational public charging count.
EVS gate annual jobs; not a market estimate.
Base simple payback on reversible capex.
The verdict in full
Standalone/franchise is no-go. A reversible Port Moresby partner clinic is conditional on hard evidence gates.
Decision dashboard
Unknown registry and charging denominators are displayed as null, never estimated.
Decision dashboard
| Metric | Value | Unit | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Active passenger/LCV BEV stock | — | vehicles | Not published in an authoritative extract | RTA/MVIL data request [rta_home][mvil_registration]. |
| Active passenger/LCV PHEV stock | — | vehicles | Not published in an authoritative extract | RTA/MVIL data request [rta_home][mvil_registration]. |
| Operational public charging points | — | points/connectors | No national census located | Pilot/dealer announcements are not asset registers [ev_pilot][odesh_open]. |
| Vehicle projection | 600,000 | all vehicles in 2030 | Projection, not current stock | CCDA workshop page [ccda_ev_policy]. |
| Grid connection | 20 | % of population | Approximate national access | World Bank; not site reliability [worldbank_neat]. |
| Executable SOM | 0 | jobs/year | Hard control | EVS [evs_model]. |
- Value
- —
- Unit
- vehicles
- Status
- Not published in an authoritative extract
- Source
- RTA/MVIL data request [rta_home][mvil_registration].
- Value
- —
- Unit
- vehicles
- Status
- Not published in an authoritative extract
- Source
- RTA/MVIL data request [rta_home][mvil_registration].
- Value
- —
- Unit
- points/connectors
- Status
- No national census located
- Source
- Pilot/dealer announcements are not asset registers [ev_pilot][odesh_open].
- Value
- 600,000
- Unit
- all vehicles in 2030
- Status
- Projection, not current stock
- Source
- CCDA workshop page [ccda_ev_policy].
- Value
- 20
- Unit
- % of population
- Status
- Approximate national access
- Source
- World Bank; not site reliability [worldbank_neat].
- Value
- 0
- Unit
- jobs/year
- Status
- Hard control
- Source
- EVS [evs_model].
Market size
Automotive flows and projections do not replace an active plug-in registry extract.
Market size
| Measure | Value | Unit | Date | Definition | Decision Use |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All-vehicle count | 155,000 | vehicles | 2005 | Historical number cited by CCDA. | Context only [ccda_ev_policy]. |
| All-vehicle projection | 600,000 | vehicles | 2030 | CCDA-cited projection. | Scenario denominator only; not current active parc [ccda_ev_policy]. |
| Motor-vehicle imports | 487,600,000 | PGK | 2024 | Official merchandise-trade value without propulsion split. | Automotive-flow context, not EV TAM [nso_2024_trade]. |
| EV-related imports | 27,000,000 | USD | 2017–2024 | ATO trade-classification aggregation. | Direction only; cannot establish vehicles, active stock or passenger mix [ato_profile]. |
| 2024 EV-related road-vehicle import share | 7 | % | 2024 | ATO trade proxy. | Do not use as registration penetration [ato_profile]. |
- Value
- 155,000
- Unit
- vehicles
- Date
- 2005
- Definition
- Historical number cited by CCDA.
- Decision Use
- Context only [ccda_ev_policy].
- Value
- 600,000
- Unit
- vehicles
- Date
- 2030
- Definition
- CCDA-cited projection.
- Decision Use
- Scenario denominator only; not current active parc [ccda_ev_policy].
- Value
- 487,600,000
- Unit
- PGK
- Date
- 2024
- Definition
- Official merchandise-trade value without propulsion split.
- Decision Use
- Automotive-flow context, not EV TAM [nso_2024_trade].
- Value
- 27,000,000
- Unit
- USD
- Date
- 2017–2024
- Definition
- ATO trade-classification aggregation.
- Decision Use
- Direction only; cannot establish vehicles, active stock or passenger mix [ato_profile].
- Value
- 7
- Unit
- %
- Date
- 2024
- Definition
- ATO trade proxy.
- Decision Use
- Do not use as registration penetration [ato_profile].
BEV/PHEV adoption history
The history is policy- and pilot-led; comparable annual sales/stock series is unavailable.
BEV/PHEV adoption history
| Period | Event | Quantity | Meaning | Unit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Enhanced NDC supports lower-emission transport and pilots. | — | Policy direction; not registrations [png_ndc]. | — |
| 2022 draft policy | 15% of new vehicle registrations electric by 2030 reported in profile. | 15 | Draft target; not enacted or achieved [ato_profile][ccda_ev_policy]. | % target |
| 2023 | Profile reports a five-electric-bus pilot. | 5 | Pilot-flow report; active status not verified [ato_profile]. | buses |
| 2025 | EV framework/investment plan/roadmap and communications action plan under validation. | — | Official/development-partner evidence documents were not final [ccda_ev_policy][gggi_emobility]. | — |
| Dec 2025 | Odesh Motors self-reports opening. | — | Commercial presence; sales, charger and after-sales volumes unpublished [odesh_open]. | — |
| Apr–Jun 2026 | NCDC e-bus and three-company EV pilots announced/launched. | — | No delivered-fleet or commissioned-charger count [ncdc_bus][ev_pilot]. | — |
- Event
- Enhanced NDC supports lower-emission transport and pilots.
- Quantity
- —
- Meaning
- Policy direction; not registrations [png_ndc].
- Unit
- —
- Event
- 15% of new vehicle registrations electric by 2030 reported in profile.
- Quantity
- 15
- Meaning
- Draft target; not enacted or achieved [ato_profile][ccda_ev_policy].
- Unit
- % target
- Event
- Profile reports a five-electric-bus pilot.
- Quantity
- 5
- Meaning
- Pilot-flow report; active status not verified [ato_profile].
- Unit
- buses
- Event
- EV framework/investment plan/roadmap and communications action plan under validation.
- Quantity
- —
- Meaning
- Official/development-partner evidence documents were not final [ccda_ev_policy][gggi_emobility].
- Unit
- —
- Event
- Odesh Motors self-reports opening.
- Quantity
- —
- Meaning
- Commercial presence; sales, charger and after-sales volumes unpublished [odesh_open].
- Unit
- —
- Event
- NCDC e-bus and three-company EV pilots announced/launched.
- Quantity
- —
- Meaning
- No delivered-fleet or commissioned-charger count [ncdc_bus][ev_pilot].
- Unit
- —
Definition reconciliation
Trade values, targets, vehicles and charging assets remain separate.
Definition reconciliation
| Term | Use | Not Equivalent To |
|---|---|---|
| EV-related imports | Trade/maturity proxy | Registrations, active vehicles or passenger BEV/PHEV stock [ato_profile]. |
| Goods vehicles/buses share | Composition of ATO trade proxy | Active fleet or serviceable vehicle mix. |
| All vehicles | Road fleet projection | Passenger/LCV plug-ins [ccda_ev_policy]. |
| Hybrid | Only when source defines it | PHEV or externally chargeable vehicle. |
| Charging site/point/connector | Separate fields | One another or an operational, public asset. |
| Announcement/pilot | Market signal | Delivered fleet, registration or charger census [ncdc_bus][ev_pilot]. |
- Use
- Trade/maturity proxy
- Not Equivalent To
- Registrations, active vehicles or passenger BEV/PHEV stock [ato_profile].
- Use
- Composition of ATO trade proxy
- Not Equivalent To
- Active fleet or serviceable vehicle mix.
- Use
- Road fleet projection
- Not Equivalent To
- Passenger/LCV plug-ins [ccda_ev_policy].
- Use
- Only when source defines it
- Not Equivalent To
- PHEV or externally chargeable vehicle.
- Use
- Separate fields
- Not Equivalent To
- One another or an operational, public asset.
- Use
- Market signal
- Not Equivalent To
- Delivered fleet, registration or charger census [ncdc_bus][ev_pilot].
2030 scenarios
EVS sensitivity shares applied to an all-vehicle projection; not official forecasts.
2030 scenarios
| Scenario | Plug In Share Pct | Modelled 2030 Active Plug Ins | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cautious | 0.05 | 300 | EVS sensitivity: assumed plug-in share × CCDA-cited 600,000 all-vehicle 2030 projection. Neither the shares nor results are official forecasts, and the 600,000 is not current active stock. |
| Base | 0.15 | 900 | EVS sensitivity: assumed plug-in share × CCDA-cited 600,000 all-vehicle 2030 projection. Neither the shares nor results are official forecasts, and the 600,000 is not current active stock. |
| High | 0.5 | 3,000 | EVS sensitivity: assumed plug-in share × CCDA-cited 600,000 all-vehicle 2030 projection. Neither the shares nor results are official forecasts, and the 600,000 is not current active stock. |
- Plug In Share Pct
- 0.05
- Modelled 2030 Active Plug Ins
- 300
- Basis
- EVS sensitivity: assumed plug-in share × CCDA-cited 600,000 all-vehicle 2030 projection. Neither the shares nor results are official forecasts, and the 600,000 is not current active stock.
- Plug In Share Pct
- 0.15
- Modelled 2030 Active Plug Ins
- 900
- Basis
- EVS sensitivity: assumed plug-in share × CCDA-cited 600,000 all-vehicle 2030 projection. Neither the shares nor results are official forecasts, and the 600,000 is not current active stock.
- Plug In Share Pct
- 0.5
- Modelled 2030 Active Plug Ins
- 3,000
- Basis
- EVS sensitivity: assumed plug-in share × CCDA-cited 600,000 all-vehicle 2030 projection. Neither the shares nor results are official forecasts, and the 600,000 is not current active stock.
Charging infrastructure
No authoritative national operational inventory was located.
Charging infrastructure
| Asset | Count | Unit | Status | Decision |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operational public charging network | — | sites/points/connectors | No authoritative national asset register located. | Request site, connector, power, access, tariff and uptime records. |
| Odesh charging | — | assets | Company self-reports charging at Waigani; no technical or uptime register [odesh_open]. | Physical audit and electrical documentation. |
| Three-company pilot charging | — | assets | Strategic NCD charging announced without count [ev_pilot]. | Obtain commissioning certificates and operator agreement. |
| EV bus charging | — | assets | Fleet expected later in 2026 [ncdc_bus]. | Exclude until delivered and commissioned. |
- Count
- —
- Unit
- sites/points/connectors
- Status
- No authoritative national asset register located.
- Decision
- Request site, connector, power, access, tariff and uptime records.
- Count
- —
- Unit
- assets
- Status
- Company self-reports charging at Waigani; no technical or uptime register [odesh_open].
- Decision
- Physical audit and electrical documentation.
- Count
- —
- Unit
- assets
- Status
- Strategic NCD charging announced without count [ev_pilot].
- Decision
- Obtain commissioning certificates and operator agreement.
- Count
- —
- Unit
- assets
- Status
- Fleet expected later in 2026 [ncdc_bus].
- Decision
- Exclude until delivered and commissioned.
Electricity and grid
Low national grid access and unknown site quality favor a measured Port Moresby pilot.
Electricity and grid
| Measure | Value | Unit | Date | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population connected to grid | 20 | approx. % | 2024 | Material access constraint; not NCD site quality [worldbank_neat]. |
- Value
- 20
- Unit
- approx. %
- Date
- 2024
- Interpretation
- Material access constraint; not NCD site quality [worldbank_neat].
Parc age and service demand
Age, used-import mix and failure history are open diligence items.
Parc age and service demand
| Indicator | Value | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Active plug-in age distribution | — | Cannot quantify out-of-warranty demand; obtain first-registration date/VIN extract. |
| New versus used plug-in registrations | — | Cannot infer failure profile or tooling mix. |
| Passenger versus goods/bus plug-in mix | — | Trade proxy suggests commercial bias but cannot establish active mix [ato_profile]. |
| Climate/road duty | — | Heat, humidity, road and payload hypotheses require fleet inspection; no failure rate is asserted. |
| Battery/12V/thermal failure history | — | Collect symptom, DTC, repair, parts lead time and downtime data during paid inspections. |
- Value
- —
- Implication
- Cannot quantify out-of-warranty demand; obtain first-registration date/VIN extract.
- Value
- —
- Implication
- Cannot infer failure profile or tooling mix.
- Value
- —
- Implication
- Trade proxy suggests commercial bias but cannot establish active mix [ato_profile].
- Value
- —
- Implication
- Heat, humidity, road and payload hypotheses require fleet inspection; no failure rate is asserted.
- Value
- —
- Implication
- Collect symptom, DTC, repair, parts lead time and downtime data during paid inspections.
TAM / SAM / SOM
Current TAM is null and executable SOM is zero; the launch pool is a threshold.
TAM / SAM / SOM
| Level | Value | Unit | Type | Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current TAM | — | active passenger/LCV BEV+PHEV | Sourced fact unavailable | Requires active registry extract. |
| 2030 vehicle base | 600,000 | all vehicles | Sourced projection | CCDA-cited projection; not current stock [ccda_ev_policy]. |
| Launch threshold | 300 | active NCD passenger/LCV plug-ins | EVS decision gate | Board minimum; not estimate [evs_model]. |
- Value
- —
- Unit
- active passenger/LCV BEV+PHEV
- Type
- Sourced fact unavailable
- Formula
- Requires active registry extract.
- Value
- 600,000
- Unit
- all vehicles
- Type
- Sourced projection
- Formula
- CCDA-cited projection; not current stock [ccda_ev_policy].
- Value
- 300
- Unit
- active NCD passenger/LCV plug-ins
- Type
- EVS decision gate
- Formula
- Board minimum; not estimate [evs_model].
Customer segments
Paid evidence takes precedence over interest.
Customer segments
| Priority | Segment | Need | Validation |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Port Moresby early adopters and parallel imports | Supported diagnostics, 12V, tyres/brakes/suspension, thermal screening and pre-purchase evidence. | Matched VIN roster and paid bookings. |
| 2 | Taxi/chauffeur and corporate fleets | Uptime and route-cost evidence. | Odesh and other paid inspection trial; do not infer plug-in fleet [odesh_site]. |
| 3 | Light-commercial pilot operators | Payload/thermal/charging diagnosis and planned maintenance. | Delivered vehicle list from pilot consortium [ev_pilot]. |
| 4 | Public e-bus operator | Uptime, depot safety, recovery and parts. | Only after delivered fleet and procurement/service boundaries [ncdc_bus]. |
- Segment
- Port Moresby early adopters and parallel imports
- Need
- Supported diagnostics, 12V, tyres/brakes/suspension, thermal screening and pre-purchase evidence.
- Validation
- Matched VIN roster and paid bookings.
- Segment
- Taxi/chauffeur and corporate fleets
- Need
- Uptime and route-cost evidence.
- Validation
- Odesh and other paid inspection trial; do not infer plug-in fleet [odesh_site].
- Segment
- Light-commercial pilot operators
- Need
- Payload/thermal/charging diagnosis and planned maintenance.
- Validation
- Delivered vehicle list from pilot consortium [ev_pilot].
- Segment
- Public e-bus operator
- Need
- Uptime, depot safety, recovery and parts.
- Validation
- Only after delivered fleet and procurement/service boundaries [ncdc_bus].
Fleet segments
Pilots, taxis and public buses are validation targets, not assumed demand.
Fleet segments
| Segment | Evidence | Route |
|---|---|---|
| ODESH taxi/chauffeur platform | More than 100 conventional vehicles self-reported; EV count unknown [odesh_site]. | Paid EV roster audit and clinic day. |
| Turra/Odesh/Sahul pilot | Light vehicles, trucks and buses announced without counts [ev_pilot]. | Service/MOU diligence and VIN list. |
| NCDC buses | First fleet expected later in 2026 [ncdc_bus]. | No revenue until delivery, registration and maintenance procurement. |
| Corporate/mining/project fleets | No verified plug-in count. | 20 fleet interviews and one paid inspection trial. |
- Evidence
- More than 100 conventional vehicles self-reported; EV count unknown [odesh_site].
- Route
- Paid EV roster audit and clinic day.
- Evidence
- Light vehicles, trucks and buses announced without counts [ev_pilot].
- Route
- Service/MOU diligence and VIN list.
- Evidence
- First fleet expected later in 2026 [ncdc_bus].
- Route
- No revenue until delivery, registration and maintenance procurement.
- Evidence
- No verified plug-in count.
- Route
- 20 fleet interviews and one paid inspection trial.
Brands and models
No authoritative registered model ranking is available.
Brands and models
| Brand | Model | Type | Evidence | Sales Or Stock |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BYD / Aion | Unverified distribution intention | Passenger EV | Pre-launch secondary report; no RTA registrations or current model list [odesh_prelaunch]. | — |
| Unspecified Chinese solar EVs | Unpublished | Passenger/light vehicle | Odesh opening self-report [odesh_open]. | — |
| Unspecified pilot makes | Light vehicles, trucks and buses | Multi-class EV | Pilot announcement without OEM/model list [ev_pilot]. | — |
| Unspecified e-bus make | Unpublished | Bus | NCDC announcement without delivery/model count [ncdc_bus]. | — |
- Model
- Unverified distribution intention
- Type
- Passenger EV
- Evidence
- Pre-launch secondary report; no RTA registrations or current model list [odesh_prelaunch].
- Sales Or Stock
- —
- Model
- Unpublished
- Type
- Passenger/light vehicle
- Evidence
- Odesh opening self-report [odesh_open].
- Sales Or Stock
- —
- Model
- Light vehicles, trucks and buses
- Type
- Multi-class EV
- Evidence
- Pilot announcement without OEM/model list [ev_pilot].
- Sales Or Stock
- —
- Model
- Unpublished
- Type
- Bus
- Evidence
- NCDC announcement without delivery/model count [ncdc_bus].
- Sales Or Stock
- —
OEM and dealer competitors
Partner/referral diligence precedes competition claims.
OEM and dealer competitors
| Competitor | Location | Strength | Implication |
|---|---|---|---|
| Odesh Motors | Waigani, Port Moresby | First-mover EV sales/charging/after-sales claim [odesh_open]. | Primary partner/competitor; verify authorization, tools, training, stock and warranty. |
| Ela Motors | National, including Port Moresby/Lae | 15-dealership incumbent with service, parts and training [ela_profile]. | Strong general-service benchmark and possible referral/competition; EV capability unverified. |
- Location
- Waigani, Port Moresby
- Strength
- First-mover EV sales/charging/after-sales claim [odesh_open].
- Implication
- Primary partner/competitor; verify authorization, tools, training, stock and warranty.
- Location
- National, including Port Moresby/Lae
- Strength
- 15-dealership incumbent with service, parts and training [ela_profile].
- Implication
- Strong general-service benchmark and possible referral/competition; EV capability unverified.
Independent competitors
Workshop EV/HV capability requires field audit.
Independent competitors
| Type | Verified Count | Capability | Response |
|---|---|---|---|
| General independent workshops | — | EV/HV capability not audited | Map 20 NCD workshops and inspect safety, tooling and referrals. |
| Auto-electrical specialists | — | 12V/charging overlap; traction-HV competence unknown | Restrict to approved supported tasks. |
- Verified Count
- —
- Capability
- EV/HV capability not audited
- Response
- Map 20 NCD workshops and inspect safety, tooling and referrals.
- Verified Count
- —
- Capability
- 12V/charging overlap; traction-HV competence unknown
- Response
- Restrict to approved supported tasks.
Priority cities and regions
Port Moresby is the only fixed-pilot candidate; Lae is second-stage mobile.
Priority cities and regions
| Priority | Region | Case | Decision |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Port Moresby / NCD | Only location with verified EV dealer/pilot signals, NCDC fleet intent, regulators and stronger grid access. | Only fixed partner-clinic candidate [odesh_open][ev_pilot][ncdc_bus]. |
- Region
- Port Moresby / NCD
- Case
- Only location with verified EV dealer/pilot signals, NCDC fleet intent, regulators and stronger grid access.
- Decision
- Only fixed partner-clinic candidate [odesh_open][ev_pilot][ncdc_bus].
Consumer incentives
All identified EV incentives are draft-policy measures.
Consumer incentives
| Measure | Status | Caveat |
|---|---|---|
| Draft first-500 EV purchase incentive | K2,000 per vehicle reported in draft-policy profile. | Not treated as enacted, funded or claimable [ato_profile][ccda_ev_policy]. |
| Draft EV/import waivers | Waivers reported as draft measures. | No current customs ruling located; model assumes no benefit [ato_profile][pwc_other]. |
- Status
- K2,000 per vehicle reported in draft-policy profile.
- Caveat
- Not treated as enacted, funded or claimable [ato_profile][ccda_ev_policy].
- Status
- Waivers reported as draft measures.
- Caveat
- No current customs ruling located; model assumes no benefit [ato_profile][pwc_other].
Business and investment incentives
No unawarded or unenacted benefit enters economics.
Business and investment incentives
| Instrument | Benefit | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Draft charging equipment/tax waivers | Potential landed-cost relief. | Excluded pending enacted law and written HS/GST/customs ruling [ato_profile][pwc_other]. |
| Foreign investment certification | Market access through compliant entity. | Requirement, not subsidy [ipa_foreign]. |
- Benefit
- Potential landed-cost relief.
- Model
- Excluded pending enacted law and written HS/GST/customs ruling [ato_profile][pwc_other].
- Benefit
- Market access through compliant entity.
- Model
- Requirement, not subsidy [ipa_foreign].
Tax and payroll snapshot
Current professional/official summaries are planning inputs, not opinions.
Tax and payroll snapshot
| Item | Reported | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Corporate income tax | 30% general rate | Planning only; obtain IRC/local-adviser opinion [pwc_cit]. |
| GST | 10% standard rate | Economics GST-exclusive; registration/recovery/import treatment requires advice [pwc_other]. |
- Reported
- 30% general rate
- Model
- Planning only; obtain IRC/local-adviser opinion [pwc_cit].
- Reported
- 10% standard rate
- Model
- Economics GST-exclusive; registration/recovery/import treatment requires advice [pwc_other].
Entity, licensing and premises
Written approvals are pre-lease gates.
Entity, licensing and premises
| Area | Requirement | Gate |
|---|---|---|
| Entity and foreign certification | Companies Act registration plus Investment Promotion Act certification for foreign enterprise. | IPA certificates and beneficial-owner/annual-return controls [ipa_foreign][ipa_acts]. |
| Tax and payroll | IRC registrations, GST/payroll/superannuation assessment. | Written adviser pack [pwc_cit][pwc_other][bpng_super]. |
- Requirement
- Companies Act registration plus Investment Promotion Act certification for foreign enterprise.
- Gate
- IPA certificates and beneficial-owner/annual-return controls [ipa_foreign][ipa_acts].
- Requirement
- IRC registrations, GST/payroll/superannuation assessment.
- Gate
- Written adviser pack [pwc_cit][pwc_other][bpng_super].
Labour and competence
Electrical licences and traction-HV competence are distinct.
Labour and competence
| Area | Requirement | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Employment | Current contracts, hours, leave, termination, wage, workers compensation and foreign-work permits. | Local counsel and Labour Department; wage floor [minimum_wage]. |
| Superannuation | Apply headcount/tenure rules and remit mandatory contributions. | Bank of PNG [bpng_super]. |
- Requirement
- Current contracts, hours, leave, termination, wage, workers compensation and foreign-work permits.
- Source
- Local counsel and Labour Department; wage floor [minimum_wage].
- Requirement
- Apply headcount/tenure rules and remit mandatory contributions.
- Source
- Bank of PNG [bpng_super].
High-voltage safety
Manufacturer procedures, local law and insurer controls apply.
High-voltage safety
| Control | Minimum | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Competence | Two assessed technicians; OEM task matrix; annual reauthorization. | No statutory EV/HV technician credential located; electrical licences do not prove traction-battery competence. |
| Safe state | Identify, isolate, lock/tag, prove dead, secure keys, record re-energization. | Manufacturer procedure plus ISO/UNECE benchmarks [iso_6469][un_r100]. |
| Tools/PPE | Rated gloves/tools, CAT meter/proving unit, barriers, rescue hook and inspection logs. | Insurer, fire and legal requirements control. |
| EVSE | Licensed electrical contractor; vehicle technicians do not alter energized supply equipment. | Local electrical law plus IEC/ISO benchmark [electricity_act][iec_61851][iso_17409]. |
| Damaged vehicles | Outdoor isolation/quarantine, thermal observation, recovery plan and emergency liaison. | No pack storage before written approvals. |
- Minimum
- Two assessed technicians; OEM task matrix; annual reauthorization.
- Status
- No statutory EV/HV technician credential located; electrical licences do not prove traction-battery competence.
- Minimum
- Identify, isolate, lock/tag, prove dead, secure keys, record re-energization.
- Status
- Manufacturer procedure plus ISO/UNECE benchmarks [iso_6469][un_r100].
- Minimum
- Rated gloves/tools, CAT meter/proving unit, barriers, rescue hook and inspection logs.
- Status
- Insurer, fire and legal requirements control.
- Minimum
- Licensed electrical contractor; vehicle technicians do not alter energized supply equipment.
- Status
- Local electrical law plus IEC/ISO benchmark [electricity_act][iec_61851][iso_17409].
- Minimum
- Outdoor isolation/quarantine, thermal observation, recovery plan and emergency liaison.
- Status
- No pack storage before written approvals.
Battery, waste and transport
Traction-pack work is held.
Battery, waste and transport
| Stream | Launch Rule | Evidence |
|---|---|---|
| 12V batteries, tyres, fluids and e-waste | Named lawful collector/recipient, segregation and manifests before first job. | Environment Act screening [environment_act][prescribed_reg]. |
| Damaged traction battery/module | No custody, opening, storage, transport or disposal before CEPA/fire/insurer/carrier/recipient written route. | Domestic permit classification plus Basel/Waigani and UN controls [environment_act][basel][waigani][un_tests]. |
- Launch Rule
- Named lawful collector/recipient, segregation and manifests before first job.
- Evidence
- Environment Act screening [environment_act][prescribed_reg].
- Launch Rule
- No custody, opening, storage, transport or disposal before CEPA/fire/insurer/carrier/recipient written route.
- Evidence
- Domestic permit classification plus Basel/Waigani and UN controls [environment_act][basel][waigani][un_tests].
Data, consumer and warranty
Independent status, scope and custody controls must be explicit.
Data, consumer and warranty
| Area | Control | Gate |
|---|---|---|
| Customer/VIN/telemetry data | Purpose, consent, minimization, access, retention, security and processor mapping. | PNG counsel opinion; no comprehensive general data-protection regime is assumed. |
| Cloud diagnostics | Map recipients/countries; supported subscriptions; no security bypass. | Contract and legal review before upload. |
| Consumer terms | Written quote, scope, parts provenance, warranty, rework, custody and complaints. | ICCC-aligned English/Tok Pisin documentation [iccc]. |
| OEM status | Do not imply BYD, Aion or other OEM authorization without contract. | Written authorization and supported VIN/task matrix [odesh_prelaunch]. |
- Control
- Purpose, consent, minimization, access, retention, security and processor mapping.
- Gate
- PNG counsel opinion; no comprehensive general data-protection regime is assumed.
- Control
- Map recipients/countries; supported subscriptions; no security bypass.
- Gate
- Contract and legal review before upload.
- Control
- Written quote, scope, parts provenance, warranty, rework, custody and complaints.
- Gate
- ICCC-aligned English/Tok Pisin documentation [iccc].
- Control
- Do not imply BYD, Aion or other OEM authorization without contract.
- Gate
- Written authorization and supported VIN/task matrix [odesh_prelaunch].
Recommended service portfolio
Launch with low-complexity, evidence-rich tasks.
Recommended service portfolio
| Phase | Services | Boundary |
|---|---|---|
| Launch | OBD scan/report; non-invasive thermal/SOH screen; 12V; tyres/alignment; brakes; suspension; cooling/AC; pre-purchase; fleet inspection | Supported VIN/tasks only. |
| Mobile/fleet | Controlled inspection days and non-invasive triage | No energized HV or fixed-wiring work. |
| After evidence | Selected de-energized HV auxiliaries and vehicle-side charge-port diagnosis | Training, tooling, insurer, parts and emergency gate. |
| Hold | Pack opening/removal/storage/shipping; collision structure; unsupported coding; energized EVSE; ADAS without calibration proof | Separate board/compliance approval. |
- Services
- OBD scan/report; non-invasive thermal/SOH screen; 12V; tyres/alignment; brakes; suspension; cooling/AC; pre-purchase; fleet inspection
- Boundary
- Supported VIN/tasks only.
- Services
- Controlled inspection days and non-invasive triage
- Boundary
- No energized HV or fixed-wiring work.
- Services
- Selected de-energized HV auxiliaries and vehicle-side charge-port diagnosis
- Boundary
- Training, tooling, insurer, parts and emergency gate.
- Services
- Pack opening/removal/storage/shipping; collision structure; unsupported coding; energized EVSE; ADAS without calibration proof
- Boundary
- Separate board/compliance approval.
Operating model
A managed partner bay preserves reversibility.
Operating model
| Component | Recommendation |
|---|---|
| Format | One managed bay inside a compliant Port Moresby partner workshop; no standalone lease. |
| Commercial | PGK menu pricing, deposits and evidence packs; no draft incentive assumed. |
| Inventory | Consumables only; VIN-specific parts against deposit; no traction-pack inventory. |
| Quality | Digital intake, before/after scan, photo/thermal evidence, torque checklist and referral log. |
| Power | Dedicated protected supply, earthing test, outage log and backup for IT/diagnostics; no fast charger in pilot. |
| Logistics | Parts-consolidation SLA and scheduled Lae visits after Port Moresby proof. |
- Recommendation
- One managed bay inside a compliant Port Moresby partner workshop; no standalone lease.
- Recommendation
- PGK menu pricing, deposits and evidence packs; no draft incentive assumed.
- Recommendation
- Consumables only; VIN-specific parts against deposit; no traction-pack inventory.
- Recommendation
- Digital intake, before/after scan, photo/thermal evidence, torque checklist and referral log.
- Recommendation
- Dedicated protected supply, earthing test, outage log and backup for IT/diagnostics; no fast charger in pilot.
- Recommendation
- Parts-consolidation SLA and scheduled Lae visits after Port Moresby proof.
Franchise model
Standalone rollout is deferred.
Franchise model
| Stage | Model | Commitment |
|---|---|---|
| 0–90 days | Managed partner clinic | Reversible capex ≤PGK200,000; no long lease, exclusivity or pack stock. |
| Post-pilot | Licensed service cell | Only after continuation gate and twelve-month data. |
| Lae service days | Partner/mobile route | Only after paid demand and parts/power test. |
| Standalone franchise | Deferred | Requires verified stock, sustained jobs, lawful battery route and ≤3-year base payback. |
- Model
- Managed partner clinic
- Commitment
- Reversible capex ≤PGK200,000; no long lease, exclusivity or pack stock.
- Model
- Licensed service cell
- Commitment
- Only after continuation gate and twelve-month data.
- Model
- Partner/mobile route
- Commitment
- Only after paid demand and parts/power test.
- Model
- Deferred
- Commitment
- Requires verified stock, sustained jobs, lawful battery route and ≤3-year base payback.
Annual pilot economics
All values are EVS assumptions in nominal PGK.
Annual pilot economics
| Scenario | Jobs | Aro Pgk | Gross Margin Pct | Opex Pgk | Revenue Pgk | Gross Profit Pgk | Ebitda Pgk | Payback Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cautious | 35 | 1,400 | 55 | 60,000 | 49,000 | 26,950 | -33,050 | — |
- Jobs
- 35
- Aro Pgk
- 1,400
- Gross Margin Pct
- 55
- Opex Pgk
- 60,000
- Revenue Pgk
- 49,000
- Gross Profit Pgk
- 26,950
- Ebitda Pgk
- -33,050
- Payback Years
- —
90-day pilot economics
Continuation requires the base gate.
90-day pilot economics
| Scenario | Jobs 90d | Aro Pgk | Gross Margin Pct | Opex Pgk | Revenue Pgk | Gross Profit Pgk | Ebitda Pgk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cautious | 9 | 1,400 | 55 | 15,000 | 12,600 | 6,930 | -8,070 |
- Jobs 90d
- 9
- Aro Pgk
- 1,400
- Gross Margin Pct
- 55
- Opex Pgk
- 15,000
- Revenue Pgk
- 12,600
- Gross Profit Pgk
- 6,930
- Ebitda Pgk
- -8,070
Risks
Data absence, draft policy, grid, safety and logistics drive the decision.
Risks
| Risk | Likelihood | Impact | Mitigation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Active plug-in denominator absent | High | Critical | RTA/MVIL/dealer/insurer/fleet VIN reconciliation; SOM zero. |
| Policy/incentives remain draft | High | High | No benefit in economics; require gazette/customs/IRC rulings. |
| Grid access and reliability | High | High | Port Moresby-only pilot, power test, outage log and protected backup. |
| Sparse brands/tools/parts | High | High | Supported VIN/task list, deposits, referral and parts SLA. |
| Pack fire/waste route | Medium | Critical | No custody until written route and drill. |
| Demand/base payback unattractive | High | High | Paid gates, capex cap and no standalone site. |
| Announcements mistaken for operating assets | High | High | Require delivered VINs, registrations and commissioning certificates. |
| FX/import/logistics delay | High | High | Deposits, landed-cost quotes, consumables-only inventory and service-level contracts. |
- Likelihood
- High
- Impact
- Critical
- Mitigation
- RTA/MVIL/dealer/insurer/fleet VIN reconciliation; SOM zero.
- Likelihood
- High
- Impact
- High
- Mitigation
- No benefit in economics; require gazette/customs/IRC rulings.
- Likelihood
- High
- Impact
- High
- Mitigation
- Port Moresby-only pilot, power test, outage log and protected backup.
- Likelihood
- High
- Impact
- High
- Mitigation
- Supported VIN/task list, deposits, referral and parts SLA.
- Likelihood
- Medium
- Impact
- Critical
- Mitigation
- No custody until written route and drill.
- Likelihood
- High
- Impact
- High
- Mitigation
- Paid gates, capex cap and no standalone site.
- Likelihood
- High
- Impact
- High
- Mitigation
- Require delivered VINs, registrations and commissioning certificates.
- Likelihood
- High
- Impact
- High
- Mitigation
- Deposits, landed-cost quotes, consumables-only inventory and service-level contracts.
Mitigations
Controls are documentary and auditable.
Mitigations
| Control | Action | Owner | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denominator | Match active registration, VIN, class, propulsion, location, first-registration date and owner type; de-duplicate. | Country lead | Signed data memo. |
| Paid demand | 20 paid/refundable bookings plus one paid trial or binding LOI covering ≥10 plug-ins. | Commercial lead | Receipts/contracts. |
| Capability | Two assessed technicians, supported-tool proof and rescue drill. | Technical lead | Assessment/drill records. |
| Compliance | Entity, tax, labour, site, RTA, electrical, fire, environment/waste, consumer/data and insurer pack. | Legal/operations | Written approvals. |
| Capital | Cap irreversible spend at PGK200,000 and hold pack inventory. | Board | Approved purchase ledger. |
- Action
- Match active registration, VIN, class, propulsion, location, first-registration date and owner type; de-duplicate.
- Owner
- Country lead
- Evidence
- Signed data memo.
- Action
- 20 paid/refundable bookings plus one paid trial or binding LOI covering ≥10 plug-ins.
- Owner
- Commercial lead
- Evidence
- Receipts/contracts.
- Action
- Two assessed technicians, supported-tool proof and rescue drill.
- Owner
- Technical lead
- Evidence
- Assessment/drill records.
- Action
- Entity, tax, labour, site, RTA, electrical, fire, environment/waste, consumer/data and insurer pack.
- Owner
- Legal/operations
- Evidence
- Written approvals.
- Action
- Cap irreversible spend at PGK200,000 and hold pack inventory.
- Owner
- Board
- Evidence
- Approved purchase ledger.
90-day entry plan
No irreversible commitment before gate review.
90-day entry plan
| Days | Objective | Deliverables |
|---|---|---|
| 1–15 | Verify denominator | RTA/MVIL active BEV/PHEV extract; dealer/insurer/fleet VIN files; charging asset-register request; definition memo. |
- Objective
- Verify denominator
- Deliverables
- RTA/MVIL active BEV/PHEV extract; dealer/insurer/fleet VIN files; charging asset-register request; definition memo.
Go / no-go gates
All launch gates are open; standalone is no-go.
Go / no-go gates
| Gate | Threshold | Status |
|---|---|---|
| G0 data | ≥300 matched active NCD passenger/LCV plug-ins with propulsion/class/location/age and duplicate control | OPEN |
- Threshold
- ≥300 matched active NCD passenger/LCV plug-ins with propulsion/class/location/age and duplicate control
- Status
- OPEN
Methodology
Source facts and EVS assumptions remain distinct.
Methodology
| Step | Method | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Freeze definitions | Active registered passenger/LCV BEV/PHEV; do not mix HEVs, motorcycles, buses, trade values, targets, sites, points or connectors. |
| 2 | Prioritize primary sources | CCDA, RTA, MVIL, NSO, NCDC, utility, regulators and official legal routes. |
| 3 | Label secondary/commercial evidence | ATO trade/readiness proxy, media pilot reports and company claims are not registry facts. |
| 4 | Size only supported quantities | Current TAM null; launch threshold is a gate; executable SOM zero. |
| 5 | Model transparent sensitivities | 2030 shares and all economics are EVS assumptions; nominal PGK, GST-exclusive, pre-tax. |
| 6 | Convert uncertainty to gates | Data, paid demand, capability, compliance, site and continuation evidence. |
- Method
- Freeze definitions
- Detail
- Active registered passenger/LCV BEV/PHEV; do not mix HEVs, motorcycles, buses, trade values, targets, sites, points or connectors.
- Method
- Prioritize primary sources
- Detail
- CCDA, RTA, MVIL, NSO, NCDC, utility, regulators and official legal routes.
- Method
- Label secondary/commercial evidence
- Detail
- ATO trade/readiness proxy, media pilot reports and company claims are not registry facts.
- Method
- Size only supported quantities
- Detail
- Current TAM null; launch threshold is a gate; executable SOM zero.
- Method
- Model transparent sensitivities
- Detail
- 2030 shares and all economics are EVS assumptions; nominal PGK, GST-exclusive, pre-tax.
- Method
- Convert uncertainty to gates
- Detail
- Data, paid demand, capability, compliance, site and continuation evidence.
Priority data requests
The first 30 days are denominator-led.
Priority data requests
| Priority | Gap | Owner | Decision Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Active BEV/PHEV passenger/LCV stock by province, class, age and owner type | RTA/MVIL | TAM, location and service demand. |
| 2 | Annual BEV/PHEV registrations by new/used and denominator | RTA/MVIL/NSO | Adoption history and forecast. |
| 3 | Operational charger site/connector/power/access/tariff/uptime register | NEA/PNG Power/operators | Charging and service scope. |
| 4 | Delivered pilot vehicles, OEM/model/VIN/warranty/service and parts data | Odesh/Turra/Sahul/NCDC/dealers | Supported scope and competition. |
| 5 | Lawful damaged-battery carrier, storage and final recipient | CEPA/fire/ports/carriers/insurer | Pack-work boundary. |
| 6 | Candidate site capacity, phase, earthing, protection, outage and backup data | Licensed engineer/PNG Power | Safety and cost. |
| 7 | Paid repair need, ARO, parts lead time and willingness to pay | EVS field team | Commercial continuation. |
- Gap
- Active BEV/PHEV passenger/LCV stock by province, class, age and owner type
- Owner
- RTA/MVIL
- Decision Effect
- TAM, location and service demand.
- Gap
- Annual BEV/PHEV registrations by new/used and denominator
- Owner
- RTA/MVIL/NSO
- Decision Effect
- Adoption history and forecast.
- Gap
- Operational charger site/connector/power/access/tariff/uptime register
- Owner
- NEA/PNG Power/operators
- Decision Effect
- Charging and service scope.
- Gap
- Delivered pilot vehicles, OEM/model/VIN/warranty/service and parts data
- Owner
- Odesh/Turra/Sahul/NCDC/dealers
- Decision Effect
- Supported scope and competition.
- Gap
- Lawful damaged-battery carrier, storage and final recipient
- Owner
- CEPA/fire/ports/carriers/insurer
- Decision Effect
- Pack-work boundary.
- Gap
- Candidate site capacity, phase, earthing, protection, outage and backup data
- Owner
- Licensed engineer/PNG Power
- Decision Effect
- Safety and cost.
- Gap
- Paid repair need, ARO, parts lead time and willingness to pay
- Owner
- EVS field team
- Decision Effect
- Commercial continuation.
Complete linked source register
Every source records publication/access information, classification, link and decision use.
Complete linked source register
| Source Id | Publisher | Publication Date | Accessed At | Classification | Url | Decision Use |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ccda_ev_policy | Climate Change and Development Authority | 2025-06-29 | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://ccda.gov.pg/electric-vehicle-policy-framework-investment-plan-and-implementation-roadmap-validation-workshop/ | Official evidence that the EV policy framework, investment plan and roadmap were still being validated; reports transport share of energy emissions and a vehicle-count projection from 155,000 in 2005 to 600,000 in 2030. |
| gggi_emobility | Global Green Growth Institute | 2025-07-23 | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://gggi.org/papua-new-guinea-powers-ahead-on-e-mobility/ | Development-partner evidence of a draft communications strategy and action plan under the Department of Transport/CCDA/GGGI programme. |
| ato_profile | Asian Transport Observatory | 2026-01-01 | 2026-08-11 | Authoritative secondary synthesis | https://asiantransportobservatory.org/analytical-outputs/transportclimateprofiles/papua-new-guinea-transport-and-climate-profile-2026/ | Authoritative synthesis used only with labels: reports draft-policy targets, trade-classification proxies and readiness score; not a registry or enacted policy. |
| png_ndc | UNFCCC / Government of Papua New Guinea | 2020-12-16 | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/NDC/2022-06/PNG%20Second%20NDC.pdf | Official climate commitment route supporting low-emission transport and pilot context; not an EV sales or stock source. |
| ccda_btr | Climate Change and Development Authority | 2026-01-21 | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://ccda.gov.pg/eywa-resources/3326/ | Official current climate-reporting publication route; no vehicle-level EV registry table was extracted. |
| ev_pilot | The National | 2026-06-19 | 2026-08-11 | Secondary media reporting named market participants | https://www.thenational.com.pg/electric-vehicle-pilot-programme-launched/ | Reports Turra Holdings, Odesh Motors and Sahul Energy launching a first pilot to bring light vehicles, trucks and buses and develop NCD charging; no delivered vehicle or charger count stated. |
| ncdc_bus | National Capital District Commission | 2026-04-12 | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://www.ncdc.gov.pg/media/city_sivarai/parkop-secures-electric-buses-and-waste-to-energy-solution-for-port-moresby.html | Official announcement that a first fleet was expected later in 2026; no delivered count or operational evidence. |
| odesh_open | Odesh Motors founder / LinkedIn | 2025-12-01 | 2026-08-11 | Commercial self-report | https://www.linkedin.com/posts/isaac-jipsy-mba-8257942a_odesh-motors-now-officially-open-activity-7400771150928330752-w4ry | Self-reported dealership, charging, taxi fleet and after-sales opening in Waigani; no audited unit, charger or service volumes. |
| odesh_site | ODESH | — | 2026-08-11 | Commercial self-report | https://www.odesh.net/ | Company site reports more than 100 registered conventional taxis/chauffeurs and a Port Moresby platform; this is a fleet-partnership route, not plug-in stock. |
| odesh_prelaunch | The PNG Bulletin | 2024-12-01 | 2026-08-11 | Secondary commercial reporting | https://thepngbulletin.com/news/business/odesh-set-to-lead-pngs-electric-vehicle-revolution/ | Secondary pre-launch report of intended BYD/Aion distribution and EV service/charging; intentions are not registrations or OEM authorization evidence. |
| rta_home | Road Traffic Authority | — | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://www.rta.gov.pg/ | Official regulator remit for land transport, vehicle inspection, registration, public vehicles and driver licensing. |
| rta_registration | Road Traffic Authority | — | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://www.rta.gov.pg/licences-approvals/vehicle-registration/ | Official registration route: first registration requires roadworthiness certification, current compulsory third-party insurance and fees. |
| mvil_registration | Motor Vehicle Insurance Limited | — | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://mvil.com.pg/services/vehicle-registration | Official delegated service route for registration and compulsory third-party insurance. |
| pmnec_mvil_rta | Department of Prime Minister and National Executive Council | 2025-08-11 | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://www.pmnec.gov.pg/acting-chief-secretary-to-government-mr-ivan-pomaleu-obe-clarifies-motor-vehicle-insurance-limited-mvil-and-the-road-transport-authority-rta/ | Official clarification of RTA as regulator and interim MVIL delivery arrangements. |
| nso_2024_trade | National Statistical Office | 2025-01-01 | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://www.nso.gov.pg/statistics/economy/international-merchandise-trade/2024-release/ | Official trade release reports K487.6m of motor-vehicle imports in 2024 but has no propulsion split; inconsistent subcomponents are excluded from market sizing. |
| nso_2025q1 | National Statistical Office | 2025-07-01 | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://www.nso.gov.pg/statistics/economy/international-merchandise-trade/2025-q1-release/ | Official flow context for goods/public-transport vehicles and parts; no BEV/PHEV split. |
| worldbank_neat | World Bank | 2024-11-29 | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2024/11/29/world-bank-announces-transformative-energy-access-project-to-benefit-400-000-papua-new-guineans | Reports approximately 20% grid connection, below 15% rural connection, a 70% 2030 goal and a US$204m access project; national access is not site power quality. |
| png_power | PNG Power Limited | — | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://pngpower.com.pg/ | Official utility site reports approximately 580 MW installed capacity and 4,100 km of network lines; site supply and outages require measurement. |
| png_power_outages | PNG Power Limited | — | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://pngpower.com.pg/outage-and-maintenance/ | Official current outage route; dynamic notices are not a historical reliability series. |
| gggi_power | Global Green Growth Institute | 2025-12-02 | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://gggi.org/mou-signed-to-boost-green-energy-transformation-in-png/ | Evidence of PNG Power/GGGI cooperation; not workshop power-quality evidence. |
| adb_energy | Asian Development Bank | 2025-12-16 | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://www.adb.org/news/adb-approves-275-million-financing-expand-access-finance-clean-energy-and-transport-png | Development-finance context; no EVS grant or service-centre benefit is assumed. |
| ipa_registry | Investment Promotion Authority | — | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://www.ipa.gov.pg/corp/index.aspx | Official online company and foreign-enterprise registry route. |
| ipa_foreign | Investment Promotion Authority | — | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://www.ipa.gov.pg/public/help.aspx?cn=BusinessRegulations | Official guidance: foreign enterprises register under the Companies Act and apply for certification under the Investment Promotion Act. |
| ipa_acts | Investment Promotion Authority | — | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://www.ipa.gov.pg/public/help.aspx?cn=ActsAndRegulations | Official legal route for Companies Act 1997/2014 amendments and Investment Promotion Act 1992/2023 amendment. |
| pwc_cit | PwC Worldwide Tax Summaries | 2026-03-27 | 2026-08-11 | Current professional tax summary | https://taxsummaries.pwc.com/papua-new-guinea/corporate/taxes-on-corporate-income | Current professional summary: 30% general corporate income-tax rate for resident companies and non-resident permanent establishments; advice controls. |
| pwc_other | PwC Worldwide Tax Summaries | 2026-03-27 | 2026-08-11 | Current professional tax summary | https://taxsummaries.pwc.com/papua-new-guinea/corporate/other-taxes | Current professional summary: 10% GST on most supplies and import-GST deferral subject to approval/compliance; no EV-specific exemption inferred. |
| bpng_super | Bank of Papua New Guinea | — | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://www.bankpng.gov.pg/publications/public-notices/employer-and-employee-superannuation-contributions | Official guidance: employers with 15+ employees remit 8.4% employer and 6% employee contributions after qualifying employment. |
| minimum_wage | The National | 2025-09-23 | 2026-08-11 | Secondary report of gazetted determination | https://www.thenational.com.pg/new-minimum-wage-gazetted-to-take-effect-in-january/ | Reports gazetted K5/hour from 1 January 2026 and staged increases; verify the gazette and any activity-specific conditions. |
| nea_act | Asian Development Bank Law and Policy Reform Program | 2021-04-21 | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://lpr.adb.org/resource/national-energy-authority-act-2021-papua-new-guinea | Authoritative legal summary: electricity supply is regulated and undertakers/contractors require licensing. |
| nea_policies | National Energy Authority | — | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://nea-live.eywaapps.net/policies | Official route for 2025 regulations, PV/BESS framework and electrician/electrical-contractor licensing guidance. |
| electricity_act | UN ESCAP Asia Pacific Energy Portal | — | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://policy.asiapacificenergy.org/node/2864 | Authoritative legal text route: electrical wiring work must be performed by licensed persons or under licensed supervision. |
| electricity_reg | UN ESCAP Asia Pacific Energy Portal | — | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://policy.thinkbluedata.com/node/1211 | Authoritative legal route for completion/test certificates and safe electrical apparatus/installation. |
| environment_act | Asian Development Bank Law and Policy Reform Program | 2001-04-19 | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://lpr.adb.org/resource/environment-act-2000-papua-new-guinea | Authoritative legal summary covering environmental harm, precaution and permits for Level 2/3 activities. |
| prescribed_reg | Asian Development Bank Law and Policy Reform Program | 2006-11-25 | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://lpr.adb.org/resource/environment-prescribed-activities-regulation-2002-papua-new-guinea | Authoritative legal summary classifying Level 1/2/3 activities including waste disposal and discharges. |
| iccc | ICCC | — | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://iccc.gov.pg/ | Official consumer watchdog route for misleading/deceptive conduct, unsafe goods, fair trading and complaints. |
| ela_profile | Ela Motors PNG | — | 2026-08-11 | Commercial primary source | https://www.toyota-png.com/corporate-profile/ | Dealer source: 15 dealerships, service/parts and long-running technical training; no plug-in sales or service volume. |
| ela_lae | The National | 2026-07-09 | 2026-08-11 | Secondary competitor evidence | https://www.thenational.com.pg/new-ela-motors-lae-branch-the-largest-in-png/ | Secondary evidence of incumbent dealer service and heavy-vehicle capability in Lae. |
| iso_6469 | ISO | 2021-01-01 | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://www.iso.org/standard/45477.html | International benchmark; PNG adoption and legal effect are not assumed. |
| iso_17409 | ISO | 2020-01-01 | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://www.iso.org/standard/68474.html | International charging-safety benchmark; not local approval. |
| iec_61851 | IEC | 2017-02-01 | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://webstore.iec.ch/en/publication/33644 | International EVSE benchmark; local adoption/conformity must be confirmed. |
| un_r100 | UNECE | 2022-03-01 | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://unece.org/transport/documents/2022/03/standards/un-regulation-no-100-rev3 | International electric-powertrain safety benchmark; national applicability not assumed. |
| un_tests | UNECE | — | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://unece.org/transport/dangerous-goods/rev8-files | International lithium-battery transport test framework; carrier and competent-authority approvals still control. |
| basel | Basel Convention Secretariat | — | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://www.basel.int/TheConvention/Overview/TextoftheConvention/tabid/1275/Default.aspx | International hazardous-waste movement framework; PNG competent-authority procedure controls. |
| waigani | SPREP | — | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://www.sprep.org/convention-secretariat/waigani-convention | Regional hazardous/radioactive-waste control route; applicability and procedure require CEPA confirmation. |
| ilo_osh | International Labour Organization | 2001-12-06 | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://www.ilo.org/publications/guidelines-occupational-safety-and-health-management-systems-ilo-osh-2001 | International OSH management benchmark; not a substitute for PNG law. |
| evs_model | EVS Worldwide | 2026-08-11 | 2026-08-11 | Primary / authoritative | https://www.evsworldwide.com/ | All gates, sensitivities and economics are EVS assumptions unless explicitly attributed. |
- Publisher
- Climate Change and Development Authority
- Publication Date
- 2025-06-29
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://ccda.gov.pg/electric-vehicle-policy-framework-investment-plan-and-implementation-roadmap-validation-workshop/
- Decision Use
- Official evidence that the EV policy framework, investment plan and roadmap were still being validated; reports transport share of energy emissions and a vehicle-count projection from 155,000 in 2005 to 600,000 in 2030.
- Publisher
- Global Green Growth Institute
- Publication Date
- 2025-07-23
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://gggi.org/papua-new-guinea-powers-ahead-on-e-mobility/
- Decision Use
- Development-partner evidence of a draft communications strategy and action plan under the Department of Transport/CCDA/GGGI programme.
- Publisher
- Asian Transport Observatory
- Publication Date
- 2026-01-01
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Authoritative secondary synthesis
- Url
- https://asiantransportobservatory.org/analytical-outputs/transportclimateprofiles/papua-new-guinea-transport-and-climate-profile-2026/
- Decision Use
- Authoritative synthesis used only with labels: reports draft-policy targets, trade-classification proxies and readiness score; not a registry or enacted policy.
- Publisher
- UNFCCC / Government of Papua New Guinea
- Publication Date
- 2020-12-16
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/NDC/2022-06/PNG%20Second%20NDC.pdf
- Decision Use
- Official climate commitment route supporting low-emission transport and pilot context; not an EV sales or stock source.
- Publisher
- Climate Change and Development Authority
- Publication Date
- 2026-01-21
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://ccda.gov.pg/eywa-resources/3326/
- Decision Use
- Official current climate-reporting publication route; no vehicle-level EV registry table was extracted.
- Publisher
- The National
- Publication Date
- 2026-06-19
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Secondary media reporting named market participants
- Url
- https://www.thenational.com.pg/electric-vehicle-pilot-programme-launched/
- Decision Use
- Reports Turra Holdings, Odesh Motors and Sahul Energy launching a first pilot to bring light vehicles, trucks and buses and develop NCD charging; no delivered vehicle or charger count stated.
- Publisher
- National Capital District Commission
- Publication Date
- 2026-04-12
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://www.ncdc.gov.pg/media/city_sivarai/parkop-secures-electric-buses-and-waste-to-energy-solution-for-port-moresby.html
- Decision Use
- Official announcement that a first fleet was expected later in 2026; no delivered count or operational evidence.
- Publisher
- Odesh Motors founder / LinkedIn
- Publication Date
- 2025-12-01
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Commercial self-report
- Url
- https://www.linkedin.com/posts/isaac-jipsy-mba-8257942a_odesh-motors-now-officially-open-activity-7400771150928330752-w4ry
- Decision Use
- Self-reported dealership, charging, taxi fleet and after-sales opening in Waigani; no audited unit, charger or service volumes.
- Publisher
- ODESH
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Commercial self-report
- Url
- https://www.odesh.net/
- Decision Use
- Company site reports more than 100 registered conventional taxis/chauffeurs and a Port Moresby platform; this is a fleet-partnership route, not plug-in stock.
- Publisher
- The PNG Bulletin
- Publication Date
- 2024-12-01
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Secondary commercial reporting
- Url
- https://thepngbulletin.com/news/business/odesh-set-to-lead-pngs-electric-vehicle-revolution/
- Decision Use
- Secondary pre-launch report of intended BYD/Aion distribution and EV service/charging; intentions are not registrations or OEM authorization evidence.
- Publisher
- Road Traffic Authority
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://www.rta.gov.pg/
- Decision Use
- Official regulator remit for land transport, vehicle inspection, registration, public vehicles and driver licensing.
- Publisher
- Road Traffic Authority
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://www.rta.gov.pg/licences-approvals/vehicle-registration/
- Decision Use
- Official registration route: first registration requires roadworthiness certification, current compulsory third-party insurance and fees.
- Publisher
- Motor Vehicle Insurance Limited
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://mvil.com.pg/services/vehicle-registration
- Decision Use
- Official delegated service route for registration and compulsory third-party insurance.
- Publisher
- Department of Prime Minister and National Executive Council
- Publication Date
- 2025-08-11
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://www.pmnec.gov.pg/acting-chief-secretary-to-government-mr-ivan-pomaleu-obe-clarifies-motor-vehicle-insurance-limited-mvil-and-the-road-transport-authority-rta/
- Decision Use
- Official clarification of RTA as regulator and interim MVIL delivery arrangements.
- Publisher
- National Statistical Office
- Publication Date
- 2025-01-01
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://www.nso.gov.pg/statistics/economy/international-merchandise-trade/2024-release/
- Decision Use
- Official trade release reports K487.6m of motor-vehicle imports in 2024 but has no propulsion split; inconsistent subcomponents are excluded from market sizing.
- Publisher
- National Statistical Office
- Publication Date
- 2025-07-01
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://www.nso.gov.pg/statistics/economy/international-merchandise-trade/2025-q1-release/
- Decision Use
- Official flow context for goods/public-transport vehicles and parts; no BEV/PHEV split.
- Publisher
- World Bank
- Publication Date
- 2024-11-29
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2024/11/29/world-bank-announces-transformative-energy-access-project-to-benefit-400-000-papua-new-guineans
- Decision Use
- Reports approximately 20% grid connection, below 15% rural connection, a 70% 2030 goal and a US$204m access project; national access is not site power quality.
- Publisher
- PNG Power Limited
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://pngpower.com.pg/
- Decision Use
- Official utility site reports approximately 580 MW installed capacity and 4,100 km of network lines; site supply and outages require measurement.
- Publisher
- PNG Power Limited
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://pngpower.com.pg/outage-and-maintenance/
- Decision Use
- Official current outage route; dynamic notices are not a historical reliability series.
- Publisher
- Global Green Growth Institute
- Publication Date
- 2025-12-02
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://gggi.org/mou-signed-to-boost-green-energy-transformation-in-png/
- Decision Use
- Evidence of PNG Power/GGGI cooperation; not workshop power-quality evidence.
- Publisher
- Asian Development Bank
- Publication Date
- 2025-12-16
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://www.adb.org/news/adb-approves-275-million-financing-expand-access-finance-clean-energy-and-transport-png
- Decision Use
- Development-finance context; no EVS grant or service-centre benefit is assumed.
- Publisher
- Investment Promotion Authority
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://www.ipa.gov.pg/corp/index.aspx
- Decision Use
- Official online company and foreign-enterprise registry route.
- Publisher
- Investment Promotion Authority
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://www.ipa.gov.pg/public/help.aspx?cn=BusinessRegulations
- Decision Use
- Official guidance: foreign enterprises register under the Companies Act and apply for certification under the Investment Promotion Act.
- Publisher
- Investment Promotion Authority
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://www.ipa.gov.pg/public/help.aspx?cn=ActsAndRegulations
- Decision Use
- Official legal route for Companies Act 1997/2014 amendments and Investment Promotion Act 1992/2023 amendment.
- Publisher
- PwC Worldwide Tax Summaries
- Publication Date
- 2026-03-27
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Current professional tax summary
- Url
- https://taxsummaries.pwc.com/papua-new-guinea/corporate/taxes-on-corporate-income
- Decision Use
- Current professional summary: 30% general corporate income-tax rate for resident companies and non-resident permanent establishments; advice controls.
- Publisher
- PwC Worldwide Tax Summaries
- Publication Date
- 2026-03-27
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Current professional tax summary
- Url
- https://taxsummaries.pwc.com/papua-new-guinea/corporate/other-taxes
- Decision Use
- Current professional summary: 10% GST on most supplies and import-GST deferral subject to approval/compliance; no EV-specific exemption inferred.
- Publisher
- Bank of Papua New Guinea
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://www.bankpng.gov.pg/publications/public-notices/employer-and-employee-superannuation-contributions
- Decision Use
- Official guidance: employers with 15+ employees remit 8.4% employer and 6% employee contributions after qualifying employment.
- Publisher
- The National
- Publication Date
- 2025-09-23
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Secondary report of gazetted determination
- Url
- https://www.thenational.com.pg/new-minimum-wage-gazetted-to-take-effect-in-january/
- Decision Use
- Reports gazetted K5/hour from 1 January 2026 and staged increases; verify the gazette and any activity-specific conditions.
- Publisher
- Asian Development Bank Law and Policy Reform Program
- Publication Date
- 2021-04-21
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://lpr.adb.org/resource/national-energy-authority-act-2021-papua-new-guinea
- Decision Use
- Authoritative legal summary: electricity supply is regulated and undertakers/contractors require licensing.
- Publisher
- National Energy Authority
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://nea-live.eywaapps.net/policies
- Decision Use
- Official route for 2025 regulations, PV/BESS framework and electrician/electrical-contractor licensing guidance.
- Publisher
- UN ESCAP Asia Pacific Energy Portal
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://policy.asiapacificenergy.org/node/2864
- Decision Use
- Authoritative legal text route: electrical wiring work must be performed by licensed persons or under licensed supervision.
- Publisher
- UN ESCAP Asia Pacific Energy Portal
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://policy.thinkbluedata.com/node/1211
- Decision Use
- Authoritative legal route for completion/test certificates and safe electrical apparatus/installation.
- Publisher
- Asian Development Bank Law and Policy Reform Program
- Publication Date
- 2001-04-19
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://lpr.adb.org/resource/environment-act-2000-papua-new-guinea
- Decision Use
- Authoritative legal summary covering environmental harm, precaution and permits for Level 2/3 activities.
- Publisher
- Asian Development Bank Law and Policy Reform Program
- Publication Date
- 2006-11-25
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://lpr.adb.org/resource/environment-prescribed-activities-regulation-2002-papua-new-guinea
- Decision Use
- Authoritative legal summary classifying Level 1/2/3 activities including waste disposal and discharges.
- Publisher
- ICCC
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://iccc.gov.pg/
- Decision Use
- Official consumer watchdog route for misleading/deceptive conduct, unsafe goods, fair trading and complaints.
- Publisher
- Ela Motors PNG
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Commercial primary source
- Url
- https://www.toyota-png.com/corporate-profile/
- Decision Use
- Dealer source: 15 dealerships, service/parts and long-running technical training; no plug-in sales or service volume.
- Publisher
- The National
- Publication Date
- 2026-07-09
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Secondary competitor evidence
- Url
- https://www.thenational.com.pg/new-ela-motors-lae-branch-the-largest-in-png/
- Decision Use
- Secondary evidence of incumbent dealer service and heavy-vehicle capability in Lae.
- Publisher
- ISO
- Publication Date
- 2021-01-01
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://www.iso.org/standard/45477.html
- Decision Use
- International benchmark; PNG adoption and legal effect are not assumed.
- Publisher
- ISO
- Publication Date
- 2020-01-01
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://www.iso.org/standard/68474.html
- Decision Use
- International charging-safety benchmark; not local approval.
- Publisher
- IEC
- Publication Date
- 2017-02-01
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://webstore.iec.ch/en/publication/33644
- Decision Use
- International EVSE benchmark; local adoption/conformity must be confirmed.
- Publisher
- UNECE
- Publication Date
- 2022-03-01
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://unece.org/transport/documents/2022/03/standards/un-regulation-no-100-rev3
- Decision Use
- International electric-powertrain safety benchmark; national applicability not assumed.
- Publisher
- UNECE
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://unece.org/transport/dangerous-goods/rev8-files
- Decision Use
- International lithium-battery transport test framework; carrier and competent-authority approvals still control.
- Publisher
- Basel Convention Secretariat
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://www.basel.int/TheConvention/Overview/TextoftheConvention/tabid/1275/Default.aspx
- Decision Use
- International hazardous-waste movement framework; PNG competent-authority procedure controls.
- Publisher
- SPREP
- Publication Date
- —
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://www.sprep.org/convention-secretariat/waigani-convention
- Decision Use
- Regional hazardous/radioactive-waste control route; applicability and procedure require CEPA confirmation.
- Publisher
- International Labour Organization
- Publication Date
- 2001-12-06
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://www.ilo.org/publications/guidelines-occupational-safety-and-health-management-systems-ilo-osh-2001
- Decision Use
- International OSH management benchmark; not a substitute for PNG law.
- Publisher
- EVS Worldwide
- Publication Date
- 2026-08-11
- Accessed At
- 2026-08-11
- Classification
- Primary / authoritative
- Url
- https://www.evsworldwide.com/
- Decision Use
- All gates, sensitivities and economics are EVS assumptions unless explicitly attributed.
Source register
46 primary and derived sources
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Source register
46 primary and derived sources
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