Taiwan.

• CONDITIONAL GO: validate one company-controlled New Taipei Wugu–Xinzhuang–Taishan technical hub.
• Taiwan had 118,787 registered electric passenger cars in October 2025 [motc_oct].
• PHEVs are excluded until an explicit active-stock extract is obtained; one controlled hub precedes any franchise rollout.

Approve a 90-day paid validation, conditional New Taipei site option and six-family VIN test. Defer franchising, second sites, pack opening, unsupported coding and inspection claims.

Highway Bureau county data counted 118,787 electric passenger cars in October 2025 [motc_oct]. EVS does not add later registration flows and excludes PHEVs because a comparable active-stock series was not located.

The official electric-passenger-car series is used as BEV stock. Broad hybrid categories can include non-plug-in vehicles; without an explicit PHEV extract they are excluded rather than estimated.

The BEV parc rose from an implied 60,487 in February 2024 to 99,980 in February 2025, 110,768 in July and 118,787 in October [motc_feb] [motc_july] [motc_oct].

Taiwan registered 32,558 BEVs in 2025, 8.6% below 2024; the calculated share of 414,436 total light-vehicle registrations was about 7.85% [sales_2025] [market_2025].

Cautious, base and high cases apply 10%, 16% and 22% annual growth for 5.17 years from October 2025. These are capacity scenarios, not official forecasts.

Taiwan had 12,334 public connectors and 9.0 BEVs per connector in July 2025 [charging_july]. A 2026 roaming partnership reported coverage of 60% of DC fast connectors, though this is an operator claim [charging_roaming].

Most BEV growth occurred after 2023, so near-term demand leans toward tyres, ADAS, thermal, charging and evidence services. Deeper out-of-warranty battery demand should grow later.

Private cars aged 5–10 years are inspected annually and those over ten years twice yearly [inspection] [inspection_hb]. EVS must not claim authorised inspection without approval.

118,787 sourced BEVs × 55% annual paid incidence × TWD 65,000 gives TWD 4.25bn TAM. Applying 45% independent eligibility and 60% hub reach gives TWD 1.15bn SAM. Base SOM is 2,500 orders × TWD 58,000 = TWD 145m.

It excludes PHEVs, electric scooters, buses, charging revenue, body repair, full-pack replacement, inspection and franchise fees. A current classified registry extract must replace the October 2025 denominator before capex.

Prioritise corporate/technology fleets, ride-hailing, used-EV channels, insurers and recovery partners. Household retail broadens demand once Mandarin journeys and pickup/delivery are proven.

Model Y recorded 13,384 registrations and 41.1% of Taiwan’s 2025 BEV market; Luxgen n7 ranked second with 3,431 [sales_2025]. BMW and Mercedes families add premium multi-brand demand [market_2025].

Tesla, Luxgen/Foxtron, BMW, Mercedes and importer groups have authorised advantages. EVS must win on multi-brand evidence, fleet uptime, pickup/delivery and specialist diagnostic scope.

It connects Taipei, New Taipei and Taoyuan demand with expressways, industrial premises and automotive labour. Taoyuan Guishan–Luzhu is the lower-cost alternative; Taichung is a later spoke.

Pure-electric commodity- and license-tax relief was extended through end-2030 [ev_tax_2030] [license_tax]. General new-car and replacement reductions may add up to TWD 100,000 under separate conditions [commodity_tax].

Taiwan’s profit-seeking enterprise income-tax rate is 20%; qualifying R&D and unavailable machinery may receive credits or duty relief [tax_incentives]. Base economics assumes no award.

Confirm 5% business tax, corporate tax, customs, payroll, withholding, transfer pricing, royalties, franchise fees, inventory and warranty treatment before entity commitment [invest_taiwan] [tax_incentives].

The 2026 minimum wage is TWD 29,500 monthly and TWD 196 hourly [minimum_wage], but EV/HV technicians will price above this floor. Obtain binding market quotes and a retention plan.

New motor-vehicle repair technician rules took effect on 1 March 2026 [repair_licence]. Confirm staffing, responsible-person, business, zoning, fire, drainage, lift and environmental requirements for the exact site.

Map Taiwan occupational-safety and electrical duties, then enforce platform isolation, prove-dead, LOTO, PPE, rescue, supervision and recurrent assessment [osh] [electrical_safety]. Restrict energised work until independently approved.

Removed EV batteries must enter designated recycling or disposal channels [battery_recycling]. Segregate normal, suspect, post-impact, flooded and unstable packs and contract authorised downstream partners [battery_scope] [waste_law].

Confirm technician, equipment, recovery, storage and reporting duties for each refrigerant and heat-pump task. Do not assume foreign certification alone authorises work.

Taiwan prescribes mandatory and prohibited vehicle-repair contract terms [repair_contract]. Use documented estimates, approval before extra work, warranty clarity, complaint handling and PDPA controls [consumer] [privacy].

The BEV parc is growing but remains only about 1.6% of passenger cars. Prove one company-controlled hub for 12 months before franchise offers or fixed regional branches.

Battery-health certificates, charging/thermal/heat-pump diagnostics, tyres/ADAS, water-ingress checks, collection and mobile triage precede post-impact work. Pack opening stays on hold.

Use one bilingual Mandarin/English hub, central QA and lawful diagnostic access; contract towing, insurers, parts and waste. Serve Taoyuan and Taipei by collection and Taichung through scheduled campaigns.

The base produces TWD 145m revenue, TWD 79.75m gross profit and TWD 7.75m EBITDA. Replace all wages, rent, insurance, tools, parts, taxes and central allocations with binding quotes.

Do not scale until lawful tool access, licensed leadership, dense-site battery fire controls, supply continuity and enough paid out-of-warranty work are proven.

Close registry/legal/site issues in days 0–30, run paid multi-platform work in days 31–60, then secure anchor demand, licensed leadership and binding operating quotes in days 61–90.

No capex or franchise rollout unless denominator, demand, paid evidence, technical, safety/compliance, economics and network gates all pass.

What is the current active BEV/PHEV stock by model, age and district? Which fleets commit TWD 120m annually? Which VIN functions are accessible? Which packs and parts need local stock?

MOTC/Highway Bureau statistics anchor stock and charging; registration compilations cross-check sales/models; government sources frame incentives, tax and regulation. Facts, third-party checks and EVS assumptions remain separate.

The core count is BEV-only at October 2025. A comparable PHEV stock, newer exact active registry, detailed age/model/owner extracts, workshop quotes and VIN access were not located and remain explicit gates.

The register records publisher, publication/access date, URL and use. Primary evidence, secondary cross-checks, competitors and EVS assumptions remain distinguishable.

CONDITIONAL GO for a 90-day paid validation and one company-controlled New Taipei Wugu–Xinzhuang–Taishan hub option. NO-GO for early franchising, second sites, pack rebuilding or inspection claims.